Credibility Matters: I’ve been waiting for a news source like this

A youtube channel called “China Insights” (incites is more like it) is of dubious quality.  It makes many allegations, and while it shows video of many events, it never lists sources that can be checked.  (There are other bloggers and vloggers who have even less credibility, producing opinion and not news.)  It’s annoying because some of what is posted in their videos is verifiable, but not all.

For weeks, CI has been claiming massive lockdowns across China, of people starving and separated from their families, that the “zero COVID policy” is causing human rights abuses.  These items from Deutsche Welle and ABC (US) are the first credible news sources I’ve seen to report that the entirety of Shanghai is under lockdown.

Beijing “plans” the economy and society, dictating numbers that reality often fails to meet.  Some rumours (CI and others) say “zero COVID” is predicated on doing a certain number of tests, and not about reducing the actual number of infected people.  Witness the cases during the olympics.  It makes you wonder what the real counts are, both sick and dead.

Jilin province has one of the worst rates of infection, and that is the province which borders North Korea (once part of the Shilla Kingdom, 800 years ago).  How bad is the spread in that country?

 

I Have Something To Show: Filling and killing time

I have multiple bigger topics on the go (read: too many irons in the fire), but not the time to finish them all at once.  Here’s a quick one about mathematical devices, related to stuff about slide rules.

Chris Staecker is a professor of mathematics at Fairfield University.  He also has a youtube channel with lots of fascinating content.  Some of it is advanced mathematics, and some is amazingly accessible, even when he’s discussion complex equations.

First is a playlist of videos about Calculating Devices.  Some of them are educational toys (e.g.
“Monkey Multiplier”), some are household or general purpose devices (e.g. HandiAdd and the Quick Adder, the latter of which was in the house when I was a kid).  For some of them, Staeker provides links to PDFs so you can create your own devices on acetates or paper.

And then there are devices that are absolutely fascinating.

First, the Equamater which allows you to determine the function of a curve.  It’s easy to draw a curve from a function when you have the raw data, but what if you have neither the data nor the function, all you have is the curve on a Cartesian grid?  The Equameter enables you to calculate and roughly approximate the function which he demonstrates.

 

Second is the Steinhaus Longimeter which allows you to measure the length of a curved line on paper.  It consists of three overlays (three grids of squares rotated to 120 and 240 degrees) which you place over the drawn line.  Count the number of lines on the grids that the line crosses, and you have the length of the line in millimetres.

 

Last, is a different playlist with only two videos: the Paper Computer.  It was invented in Germany in the 1980s to teach machine language coding, and presented on a TV show.  Again, there is a printable version.  Using a small set of basic instructions, you can figure out standard program techniques for sequence, looping, branching, and memory addressing instructions.  The work is done in the programmer’s head, but requires learning logic and good coding techniques.

Staecker’s presentation is humourous without being condescending, and informative without being overwhelming.  If only all youtube producers were as watchable as he is.

 


 

Unrelated, I recently sawthis is highly amusing and valuable image:

Mathematical functions explained by hand gestures

Their Humanity Exhumed: Can we call them ex-human too?

I was debating whether this should come in two posts or one.

Alvin McEwen (aka Black Tsunami), author of the Holy Bullies and Headless Monsters blog, just posted another detailed and accurate dissection of rightwing and religious hate propaganda against LGBTQIA people.  From his post:

Visual montage – Just a few of the times conservatives have accused LGBTQ people of ‘indoctrinating,’ ‘recruiting,’ or ‘grooming’ children

So now in defense of Florida’s ‘Don’t Say Gay’ law, folks are labeling LGBTQ people as ‘groomers’ who are targeting children for sex talk. It’s an ugly claim, but it’s hardly new. In fact the most potent weapon in the arsenal of the anti-LGBTQ industry for decades has been the accusation that gays are ‘indoctrinating children,’ ‘recruiting children,’ or (as it is spoken now) ‘grooming children.’

