[…] The Republican nominee for governor of North Carolina, […] is also a paranoid lunatic who hates trans people, thinks the Holocaust is overblown, and demands that all you jezebels keep your skirts down instead of fornicating like rabbits and then constantly running from your latest abortion right to yoga class.
Martin Luther King Jr. he is not, no matter what American historian Donald Trump says.
Robinson is also pro-murder, as he noted in a sermon to an evangelical church in North Carolina last Sunday. Though it is not exactly clear to us who the “folks” are he wants to kill. Communists? Liberals? (Same difference.)
“Some folks need killing!” Robinson, the state’s lieutenant governor, shouted during a roughly half-hour-long speech in Lake Church in the tiny town of White Lake, in the southeast corner of the state. “It’s time for somebody to say it. It’s not a matter of vengeance. It’s not a matter of being mean or spiteful. It’s a matter of necessity!”
[…] Robinson refers to “a class of people in this nation” who want “control.” Control of what? It’s unclear. He can’t be referring to people who want to control women’s bodies, Robinson and his political ilk see nothing wrong with that.
Aside from the above passage, there is plenty more apocalyptic horse-hockey that appeals to far, far, far more of our fellow Americans than we are comfortable with. It is your bog-standard evangelical call to arms, in which mysterious forces are aligning against the people in this church, but through the power of Jesus Christ and the freedom America declared in 1776, Robinson and his followers will win the war against evil. Or something:
“We now find ourselves struggling with people who have evil intent. There was a time when we used to meet evil on the battlefield, and guess what we did? We killed it! We didn’t quibble about it, we didn’t argue about it, we didn’t fight about it! We killed it!”
[…] “Some liberal somewhere is gonna say that sounds awful. Too bad! Some folks need killing!”
[…] “We have wicked people doing wicked things. Torturing, murdering, and raping. Time to call out those guys in green and go have them handle it. Those boys in blue, and have them go handle it.
This is the ZOMG IMMIGRANTS AND ANTIFA BATTALIONS ARE DESTROYING AMERICA dog whistle we had been waiting for. Sure, turn the military loose on the undocumented (many of whom are probably the ones out picking North Carolina tobacco to drive the state’s economy while Lake Church’s congregation is sitting in air-conditioned comfort listening to the crazy man rant).
Then Robinson says some shit about getting too far away from the concepts of freedom from 1776 and letting communism and socialism take over and the mysterious “they” who “cancel you and dox you” and drive you out of business. […]
According to 538, Robinson was running about even with his Democratic opponent in the race for the governor’s mansion in early June. So silver lining: Wonkette might have lots more content about this loon over the next four years, assuming Generalissimo Trump doesn’t shut us down for being mean to him.
Alas, the “Guardian council ” of regressive imams hold the real power.
But it is a start. The repressive religious establishment has lost most of its legitimacy now, and you cannot rule with bayonets forever unless you go full North Korea.
For the convenience of readers, here are a few links back to the previous chapter, which only accumulated 18 comments before it hit the automatic FreeThoughtBlogs time limit for a thread.
Mississippi coughed up more than $400,000 this year to attorneys who sued the state over an unconstitutional sodomy law that criminalizes oral and anal sex, and if a similar suit is filed in the future, it could pay even more money.
The Legislature appropriated and paid the fees to civil rights attorneys from multiple legal organizations after Mississippi Attorneys General Jim Hood and Lynn Fitch spent years defending the antiquated sodomy law—Mississippi Code Section 97-29-59.
[…] lawmakers this session let die in committee a bill to repeal the state’s “unnatural intercourse” law, which was primarily used decades ago to target LGBTQ+ Mississippians and sex workers.
Mississippi officials no longer prosecute people for having consensual sex, but some people convicted in the past of sodomy are still required to register as sex offenders.
This means the people who, due to a quirk of the lawsuit, remain on the Mississippi Sex Offender Registry for sodomy convictions could sue the state at any time, Strugar [Matthew Strugar, an attorney] said, even though state officials are no longer requiring those convicted of sodomy to register as sex offenders. […] Some of these people were convicted decades ago.
The U.S. Supreme Court declared unconstitutional laws that criminalize private, consensual sexual conduct in the 2003 case Lawrence v. Texas. Even the conservative U.S. Fifth Circuit Court of Appeals acknowledged Mississippi’s law was unconstitutional when it reviewed and affirmed the attorneys’ fees […]
Initially considered a common-law crime, sodomy has been illegal in Mississippi since the state’s founding and was codified into law in 1839. In the original 1890 state Constitution, sodomy was included in a list of crimes, along with rape, adultery and fornication, for which courts were allowed to exclude the public from attending or witnessing the prosecution.
Strugar has sued a number of states over sodomy laws. He noted there are more problems with Mississippi’s law than the possibility of more litigation. The law states: “Every person who shall be convicted of the detestable and abominable crime against nature committed with mankind or with a beast, shall be punished by imprisonment in the penitentiary for a term of not more than ten years.”
The law is vague, Strugar said, lacking a description of what is a “crime against nature committed with mankind.” It also doesn’t distinguish between consensual and nonconsensual oral and anal sex. “There’s a lot you can do with a law that doesn’t say what it’s prohibiting,” Strugar said. “You can say it prohibits whatever you want it to prohibit.”
The same law is also Mississippi’s only prohibition against bestiality. When people in Mississippi are prosecuted for bestiality, they are technically charged under the sodomy law, Strugar said.
[…] The men who remain on the registry are mainly poor, Strugar said, and likely not in a position to navigate the process of getting in touch with a civil rights attorney.
Still, Strugar said he and the other attorneys fought to invalidate Mississippi’s law. They had hoped U.S. District Judge Carlton Reeves, who initially ordered the state to fork over money in attorneys’ fees, would take that step. Instead, he ordered the state to purge the plaintiffs from the sex offender registry.
“He is one of the most courageous judges in the country, but he still took a narrow ruling,” Strugar said.
The easiest way the state could protect itself from a similar suit in the future and avoid paying more fees is to repeal its sodomy law, which state Rep. Jeramey Anderson, a Democrat from Moss Point, has tried to do for several years.
Anderson has introduced a bill numerous times that would have simply deleted the “mankind” portion of the statute but left the bestiality part of the law intact, which would have essentially repealed the sodomy law.
[…] Senate Appropriations Chairman Briggs Hopson, a Republican from Vicksburg who authored the bill doling out the money in attorneys’ fees, did not respond to a request for comment about the appropriation bill or whether he thinks the expenditure was a wise use of taxpayer dollars. Lawmakers routinely appropriate tax dollars each year to go toward various legal cases.
President Joe Biden registered his best showing yet in a Bloomberg News/Morning Consult tracking poll of battleground states, even as voters offered withering appraisals of his debate performance amid panic within his party.
Republican Donald Trump led Democrat Biden by only 2 percentage points, 47% to 45%, in the critical states needed to win the November election. That’s the smallest gap since the poll began last October. Biden now leads Trump in Michigan and Wisconsin. He’s within the poll’s statistical margin of error in Arizona, Georgia, Nevada and North Carolina, and is farthest behind in the critical state of Pennsylvania.
Commentary:
[…] conservatives work the media refs so hard, to the point that traditional journalists internalize the claim that they are “liberal media.” As a result, those journalists prove their “fair and balanced” bona fides by skewing their coverage against Democrats. […]
Aside from a few anomalies (like Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene, hated in her caucus), Republicans don’t have this problem. They have a convicted felon leading their ticket, yet they know to focus their attacks against Democrats. […]
[…] Dwelling on Trump & his fascist movement — however justified by the objective facts — just doesn’t bring that juice, doesn’t get the clicks & the high-fives, doesn’t feel brave & iconoclastic. It’s just … no fun.
So, say Biden stepped aside in favor of Harris tomorrow. How long until the vapid gossips we call political reporters find something wrong with her, some alleged flaw they just have to write 192 stories about? How long until the hopped-up mediocrities we call pundits find some “counter-intuitive” reason that the new Dem ticket is flawed after all? How long until the irredentist left gets over the temporary thrill of its new Harris memes & remembers that she’s a cop & turns on her? How long before the ambient racism & misogyny in the US lead center-leftists to conclude that, sure, they’d support a black woman, just not *this* black woman? In other words: how long before everyone reverts to their comfortable, familiar identity & narratives? About 30 f’ing seconds, is my guess.
Thirty seconds sounds about right.
We’re not in a great position right now, but the best time for Biden to deal with this is now, in the middle of the summer holiday season when the last thing people want to think about is politics.
Biden can step aside, but here’s what will happen: instead of a few weeks of self-induced Democrats-in-disarray chaos, we will have two months of drama as Democrats fight over who the nominee will be. Trump will be forgotten in that noise. That gets us to the August convention, at the end of the month.
