Well, good for Clallam County (if you have no idea where that is, it’s on the Olympic peninsula in Washington state. Port Angeles? Nirvana? Does that help?). They voted for Biden, and now have a 40 year winning streak in ‘predicting’ the outcome of presidential elections.
Clallam County is on quite the winning streak — one that no other county in the United States can claim.
According to the latest count on Monday from the Clallam County Auditor’s office, 50.43% of voters cast their ballot for former Vice President Joe Biden and 46.72% voted for President Donald Trump.
That means the county has picked the correct presidential winner in every race since 1980.
Going into this election cycle, Clallam County was just one of 19 counties nationwide to hold that voting record.
With just over 50% of the county’s votes going to Biden, it is now the only county in the country to have kept up such a winning streak.
The county residents don’t know how they are so good at this. I have an explanation, though: it’s chance.
40 years is just ten presidential elections. Because of the way our system works, it’s a binary choice, basically — so like a coin flip. The likelihood of calling 10 coin flips in a row is 1 in 1024. There are more than 1000 counties in the country, so I’d guess that the chance of one of them having a ten election streak is pretty good. Also the fact that it’s not really a 50:50 chance — one outcome proves to be slightly more likely after the fact — and that Clallam has a nice demographic mix, with the slightly urban Port Angeles plus all the conservative loggers and fishers, and it’s not surprising at all.
Then, of course, look what xkcd posted:
None of that will prevent Washington state journalists from descending on Clallam county in 2024.