In 1921, the Canadians formulated a plan they called Defense Scheme #1 to invade the United States. This was not a serious plan to conquer North America, but was a contingency to be deployed in case they discovered that the US was plotting to annex Canada.
That condition is currently valid.
The idea was that Canadian militia would come charging down our highways to distract and disrupt our preparations, to give Great Britain time to come to their aid. The situation has changed; I don’t think King Charles III is going to be much use in this hypothetical war. Still, it’s a good plan to shake up our unjust invasion.
Lt. Col. “Buster” Brown even scouted out the eastern prong of their invasion plan.
Brown even undertook some very informal (though probably grossly illegal) reconnaissance missions in and around Vermont, near the border – scoping out bridges, locks and railroad lines, and chatting with locals in taverns. Lippert’s telling of these missions and their reports are the most amusing parts of a dark alternate historical scenario. Brown apparently found Vermonters to be “fat and lazy but pleasant and congenial,” and suspected there were “large and influential numbers of American citizens … [who are] not altogether pleased with democracy and have a sneaking regard for Great Britain, British Law, and Constitution, and general civilization.” He suspected alcohol-deprived Americans might welcome their new Canadian overlords, and the barrels of illegal Canadian whiskey they’d bring with them.
That condition is mostly valid. We are fat and lazy and clearly many of our citizens want a king, but not a British one — they want a king who is fat and lazy, like them. Also, Prohibition is over, so the barrels of Canadian whiskey aren’t as enticing as they once were.
The Pacific prong of the invasion is already doomed. There has been a massive build-up of military force in Washington state since 1921 — that’s the home of JBLM.
The Canadian flying columns would have been deployed in trucks, packed with guns, explosives and soldiers. Historically, flying columns have utilized horses, though in this interstitial period between equestrian warfare and modern mechanized tank warfare, trucks seem most likely.
That collection of casual Canadians in trucks full of rifles and whiskey would be met by the 7th Infantry Division, the 8th, 189th, and 191st Brigades, the 75th Ranger Regiment, and a swarm of cocky fighter pilots who are well-practiced in the art of strafing and bombing lines of trucks. Stay home. “Independently directed units of unarmored Ford trucks packed with rowdy prairie province roughnecks packing TNT and machine guns” are not going to hold up well.
The central prong, on the other hand, has potential. We’re still weakly defended here in the Midwest, and swinging through the Dakotas with their ripe ICBM silos dotting the landscape would give Canada the opportunity to become a nuclear power. Then the lovely progressive state of Minnesota might not offer much resistance — I know I’d be out there on the side of the highway happily waving my Canadian flag (note to self: buy a Canadian flag to prepare).
A century of military development on the US side means that Defense Scheme #1 is grossly obsolete, but the idea of Winnipeg thrusting deeply into Minnesota is somehow arousing. Especially if they’re planning to serve drinks first.
nomaduk says
I, for one, will be awaiting the forces invading Vermont from Newfoundland and Nova Scotia with biscuits, hot tea, and local craft brews.
And, honestly, I think HM would sign off on giving the Royal Navy something fun to do.
StevoR says
What is the Canadian drink?
I mean they have maple syrup plus Molson and Labbatts beers~wise memory (of Canadian GP sponsorship signs) serving but… 9
timothyeisele says
Considering how many maps of the US leave the Upper Peninsula of Michigan off (implying that they think it is part of Canada), it is possible that Canada could just take it and nobody would really notice.
Snarki, child of Loki says
Don’t forget the Tim-bits!
robro says
Don’t forget, the US did invade Canada: July 12, 1812, William Hull crossed the Detroit River to Windsor, Ontario. There were other attempts to invade Canada during that war all of which came to naught. Of course, the war was nominally with the British Empire but Canadians fought the US and eventually prevented them from annexing Canada. I have read that annexing Canada was a secondary aim of those promoting the war, much like annexing Mexico was an goal of Southern slave owners.
sincarne says
@#2 inexpensive Canadian whisky regularly wins scads of awards! And we have sortilege, which is maple and rye whisky. When added to a double shot of espresso it is the perfect antidote to a Canadian winter.
submoron says
SteveoR. As a wine lover in the UK I’ve long admired the Icewines of the Niagara Peninsula though my diabetes means that I can’t drink them now. Jim Murray in his Whiskey Bible has chosen Canadian Whiskeys at least twice as his World Whiskey of the year.
