Winter is overcompensating


It’s been a dud of a winter, but now the weather service is predicting 25-35 cm (10-14 in) of heavy, wet snow tomorrow, turning to rain in the afternoon, and then freezing and turning back to snow on Monday. It’s maximal yuck.

I’ve already sent an announcement out to all my students that class will be held over Zoom on Monday. The weather forecasts are usually a bit overblown, but let’s play it safe.

Comments

  1. StevoR says

    I was expecting a horror hot and dry El Nino Summer this year. It didn’t happen – although we are in an El Nino with us here in South Oz – getting a relatively mild and cool Summer instead. Much to my great releif. (Western Australia, OTOH, has suffered severe heat and bushfires..) Apparently there are reasons for this as discussed here :

    https://www.abc.net.au/news/2024-01-31/why-has-australia-defied-the-el-nino-predictions/103411722

    Basically, hotter sea surface temperatures which, if you follow the graphs globally, have been very dramatically hotter than usual. Disturbingly so and at record levels far above anything previously seen with graphs pratuially screaming. See :

    https://climatereanalyzer.org/clim/sst_daily/

    Except, we’ve just had a late heatwave, a week or so ago, with some extremely hot unpleasant nights and although its cooled down now we’ve also had a spell of 45* days in a row without rain including all of February and what little rain we’ve had since has not amounted to very much at all. Its very dry in the bush at the moment and that’s a big worry and I’ve had to water to keep the garden alive. Apparently also wthe Bureau of meteorology is telling us we’ve got another La Nina very likely coming despite having had three in a row recent;y in past four years which is very unusual too.

    .* Huh. Actually make that 46 days without rain in a arow : https://www.abc.net.au/news/2024-03-14/rain-falls-in-adelaide-after-heatwave/103586252

  2. HidariMak says

    I hope PZ has a snow clearing service for his driveway, or at the very least a good snow blower. And cleats.

  3. mordred says

    Didn’t I write that I don’t expect snow around here? Just looked out the window and saw it falling on the daffodils…

    Weather forcast predicts 15 °C on tuesday, typical German spring weather tends to be chaotic.

  4. Walter Solomon says

    It goes from a balmy 80° to the low 50s within a few days here. The weather is crazy and predictably unpredictable.

  5. birgerjohansson says

    After the wet phase is over you will have a lot of ice everywhere. Expect car accidents and pedestrians having bad falls resulting in fractured limbs.
    You have my sympathy.

  6. birgerjohansson says

    Mordred @ 3
    In Sweden, “April weather” is synonymous with unpredictible chaos. Yes, I know it is not quite April but the weather seems to think it is close enough.

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