It’s powerful because it touches on the most primal fear of parents – that their children are going to be harmed. That fear coupled with the continued ignorance about LGBTQ lives and our families (some people aren’t even aware that we are raising children) becomes a powerful weapon which can be used to undermine our equality time and time again.

Below are just a few examples of conservatives and religious right playing the ‘gays want your children’ card over the years. Some go as far back as the mid 1980s.

While he doesn’t say it explicitly, you can tell he’s drawing comparison to the KKK’s racist hate propaganda of the 1960s.  Both the “cartoons” and false accusations of sexual predation and violence racists hurled against Black people are the same type of propaganda aimed at LGBTQIA people now.

Hate propaganda works for two main reasons:

1) It’s easier to tell the lie than it is to refute it.

2) Those who believe lies will repeat them without checking.

 


 

Xtra Magazine published a damning article linking TERF ideology and fascism.  TERFs willingly side with ideologies that would take away women’s right to work, health care, birth control, education, and even their right to vote, simply because those they align with hate Trans people.

The worst part is, they know.  They would rather give up their rights than allow people outside the cishetero binary to exist.

How the far-right is turning feminists into fascists

When I first started asking about the connection between anti-trans politics and the American right wing, my concerns were simple. I’d covered abortion for several years, and some of the tactics being used by organized transphobes—noisy “protests” outside clinics, or doxing and harassing doctors—were similar enough to the “pro-life” movement’s that I expected some groups were working together. 

I was right; there was a connection, which I’ve covered already for Xtra and other outlets. What I did not expect was that asking researchers to situate anti-trans activists in the context of the broader right would turn out to be one of the scariest questions I’d ever ask. Every researcher I spoke to told me that the situation on the ground was far worse than I thought. Anti-trans activists had not hitched their wagons to the American right wing. The far right was using transphobia to advance their larger agenda, and that agenda was both more violent and a lot more successful than I knew. 

What follows is an attempt to summarize that agenda—although the full picture, comprised as it is of activist splinter groups, bizarre conspiracy theories, social-media hate campaigns and titanic global funding initiatives, is both too complex and too weird to ever fully summarize. It’s a story in which “eco-fascists” infiltrating lesbian folk festivals bump up against anti-Semitic conspiracy bloggers and Vladimir Putin’s global dark money operations; strange enough that it’s hard to take seriously, but very serious, and increasingly dangerous to us all. This is how trans-eliminationist thought became mainstream politics, and it has grave implications, not just for trans people, but for democracy itself. 

TERF is insufficient since it generally only applies to those who are cis XX.  WXYZ is now my preferred term for male anti-Trans bigots:

white (W) male (XY) cis (Z)

Collectively (as one collects garbage to dispose) I now call them AHAB:

AHAB: Assigned Human At Birth

They have given up any sense of human decency with their racism, anti-semitism, xenophobia as their core ideology, along with their hate of Transgender, Non-Binary, and others outside the tiny cishetero binary.  AHAB is apt because it applies to all of them, right wing bigots and others: fake and performative feminists, apologists, and Caitlyn “Death Race 2000” Jenner.

Will History Repeat?: And Putin’s “dirty war” in Ukraine be his downfall?

It was on April 2, 1982, forty years ago, that Argentine dictator Leopoldo Galtieri ordered the invasion of the Falkland Islands, initiating a ten week long war in the South Atlantic.  Galtieri believed that “Argentina inherited them from Spain” as justification for seizing them; in reality, he was looking for a “win” because public dissent and defiance against the fascist government’s brutality was growing.  He also made the assumption that the United Kingdom’s distance, fading military, and US refusal to get involved, would mean he could take the islands permanently without much of a fight.

Both of which sound a lot like Putin’s thinking and actions in Ukraine today.

Argentina’s “dirty war” of US-backed fascist dictatorship began in 1976.  It ended in 1983 with Galtieri’s resignation and free, democratic elections, though little accountability for the atrocities committed over those eight years.  With enough pressure, we may see Putin’s own military and inner circle turn on him.

