ICE is digging in like a tick, I see » « There’s a reason Lindsay Ellis is a master of the video essay

Maybe I should lighten up on the AI contempt

It turns out humans don’t need AI to say incredibly stupid, ignorant things.

Dufus asks: “How’s that X chromosome feel?”
Confused response: “???? all humans have at least one?”
Dufus: “Women don’t. Moron”

ICE is digging in like a tick, I see » « There’s a reason Lindsay Ellis is a master of the video essay

Comments

  1. imback says

    If the bearded guy wasn’t acting like such an asshole, I might give him the benefit of the doubt that he was just mixing up X with Y.

  2. robro says

    On the other hand, perhaps we should keep thinking even more about the role of AI. This just in from SciAm: Truth, Romance and the Divine. I haven’t read too far into it, but the lede makes it worth a deeper look:

    A new wave of delusional thinking fueled by artificial intelligence has researchers investigating the dark side of AI companionship

  4. Hemidactylus says

    There are weather models now based on AI that I’ve been noticing, but stick to the standard GFS and Euro myself. This year I’m really focusing on the ensembles versus singular tracks. Spread means uncertainty, especially days out. Tighter clustering yields more confidence, at least in my layperson view.

    Anyway Michael Lowry talks about Google’s DeepMind project here:
    https://michaelrlowry.substack.com/p/new-ai-model-shines-during-hurricane

    DeepMind did well on Hurricane Erin. A fluke?

    Lowry offers this caveat:

    This hurricane season is the first with mature AI models and AI ensembles. Because we’re still in the early stages of evaluation, we need to be cautious leaning in too much just yet on this new method of hurricane prediction, which, like conventional forecast models, has its blindspots.

    And his summary view:

    While we’ve been looking at AI models for hurricane forecasting for a few years, we’re only now just beginning to evaluate them in a systematic, scientific way. Here’s what we know so far:

    -AI models are competitive with physics-based models for hurricane track, especially in the 3 to 7 day forecast window

    -So far, AI models have shown no consistent skill in forecasting hurricane intensity (which makes DeepMind’s forecast for Erin all the more impressive)

    -We’ve not yet evaluated the skill of AI in forecasting tropical cyclogenesis (the formation of tropical depressions, tropical storms, and hurricanes)

    -AI models, like physics-based models, suffer blindspots, largely through optimization strategies and an incomplete training dataset

    DeepMind has two versions: GenCast and FNV3. These can be found on the Weathernerds website.

    When I did a Google Search seeking a distinction between GenCast and FNV3 the Google AI kept comparing GenCast with a Ford automotive software product. I guess Google search AI is uninformed about Google weather modeling AI. It could be in how I phrased my search. Not a good look for Gemini.

    The Euro model is jumping in on AI too:
    https://www.ecmwf.int/en/newsletter/178/news/aifs-new-ecmwf-forecasting-system

    EC-AIFS is available on Tropical Tidbits.

    I find the AI modeling interesting but will rely on GFS and ECMWF instead. GFS has been prone to comical hallucination at times without the help of AI. There is also the CMC, which I’ve heard disparaged as Can’t Model Crap, and other traditional models like the UKMET.

  8. Pierce R. Butler says

    If not for the picture on which he (I betcha “he”) uses for a gravatar, I’d expect “Dufus” to fill the current vacancy of the University of Florida’s presidency.

  10. John Morales says

    Walter, you’d have to find the actual convo, since that’s a reply.
    PZ hasn’t linked to the source.
    There’s very obviously some context.

    One can make weak inferences, of course.
    The idea is that X or Y makes someone different, and X are not Y.

    (The inversion is the amusing bit, really)

  11. woozy says

    The guy has obviously heard that women and men have different chromosomes. And he’s heard they are x and y. And so he assumes men have one and women have the other. And as x is a more masculine sounding letter it’s obvious men have the x chromosome and women have the y.

    Yeah, it is knuckle-dragging stupid but hardly surprising. If you just repeat talking points without bothering to think about what you are saying, I’d imagine many think this.

  13. John Morales says

    ChatGPT is killing people and just got big deal sued.

    ChatGPT is not a volitional entity. It is not a self-aware entity.

    It is a category error to impute motive to the output of such a system.

    (sigh)

    So, no. ChatGPT is not actually doing stuff. It is the output of a system.

  16. Matthew Currie says

    I presume that since ChatGPT is a product, those making it can be sued if it kills people, but John Morales should develop his philosophical loophole, as I’m sure that some companies like Ford would pay well for it.

  17. John Morales says

    No need to presume, Matthew; this is the claim at hand:
    “Don’t ease up on AI, it’s killing people now.

    *ChatGPT is killing people and just got big deal sued.”

    See, that places the blame squarely on ChatGPT/AI — it is the thing doing the killing, and it just got a big deal sued. It’s pretty obvious I referred to what I quoted.

    (It’s not a philosophical loophole, as you fondly imagine, so it cannot be developed)

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