BTW All of the accounts of the war of 1812 that I can find are from an American point of a view but a Canadian acquaintance insisted that it started with an attempted ‘liberation’ of Ontario to end in the final expulsion of the British from North America. Any information on this would be welcome.
StevoR says
@ ^ sincarne :Cheers!
I wonder how it would work for the Aussie Summer.. & if I could get my hands on it here to see. Would like to try it.
Larry says
As a ‘murican, I’ll be damned if beavers will appear on any of my currency!
johnson catman says
I don’t know about that. Crown Royal is some pretty good Canadian Whiskey. I am not a big bourbon fan, but that Crown Royal is pretty tasty.
markp8703 says
Never has the phrase “in this hypothetical war” been more superfluous.
StevoR says
@ ^ Larry: Meanwhile :
Source : https://www.smithsonianmag.com/smart-news/bald-eagles-are-dying-from-bird-flu-180979940/
Symbolic and absolutely horrible for a species that got no say in what we made (make) of it.
KG says
If there were gods, could they have devised a clearer message to Americans?
KG says
Ha! so, you haven’t caught on to the clever planting of superagent Harry Windsor, supposedly as a result of a rift within the royal family! Years in preparation, requiring Harry to pretend for all that time to be as thick as two short planks.
Hemidactylus says
Canadian whisky is superior to our redneck crap.
I wonder what Ike (the South Park character not former president) would do in case of invasion.
KG says
submoron@7,
It only has a few pages directly on the “War of 1812”, but I recommend Alan Taylor’s American Republics: A Continental History of the United States, 1783-1850, which places that war in the context of a wider and successful American push to dominate the frontier, lasting between 1810 and 1819, and including multiple invasions of Florida and attacks on Indians:
Taylor says the American government had no clear idea what it would do with Canada if the invasion succeeded; and that the invasion was motivated by partisan considerations (President Madison was a Republican, who used their opposition to the war to discredit his Federalist opponents), and was also opposed by southern slaveowners, who feared a loss of influence if Canada was conquered and retained.
Great American Satan says
i wrote a similarly themed article in 2017.
AstroLad says
nomaduk @1:
“And, honestly, I think HM would sign off on giving the Royal Navy something fun to do.”
Like a preemptive SAS strike by submarine on Mar-a-Lego.
Great American Satan says
different conclusion tho, heh
Rob Grigjanis says
AstroLad @18: More likely the Navy’s special forces, the SBS.
Artor says
While there would likely be military resistance to a Canadian invasion of the Northwest, There’s also a non-zero chance that Washington and Oregon might agree to be annexed, just to get us away from Trumplethinskin’s America.
Jaws says
<tongue-in-cheek>
Another problem with the “invasion plan” for prong 1 is that any force moving south that strayed more than 3km east of I-5/405 would be running into superior firepower deployed by the locals. And east of the Cascades (or, slightly farther south, more than 3km west of I-5) — don’t even think about it; in the 2024 election, the state Republican Party wouldn’t even officially endorse the Republican candidate for Governor because he wasn’t MAGA enough.
Also, McChord (the USAF element of JBML) is a logistics/airlift center with very little in the way of “cocky fighter pilots who are well-practiced in the art of strafing”; the tactical aircraft are largely trained and equipped for air-to-air defense/interception. The closest possibility would be if one of the carriers was at home in Everett, but, well, Navy pilots… (A little interservice rivalry never hurt anyone more than they probably deserved.) Sadly, unjustified fear of the non-present aerial threat is precisely what would cause an invading column to disperse into those heavily-armed locals.
So I’m afraid Prong 1 is out. And would have been since the late 1920s…
cates says
.Well, ‘Three dead Trolls in a Baggie’ had some comments on the war.
https://genius.com/Three-dead-trolls-in-a-baggie-the-white-house-burned-the-war-of-1812-lyrics
Tethys says
I don’t think there are any ICBM’s anymore, just the missile silos. I’ve already got the long O of Minnesota so it won’t be hard to lengthen it a bit more to sound Canadian. Look oouut!
larpar says
Canada still has a King. Get rid of that and then we can talk.
Dennis K says
@24 Tethys — An oldie but a goodie:
American: “Have y’all seen Titanic?”
Canadian: “What’s that about?”
American: “Yes. A very big one.”
