The myth of multitasking

Since I work at a university and am around young adults all the time, I have long been aware that young people today are avid consumers of multimedia, who are adept at emailing, texting, listening to mp3 players, surfing the web, checking up on Facebook, etc. It seems like they are quite proficient at multitasking.

I have always been a poor multitasker. I cannot read or do any work that requires serious thinking if I can hear conversation or loud noises in the background. I have found that I cannot even listen to music in the background when reading. But I know people who seem to thrive on that kind of ambient sound and even deliberately go to coffee shops to do work such as grading papers or writing, things that would be impossible for me.
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New documentary The Lord is Not on Trial Here Today

One of the key cases involving church-state separation (discussed in my book God vs. Darwin: The War Between Evolution and Creationism in the Classroom) was McCollum v. Board of Education (1948) which involved a challenge to the practice of public schools granting “release time” for the teaching of religion in school buildings during the school day to those students and parents who agreed to it. The U.S. Supreme Court by an 8-1 vote ruled the policy unconstitutional. This was the first time that religious instruction in public schools had been explicitly ruled to be unconstitutional under the U.S. constitution.

It turns out that Vashti McCollum, the feisty mother who brought the case objecting to this practice and braved the wrath of the religious people in her small town in Illinois, is still alive died only in 2006 (thanks to reader George for pointing out the error) and some PBS stations will be broadcasting a new award-winning documentary The Lord is Not on Trial Here Today that deals with her case. Here is a preview.

If your local PBS station is not listed on that site, you can call them and ask them to consider showing it.

The dark side of the Rapture

I have heard reports that a caravan of vehicles with billboards announcing the end of the world on May 21 passed through Cleveland a couple of weeks ago. When May 22 dawns and no Rapture has occurred, there will be a lot of disappointed people. This will not be the first time that such hopes have been dashed. There was a major event actually called The Great Disappointment that occurred on October 22, 1844 [date corrected thanks to commenter Robert] when a widely believed end times prophesy failed to materialize.

While Christianity has always had its end-times fanatics, it was the creation of the state of Israel that spawned a huge amount of end-times theorizing because these people believe that Jesus will only return to Earth after the Jews returned to Israel. This is also why there is such a weird symbiotic relationship between Christian and Jewish extremist groups. The expansionist policies of Israel that have ruined the lives of so many Palestinians is supported by the Christian end-timers because they think it is a sign that Jesus has packed his bags and is about to make the return trip to Earth.

I have been having some fun with the whole Rapture thing, because the idea is so absurd. But there is a dark side to it, in that many of the people who take it seriously are making foolish decisions and could ruin their lives. NPR ran a story on some of the people who are waiting to be raptured. One couple with an infant daughter and another baby due in June have abandoned plans for the mother to go to medical school and are spending all their money down so that they will be left with nothing on May 21, arguing that there is no point since it will all come to an end. In another story, NPR described a person who sold off his house and gave up his job to await the event. A colleague of mine described how her former sister-in-law believed in an earlier rapture prediction of 1994 and ran up huge credit card bills that then took a long time to pay off. These people refuse to consider that they might be wrong because to do so would be a sign of lack of faith and cause god to not select them for heaven.

If no Rapture occurs, the people responsible for the predictions will use the standard excuse that the calculations were faulty and go back to the drawing board. This is what current Rapture predictor Harold Camping said in 1994 when his earlier prediction did not pan out. He said it was because he had not read the book of Jeremiah that contained some important clues. That seems a little irresponsible to me. If you are basing a major prediction such as the end of the world on the Bible, and people are taking you seriously, you should at least have had the decency to do your homework and read the whole thing.

In a comment to a previous post, Scott jokingly suggested that it might be fun on May 21 to leave little piles of clothes around because that would be a sign to the believers that people have been suddenly raptured up to heaven. That would be funny except that we have to remember that we are dealing with seriously deluded people who do not think rationally. If these people think that the Rapture had actually occurred and they were not selected and were headed for hell, there is no saying what they will do and it is quite possible that they will go berserk.

