As Donald Trump drops in the polls, there have been some truly astonishing development within the GOP, with the party establishment worrying that not only will he lose and lose big, but that he will drag down the party in down ballot races and thus they will lose control of the US Senate and even, in the most extreme scenario, the House of Representatives.
As a result there have been speculations ranging from staging an intervention to get him to tone down his intemperate remarks to planning for the possibility that he might simply quit the race to suggesting that he may be mentally unstable. I have never witnessed a presidential race before where these kinds of speculations were being openly made, adding to the sense that we are witnessing a unique race. But it is all absurd. Trump is not going to quit nor will there be any interventions. The only thing they tell us is the level of concern in the party that this election is going to be a train wreck of massive proportions.
Trump is laying the groundwork for explaining away his possible loss by saying that the voting might be rigged while at the same time suggesting that the polls themselves are rigged against him. Yes, folks, we are seeing the return of ‘unskewing the polls’, the fun game practiced by Mitt Romney supporters in 2012 and whose only result was to delude themselves and Romney that they were actually winning when they were not, so that they were totally gobsmacked when the election results hewed closely to the poll predictions.
Meanwhile, the American Psychiatric Association says that people should not ascribe Trump’s behavior to mental illness or otherwise try to psychoanalyze his mental state from afar.
Actually, I do not think the election is going to result in a blowout win for either side. Trump has already started to focus his attacks on Hillary Clinton and if that shift shows positive results in the polls, he may well stick to that message because for him, winning is the only thing that matters.