Rob Grigjanis says
larpar @25: The US still has a Trump. Get rid of that, guarantee there’ll be no more of them, and then…no, not even then.
jenorafeuer says
@submoron, @KG:
The usual joke (I think originally from Pierre Berton) goes as follows:
– If you ask Canadians about the War of 1812, they’ll say that the Americans tried to invade, but we fought them back.
– If you ask Americans about the War of 1812, they’ll say the British tried to take away our freedom, but we fought them back.
– If you ask English about the War of 1812, they’ll say “What war? (We were a little busy with this fellow named Napoleon at the time.)”
All of these are correct to an extent.
The War, as I understand it, started as a mess of unresolved grievances in the U.S.A. along with early Manifest Destiny, which finally boiled over because of the way the British kept harassing American shipping (partly due to the slave trade which was already illegal at that point, and partly because so many ‘AWOL’ British sailors were serving on American ships).
As KG notes above, the original invasion was not well-planned, kind of relying on being an unexpected sneak attack (and assumptions that much of the local population would be on their side), and the initial big push into Ontario was thwarted at least in part because one of the officers leading it was an idiot: he took over a local farmhouse, insisted they cook for and serve him and the rest of his officers, and discussed the plans out loud before the lady of the house (one Laura Secord) managed to sneak out the back and run cross-country to warn the local garrison.
At the time, also, the British Colonial forces were on much better terms with the local First Nations populations than the Americans were, meaning they had people with much better knowledge of the land in question and much better guerrilla fighting tactics. There weren’t a lot of ‘regular army’ there at first (again, Napoleon was a thing, most of the main British ground forces were over in Europe), mostly a number of militia, irregulars, and locals. The British Navy certainly showed up after the fighting started, and the assault on Washington D.C. with the associated burning of the White House was mostly hit-and-run tactics from the increasing number of British ground forces while getting good fire support from the Navy. (I find most Americans don’t know that the lyrics to the Star-Spangled Banner were based on this battle in the War of 1812, and nothing to do with the Revolution.)
The main part of the War of 1812 that most Americans talk about was the Battle of New Orleans, which was long ago immortalized in song (In 1814 we took a little trip, Along with Colonel Jackson down the mighty Mississip!) … it was one of the few battles in the War that the Americans definitively won, it was the last battle in the War, and it was actually fought after the treaty ending the War was signed but before news of that had made its way back across the Atlantic. The treaty mostly restored the status quo, so nobody really gained or lost anything aside from a number of nation-building stories on this side of the Atlantic, and the British mostly went back to what they considered more important and immediate things.
Pierce R. Butler says
jenorafeuer @ # 28: … the assault on Washington D.C. with the associated burning of the White House was mostly hit-and-run tactics …
Also the burning of the Capitol building and numerous other government buildings – a few of which were saved by local residents persuading the Brit officers that torching them would cause fire to spread to civilian homes. Can you imagine such forbearance in the 21st century?
… the lyrics to the Star-Spangled Banner were based on this battle in the War of 1812…
Not quite: FS Key wrote his poem about the attack on Ft McHenry in Baltimore Harbor around a month before Admiral Cockburn torched DC. A while later, somebody set the words to a popular drinking song at the time (“To Anacreon in Heaven”) – a rather difficult tune which probably required generous doses of alcohol to sound good when rendered by untrained voices.
… nobody really gained or lost anything …
As one historian of the time put it, neither the US nor England won the War of 1812, but the Indians definitely lost. When the British forces withdrew to Canada, Jamaica, etc, the Native tribes lost their primary European trading partners and source of weapons, followed shortly by nearly all their remaining lands east of the Mississippi.
imaginesabeach says
I took a quick poll of the locals yesterday, and based on my (oh so scientific study of 14 people), Minnesota would like to start with a 4 year lease, please. That way, if the rest of the country comes to their senses by 2029, we can easily get back to feeling quietly superior to the rest of the country.
springa73 says
Pierce R. Butler beat me to it – the real losers of the War of 1812 were the American Indians/Native Americans/First Nations. Unlike the British and Canadian allies, they were decisively defeated by US forces, and lost their last chance to at least slow the tide of Anglo-American settlement east of the Mississippi River. It was a really tragic war for them.
One quibble- I believe the successful defense of Fort McHenry and Baltimore was after the British capture of Washington DC, not before. The British force that had captured Washington went on to try and capture Baltimore, which was a more economically significant target, being one of the major US ports.
