(For previous posts in this series, see here.)
When I first heard that John McCain had selected Sarah Palin, my initial hypothesis was that this was a desperation move, a sign that the campaign’s internal analyses were suggesting that the seemingly close national polls were misleading and they were going to lose unless they did something to break out of the rut. It seems like that initial impression was right.
The Palin choice is being portrayed by media analysts as a sign that the McCain campaign felt they needed to solidify the campaign’s right wing, evangelical base. Perhaps that is true. It is undoubtedly the case that that group seems very excited by the choice.