The danger of storm complacency

Hurricanes are extremely volatile events, highly sensitive to local conditions. They form quickly, their strengths can rise and fall rapidly, and their paths are can veer abruptly. Given all that, it is quite remarkable how weather scientists are able to predict things about them as much as they can. But because of their volatility, these predictions necessarily lack absolute certainty and contain margins of error. Unfortunately, many people do not appreciate this fact and when events turn out differently from what was announced, they tend to feel that either the forecasters were incompetent or that they were deliberately misled. (In my book The Great Paradox of Science, I spend considerable time making the case that teaching students and adults about the uncertainty inherent in almost all scientific measurements is an important element in understanding the nature of science. But unfortunately, very little time is spent on it.)
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If Ayn Rand reviewed children’s films …

… Daniel M. Lovery imagines what the reviews might look like.

Here is one of Snow White and the Seven Dwarfs.

An industrious young woman neglects to charge for her housekeeping services and is rightly exploited for her naïveté. She dies without ever having sought her own happiness as the highest moral aim. I did not finish watching this movie, finding it impossible to sympathize with the main character. —No stars.

And here is one of Willy Wonka & the Chocolate Factory.

An excellent movie. The obviously unfit individuals are winnowed out through a series of entrepreneurial tests and, in the end, an enterprising young boy receives a factory. I believe more movies should be made about enterprising young boys who are given factories. —Three and a half stars. (Half a star off for the grandparents, who are sponging off the labor of Charlie and his mother. If Grandpa Joe can dance, Grandpa Joe can work.)

MAGAwoman explains how and why the weather is being manipulated

Jason Selvig who, along with Davram Stiefler, makes up the comedy duo The Good Liars talks to a woman attending a creepy Trump event and she explains how and why the government is intensifying the strength of hurricanes.

The real Bourne conspiracy: The wild story behind the 2020 election fraud allegations

After the 2020 election, Fox News and other right wing media peddled the bizarre theory that there had been a vast conspiracy involving the Dominion voting machine company, the Smartmatic software company, the Democratic party, the deceased Venezuelan leader Hugo Chavez, and large numbers of election workers all over the country to switch votes from creepy Donald Trump to Joe Biden. Although preposterous on its face, this spread like wildfire and became an article of faith with creepy Trump, his cult followers, and among his campaign team.

Both Dominion and Smartmatic sued Fox News, Newsmax, and OANN. and also people close to creepy Trump like Rudy Giuliani and Sydney Powell who spread this nonsense. Fox settled with Dominion for a whopping $787.5 million dollars. Smartmatic’s case against Newsmax was settled on September 26, 2024 but the details have not yet been released. Four other cases are still pending.
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Kris Kristofferson (1936-2024)

The gifted singer, songwriter, and actor died on September 28th at the age of 88.

There have been many articles and tributes to him. He had a varied career and many of his songs were sung by others and became major hits.

Kristofferson was a Golden Gloves boxer, rugby star and football player in college; received a master’s degree in English from Merton College at the University of Oxford in England; and flew helicopters as a captain in the U.S. Army but turned down an appointment to teach at the U.S. Military Academy at West Point, New York, to pursue songwriting in Nashville.
…

Starting in the late 1960s, the Brownsville, Texas native wrote such country and rock ‘n’ roll standards as “Sunday Mornin’ Comin’ Down,” “Help Me Make it Through the Night,” “For the Good Times” and “Me and Bobby McGee.” Kristofferson was a singer himself, but many of his songs were best known as performed by others, whether Ray Price crooning “For the Good Times” or Janis Joplin belting out “Me and Bobby McGee.”

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Private equity companies should not be in health care

Mike Ervin is a disability rights activist who has a monthly column in The Progressive magazine where he discusses disability issues, a subject that gets little attention in most mass media. He also writes a blog Smart Ass Cripple.

In the October/November 2024 issue of the magazine, he describes how private equity companies have entered the business of selling and servicing motorized wheelchairs. Two such companies Numotion and National Seating & Mobility (NSM) are owned by private equity firms and they have gobbled up a lot of the other companies.
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Is the food still good to eat?

In the US, much of the food that you buy in grocery stores have labels such “sell by” or “best before”. Buy those terms lack specific meaning and as a result, much perfectly edible food is thrown away because people feel that you should not eat it if the date is past. This is estimated to make up to 20% of the food waste or about 6 million tons of unexpired food is thrown away.

California has just passed a law that seeks to rectify this problem.
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Harris proposes that Medicare cover in-home nursing care

As people age, the question arises of whether they can live independently at home. Much research shows that it is best, both physically and mentally, for old people to continue to live in their own homes as much as possible, rather than moving into homes they are unfamiliar with in new areas with, where they don’t know anyone, and out of touch with their social network. But as they deteriorate physically, they may need some forms of assistance with some day-to-day activities, and this can be done with aides who can come in for brief periods to take care of things. and to check in on them.

But most health care insurance does not cover this and so families have to take care of it. But if they cannot find a way to personally do so, either because they are physically unable or working or do not live close by, that results in older people being forced to move into nursing homes or other assisted living facilities.
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Sally Field talks about her own illegal abortion when she was 17

The two-time Academy Award winning actor talks about how she became pregnant around 1964 when she was just 17. She was desperate and didn’t know what to do but a family friend who was a doctor drove her across the border to Tijuana to get an abortion which was illegal then. It was a traumatic experience and, as she says, we are now seeing a resurgence of the same conditions that are forcing women to undergo similar harrowing experiences.

It is a powerful testimony and I hope many people see it and realize how dangerous is the threat to women’s reproductive rights posed by creepy Donald Trump, weird JD Vance, the misogynistic GOP, and a US Supreme Court that wants to take us back to those dark ages.