Then it will be September, and the new nominee will face a few more months of “vetting” by the national media, until the end of October. Trump will be forgotten in that noise.
And then, people will vote, having mostly forgotten about Trump. All thanks to Democrats’ inability to keep their eye on the ball.
As you may’ve heard, everybody’s favorite gang of grifters, theocrats, and sex pests took that 6-3 SCOTUS majority Yertle n’ Donnie [decision] on their darkest joyride to date. Turns out, when you’re a star, or at the very least a President belonging to the same party as the financiers of Clarence Thomas’ lavish lifestyle, they let you grab all sortsa shit.
So I guess we’re officially elevating Off-Brand Orbán beyond the reach of the law now? Okay. That is certainly…a choice.
I fear in a restored Turd Reich, nary a West Wing mattress tag would be safe. To say nothing of Liz Cheney. […]
Honest to God, how many quarters do you have to shove up your fucking nose to hand Donald J. Trump (the “J” stands for adJudicated rapist) a constitutional blank check? He commits so many crimes already, you guys.
…well, perhaps that will teach you peasants not to criticize Mrs. Alito’s traitor flags.
The visibly deteriorating doofus who absolutely must be granted these limitless criming powers thinks electric airplanes plummet to presumably fiery dooms whenever the sun’s not out, by the way, kinda like how he thinks magnets break when they get wet, so we’re obviously gonna need some clarifications from Chief Justice Roberts n’ friends…like, can he legally mandate bleach chugging? Excuse me, “disinfectant injection?”
…and somehow it’s the other guy’s cognitive ability we’re talking about, because of how fair life is. While the aforementioned rapist giddily tests the limits of his newfound impunity. Again, on account of all the fairness.
I suppose we should be grateful the subpar supremacists who would rule over us’re still willing to allow a more-or-less “bloodless” revolution, (no need to get your knickers in a twist over every little hammer attack, libtards) but all things considered, I think I’d rather hang the electoral millstone of the mad, fashy planz they were dumb enough to commit to writing around their dorky, Nazi necks.
Honestly hard to blame ‘em for moving their platform-drafting process behind closed doors. Who wants the Lügenpresse around while you copy/paste from Project 2025?
Even the Dotard himself is now frantically backpedaling away from that freaky little doc, mostly for spoiling the surprises he had planned for his day one dictatorship. […] Gettin’ pretty hard to ignore, frankly.
The Republican candidate for Governor of North Carolina, “Pastor” Mark Robinson, struck death cult branding gold this week, and I’ve no doubt we’ll be seeing his catchy new campaign slogan, Some Folks Need Killing, upon many a made-in-China red ballcap, in many a riot to come.
“Some folks need killing.” [See comment #1]
[…] As a policy proposal, it seems unwise, but I’m sure the Roberts Court would uphold it.
[…] Seems Indiana Congressdolt Victoria Spartz earned herself a criminal charge, for she could not bear to be parted from her beloved firearm for e’en the duration of a single flight. Look, in Spartz’s line of work, you just never know when you’ll be called upon to assist the lynching of a disloyal Vice President, or fend off a carpetbagging colleague’s wandering hands during an otherwise pleasant evening of musical theatre.
Forgive me for staring, UK, I just couldn’t help but ogle your peaceful transfer of power this week. Anyway, once the celebrating dies down, I think you might find some of us’re willing to revisit the whole “price of tea” issue, among others.
It’ll be a shame if David Cronenberg doesn’t direct the inevitable RFK Jr. biopic. It writes itself: maniac runs world-wrecking spoiler campaign, whilst unsuccessfully battling cranial parasite […]
Amidst all the GRIM, I do hope you took a moment to appreciate the latest moist, mushy bounce of Rudy Giuliani’s spectacularly satisfying fall from grace, it was a good’n. Traitors don’t get disbarred every day, y’know. I’d drink to that even if I wasn’t looking for excuses.
…but since I am, may as well toast the pitch black timing of that nihilistically narcissistic Voting Is Like, Dumb n’ Stuff editorial the New York Times picked this of all weeks to publish. Ah, however did we find ourselves so far up shit creek, with the steady hand of our media gatekeepers guiding the discourse? [See PZ’s post Matthew “Choad” Walther gets a free pass at the NY Times ]
U.S. District Judge Aileen Cannon on Saturday granted former President Donald Trump’s request for further briefing on the issue of presidential immunity in the Mar-a-Lago classified documents case and delayed certain deadlines. […]
she paused two upcoming deadlines for Trump and his co-defendants.
Smith’s brief is now due on July 18, and a reply from Trump’s team is due on July 21.
[…] There is no trial date in sight in the classified documents case.
[…] Through an order earlier this week, Judge Juan Merchan, who presided over Trump’s criminal hush money trial earlier this year, stayed Trump’s July 11 sentencing hearing to allow for briefing on Trump’s motion to set aside the verdict in that trial.
Trump’s brief, which is expected to focus on evidence involving his official acts admitted during the trial to prove his knowledge and intent, is due on July 11. Manhattan District Attorney Alvin Bragg’s response is due on July 24.
birger @9: That’s referring to what’s depicted in the movie. Of course it was a disaster. It was directed by Peter Jackson. The ride as depicted in the book is classical cavalry tactics (from what I’ve read of cavalry tactics). The approach and charge as shown in the movie actually made me laugh.
A high school biology book also had to add citations to back up statements that “human activity” caused climate change and cut a “political statement” urging governments to take action to stop climate change, said Ken Miller, the co-author of that textbook and a professor emeritus of biology at Brown University. …
Miller, also president of the board of the National Center for Science Education, said the phrase “climate change” was not removed from his high school biology text, which he assumed happened because climate change is mentioned in Florida’s academic standards for biology courses.
But according to his publisher, a 90-page section on climate change was removed from its high school chemistry textbook and the phrase was removed from middle school science books, he said. …
The actions seemed to echo Florida’s previous rejection of math and social studies textbooks that state officials claimed include passages of “indoctrination” and “ideological rhetoric.” …
In May, Gov. Ron DeSantis signed a bill that stripped the phrase “climate change” from much of Florida law…
DeSantis has said the new legislation, passed by Florida’s Republican-dominated Legislature, was “restoring sanity in our approach to energy and rejecting the agenda of the radical green zealots.” …
Miller’s and the other author’s books were among those approved. The texts have not yet been printed so the Sentinel was unable to review them.
But there are no textbooks for high school environmental science classes on the approved list, though three companies submitted bids to supply books for that class…
Florida had already earned a D — and was among the five lowest-ranked states in the country — in a 2020 study that graded the states on how their public school science standards addressed climate change, said Glenn Branch, deputy director of the center for science education, which was a partner in the study. …
Science textbook publishers were told in advance to keep “critical race theory,” “social emotional learning” and other “unsolicited strategies” out of their textbooks. However, the “rubric” used to evaluate the books made no mention of “climate change.”
Small Favors Dept: no mention made of censoring evolution – yet.
every mention of florida opposing action on climate change should be mandated by law to mention most of the state is going to cease to exist within the next several decades.
Pierce R. Butlersays
Great American Satan @ # 12: … most of the state is going to cease to exist …
Aw c’mon – submerged debris and rubble doesn’t cease to exist just because it’s not buildings any more!
birgerjohanssonsays
Do you have any reliable summary of the polls for the ‘battleground’ states?
Today I’ll be attempting to solve a one of a kind custom-made puzzle by martin Raynsford. This puzzle idea was given to Martin last year and he absolutely absolutely Ran with the idea of using AI. The programming in this and the artwork and this is all inspired by artificial intelligence.
KGsays
Alas, the “Guardian council ” of regressive imams hold the real power. – birgerjohansson@2
Well, I’ve been pretty disappointed with the Guardian at times, particularly over trans rights, but I hadn’t realised what they were up to in Iran!
KGsays
THAT [Biden withdrawing in favour of Harris, who then gets targeted] is the scenario that keeps me up at night. – Lynna, OM@5 quoting DailyKos
The one that keeps me up at night is Biden staying on, and his cognitive decline becoming much more evident before November. Considering the difference between the State of the Union and the debate, it doesn’t seem unlikely.
Here’s a link to the France 24 liveblog of the second round of legislative elections:
Polls opened in the second and final round of France’s snap legislative elections on Sunday with more than 500 seats still up for grabs in the lower-house National Assembly. Midday turnout is reported to be the highest in 43 years, reaching 26.63% at noon. The vote will determine France’s next prime minister, who will likely come from the party or coalition winning the most seats. Follow our liveblog for the latest updates on the French legislative elections….
– French President Emmanuel Macron dissolved parliament and called for snap legislative elections after the far right trounced his centrist alliance in June 9 elections for the European Parliament.
