It is hard to get an accurate estimate of the size of the transgender community but there is no doubt that it is small, perhaps around 1% of the population. Because of their small size, they are politically powerless. So it was astonishing, and sickening, to see them being used to scare people, as if they represented a major danger to the social fabric. Republicans seemed to think that demonizing them was a winning electoral strategy, attacking them at campaign rallies and spending vast amounts on ads against them.
So it was indeed encouraging that the campaign did not work and transgender candidates even won elections.
In the weeks leading up to Tuesday, Republicans spent an estimated $183m on ads about transgender issues. Elon Musk poured millions into political groups that attacked trans rights, intensely targeting Democrat James Talarico’s Senate run in Texas. Trump, who successfully leveraged the culture war issue in 2024, stumped on it again, calling gender affirming care “mutilization” (meaning “mutilation”). Conservative candidates actively campaigned on the platform, calling their liberal opponents supporters of an overly woke agenda.
…But Texas and Kansas – along with the US Senate and House – flipped blue. Alabama elected its first transgender lawmaker, Allison Montgomery, an incoming state representative, despite her Republican challenger’s incendiary comments about her identity. Five other states – Georgia, Washington, Wisconsin, Michigan and Florida – elected trans and non-binary candidates at the state level for the first time.
