Finally, a bit of good news

The Democratic Socialist Zohran Mamdani seems to be on track to win the Democratic primary for the mayor of New York City, defeating former New York governor Andrew Cuomo.

After 91% of votes were counted in the primary’s first round, Mamdani, a state representative, had 43.5% of the vote. Andrew Cuomo, the former New York governor who had been a heavy favorite until recent weeks, was at 36.4%, and conceded on Tuesday night. Speaking at a campaign rally Cuomo said Mamdani had run a “really smart and good and impactful campaign”.

“Tonight is his night. He deserved it. He won,” Cuomo said. Brad Lander, the progressive New York comptroller, was third with 11.4%.

New York City uses a ranked-choice voting system, and as neither candidate is likely to reach 50%, the board of elections will now tally people’s second-choice candidates. Mamdani, who cross-endorsed with Lander last week, is predicted to benefit more than Cuomo from the count.

Mamdani’s stunning rise will serve as a rebuke to the Democratic establishment, and give hope to other progressives hoping to run in elections around the country. Cuomo was backed by deep pocketed donors and endorsed by a wave of centrist figures including Bill Clinton, but Mamdani benefitted from a surge of grassroots support among young people in particular.

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Texas lottery controversy

In the US, lotteries are a big business, raising huge revenues for state governments. But recently, here has been a controversy over the Texas state lottery.

There are various versions of the lottery but the one that gives out the biggest prize is where you pick six numbers from 1 through 54, with no number being repeated. If the drawing throws up that particular combination, then you win. The odds of winning are easy to calculate. The number of permutations of six numbers with none repeated is 18,595,558,800 (=54x53x52x51x50x49). Since the order of the numbers does not matter, there are 720 combinations that are equivalent (=6x5x4x3x2x1). Hence the number of possible results is the first number divided by the second, which gives 25,827,165. Since it costs $1 to pick a set of six, in theory if you buy one ticket for every possible combination, thus spending $25,827,165, you are guaranteed to win.

The catch is that the prize is usually less than that amount. A second problem is that if more than one person picks the same combination, then the prize gets split between the winners. A third problem is the sheer logistics of buying so many tickets, because the tickets are printed out by machines at various locations like convenience stores.
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It is the War Party that runs the US

When it comes to waging war with other countries, we see clearly that what we have in the US is not two parties Democratic and Republican but just a single War Party with two factions. The attack by the US on Iran is yet another example of this. While lower ranking members of Congress are calling for opposition to this blatant unprovoked act of aggression against another nation, the top leadership of both parties are going along with Trump’s war.

AS PRESIDENT DONALD Trump barrels toward a direct war with Iran, the most powerful Democrats in Congress are issuing statements that are at best tepid and confusing. At worst, they are cheering escalation.

Even with some Democrats on Capitol Hill pushing for a War Powers Resolution and other legislation to stop Trump from attacking without congressional approval, the Democratic Party’s most powerful politicians refuse to mount any meaningful opposition to a strike. Many outright favor direct U.S. involvement in yet another regime change war.

Sen. Chuck Schumer, D-N.Y., the most powerful Democrat in the Senate, where he is the minority leader, presents himself as a major opponent of Trump. As recently as June 15, for example, he boasted about his participation in the No Kings Day mass protest against Trump.

Yet when it comes to the prospect of a direct war with Iran, Schumer is not only supporting Trump, but less than three weeks ago was goading the administration to be “tough” on Iran and not make any “side deals” without Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s approval.
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Hakeem Jeffries, D-N.Y., the most powerful Democrat in the House, responded to Israel’s attack with a toothless statement that was vaguely supportive of war and packed with every pro-Israel cliche in the book. “Our commitment to Israel’s security is ironclad,” he said. “It is clear that the Iranian regime poses a grave threat to the entire free world. There is no circumstance where Iran can be permitted to become a nuclear power.”

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Ten Commandments cannot be posted in public schools in Louisiana

There are many axioms that people adopt as desirable guidelines to live by, such as the Golden Rule or Kant’s Categorical Imperative, all designed to help us treat people well There is also the one that I prefer which is less elegant, which is ‘Don’t Be A Jerk‘. The guidelines that I consider the most useless are the biblical Ten Commandments. But in the US, the Ten Commandments have been used to make extraordinary claims, such that if it were only posted in public spaces such as school rooms and city halls and grounds, then many of society’s problem would disappear. They claim that it is the removal of the Bible and religious teaching in schools that is the source of all the problems in US society and that posting the Ten Commandments in every schoolroom would make our children become upstanding moral adults.

The commandments take different forms depending on the source religious text but usually the first four consist of telling people how to grovel before God, which is not particularly useful when it comes to dealing with other people. One of the next six tells us to honor our parents, which is fine but pretty limited and vague (what form does this honor take?). Another four tell us not to murder, lie, steal, or engage in adultery which are clear and specific but do we really need to be reminded of them? And the last one is the one I get the biggest laugh out of which is ““Thou shalt not covet thy neighbor’s house; thou shalt not covet thy neighbor’s wife, nor his manservant, nor his maidservant, nor his ox, nor his ass, nor anything that is thy neighbor’s”, weirdly including the neighbor’s wives in the list of possessions. And forbidding coveting the neighbor’s ass is something that will bring a smile to any school children in the US today. Also, what exactly is the problem with coveting things if one does not resort to murder, lying, or stealing in order to obtain them?
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What can mass protests hope to achieve in the US?

