2015 World Cup update #7

In yesterday’s game, West Indies convincingly beat Pakistan, defying my prediction that Pakistan would win. Batting first, WI got off to a lackluster start but solid late order batting, combined with poor Pakistan fielding that saw several dropped catches, enabled them to end up with a good score of 310 for 6.

It looks like in this tournament and on these pitches 300 is becoming the target for the team that bats first, since it seems like a winning score. Only once so far has the team that batted first and scored 300 or more not ended up winning the game and so WI must have felt pretty good, though the one exception to this rule was when they lost to Ireland, who scored 307 runs while batting second.

But Pakistan got off to the worst ever start in one-day international games, losing four wickets for just one run. And when their captain Misbah-ul-Haq got out with the team score just 25, the game was pretty much over. Umar Akmal and Sohaib Maqsood delayed the end long enough to prevent Pakistan taking England’s title for the most humiliating defeat of the tournament but their final score of a mere 160 off 39 overs must be a morale damper for the team.

Like England, Pakistan have lost their two opening games but they too can still qualify for the quarterfinals if they win at least three of their next four games against South Africa, Zimbabwe, Ireland, and the UAE. But this is a tougher challenge than that facing England because only against the UAE are they clearly favored to win.

The other game yesterday between Australia and Bangladesh was abandoned due to heavy rain caused by Cyclone Marcia. Not only did this cyclone cause a shark to wash up on the beach, it also produced a huge foamy mass, something I have never seen before.

shark cyclone marcia

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According to the rules of the tournament, when there is a tie, no decision, or the game is abandoned, each team gets one point. So Bangladesh can count itself lucky because few gave it much chance of defeating Australia.

Today sees two games, the early one between Sri Lanka and Afghanistan and the later marquee game is between South Africa and India. My predictions are that both Sri Lanka and South Africa will win their games easily but for different reasons. In the first, Sri Lanka is not that strong but Afghanistan is much weaker and in the second, India is good but South Africa is much stronger.


  1. Brian E says

    Hi Mano,

    I think the Aussies were lucky to get a point from the Bangladesh match. They’ll need all the luck they can get against the Kiwis, they’re on fire.

    I don’t understand your comment about winning for different reasons. It appears the same reason, South Africa are much better than India and Sri Lanka are much better than Afghanistan.

    I saw this the other day, it’s cute. A world-cup related thing…

  2. Mano Singham says

    Brian E.,

    It is the same reason in the sense in that the better team wins so I was not really going out on a limb, but what I meant was that if one takes a three point scale of very good, good, and ok teams, SA is very good and India is good, while SL is good and Afghanistan is ok.

    I may well have underestimated Afghanistan, though. As write this, they doing well at 113/2 off 24 overs with a good unbroken partnership of 73 between Stanikzai and Shenwari that is picking up the scoring rate quite nicely. We may be heading for an upset, which would be great for Afghanistan and give the public in that war-torn nation there something to cheer about.

    Did you really think Australia were in danger of losing to Bangladesh? I can see them losing to New Zealand and South Africa but that is about it.

  3. jockmcdock says

    Brian E

    are you serious about Australia being lucky about getting a point from the Bangladesh (non-)match? Australia will see that as a point lost.

    In other news, South Africa got thumped by India.

  4. Brian E says

    No, I wasn’t serious. It was very tongue-in-cheek. Normally, I’ll hint at it with a wink emoticon like ;), but I thought that was so outlandish, it didn’t need to be telegraphed as humour. Still, it’s the internet, where parody and irony went to die, in that, no matter how outlandish an idea is, someone will honestly hold it, so my bad.

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