Given the current polling, it looks like the Conservative party might win an outright majority in the December 12 general election. If so, Brexit will almost surely pass in some form or other, leading to turmoil in the near future.
But I want to look at another major issue and that is the future of the National Health Service. It is widely assumed that Boris Johnson will put NHS privatization on the table as part of a bilateral trade deal with the US. Donald Trump has said in the past that he wants this.
But there are some questions concerning this that those who live in the UK and are more familiar with its political minutiae are better able to answer. I assume that any such a trade deal would have to be passed by parliament. Are the Conservative MPs Johnson cultists (like Republicans in the US Congress with Trump) who will go along with any plan he puts forward or will there be enough defections on NHS privatization that his plans will be thwarted? Will he be able to bundle NHS privatization with a whole host of other measures in a trade deal that will make opponents of NHS privatization go along?
Johnson has of course denied any intention of privatizing the NHS because despite the grumbling about the quality of service (largely caused by the government not fully funding it), the British people love their NHS and the idea of replacing it with something like the nightmare that is the US health system fills many with horror.
Johnson is a known liar. Trump has later denied wanting to privatize the NHS and this raises an interesting issue since he is also a known liar. If a known liar supports a statement made by another known liar, does that increase or decrease the likelihood of the original statement being true? A long time ago, I read a study (I wish I had kept it because I cannot find it now) that said, if I recall correctly, that it decreases the chances of the statement being true. So that would make Trump’s support of Johnson more likely that Johnson’s denial is false.