– The National Assembly’s 577 total MPs are elected for five-year terms in two rounds (June 30 and July 7). Still up for grabs on Sunday are 501 seats after dozens of MPs were elected outright in the first round.
– Marine Le Pen’s far-right National Rally party led after the first round with 33% of the vote, according to interior ministry figures, with the New Popular Front leftist alliance following in second place with almost 28%. President Macron’s ruling coalition trailed in third place with 20%.
– The second-round voting began Saturday off the Canadian coast in the North Atlantic territory of Saint-Pierre-et-Miquelon and was followed by French territories across the Caribbean, South Pacific and the Indian Ocean along with French voters living abroad.
– Initial polling projections are expected when the final voting stations close at 8pm Paris time (1800 GMT), with early official results expected late Sunday and early Monday.
Preliminary results announced in some overseas territories
In Guadeloupe, the outgoing left-wing MPs were re-elected with scores of between 69 and 77.5% in the four constituencies, after notably facing two National Rally (RN) candidates who had made a breakthrough by qualifying for the second round.
In Martinique, all four constituencies went to New Popular Front (NFP) candidates.
In French Guiana, the two outgoing candidates supported by the NFP were re-elected, with Davy Rimane receiving 100% of the votes, in the absence of an opponent….
Rates of COVID-19 have surged in Florida emergency rooms over recent weeks, according to new figures from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, and are now near peaks not seen since the worst days of this past winter’s wave of the virus.
The weekly average of emergency room patients with COVID-19 has reached 2.64% in Florida, according to CDC data updated Friday, and now rank among the highest of any state during this summer’s COVID-19 wave.
Trends from Florida have also climbed steeply in other key metrics that authorities now use to track COVID-19, including in wastewater and nursing homes.
Florida’s steep increase in COVID-19 emergency room patients echoes that in some western states, which saw trends of the virus pick up in recent weeks.
Trends remain high across the West, though COVID-19 emergency room visits now appear to have peaked in Hawaii after recording some of the highest rates of patients in over a year.
“Over the past few weeks, some surveillance systems have shown small national increases in COVID-19; widespread as well as local surges are possible over the summer months,” the CDC said in a bulletin issued Wednesday.
Nationwide, the majority of states are also now estimated to be seeing COVID-19 cases grow, the CDC’s forecasters said this week.
A growing number of states have also begun to see COVID-19 increase in data from hospitals, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention said Friday in its weekly report on the virus.
“Some areas of the country are experiencing consistent increases in COVID-19 activity, including increases in COVID-19 test positivity and emergency department visits and increases in rates of COVID-19–associated hospitalizations among adults 65+ at several sites,” the agency said.
The agency has been cautious in recent weeks saying that this year’s summer COVID-19 surge had arrived, saying that recent increases were coming off of record low levels of the virus.
“This past winter, COVID-19 peaked in early January, declined rapidly in February and March, and by May 2024 was lower than at any point since March 2020,” the CDC said.
Outside of Florida and the West, rates of emergency room visits with the virus remain far from previous peaks, despite recent increases. Overall, the CDC says that nationwide activity of COVID-19 remains “low.”
Previous years have seen COVID-19 activity pick up at least twice a year since the pandemic began, once during the summer or early fall after a lull during the spring, and then again during the winter, driven by new variants of the virus.
The closely related KP.2 and KP.3 variants are currently dominant nationwide, driving more than half of cases in recent weeks, according to estimates published Friday by the CDC.
Behind them, a mix of other variants have accelerated. LB.1 is next largest, at 14.9% of cases. And in the region spanning New Mexico through Louisiana, the CDC estimates a new variant called KP.4.1 surged to 17.9% of infections through June 22.
I’ve been listening to Dr. Jonathan Howard’s podcast We Want Them Infected, and read his book of the same name. In one of the book chapters he has a long section of quotes from the doctors[!] who opposed almost all measures to control COVID and started advocating for a return to normal and letting the virus tear through the population in 2020. The quotes are their endlessly repeated claims that the pandemic is over/the virus has been “defanged”/herd immunity has been reached over the years alongside the rising total number of deaths in the US at the time each statement was made. It was nauseating to read, and in a recent episode of the podcast (beginning about 50 minutes in, IIRC) he has a recording of an actor reading the quotes along with the rising death numbers (I’m not sure if it’s excerpted from the audiobook or done separately for the podcast). These doctors are still claiming they were right and attacking public health officials, and they haven’t been held accountable in any way for behavior that contributed to massive suffering and tens of thousands of deaths.
KGsays
SC@21,
Admittedly, it’s possible he’s been intermittently as bad as he was in the debate for some time, but I don’t think that’s particularly reassuring.
On June 22, Donald Trump told an audience of Christian conservatives in Philadelphia that he’d once urged Dana White, the head of the Ultimate Fighting Championship, to create a team of (presumably undocumented) immigrants who would be trained to fight the UFC’s regular league. Of course, Trump never elaborated on how such a league would be created or what methods would be used to enforce its compliance, leaving that to his listeners’ imaginations.
As reported by Politico’s Natalie Allison and Jared Mitovich, Trump’s supporters in the crowd later minimized the remarks as jokes, noting that this was Trump’s way of “expressing how some of these illegal immigrants coming [into] this country are hardened criminals.” As Allison and Mitovich observe, the crowd reacted to Trump’s statements with laughter and approval.
Trump repeated the statement later at a speech at Temple University in Philadelphia. According to The Washington Post, White confirmed that Trump had in fact made those statements to him, but also contended that they were “a joke.” The media apparently agreed, and the statements were swiftly consigned to that gaping memory hole where Trump’s many thousands of outrageous utterances inevitably disappear.
As most of us realize by now, this was nothing unusual for Trump. He consistently exploits the use of crass humor to convey cruel, autocratic, and often violent aspirations that might otherwise be deemed offensive and unacceptable. Trump’s followers not only expect this use of humor, they actually crave it because it solidifies their allegiance to him. Through such statements Trump conjures up a common enemy for his crowds and supporters to focus their resentments and grievances on: liberals, Democrats, women, immigrants, […] for ridicule and debasement. These are his perennial targets, the ones who by definition are not in on the joke.
These statements are usually delivered at his rallies and often appear in the form of belittlement or demeaning slanders that serve as a secret handshake between Trump and his supporters. As they were in Philadelphia, these “jokes” are routinely met with boisterous laughter and applause. To an outside observer they may seem more mean-spirited than comedic: a politician going off the rails with provocative cheap shots and self-parody. But to his rapt, attentive followers there is something quite different going on.
[…] As we know, the end result of these guffaw-inducing jibes played itself out on American television screens in the shocking hours that followed [that followed the attack by MAGA cult followers on January 6]
A constant thread running through all of Trump’s speeches—whether he is channeling humor in them or not—is the lack of empathy or genuine affinity toward anyone but himself. The same can be said of his governing style, vividly on display throughout his entire tenure in office. In fact, that total absence of empathy is a singular hallmark of Trump’s personality. But total lack of empathy is not particularly attractive to most people, Trump tends to cloak it in his own peculiar brand of mean-spirited, often racist or misogynist humor. What ought to be repugnant is instead repackaged as entertainment. […]
[Fintan O’Toole wrote:]
Racist, misogynistic, antisemitic, xenophobic, antidisabled, and antiqueer jokes have always been used to dehumanize those who are being victimized.” This brand of humor “[C]reates an economy of compassion, limiting it to those who are laughing and excluding those who are being laughed at.” In other words, “[i]t makes the polarization of humanity fun.
[…] Fascist regimes throughout the 20th century routinely employed humor as a means of cultivating support and criticizing or mocking their political opponents. But as O’Toole suggests, this use of ironic humor to serve up attacks on discrete subgroups of people has also been a characteristic of modern-day fascists (or “populists”) from Italy’s Silvio Berlusconi to Brazil’s Jair Bolsonaro. The genius of this is that the joking quality masquerades the perpetrator’s actual intent, creating plausible deniability among those who wield it.
[…] But this use of humor does more than simply bind the leader’s followers together. It also insulates him—and them—from accountability to those targeted by their hate. Because it’s only a joke, right?
[…] It’s how, for example, Trump can be dismissed as joking when he refers to being a dictator on “Day One,” without ever explaining what that actually means. Or how he can desensitize his followers’ views on immigrants by so-called jokes about staged fights. […]
[…]historical experience shows that deliberately maligning, targeting, and demonizing groups of people invariably encourages harming them.
[…] But when the thrill of violating those social taboos through such humor becomes routine—or worse, normalized by a presidential candidate—the reasons those norms exist in the first place are cast aside and forgotten. At that point the insults and insinuations are viewed as acceptable again, along with all the cruelty, hate, and intolerance that flow from them. But what happens next is never particularly funny.