France24‘s item on the anniversary makes zero mention or allusion to Putin and Ukraine, but the writer doesn’t need to.  The allegories and comparisons speak for themselves.

Argentina’s dictatorship dug its own grave in Falklands War

Argentina’s embattled military dictatorship was on its last legs when it sought to secure a lifeline with an invasion of the British Falkland Islands 40 years ago this week.

The gambit was initially successful as the attack was feted by a previously hostile public.

Yet the brief misadventure ultimately failed to breathe new life into the dictatorship floundering under social unrest and economic crisis, serving instead to precipitate its demise.

Eight days after the invasion of the South Atlantic archipelago on April 2, General Leopoldo Galtieri, the head of Argentina’s military junta, addressed fevered throngs from the balcony of his palace overlooking the central Plaza de Mayo square in Buenos Aires.

“If they want to come, let them come, we will give them battle!” he trumpeted to the cheering crowds in a direct challenge to the British military as a task force traveled south to free the islands.

The public support was a coup by the junta given that just 10 days earlier, tens of thousands of Argentines had filled that same square in the biggest mobilization against the dictatorship since it took power in 1976, chanting: “Elections now!”

The junta thought that by claiming the Falklands — which Buenos Aires argues it inherited from Spain when it gained independence in the 19th century — it would be able to turn the tide of public opinion in its favor.

Unlike Putin perpetrating war crimes against Ukrainians, the Argentine regime committed genocide against its own people, in its “dirty war”: the torture of dissidents, “death flights”, kidnapping of orphans.

The catholic church was complicit.  There are questions about how involved the current Argentinian pope was, but to claim that he “knew nothing” reeks of Sargeant Schulz.  From The New Yorker, March 2013:

Pope Francis and the Dirty War

As in Spain during its Civil War, when the Catholic Church openly sided with Franco’s inquisition, and in Rome during the Second World War, when the silence of Pope Pius XII was understood as a tacit admission of Vatican acquiescence with the policies of the Axis, the role of the Argentine Catholic Church in the junta’s anti-Communist campaign was queasily intimate. In official discourses, one of Bergoglio’s predecessors, Archbishop Juan Carlos Aramburu, openly sided with the military’s stated need for a purge, in which freethinking priests and nuns were also killed. For the most part, the Church remained mute in public about what was going on. But some priests were actually directly involved in the repression, by all accounts, with military chaplains going so far as to bless the drugged bodies of suspected guerrillas marked for execution as they were loaded onto military planes, from which they were then hurled to their deaths, unconscious, over the Rio de la Plata.

There have been past accusations, including testimony from a handful of priests and bishops, that the man who is now Pope Francis was complicit, too, if in a more subtle way. He was, in the early years of the Dirty War, the provincial, or superior, of the Society of Jesus in Argentina, at a time when the Jesuits produced some of the more freethinking and socially liberal clerics in Latin America—a number of whom were targeted by military leaders during the era’s repression—and later led a seminary. The key allegation against him is that he pointed out left-leaning priests to the military as dissidents, leaving them exposed, and that he did not defend two kidnapped clerics or ask for their release. He has denied this, and says instead that he protected priests and others—just quietly, in secret.

Argentinian people want justice, not “reconciliation”.  Many families of the “disappeared” were never given answers, loved ones never buried, children never found.  Whether Ukrainian people get answers or return of those missing and kidnapped in the past month remains to be seen.

30,000 People Were ‘Disappeared’ in Argentina’s Dirty War. These Women Never Stopped Looking

Draped in lush trees and surrounded by stately buildings, Buenos Aires’ Plaza de Mayo might look like a place to check out monuments or stop for a relaxing rest. But each Thursday, one of Argentina’s most famous public squares fills with women wearing white scarves and holding signs covered with names.

