[UPDATE: The AP has called Arizona for Biden, giving him 238 EVs. They also explain state by state the basis of each call.]
I followed the election results until about 11:00pm Pacific Time (Wednesday 2:00 am ET) and went to sleep feeling really depressed because at that time it looked like Trump would win. I woke up this morning fully expecting that he would have been declared the winner but was surprised and relieved to see that the contest is still open. As of this writing, Biden has 227 electoral votes while Trump has 213, leaving 98 EVs still to be allocated, with 270 needed to win.
There are still eight states still to be called by the AP , the only organization that I rely upon. These are Georgia (16), North Carolina (15), Alaska (3), Pennsylvania (20), Michigan (16), Wisconsin (10), Arizona (11), and Nevada (6). These make up 97 EVs. There is also a single congressional seat to be decided in Maine that will provide the last EV, which along with Nebraska, are the only two states which are not winner take all.
At this point, we should all take a deep breath and simply wait for the counting to continue.
When I wrote in my post A reality check before the election on Saturday that in my opinion the race was too close to call and I was not comfortable making a prediction, I was hoping that this prediction would be wrong, as my election predictions usually are, and that Biden would win easily. But as they say, even a stopped clock is right twice a day, and this was one of those rare occasions.
As usually happens, Texas and Florida went Republican. These two states are the Lucy of elections, always teasing that they might go Democratic and then reverting to form. So I was not expecting this time to be any different and so was not really surprised at those outcomes.
It is disappointing that the Democrats may not get a majority in the Senate. They have gained just one seat so far and need another three. I would love to see Republican senate leader Mitch McConnell’s smug face get punched (metaphorically, of course). The Democrats also seem to be on track to lose some seats in the House of Representative, though they will very likely still be in the majority.