As if the presidential nominating contest was not complicated enough, for some reason Democrats and Republicans diverge for the next presidential contest although they are both held on the same day. Saturday, February 20 sees a Republican primary in South Carolina while the Democrats hold caucuses in Nevada. Republicans hold their Nevada caucuses on the 23rd while the Democrats go to South Carolina for their primary on the 27th. Meanwhile the state of Washington does its own weird thing. Their Republicans have caucuses on the 20th and a primary on May 24, while the Democrats have caucuses on March 26.
What is clear on the Democratic side is that Hillary Clinton cannot afford another loss in Nevada. The squeaker in Iowa can be claimed as a win, however narrow the margin, and the massive loss in New Hampshire can be excused by the fact that Bernie Sanders is from a neighboring state, even if that argument is weak. But a loss in Nevada would not be easily explained away and would seriously harm her case for being the inevitable nominee.
There is a new poll in Nevada that shows that Clinton and Sanders are tied in Nevada but the reliability of that poll is suspect because the firm that did it has a strong Republican bias and they may have a vested interest in trying to harm Clinton’s campaign. The most recent poll before this one was taken back in December showing Clinton with a 23-point lead.
So expect Clinton to wage a ferocious campaign to win Nevada.