Pierce R. Butler says
springa73 @ # 31: … I believe the successful defense of Fort McHenry and Baltimore was after the British capture of Washington DC, not before.
Oops – damn straight. Washington went up in smoke August 24, 1814; Ft McHenry didn’t, Sept 13-14 of the same year. Thanks for the correction!
shermanj says
As their national anthem begins: “Oh, Canada!” They are not perfect (sadly, they are emulating the failed united states empire more and more). But, they are still much more civilized than the failed united states empire (even if they have problems with prairie fires and cold weather).
Big Boppa says
I hope they come as far south as Chicago. If for no other reason than that we’re an original six hockey city.
John Watts says
You are correct. The War of 1812 was a disaster for the Ohio Country Indians. They’d managed to keep most Whites east and south of the Ohio River for almost 50 years and then their allies, the Brits, threw in the towel and ceded their old Northwest territories to the Americans. Not that it was ever legally theirs to dispose of, but hundreds of thousands of poor, landless Whites demanded to take it.
Now, imagine what might happen if Trump invaded Greenland. Before long, it would be overrun with Americans looking to make their fortunes. The poor Inuits would soon become second class citizens in their own land. It might be like what happened in Texas when the Whites refused to recognize long-standing Mexican property deeds and simply carved up the land as they saw fit, relegating the Tejanos to eke out an existence on poorer lands or as workers on White farms and ranches.
Rob Grigjanis says
Big Boppa @34: I’d be fine with us (Canada) taking Chicago, Boston, Detroit and NYC, but we’d probably need to build walls around them. If Trump pays for them, great!
KG says
Pierce R. Butler@29, springa73@31,
Yes, Alan Taylor who I quoted @16 notes that the British effectively abandoned their Indian allies at the peace treaty – in true “perfidious Albion” tradition (my comment, not his). Taylor’s main thesis is that the “manifest destiny” of the USA to dominate the continent was not in any way preordained. In particular, disintegration into smaller countries [I’d normally say “states” but that risks confusion in this context] allied with different European powers and their Indian allies was a real possibility at least until the Louisiana purchase – and of course after that, the issue of slavery and its spread westward became a serious danger to unity. Matthew Karp, in This Vast Southern Empire: Slaveholders at the Helm of American Foreign Policy documents how southerners dominated American foreign policy for decades, and believed that history was on their side, and that slavery, butressed by the “scientific racism” that was increasingly influential in Europe as well as the Americas, would spread and defeat the “illusions” of the anti-slavery movement.
Steve Morrison says
the original invasion was not well-planned, kind of relying on being an unexpected sneak attack (and assumptions that much of the local population would be on their side)
So, something like the later Bay of Pigs fiasco?
Rob Grigjanis says
KG @37: Which empires haven’t been perfidious?
springa73 says
I suspect that most Canadians wouldn’t really want the more liberal parts of the US to join them, unless we are talking only 1 or 2 states. If, say, New York, the New England states, and the liberal parts of the west coast states joined Canada, the “new” Canadians would outnumber the “old” Canadians and completely change the character of the country in ways that the original Canadians probably wouldn’t like, regardless of politics.
No, the current arrangement is really the one most satisfactory to all parties.
Pierce R. Butler says
KG @ # 37: … southerners dominated American foreign policy for decades…
They (southern elites) dominated US federal policy, foreign and domestic, for decades. Much of what passed for an anti-slavery movement was not abolitionism per se, but focused on the “Slave Power” which had the advantage in Congress and the Electoral College because the Constitution’s 3/5ths Clause gave slaveholding states an advantage well beyond the weight of their voting population (e.g., 30 more seats in the House of Reps by 1860).
Which stat I just gleaned from a very worthwhile new book, Jon Grinspan’s Wide Awake: The Forgotten Force that Elected Lincoln and Spurred the Civil War, which quite readably documents the rise of an amazing grassroots movement that galvanized the Republicans and scared the Southerners in 1860, escalating both sides of the “polarization” (as we call it today) of that year only to be forgotten in the ensuing donnybrook. Though predominantly men in their 20s, the “Wide Awakes” owed much of their vision to European exiles from the multiple failed revolutions of 1848.
Ironically, the “2%” (of USAnians who owned other USAnians) dominated much of the discourse back then by accusing their critics of disrupting and endangering “the union” of North and South. Even the younger A. Lincoln found that inhibiting.
chrislawson says
Larry@9–
On the other hand, there are a lot more loons on US currency.