Nothing on this tweet surprises me. [posted by John C. Varner:]
-CNN: CEO Trump donor
-ABC: CEO Trump donor
-CBS: CEO Trump donor
-NBC: CEO Trump donor
-MSNBC: CEO Trump donor
-Washington Post: owner Jeff Bezo
-Wall Street Journal: Owner: Rupert Murdoch
– New York Times: CEO Trump donor.
Yep. That’s who the major mainstream media outlets are featuring in their coverage. It’s wall-to-wall coverage of people against Biden. And it is not wall-to-wall coverage of Trump telling 28 lies during the debate, telling “jokes” about having immigrants fight each other, or claiming immunity for taking classified documents to Mar-a-Lago.
We may need to discuss Biden’s health, but not like this.
“What we are talking about now is not a Grammy Award contest for best singer,” he said. “Biden is old. He is not as articulate as he once was. I wish he could jump up the steps on Air Force One. He can’t. What we have got to focus on is policy — whose policies have and will benefit the vast majority of the people in this country.”
“Given Biden’s incredible record and given Trump’s terrible record he should be mopping the floor with Donald Trump,” Schiff said. “It should not be even close, and the reason it is close is the president’s age. […] The interview didn’t put concerns to rest. No single interview is going to do that.”
Schiff talking about Kamala Harris:
“I think she has the experience, the judgment, the leadership ability to be an extraordinary president.”
More details from Adam Schiff’s conversation with Kristen Welker about President Biden:
“I think Biden should take the time talk to people outside of his immediate circle, talk to people he respects, people with objectivity, people with distance, and make the right decision for the country,” he said. “And I’m confident Joe Biden has always made the fundamental distinguishing distinction between he and Donald Trump.”
The demonstrations come as international mediators renew efforts to broker a deal, with Hamas appearing to drop demands that Israel commit to ending the war.
Marking nine months since the war in Gaza started, Israeli protesters blocked highways across the country Sunday, calling on Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu to step down and pushing for a cease-fire that could bring back the hostages held by Hamas.
The demonstrations come as international mediators have renewed efforts to broker a deal. Hamas over the weekend appeared to have dropped a key demand for an Israeli commitment to end the war, according to Egyptian and Hamas officials who spoke to The Associated Press.
[…] Meanwhile, fighting in Gaza continued, with nine Palestinians reported dead from Israeli strikes overnight and into the early hours of Sunday.
Six Palestinians were killed in central Gaza after a strike hit a house in the town of Zawaida, according to the al-Aqsa Martyrs Hospital. Another Israeli airstrike early Sunday hit a house west of Gaza City, killing another 3 people, the strip’s Hamas-linked civil defense said.
The Gaza Health Ministry said Saturday an Israeli airstrike killed at least 16 people and wounded at least 50 others in a school-turned-shelter in the Nuseirat refugee camp. The Israeli military said they were targeting Hamas militants and had taken “numerous steps” to reduce civilian casualties.
Also Sunday morning, the Lebanese militant group Hezbollah said it launched dozens of projectiles toward northern Israel in the north, targeting areas more than 30 kilometers (20 miles) from the border, deeper than most launches.
A 28-year-old Israeli man was seriously wounded in Kfar Zeitim, a small town near the city of Tiberias, Israel’s national rescue service reported. […]
Washington’s phased deal would start with a “full and complete” six-week cease-fire during which older, sick and female hostages would be released in exchange for hundreds of Palestinian prisoners. During those 42 days, Israeli forces would withdraw from densely populated areas of Gaza and allow the return of displaced people to their homes in northern Gaza, the officials said.
[…] The Israel-Hamas war has caused widespread damage in Gaza. Israeli restrictions, ongoing fighting and the breakdown of law and order have curtailed humanitarian aid efforts, causing widespread hunger and sparking fears of famine. The top U.N. court has concluded there is a “plausible risk of genocide” in Gaza — a charge Israel denies.
Trump Campaign Tells Evangelicals: Ixnay On The Bortionaay Ansbay
[…] the Republican position on abortion (NO ABORTIONS EVER SHUT UP SHUT UP SHUT UP BABY-KILLER) is galactically unpopular all across America. […]
You know who is not well-informed and is a fucking idiot? Donald Trump. And yet, if The Washington Post is correct, even he knows the NO ABORTIONS EVER SHUT UP position is unpopular with the majority of Americans. Which is why Trump’s staff is trying to modify the language of the abortion plank in the party platform ahead of the Republican National Convention kicking off a week from Monday.
Unfortunately for the staff, they are running smack into the evangelicals who have supported Trump in order to get rid of abortion and are none too happy with what they see as him equivocating. Probably should have thought of that before they hopped into bed with a lifelong conman […]
The new language in the platform would abandon the GOP’s call to extend personhood to fetuses by amending the Constitution. The party has been hollering about doing this for decades, and the fact that the idea remains unpopular with the public — and more specifically, with swing state voters — is not going to give them pause.
Come, let us read the Washington Post together and wallow in the schadenfreude, which has been in short supply in recent days:
The escalating behind-the-scenes disagreement over the abortion language has become so tense and acrimonious in recent weeks that some social conservative leaders have issued public warnings of a coming split within Trump’s coalition. […] Trump advisers, in turn, have been angered by the public pressure from antiabortion activists
Had Trump’s staff never met antiabortion activists before now? They have bombed clinics and shot doctors to stop abortion. They are not exactly shy about publicly expressing opinions.
Trump allies have argued that letting states decide their own abortion limitations helps the former president seem more moderate on the issue.
[Scoff]
Trump appearing more moderate is not something the antis care about. They figure they have the momentum and six Supreme Court justices who will buy whatever they are selling, so why be modest?
Trump has been repeating his claim that “everyone” wanted to send the issue of abortion back to the states. This is of course horseshit, which we know, and you know, and anyone with more intellectual candlepower than a zucchini knows. Maybe the GOP should run a zucchini instead of Donald Trump and see if anyone notices the difference.
They argue that a constitutional amendment on abortion — a feature of the GOP platform since the 1980s — can be seen as a state issue, since any amendment would ultimately need to be ratified by at least 38 of the 50 states. [Wow. That’s some spin.] They also say that Trump’s recent statements on abortion fail to address the abortions performed in more liberal states that allow the procedure with relatively few limitations.
Man, the ads for Democrats practically write themselves on this issue. That does not mean the Democrats will then shoot and edit and put those ads on the air, possibly because they are going to be too busy hitting each other in the face with shovels over whether Joe Biden should keep running or not. But the ads are right there.
At least we are consoled knowing Americans aren’t going to care what the platform says; they are going to care about how many women they may know who are now being forced to carry unwanted pregnancies or begging doctors for emergency abortions […]
Considering how much they suck as both political operatives and human beings, we have to give the Trump campaign a smidge of credit here. Between this abortion question and, as Marcie noted, Donald throwing Project 2025 under the bus on Friday, it seems the people running this shit show recognize just how unpopular their policies are with the public. So they are trying to distance themselves, at least publicly, from the harder right elements of those policies. We honestly didn’t think they had that much self-awareness.
Admittedly, it’s possible he’s been intermittently as bad as he was in the debate for some time, but I don’t think that’s particularly reassuring.
It’s also possible he’s been somewhere in the middle all along and that both of these public events are outliers, that he’s been as good as he was at the SOTU all along and the debate was an uncharacteristically bad night, and any number of other plausible scenarios. As I said, it’s two data points.
As for Kamala Harris replacing him, I don’t even get it. She’s literally the Vice President. She’s first in the line of succession, required to be ready to replace him at a moment’s notice, and fully capable of carrying out the duties of the presidency should anything happen to him.
Here’s a link to the Guardian’s French elections liveblog. First projections in about 10 minutes (2 PM ET in the US).
Paul Ksays
KG, at 24 and elsewhere. I have loads of respect for your knowledge and explanations of UK politics, as well as your thoughts on most other topics, but I’m just totally not on board with your take on Biden and his possible decline.
We have only two choices come November. Biden or Trump. There is simply no way for anyone else to take Trump on. No one with the funds, recognition, record, organization. I would vote for Harris in a general election, without hesitation. She’s the only possible replacement with any chance at all. But what Lynna, at comment 5, quoted, is spot on. Racism and misogyny are bad enough that, especially at this late date, they would be enough to keep Harris from winning. The other bits in that piece at #5 are true as well.
The media has been absolutely terrible on this whole manufactured mess. Biden is old, we kept being told. Now he’s in mental decline, we get inundated with. Anyone who replaces him will get the same unfair scrutiny. We also have been hearing that Trump has been ‘lying low’, when he hasn’t. He just keeps saying the same crazy, lying, nasty crap that we’ve heard so often that it just doesn’t crack the media’s craving for shiny things.
