Decision Desk HQ is one of the many news sites that follow the elections with their own analysts and call state results. They are the first to state that they think Joe Biden is the president.
Decision Desk HQ projects that @JoeBiden has won Pennsylvania and its 20 electoral college votes for a total of 273.
Joe Biden has been elected the 46th President of the United States of America.
Race called at 11-06 08:50 AM EST
All Results: https://t.co/BgcQsEyt3j
— Decision Desk HQ (@DecisionDeskHQ) November 6, 2020
While I am repeating their claim, it should be treated with great caution because the AP, the one that I most rely on, has made no such call, and neither have Fox News, NBC, CBS, ABC, CNN, the New York Times, or the Washington Post.
We’ve reached the stage of “beyond reasonable doubt”: Biden is 12,000+ ahead in Pennsylvania and his lead is only going to grow, given the source of the votes still to be counted. None of the votes that arrived after the end of voting have been counted, so even if they (unfairly) get thrown out, it won’t change anything.
If Biden wins all the state where he is currently leading, and by most accounts likely to continue increasing those leads, then he should by my reckoning finish on 306 to 232.
That’s a better margin than Trumps 304/227 win over Clinton.
(It would be nice if his absolute count were less than hers, but I guess you can’t have everything.)
That may be true.
But it obscures a critical fact.
The margins in the states where Biden is currently leading are very small. 12,000 votes for Pennsylvania and so on.
If you add up the current tossup states of Arizona, Pennsylvania, Nevada, and Georgia, Biden’s margin of the votes is small, probably less than 100,000. This is in a nation of 328 million people.
The Trump/GOP monster isn’t dead, it just tripped and almost fell.
@3 In these dark days you take your cheer where you can find it.
While it starting to look like Biden will carry Arizona, Nevada, Pennsylvania and possibly Georgia, it has an incredibly small chance they will go the other way. But, yes, looking good for Biden.