Richard Dawkins was asked by the Washington Post to comment on the latest Rapture frenzy and said: “Why is a serious newspaper like the Washington Post giving space to a raving loon?” He then has a good discussion of how the word ‘tradition’ used as in ‘religious tradition’ tends to bestow respectability on a set of nonsensical myths that have no foundation.

I disagree with Dawkins. We should publicize as widely as possible the crazy and evil things that religions cause people to do. Mainstream religions provide the soil in which the crazies can take root and flourish. We need more and more people to realize that these deluded people are deeply misguided because they are connected organically to mainstream religion, not separate from it. Having a public relations fiasco like the Rapture can only help the cause of skepticism.

How many people has the Judeo-Christian god killed?

Someone has had the fortitude to go through the Bible and tabulate all the people killed by this particular god. The problem is that while sometimes the numbers are given precisely, on other occasions the figures have to be estimated.

The result? 2,476,636 if you count up the actual numbers and, if you include those killings for which no precise numbers are provided, an estimated 25 million.

(via Jerry Coyne.)

Matt Taibbi vs. Goldman Sachs

In an article in the May 26, 2011 issue Rolling Stone titled The People vs. Goldman Sachs, Matt Taibbi says that in a just world, a new Senate report should trigger a massive Justice Department investigation and criminal charges against the people in charge of the big financial companies, especially Goldman Sachs.

The great and powerful Oz of Wall Street was not the only target of Wall Street and the Financial Crisis: Anatomy of a Financial Collapse, the 650-page report just released by the Senate Subcommittee on Investigations, chaired by Democrat Carl Levin of Michigan, alongside Republican Tom Coburn of Oklahoma. Their unusually scathing bipartisan report also includes case studies of Washington Mutual and Deutsche Bank, providing a panoramic portrait of a bubble era that produced the most destructive crime spree in our history — “a million fraud cases a year” is how one former regulator puts it. But the mountain of evidence collected against Goldman by Levin’s small, 15-desk office of investigators — details of gross, baldfaced fraud delivered up in such quantities as to almost serve as a kind of sarcastic challenge to the curiously impassive Justice Department — stands as the most important symbol of Wall Street’s aristocratic impunity and prosecutorial immunity produced since the crash of 2008.

But Goldman, as the Levin report makes clear, remains an ascendant company precisely because it used its canny perception of an upcoming disaster (one which it helped create, incidentally) as an opportunity to enrich itself, not only at the expense of clients but ultimately, through the bailouts and the collateral damage of the wrecked economy, at the expense of society. The bank seemed to count on the unwillingness or inability of federal regulators to stop them — and when called to Washington last year to explain their behavior, Goldman executives brazenly misled Congress, apparently confident that their perjury would carry no serious consequences.

Taibbi is, as always, able to make reporting about dry financial matters come alive and it is interesting to see how he does that. I think he succeeds because he couples knowledge of arcane details with not holding back when it comes to conjuring up vivid imagery and metaphors (and even profanity when warranted) to describe what is going on.

For example, to those who try to excuse the evidence of the bankers’ greed as the kind of small missteps that anyone can make, he says:

Defenders of Goldman have been quick to insist that while the bank may have had a few ethical slips here and there, its only real offense was being too good at making money. We now know, unequivocally, that this is bullshit. Goldman isn’t a pudgy housewife who broke her diet with a few Nilla Wafers between meals — it’s an advanced-stage, 1,100-pound medical emergency who hasn’t left his apartment in six years, and is found by paramedics buried up to his eyes in cupcake wrappers and pizza boxes.

On Goldman’s strenuous efforts, once it realized that it was holding huge amounts of worthless assets, to find suckers to sell it off to and what they did after they forced the sale, he writes:

Goldman was like a car dealership that realized it had a whole lot full of cars with faulty brakes. Instead of announcing a recall, it surged ahead with a two-fold plan to make a fortune: first, by dumping the dangerous products on other people, and second, by taking out life insurance against the fools who bought the deadly cars.