I wrote in the last iteration of the thread that I’d vote for Biden even if he was a turnip. I still say that. No one has written a compelling case for any other specific person and how they could realistically beat Trump. (Funding being the biggest obstacle). That is insane; a turnip should beat him soundly. But we are where we are, and Trump gets a pass as he just keeps telling us just who he is. I was concerned and angry when the media just kept harping on Biden’s age while ignoring Trump’s utter failure at being coherent at all. Now I’m actually scared that this current hype about Biden’s mental state will mean Trump gets back into power. I’ve been hopeful for the success of decency up until now.
If Biden does get re-elected and becomes unable to do the job, we have systems to replace him, and he’s surrounded himself with competent people who will deal with any issues so that we get past them. If Trump wins, we’re just fucked.
The polls take place two days before France’s football team takes on Spain in the semi-final of the Euro 2024 tournament in Germany.
Earlier this week, Kylian Mbappé branded the first-round results of France’s snap parliamentary election “catastrophic”, and urged voters to turn out in force and fend off the threat of a National Rally-controlled government when polls opened for the runoff vote on Sunday.
In the latest of several interventions by members of the France national football team, the influential captain Mbappé warned that the country must take its chance to ensure the far right, anti-immigration party is unable to seize power in what has become a tumultuous political battle.
“It’s an urgent situation,” he said when asked for his thoughts on a parlous state of affairs that saw National Rally win 33% of the popular vote in the first round.
“We cannot let our country fall into the hands of these people. It is pressing. We saw the results, it’s catastrophic. We really hope it’s going to change: that everyone is going to rally together, go and vote, and vote for the correct party.”
His remarks drew a strong rebuke from Le Pen, who said, despite being a “very good” footballer, Mbappe should not “lecture” French voters.
Left-green alliance takes the lead: first projections
The polls are closed in France and the first projections have been published.
France’s national assembly has 577 seats, with 289 seats needed for an absolute majority.
Here is the first projected seat distribution, from Ipsos. It shows the left in the lead, in a major shift compared to opinion polls during the campaign.
Left-green New Popular Front: 172-192 seats
Emmanuel Macron’s allies: 150-170 seats
Far right National Rally and allies: 132-152 seats
Nigel Farage says his party will take on Labour. If he genuinely believes he has the support to do that, his craziness will have beneficial effects.
Also, if the tories think they can rebuild by turning further right, it will leave a bigger opening for the lib dems.
.
Familiar faces but not all from politics: meet the surprise Labour ministers | The Guardian
“Farage Thinks He Can Take Labour On”
.https://youtube.com/watch?v=eQQMO0PoRRM
HAHAHAHAHA! (falls off chair)
(Keeps on laughing despite broken ribs)(calls ambulance)
Shocking and shockingly good news out of France. A longtime TPM Reader who I am constant touch with is an immigrant from France. And through conversations with him over the last few weeks I was expecting – though by no means sure – that Le Pen’s National Rally party would come up short in the run off. But the actual results are even more dramatic. They appear to be coming in third. Not just behind the the parties of the left running as a consolidated new United Front, but actually behind President Macron’s centrist party too. A couple weeks ago I think the best anyone was hoping for was keeping National Rally short of an absolute majority. It was treated as a foregone conclusion they’d get a plurality of seats. But even the Republicans – the old center right party of government which has been thoroughly marginalized – is over-performing relative to expectations. It’s really a stunning reversal.
There are lots of lessons to draw from this. […] But one that is obvious even from across the Atlantic is [that] the first sine qua non that gets you to this moment is the parties of the left agreeing on a common front. The strongest party in each district runs […] Then the Macronists, after running hard against the left in round one, turned around and agreed to a modified version of this kind of cooperation in round two.
It was never really in the cards that Le Pen’s party would get that much more than a third of the vote. But that could have created a majority in the parliament and essentially given them keys to the state. (Labour just got a third of the vote in the UK and now totally dominate parliament.) But in the second round most of the other parties – complicated, but big picture this is what happened – agreed to let the most viable candidate face the Le Pen candidate one on one in most districts. So Le Pen/RN candidates couldn’t win with a thin plurality in a divided field. That worked.
There’s also some real extent to which numerous Le Pen/RN candidates were revealed as racists, scoundrels, wife beaters (Frenchified Trumpers basically) and that hurt them some too. Not that this is terribly surprising. But Marine Le Pen has managed over the last decade a significant rebranding of the party her father founded. Kinder gentler racist nationalists basically, with less Vichy nostalgia and tchotchkes. But reporting over the last few weeks showed that lots of the candidates were totally the old team under a thin patina of gold paint. […]
The large red fingerprints of the Heritage Foundation seem to be everywhere in the news. The group authored Project 2025, which would empty the federal government, populate it with MAGA loyalists, and, in its own words, “deconstruct the administrative state.” As The New Republic puts it, Project 2025 is “a remarkably detailed guide to turning the United States into a fascist’s paradise.”
They’re thrilled by the Supreme Court’s recent immunity ruling, deeply involved in attacks on diversity and equity initiatives, and obsessed over strange things like Prince Harry’s visa.
And they promise not to kill all leftists—as long as we sit quietly and acquiesce to their dominion over the nation.
The Heritage Foundation so kindly offering to let us have our lives in exchange for our freedom is a malignancy that has festered in the group for decades. Though it benefits from a name and a network of donors stretching back five decades, today’s Heritage Foundation is a much more dangerous beast.
It has wealth. It has connections. And it has democracy in its sights.
The Heritage Foundation was founded in 1973 by the founder of Coors Brewing and conservative strategists Paul Weyrich and Ed Feulner. They thought that President Richard Nixon [sheesh!] had moved too far to the left and that other Republican organizations were too timid. They promoted a strong anti-communist message and a social conservatism that didn’t recognize a wall between church and state, and pushed for a smaller government.
The group quickly gained power under President Ronald Reagan, who embraced its “Mandate for Leadership”—a 1,100-page document of policies—and distributed it among his staff. Much of what came to be known as “the Reagan doctrine,” both domestically and internationally, was a repackaging of this product from the Heritage Foundation.
Having established deep inroads in the Republican Party, Heritage maintained that position through both Democratic and Republican administrations. They were largely responsible for shaping Republican positions to oppose the universal health care plan offered by President Bill Clinton. The Heritage plan, “Assuring Affordable Health Care for All Americans,” would go on to be the basis of then-Gov. Mitt Romeny’s health care plan for Massachusetts and eventually form the core of the Affordable Care Act. By this time, the Heritage Foundation was attacking it.
Like many organizations, Heritage has seen turnovers in leadership, staff purges, shifts in philosophy, and difficulties in maintaining its place in a changing political environment. But the Heritage Foundation that exists today is practically a toddler. With a razor blade.
This iteration of the Heritage Foundation dates to the pandemic, when the group’s previous leader, Kay Coles James, made the mistake of trying to follow safety guidelines, including closing the group’s offices for an extended period and putting up signs that encouraged masking. That led to her replacement by conspiracy theorist Kevin Roberts, who had been on Texas Gov. Greg Abbott’s COVID-19 task force and immediately pushed Heritage into suing to stop any vaccine mandate. [Interesting! Hmmm]
Under Roberts, the group moved swiftly away from its traditional conservative positions—and into Christian nationalism. It retained its funding and deep roots in the Republican Party, but it began pushing for the ouster of existing Republican leadership and for the historically hawkish organization to oppose military aid to Ukraine.
The organization also switched from supporting former Vice President Mike Pence in the months after the Jan. 6, 2021, insurrection to condemning Pence for his failure to go along with Trump’s plans and ordering members to take down posts opposing Jan. 6 violence.
If the MAGA movement is the red-hatted equivalent of “brownshirts,” Heritage is now the SS—the real power behind the throne. It does the plotting and planning, so Trump can stand around and rail against wet batteries.
Anyone on the right who is currently amused by Roberts’ none-too-subtle hints about killing progressives who oppose Trump might want to think again. When the long knives come out, Heritage will be there for them, as well.
Because whatever heritage this group stands for, it definitely isn’t American democracy.
[…] However poorly Biden performed at that debate (and he was embarrassing), debates are theater. However ill equipped the Democratic Party is to provide an heir apparent — and they are embarrassingly unprepared for this predictable eventuality — their dysfunction is not the clear and present danger. The Supreme Court’s decision on presidential immunity is a harbinger of not just the court’s growing power but of Democrats’ inability to mount a populist defense. This conservative bloc on the court reflects years of undemocratic political maneuvering, from Mitch McConnell stealing a seat to the political activism of Chief Justice John Roberts, Justice Samuel Alito and Justice Clarence Thomas. Their decisions are not only codifying minority interests, they are a show of strength for a Republican Party that has no intention of ever ceding power to majority will again.
