Today I ran across a video by Dr. Duc Vuong . He is a weight loss surgeon in the US. While he may not specialize in epidemology, he explains COVID-19 and the pandemic in simple enough terms for anyone to understand. His language is a little strong and some of his choice of analogies sometimes questionable, but the videos get the point across.
Vuong recorded the first video below in March 2020, explaining how COVID-19 attacks the body and eventually kills people. Also in the video he made predictions about rates of infection in the US, India and elsewhere over the summer. His numbers were not exact, but his prediction of trends was.
More below the fold.
Vuong has recorded several videos on the topic. The two below are from the past week.
The first (December 22) explains why COVID-19 numbers will continue to get worse for the foreseeable future, saying that things won’t start slowing until late spring and early summer. “This is the beginning of the dark winter,” as he notes at one point. He says to expect 300,000 new infections and 4000 dead per day into February and March, made possible by american insistence on travelling both for “thanksgiving” and “xmas”.
The second (December 25) explains what the Pfizer and Moderna vaccines are and how they work. And why it will take months before people get them, and a year before they have a major effect on the pandemic.