In describing the multiple ways that Goldman defrauded its own clients, the very people who were paying for its services, he says:

This is a little like getting an invoice from an interior decorator who, in addition to his fee for services, charges you $170 a roll for brand-name wallpaper he’s actually buying off the back of a truck for $63.

To recap: Goldman, to get $1.2 billion in crap off its books, dumps a huge lot of deadly mortgages on its clients, lies about where that crap came from and claims it believes in the product even as it’s betting $2 billion against it. When its victims try to run out of the burning house, Goldman stands in the doorway, blasts them all with gasoline before they can escape, and then has the balls to send a bill overcharging its victims for the pleasure of getting fried.

Taibbi describes the tricks used by Goldman to get the highest AAA ratings for the junk securities on its hands that enabled them to be sold off to their dupes. They did this by taking the low-rated bonds from each pool and then ranking them again within that pool and giving the best the highest rating. And then repeating the process.

This is kind of like taking all the kids who were picked last to play volleyball in every gym class of every public school in the state, throwing them in a new gym, and pretending that the first 10 kids picked are varsity-level players. Then you take all the unpicked kids left over from that process, throw them in a gym with similar kids from all 50 states, and call the first 10 kids picked All-Americans.

Taibbi’s article is well worth reading in full.

Will the Justice Department prosecute? Don’t hold your breath. Starting with Bill Clinton, there has been a continuous bipartisan sellout to Wall Street and I don’t expect anything more from Obama. What I predict will happen is that if the rest of the major media raise a fuss about this report (which itself has a low probability given the media’s alliance with the oligarchy), then the Justice Department might be forced to look as if it is doing something. They will open a highly publicized investigation, then strike a deal with Goldman Sachs to have them pay a fine which will seem like a lot to us (say a few hundred million dollars) but will be peanuts to Goldman which will look on it as just the cost of doing business.

But no one will go to jail and there the matter will end.

The Lewin subcommittee’s hearings figured prominently in the wonderful documentary Inside Job that I reviewed two weeks ago. The producers of that documentary received Academy Awards for it in February and what they said on that occasion pretty much sums up the corrupt nature of US politics.

Forcing foster children to shop at only second hand stores

The attempts to stigmatize the poor continue apace. I wrote earlier about the move to give welfare recipients their allocation via orange debit cards so that everyone would know they were on welfare. Now a Michigan legislator wants to ban foster children from using that state’s $80 per year clothing allowance to buy any new clothing item. Instead the clothing vouchers could only be redeemed at second hand stores.

There is nothing intrinsically bad about buying used clothes or any other item. I would guess that almost all people have done so. It is the idea of forcing poor people to have only that option, that new things are too good for them and they do not deserve them, that makes me find such stories revolting. What kinds of people spend their time thinking up such things? Maybe they will next give poor people permits that allow them to get their food from dumpsters.

Everyone thinks they are in the middle class

One of the enduring puzzles is why so many poor and middle class people are so supportive of policies that benefit only the rich. The often cited reasons are that these people are either stupid or that they have a fantasy that they will be very rich someday and are protecting their future interests.

But via Kevin Drum, I heard about a new study that suggests another reason, which is that people have a highly distorted idea about where they themselves stand in the economic pecking order. The study asked people in Argentina in the ten income deciles to rank themselves as to which decile they thought they were in. “They found that everyone thought they were basically middle class. Poor people consistently overestimated their rank, and rich people consistently underestimated their rank.”

Why is this? “The authors suggest that this misperception may be related to the types of people respondents interact with, and therefore use as a reference point. If you’re mostly exposed to people earning about as much as you, you’re likely to think your earnings are average.”

The solution? Make people better aware of their true position. “In the Argentina study, for example, respondents were eventually informed about whether their own rankings estimates were too high or too low. This news changed people’s policy attitudes. People who thought they were relatively richer than they actually were started to demand higher levels of income redistribution when told they were actually relatively poor.”

These results are consistent with a study done in the US that I wrote about late last year which showed that people here think that wealth is more equitably distributed than it really is.