If you take your eye off the ball of democracy for any length of time, no amount of history will save you.
Americans have taken our eyes off the ball. I have not wanted to make that call. It is an easy thing to say. Too easy. Critical thinkers too often toss about pronouncements about the demise of democracy when they lose a political battle or just want to seem erudite. It can make professional critics sound like Chicken Little, always claiming the end is near until no one cares to hear our squawking.
But it is time to squawk. It is not just that my side — the ideas I believe in like bodily autonomy, economic justice and diversity — are losing in the marketplace of ideas. It is that many of the ideas that I believe in absolutely kill in the marketplace of ideas, and it does not matter. The majority of Americans want women to have access to safe abortion care. The majority of Americans want strong social welfare programs. They want affordable housing and safe schools and sensible gun control. My ideas are winning but our electoral politics no longer care about representing the winning ideas. […]
birgerjohanssonsays
This guy is pro- Ukrine, but he is not blindly parroting the Kyiv government, I think he has maintained integrity all the time.
An excessive heat warning — the National Weather Service’s highest alert — was in effect for about 36 million people, or about 10% of the population.
A long-running heat wave that has already shattered previous records across the U.S. will persist, baking parts of the West with dangerous temperatures that will soar into the 100s and holding the East in its hot and humid grip throughout the week, forecasters said Sunday.
An excessive heat warning — the National Weather Service’s highest alert — was in effect for about 36 million people, or about 10% of the population, with temperatures in Oregon expected to exceed 100 degrees Fahrenheit (37.7 degrees Celsius) and as high as 115 degrees (46.1 C) in some parts of California on Sunday, said NWS meteorologist Bryan Jackson.
“We’re expecting a few dozen of them, on the order of 30, to tie or break their daily high temperature record” in the West and Pacific Northwest, Jackson said.
Scorching temperatures broke numerous records on Saturday: Reading, California, had a record high of 119 degrees Fahrenheit (48.3 degrees Celsius), breaking its all-time record high of 118; Ukiah, north of San Francisco, hit 117 degrees Fahrenheit (47 degrees Celsius), breaking the city’s record for the date and tying its all-time high; and Livermore, east of San Francisco, hit 111 F (43.8 C), breaking the daily maximum temperature record of 109 F (42.7 C) set more than a century ago in 1905.
Las Vegas tied the record of 115 F (46 C), last reached in 2007, and Phoenix topped out at 114 F (45.5 C), just shy of the record of 116 F (46.7 C) dating to 1942.
[…] On the more-humid East Coast, temperatures above 100 degrees were expected, though no excessive heat advisories were in effect for the region on Sunday, Jackson said. On Saturday, Raleigh, North Carolina, reached an all-time record high of 106 degrees F (41.1 C), with a maximum heat index of 118 F (47.7 C), he said.
[…] Rare heat advisories were extended even into higher elevations including around Lake Tahoe, on the border of California and Nevada, with the National Weather Service in Reno, Nevada, warning of “major heat risk impacts, even in the mountains.”
“How hot are we talking? Well, high temperatures across (western Nevada and northeastern California) won’t get below 100 degrees (37.8 C) until next weekend,” the service posted online. “And unfortunately, there won’t be much relief overnight either.”
Indeed, Reno hit a high of 104 F (40 C) on Saturday, smashing the old record of 101 F (38.3 C).
More extreme highs are in the near forecast, including 129 F (53.8 C) for Sunday at Furnace Creek, California, in Death Valley National Park, and then around 130 F (54.4 C) through Wednesday. […]
In Arizona’s Maricopa County, which encompasses Phoenix, there have been at least 13 confirmed heat-related deaths this year, along with more than 160 other deaths suspected of being related to heat that are still under investigation, according to a recent report.
That does not include the death of a 10-year-old boy last week in Phoenix who suffered a “heat-related medical event” while hiking with family at South Mountain Park and Preserve, according to police.
[…] “when you’re in the sun, it feels like you’re cooking”
CompulsoryAccount7746, Sky Captainsays
@Lynna #44:
The Heritage Foundation was founded in 1973 by the founder of Coors Brewing and conservative strategists Paul Weyrich and Ed Feulner.
[…]
Under [conspiracy theorist Kevin Roberts], the group moved swiftly away from its traditional conservative positions—and into Christian nationalism.
Paul Weyrich was on the conference call among evangelical leaders when they picked abortion to stoke the next big moral panic to maintain an angry voting bloc. Before that, Weyrich had built their political evangelical movement to rally behind defending tax-exempt status for segregationist Bible schools. Weyrich later coined and co-founded “Moral Majority” with Jerry Falwell.
advocated for pro-business policies and anti-communism in its early years, but distinguished itself from the American Enterprise Institute (AEI) by also advocating for cultural issues that were important to Christian conservatives”
That’s according to Judge J. Michael Luttig, the same man that advised Mike Pence that he couldn’t steal the election for Donald Trump. Just a few minutes ago, I heard Judge Luttig say it in Michael Popok’s Meidas Touch interview with him. After I heard him say it, I transcribed the most important thing, not according to me but according to Judge Luttig, because I thought y’all would be interested to read it. I’m also posting a link to the full interview below the transcript.
Vote Democracy 2024!
Judge Luttig in his own words —
The most important thing that I want to say today about the decision is this:
The Supreme Court decided to give absolute immunity to Donald Trump and then wrote the opinion to justify it. How do we know it? This is how we know it. Donald Trump has been charged with the gravest crimes possible against the United States of America. Those charges and those allegations were the only issue before this Supreme. That’s all the court was required to decided and, by the way, for almost 250 years, that’s the only issue that any Supreme Court in history would have decided.
What did this Supreme Court do? It decided the issue of presidential immunity for all times in all contexts possible under the Constitution. It’s the precise opposite of what any court, any court of the United States, and especially the Supreme Court of the United States, ever does.
Now why did they do it? There’s only one possible explanation. They had to decide that the president, that Donald Trump had absolute immunity because he’s alleged to have committed the gravest crimes against America. So if they were going to hold that he was immune, they had to adopt his argument that he was absolutely immune from even the gravest crimes that a president could commit against the United States of America. The court had no choice, if it were going to hold that Donald Trump was immune from prosecution for the grave offenses that he committed.
This is a classic case where the Supreme Court decided what it wanted to decide and then went in search of the constitutional reasoning that would support that decision. Unfortunately for America, there was no constitutional reasoning, none based in the Constitution, the court’s precedence, history, anything anywhere, to support that decision that they made before this argument ever took place.
Posted by readers of the article:
Any lower court that made such a decision would be very quickly overturned. The remedy for this decision is 3 fold. First we get unity control of Congress — and pass a law overturning this decision, holding that immunity is limited only to the president carrying out his duties in good faith. For instance, designating a monument under the Antiquities Act. It does not apply to any effort to stonewall a investigation by Congress or a special counsel, and does not extend to any advice given to him that tries to mislead the American people The president is subject to indictment for crimes committed against the government, such as obstruction of justice, or the states, for things like fraud. Former presidents have NO immunity, any such immunities apply only to the incumbent president, and only when acting in good faith. Any attempt to undermine or overturn an election is treason and the president is automatically removed from office .
To address this decision by the court, we pass a law clarifying what good behavior is and remove the 6 justices from office for this decision which destroys the notion of checks and balances. We set the court at 15 and give the justices 20 years tenures. Lengthy, but not for life.
———————–
Immunity doesn’t apply to the VP, to Cabinet Officers, or to anyone other than the President. So, all these folks ought to be very aware that, even if Trump — were he elected — they could be charged and could only hope for a pardon. In the event of a sufficiently egregious action by the President, public opinion would be damning if covered up by a pardon.
————————-
I think it was obvious when they took the case to begin with
——————————
Bingo, there’s nothing in the Constitution about immunity so they invent it. These hypocrites said abortion is not in the Constitution so Roe should be overturned. In other words, the Constitution is irrelevant to them; it’s the outcome that matters, as the Judge says—they work backwards from their desired end.
In the initial chaos of the Hamas attack on 7 October, Israel’s armed forces employed what is known as the Hannibal protocol, a directive to use force to prevent the kidnapping of soldiers even at the expense of hostages’ lives, according to a report.
The Israel daily Haaretz reported on Sunday, nine months to the day after the assault in which about 1,200 people were killed and another 250 abducted to the Gaza Strip, that the operational procedure was used at three army facilities attacked by Hamas, potentially endangering civilians as well.
Another message given to Israel’s Gaza division at 11.22am, about five hours after the attack began, ordered: “Not a single vehicle can return to Gaza.”