Last Saturday saw the massive No Kings protest around the country (and even in other countries) that dwarfed Trump’s sad military parade in DC. While it was an impressive show of opposition to Trump and his policies, there is always the question of what such protests can achieve in terms of practical outcomes, because of the peculiar nature of the US government.

In almost any other country, massive and sustained protests can topple unpopular governments. But that is possible because elections in those countries are not rigidly fixed as they are in the US. In those countries, the leader must resign and dissolve the government if they no longer command majority support in parliament (because of breakdowns in coalitions or defections from the majority party) or they can do so if they feel that they need to seek a fresh mandate.
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Trump’s small crowd for his parade overshadowed by protests

Given the hellscape that is unfolding in the Middle East and the police state that the US has become (with the only good news being that India and Pakistan have pulled back from the threatened brink of a war), to talk about relative crowd sizes at the Trump parade and the No Kings protests seems trivial. But given Trump’s obsession with crowd sizes being a key marker of his popularity, I think it is worthwhile to needle him by pointing out that his parade was, to a large extent, a disappointment. Of course, his cult followers will claim that it was just gigantic but Trump was there and must know that it was a dud, nowhere near the spectacle that he sought to emulate, the Bastille Day parade in France or the Russian military parades in Red Square.

There is a report that he castigated defense secretary Pete Hegseth for the poor showing.
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This is what a police state looks like

Trump is desperate to detain and deport as many people as possible to meet his grandiose goal of removing the alleged millions of criminals from the US. To get the numbers up, his lackey Kristi Noem, the puppy murderer who is also secretary of Homeland Security, has created a quota for the number of people that need to be taken in by agents. This has resulted in pretty much anyone being a target, with no requirement of any criminality required.

Jacqueline Sweet writes about what happened in Long Island, NY.

A DOZEN OR more masked men, some with long guns, tried to enter a men’s homeless shelter without identifying themselves in a rural town with a long-standing immigrant community on eastern Long Island in New York. Officials from the local police department later admitted they didn’t know where the masked men came from — only adding to local residents’ concerns.
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Several hours after the men were seen at the Riverhead Fire Department, they were spotted again. Twelve to 14 of the masked men, some reportedly carrying long guns, were trying to get into a Riverhead men’s homeless shelter, according to a video shared by several immigrant advocates in the area. They would not identify themselves, a shelter employee told local news outlet RiverheadLOCAL.

A shelter resident told RiverheadLOCAL that one of the men, wearing a black U.S. Marshals vest, came to the front door seeking entry but would neither show credentials or a warrant, nor give his name. (A representative for the shelter did not respond to inquiries.)

A representative for the Riverhead Fire Department told The Intercept,
“We had no idea who they were.”

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Anti-Trump protests overshadow Trump’s parade

Saturday saw massive protests all over the country against Trump. There were an estimated 50,000 people in New York and also in San Francisco. This article gives an overview.

The protests, dubbed “No Kings”, took place at about 2,100 sites nationwide, from big cities to small towns. A coalition of more than 100 groups joined together to plan the protests, which are committed to a principle of nonviolence.
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No Kings organizers estimated the day’s events drew millions of people, with some hundreds still under way in all 50 states and to some cities abroad. These included more than 200,000 in New York and over 100,000 in Philadelphia, plus some small towns with sizable crowds for their populations, including the town of Pentwater, Michigan, which saw 400 people join the protest in their 800-person town, the No Kings coalition said.
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Stephen Pinker slides down the slippery slope of a public intellectual

Stephen Pinker is in the news again, and again, not in a good way.

The Harvard psychologist and bestselling author Steven Pinker appeared on the podcast of Aporia, an outlet whose owners advocate for a revival of race science and have spoken of seeking “legitimation by association” by platforming more mainstream figures.

The appearance underlines past incidents in which Pinker has encountered criticism for his association with advocates of so-called “human biodiversity”, which other academics have called a “rebranding” of racial genetic essentialism and scientific racism.
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Patrik Hermansson, a researcher at UK anti-racism non-profit Hope Not Hate, said that Pinker’s “decision to appear on Aporia, a far-right platform for scientific racism, provides an invaluable service to an extremist outlet by legitimising its content and attracting new followers”.

He added: “By lending his Harvard credentials to Aporia, Pinker contributes to the normalisation and spread of dangerous, discredited ideas.”

This is just the latest controversy that Pinker has found himself in. Just recently he, along with Richard Dawkins and Jerry Coyne, resigned from the board of the Freedom From Religion Foundation because the foundation removed a blog post by Coyne.
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Musk’s groveling to Trump begins

Like almost all the Republicans who were once critical of Trump for whatever reason, Elon Musk has started his rehabilitation process by groveling to Trump.

Elon Musk is walking back his attacks against President Donald Trump. Just days after a furious barrage of posts on X, the Tesla CEO is trying to make amends.

“I regret some of my posts about President @realDonaldTrump last week,” the former director of DOGE wrote in a late-night post on X. “They went too far.”  
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This might be Musk’s second olive branch. On June 8, Musk shared a post from Trump on X, in which the president declared an “invasion” in Los Angeles, proclaiming that it will be “set free.” Musk added two American flag emojis to his repost.

I don’t think this will be enough. Musk will have to make several abject apologies and also praise Trump to get back into his good graces.