They are the Mothers and Grandmothers of the Plaza de Mayo, and they are there to bring attention to something that threw their lives into tragedy and chaos during the 1970s: the kidnapping of their children and grandchildren by Argentina’s brutal military dictatorship.

For decades, the women have been advocating for answers about what happened to their loved ones. It’s a question shared by the families of up to 30,000 people “disappeared” by the state during Argentina’s “Dirty War,” a period during which the country’s military dictatorship turned against its own people.

Some of the pilots who flew the “death flights” have been brought to trial, but the generals and those who gave the orders escaped trial mostly via death by old age and disease.  At least Putin’s generals have paid the cost of their crimes, having been killed Ukrainian defenders.  From Axios:

Argentine ‘death flights’ trial gets underway

For the first time, Argentina is carrying out a trial against Army members specifically for the so-called vuelos de la muerte, where thousands of dissidents between 1976 and 1983 were drugged, forced onto military aircraft and dumped into the ocean to drown.

Also from France24, a brief timeline of the dirty war.

A little more below the fold, three songs of the era, two about the war and one not.

[Read more…]

Influenza Returns: But with a whimper, not a bang

Last year, both I and PZ Myers wrote about the historic record low number of influenza cases around the world.  Flu season isn’t over, but we can already see that in places where there are lax attitudes or resistance towards masks there has been a major rebound influenza cases.  And where masks are still mostly required, there hasn’t.

The US is (sadly and unsurprisingly) where flu has made a comeback – not as bad as in previous years, but enough to be out of step with other countries.  According to data on the US’s CDC website, these are the current numbers.  That’s a quarter of the US deaths from flu in a regular year, but compared to 2020-2021 where there were less than 3,000 flu cases, this is a disaster.

CDC estimates* that, from October 1, 2021 through March 26, 2022, there have been:

3,500,000 – 5,800,000 flu illnesses

1,600,000 – 2,700,000 flu medical visits

34,000 – 69,000 flu hospitalizations

2,000 – 5,800 flu deaths

Health Canada publishes weekly reports on influenza.   The numbers for 2021-2022 are similar to 2020-2021, only about 1% of tests being positive, though the number of tests performed went up 50%.

Ireland’s Health Protection Surveillance Centre has similar results, their report for Week 12 in 2022 (page 9 of the PDF) showing abnormally low numbers.

Even the UK isn’t that bad.  Boorish Johnson and his cast of rightwing brexit clowns have reduced COVID-19 testing and mask restrictions (with inconsistent rules that they break themselves).  But even so, the UK Health and Security Agency‘s shows only a minor rise in flu cases in the UK for Week 13 of 2022 (page 21 of the PDF), a rise that corresponds with reductions in mask mandates.

Flu News Europe (a publication of the European Union) reports below average number of flu cases for 2021-2022, from countries that have reported.  Here at home, we’ve had mandatory masks since last spring, so the 2020-2021 and 2021-2022 numbers are near identical.


One good note about COVID-19 and the effectiveness of vaccines: On April 1, 2022, the seven day moving average of deaths was 3,768.  That last time it was that low was March 31, 2020, when the moving average was 3,755.

Reddit Sucks: Usenet was better

I have long avoided reddit because of all the negative things I heard about it over the years: the racism, right wing hate groups, conspiracy theories, and all sorts of other garbage going unchecked.

I finally signed up for an account last week (Intransitive101) to see what it’s like because of youtube video compilations, reddit posts rendered with text to speech programs.  I wanted to see the groups where some of this stuff comes from because I share their POV on some of them (e.g. childfree groups, AITA stories, etc.).

After being on for a week, I have reached four conclusions:

One, it’s a corporate owned inferior clone of Usenet.

Two, Usenet didn’t have ads, and moderated groups kept out spammers.

Three, Usenet didn’t have censorship (*), and it had accountable speech.

Four, .sig files (ASCII art and text) beat customizable avatars.

(* If a company limits speech on behalf of or under direction of a government, it’s still censorship.)