A southern command source told the paper: “Everyone knew by then that such vehicles could be carrying kidnapped civilians or soldiers … Everyone knew what it meant to not let any vehicles return to Gaza.”
Two pistols owned by the French emperor Napoleon Bonaparte, with which he once intended to kill himself, have been sold at auction for €1.69m (£1.4m).
The weapons, which were created by the Paris gunmaker Louis-Marin Gosset, had been expected to fetch between €1.2m and €1.5m.
They were sold at the Osenat auction house on Sunday – next to the Fontainebleau palace where Napoleon tried to take his own life following his abdication in 1814.
The pistols’ sale comes after France’s culture ministry recently classified them as national treasures and banned their export.
This means the French government now has 30 months to make a purchase offer to the new owner, who has not been named. It also means the pistols can only leave France temporarily.
Unlike commercial aquaculture, these traditional fishponds thrive without feed input and need little management once established.
“Aquaculture has a really bad reputation for basically destroying areas around it, but those are commercial approaches […] Rather than ensuring the health of the system, commercial aquaculture is concerned with maximizing profits.”
[…]
Indigenous aquaculture produces herbivorous fish, whereas most commercial aquaculture produces lucrative carnivores such as tuna and salmon.
[…]
“From a capitalist model it makes sense to grow predators, but from an environmental stewardship model that’s the dumbest idea ever, […] Because you could either feed your people 100 pounds of baitfish, or you can feed your people with a 10-pound ahi [tuna].”
[…]
Today, Hawai’i imports almost 90% of its food, including 63% of its seafood. But historically, working fishponds […] supported almost 1 million people, close to its current level of 1.4 million. […] Imports increased as development, land-use change and invasive mangroves destroyed most fishponds. Only in the 1970s did a revival movement begin. Now, of the nearly 500 original ponds, 20 have received restoration permits
the Reconecta Project and the Waimiri-Atroari Indigenous people build bridges that connect the forest canopy […] Brazil has the world’s fourth-largest road network, while 40% of its primate species are threatened with extinction; being run over on roads such as BR-174 is a leading cause of death.
[…]
good results. In the first 10 months of monitoring, eight different species were documented [climbing them]. […] local arboreal mammals prefer […] just a single, thick rope weaved over a steel cable.
[…]
In the coming months, Reconecta will be tested in other states and even abroad, in Suriname. […] [Brazil’s Department of Transport Infrastructure] plans to install almost 100 canopy bridges
Over the past decades, Nepal is the only developing country in the world that doubled its forest cover to 45 percent. Nepal has further tripled its tiger population to 355 wild cats in the last 15 years.
[…]
As apex predators, tigers have cascading effects on their ecosystems. […] To protect just one tiger, an estimated 10,000 hectares of forest is conserved.
[…]
Tigers also bring prosperity to the people. […] Every rupee spent by visitors raises the income of local households around [Chitwan National Park] by 1.78 rupees.
John Moralessays
Now, for something different.
I can’t help feeling the concept is grander than its instantiation:
What is Chessboxing? It’s a wild mix-up of two of mankind’s oldest sporting obsessions. Opponents battle on the board and slug it out in the ring, alternating between rounds of chess and boxing, until there is a winner by checkmate or KO.
[actual stream content begins 45 minutes in, which is itself informative]
John Moralessays
Oh, right. I’ve just watched Perun’s most recent video.
TIMESTAMPS:
00:00 – INTRO
00:47 – Paranoia Star
02:57 – Ingoshima
04:07 – 17 SAI
05:49 – Shoujo Tsubaki (Midori)
07:45 – Ichi The Killer
10:26 – Maru Psi: Bizarre Crime Division
12:26 – Mai Chan’s Daily Life
14:37 – Comedy Station Massacre
15:31 – Applicant For Death
16:23 – Kedamonotachi No Jikan (Time of The Beast)
20:04 – OUTRO
John Moralessays
Oops. Forgot.
Content warning my previous, though only conceptually — it’s fully compliant with YouTube standards, which don’t include cognitive content. Yet.
For some scholars […] empires are obvious and natural structures for human beings to inhabit, or even attractive […] The suggestion is that if the subjects of empire in times past could have escaped, they’d have been unwise to do so, […] to whatever lay beyond, in the forest or marshes, in the mountains and foothills, or out on the open steppe. […] not just our notion of empire as handmaiden to civilisation, but also our contemporary image of life before and beyond empire as being small-scale, chaotic and largely unproductive. In short, everything that is still implied by the word ‘tribal’.
[…]
it is worth reflecting on what it means to talk of the ‘competitive advantage’ of states governed by extractive elites. […] What ‘advantages’, we might ask, accrued to a girl captured by Cilician pirates, and sold in the slave markets of Roman-era Delos, over one living freely in the Nuba Hills of southern Kordofan? Slaves were said to change hands at a rate of 10,000 per day in Delos, and the total number of slaves in the early Roman Empire could have been between 6 and 10 million. In what sense can their numbers be added to the side of the ‘winners’?
[…]
What, exactly, were ancient empires ‘successful’ at, if extraordinary levels of violence, destruction and displacement were required to keep them afloat? Today it seems very possible that another 2,000 years of world governance by ‘powerful extractive elites’ could lead to the destruction of most life on Earth.
[…]
Over the past few decades, geographical spaces once written off as blanks on the map, or dismissed as ‘an unchanging palaeolithic backwater’ […] have been […] revealing entire traditions of urban life, spanning centuries or even millennia, where none were previously suspected. All of them lie within the scope of the past 5,000 years, but surprisingly few can be convincingly identified with the rise of bureaucratically ordered kingdoms or empires.
[…]
The world we live in today is not just the one created by the likes of Tiberius of Rome, or even Emperor Wu of Han. Until surprisingly recent times, spaces of human freedom existed across large parts of our planet. Millions lived in them. We don’t know their names, as they didn’t carve them in stone […] in which one could move away, disobey, experiment with other notions of how to live
John Moralessays
CA7746, heh.
Gotta love rhetorical questions.
What, exactly, were ancient empires ‘successful’ at, if extraordinary levels of violence, destruction and displacement were required to keep them afloat?
Even as little as a decade before the Soviet Union imploded, it was seen as a thing that would last into the indefinite future. Part of how the world was.
Or: the past informs the future (well, it should) but does not define it.
—
One more:
We don’t know their names, as they didn’t carve them in stone […] in which one could move away, disobey, experiment with other notions of how to live
Ah, right.
Another thing: ancient empires were ‘successful’ at having names carved in stone.
(That’s two things, so far)
John Moralessays
Nice thing about this empire under which we all suffer: the internet.
The Romans did more to facilitate travel than any other empire. They built major roads, cleared the seas of pirates, and instituted one currency. Until the invention of the steam engine, there was no time easier to travel than in Paul’s day. It is estimated that Paul travelled the equivalent of nearly half-way around the world, over 16,000 km (10,000 miles) by land and sea.
The Pax Romana, or Roman Peace, declared by Emperor Augustus (27 BC – AD 14) enabled people like Paul to travel relatively safely in the first century. Epicetus, the Stoic philosopher wrote: “There are neither wars nor battles, nor great robberies nor piracies, but we may travel at all hours, and sail from east to west.”
One day, you set up this Constitution and system of governance, then a bit later you get a civil war but kinda sort it out, then before you know it a couple of hundred years have gone by and things have been learned.
Well, experienced at least.
And make no bones about it, it may not be de jure, but in terms of influence and power and hegemony, the USA is functionally an empire. IMO, of course.
KGsays
Even as little as a decade before the Soviet Union imploded, it was seen as a thing that would last into the indefinite future. Part of how the world was. – John Morales@63
I once wrote notes for an article/story “How the Cold War ended” in which I listed and briefly described a dozen or more possibilites, including nuclear war, alien invasion and others even more far-fetched. But I didn’t include one side simply giving up, without being conquered or even attacked.
birgerjohanssonsays
What the… is it this simple?
And what exactly is synchrony?
“Study links social and non-social synchrony to romantic attractiveness”
And make no bones about it, it may not be de jure, but in terms of influence and power and hegemony, the USA is functionally an empire. IMO, of course. – John Morales@66
See How to Hide an Empire: A Short History of the Greater United States by Daniel Immerwahr. He describes the USA’s empire as a “Pointillist Empire”, refering to its global archipelago of military bases, and explains the difference from previous empires by advances in communication and travel technologies.
birgerjohanssonsays
“Empires” are not interested in changing the status quo.
.
Both the hellenistic kingdoms and the Roman republic intervened to crush slave uprisings in adjacent countries.
