Today, the British go to the polls. Despite some hopeful signs for Labour early on, the latest poll commissioned by The Independent newspaper predicts a landslide win for Theresa May and the Conservatives, winning possibly 362 seats, well above the 326 she needs for a majority, and 31 more that the party currently has. Other polls too predict a Conservative win.
This is despite the fact that the Labour manifesto seems to be more popular than the Conservative one and that more people agree with Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn saying that British involvement in foreign wars has put the country at greater risk of terrorism. He was only stating what is obvious. This is after all what the recently released report of British intelligence said, warning then prime minister Tony Blair that the UK risked increased terror attacks if the UK entered into the war with Iraq.
Of course the Conservatives have tried to score political points by using his statement to imply that he was making excuses for terrorism, using the common sleight-of-hand argument strategy of falsely equating trying to understand the cause of something with excusing it. But it appears that the British public have more sense and an overwhelming majority agree with Corbyn.
The exclusive ORB survey for The Independent found 75 per cent of people believe interventions in Iraq, Afghanistan and Libya have made atrocities on UK soil more likely.
The poll – conducted before Saturday night’s devastating attack – comes after Mr Corbyn was lambasted for suggesting foreign policy decisions were linked to terrorism in the UK and that the “war on terror” had failed.
This survey was done before the last attack in London and we do not know what the impact of those attacks will be. The best that I am hoping for is that the Conservatives do not get an absolute majority but at this point it looks like they will.