Scientific American magazine reports that the Global Carbon Project has released a study that has bad news and just a bit of good news.
Global carbon emissions are expected to hit an all-time high in 2019, scientists say, smashing a previous record set in 2018.
There is some good news. The authors expect a substantial slowdown in worldwide fossil fuels emissions for this year. Emissions from coal, oil and natural gas expanded by about 2% globally in 2018. For all of 2019, they predict an expansion of just 0.6%.
Part of the slowdown can be attributed to declines in coal use in the U.S. and much of Europe, and lower-than-expected growth from other key coal consumers this year.
“We’re estimating a decline of 10% this year” for the U.S., said the Global Carbon Project’s executive director, Pep Canadell, “well above previous decline levels.”
But slowing the growth rate is not enough. We need to lower the rate altogether.