And after the empire had established itself, it was static (except for some details about how autocratic the rulers were) right up until the end.
birgerjohanssonsays
John Morales
Not a manga but really messed-up animes:
-Tokyo Gore Police.
-Big Man Japan (not so much splatter, just weird).
And there are several bizarre animes created by a cult known as Happy Science, promoting crap that is as weird as the weirdest religions.
Good news from France: the fascists failed miserably to take the National Assembly, coming in third after the Nouveau Front Populaire and Macron’s crew. The result will make it difficult for Macron to appoint a stable government: the largest componnet of the NFP is La France Insoumise (LFI), led by Jean-Luc Mélenchon, who is demanding that Macron appoint an NFP government, but most centrist parties and factions would not enter government with LFI, and NFP is far from a majority (it has 182 seats out of 577). Other NFP parties would probably be willing to join a broad coalition, but with what policies? Still, a thoroughly satisfying slap in the face for Le Pen – one may hope for internal ructions in the fascist party. Their spokespeople are whining about how unfair the second-round alliance between the left and the Macronists was, but that alliance, which involved a large number of candidates standing down instead of contesting the second round, would not have worked if a majority of the French people had not been willing to vote to thwart the fascists. On BBC Radio 4’s Today this morning, a fascist spokesperson was interviewed, and allowed to spew his lies with little comeback. Not unreasonable to interview him, but one would have thought that a representative of the winners would have been interviewed first. I suppose it ws annoying for the Beeb to have its “Rise of the Right*” narrative disrupted.
*Actually, I’ve noticed a switch in BBC terminology: both Le Pen’s fascists (the RN), and Reform Party UK Ltd. are now being labelled “Hard Right” rather than “Far Right”. Previously, “Hard right” has been reserved for right-wing factions in “centre-right” parties such as the Tories, with “Far Right” used for parties which hardly bother to disguise their racism but expel overtly fascist members, and “Extreme Right” for openly fascist ones.
birgerjohanssonsays
A 4,500-year-old collective tomb in France reveals final stage in formation of the ‘European genome’
BTW there were two distinct pulses of genome mixing ca 500 years apart, a fact I did not know.
(Also, Colin Renfrew might have been right – we cannot rule out that the anatolian neolithic farmers also used indo-european languages. But genes say nothing about languages)
KGsays
And after the empire had established itself, it was static (except for some details about how autocratic the rulers were) right up until the end. – birgerjohansson@70
That really is the most ridiculous tosh. Even if you date “the end” as the fall of the Western Empire in the late 5th century (which you shouldn’t, the Roman Empire lasted almost another millennium in the East), there was the extension of citizenship to all free inhabitants by Caracalla in 212 CE, the institution of co-emperors ruling the eastern (from Constantinople) and western halves of the Empire, the shift of the effective administrative capital of the west from Rome to Milan, the adoption of Christianity as the state religion, the reorganization of the army into frontier guards and mobile formations, the recruitment of large numbers of “barbarian” troops and settlement of “barbarian” populations within the bounds of the Empire…
A Sydney council has removed a “playful” artwork of Jesus Christ overlaid with Looney Tunes characters after a torrent of online abuse.
Sydney artist Philjames’ work, Jesus Speaks to the Daughters of Jerusalem, was removed from the Blake Art Prize exhibition at the Casula Powerhouse Arts Centre after fierce criticism was directed at the artist and gallery on Friday, just two days before the eight-week exhibition ended.
The biennial prize at the Liverpool city council gallery recognises contemporary artwork that explore spirituality and religion and draws artists from all beliefs and cultural backgrounds.
But a last-minute online protest claimed the 2023 oil-on-lithograph work mocked the Christian religion, with some protesters threatening the museum and its staff – many of whom are volunteers – with violence.
Chorus: And they’ll know we are Christians by our love, by our love,
yes, they’ll know we are Christians by our love.
Rob Grigjanissays
John @76: The Blake Art Prize? I suspect Blake would have disapproved of the removal.
I went to the Garden of Love,
And saw what I never had seen:
A Chapel was built in the midst,
Where I used to play on the green.
And the gates of this Chapel were shut,
And ‘Thou shalt not’ writ over the door;
So I turn’d to the Garden of Love,
That so many sweet flowers bore.
And I saw it was filled with graves,
And tomb-stones where flowers should be:
And Priests in black gowns, were walking their rounds,
And binding with briars, my joys & desires.
Physiological synchrony refers to the alignment of physiological responses between individuals. This can include parameters like heart rate, respiration, and skin conductance. When two people are physiologically in sync, their bodily functions align in a way that is measurable and often occurs naturally during interactions.
How the Supreme Court pulled a Jedi mind trick to elect and protect Trump
[…] there are so many implications written between the lines that fundamentally alter the balance of power among the branches, not only making the President effectively a king, but making the Court’s conservative majority the kingmakers who rubber stamp or veto what kinds of actions get immunity (thereby ensuring that any potential dictator is symbiotically dependent on the Court to preserve his facade of legitimacy).
[…] What you might notice if you follow the lines above [illustration available at the link] carefully is that the question of motive — the reason that an action was taken — doesn’t even enter the equation until after the determination of whether the actions was official or unofficial has been made. Indeed, the Court explicitly states that “In dividing official from unofficial conduct, courts may not inquire into the President’s motives.”
This is an astonishing statement, because it effectively means that it does not matter if a President uses the official levers of power with corrupt intent, for personal gain, or as retribution. In other words, the Court engages a sleight of hand where a critical distinction between lawful and unlawful conduct — the heart of criminal law, which rests on whether a person acted with a specific state of mind, or mens rea — ceases to exist when it comes to the President. Once this distinction is erased, the office of the presidency is basically a get out of jail free card, enabling the President to do pretty much anything that could plausibly be characterized as “official.” Take a look at this table: [table available at the link]
[…] The President Can Obstruct Justice
[…] so-called “process crimes” — crimes prohibiting obstruction, witness tampering, forging evidence, etc. — no longer apply to the President, provided he uses his own Justice Department or other executive branch officials to engage in them.
[…] In short, the Court implicitly reads the Take Care Clause as imposing no constraint on how the laws should be enforced, meaning that as long as the President uses his Attorney General or other “official” subordinates to obstruct justice or otherwise thwart the administration of justice, or commit any other crimes, he is untouchable.
The Court Sees the “Real” Problem as Sham, Politically-Motivated Prosecutions…Except When They are Actual Sham, Politically-Motivated Prosecutions
I’ve been hearing a refrain from the MAGA right that “the Court didn’t do anything new, it just stated how it has always been for the last 200 years.” I have seen this claim repeated on social media so many times that I can only conclude that Hannity or Breitbart has put it into circulation. In any event, it is, not surprisingly, untrue.
[…] the power to bring criminal cases is not only centralized in relatively few government prosecutors, but is limited by their ability to overcome evidentiary and procedural hurdles in charging and proving a case.
Writing for the Court, however, Justice Roberts thinks these due process protections aren’t enough to protect a former president. Apparently, not providing immunity would suddenly open the floodgates of prosecution (though the Court does not explain why this has never been a problem before now). This fiction can only be maintained, however, if you think that the motive for an action is irrelevant to whether an action can properly be considered official or not official. If you think that the intent matters, most ordinary criminal laws don’t even reach what we would consider lawful presidential acts. For example, in her partial dissent Justice Amy Coney Barrett notes that statutes prohibiting “unlawful” killings would not include military or law enforcement actions taken to protect U.S. interests, like if the president ordered a hostage rescue mission and some people got killed. (This public authority exception is also why the oft-cited argument that without immunity Obama could be prosecuted for ordering a drone strike against Anwar al-Awlaki is so dumb, and incorrect.)
In other words, absent evidence of a corrupt motive, prosecutors wouldn’t be incentivized to bring politically-motivated prosecutions because they simply wouldn’t be able to prove a case against a former president for executing his actual official duties, or even have probable cause to indict him. (Barrett notes that Presidents also get a benefit that most other defendants don’t enjoy, which is that they can challenge the constitutionality of a statute as applied to them before trial, allowing meritless charges to be thrown out from the get-go.)
[…] Because all official acts are completely shielded from any kind of investigation or review, a President can now use his Justice Department to bring false charges against former presidents for “unofficial” acts, and even fabricate evidence to do so. Indeed, the one act, and piece of evidence, which the Court explicitly took off the table in Jack Smith’s January 6 case was Trump’s orders to Acting Attorney General to Jeffrey Clark to send a letter to Georgia officials containing false allegations of voter fraud. That was an attempt at a sham investigation, based on fabricated allegations. That is now an official act, folks.
[…] In short, the Court conveniently places a bad faith former president out of the reach of a good faith sitting president […]
The Supreme Court cut the heart and soul out of America with this abominable decision… The defining maxim of America has been that no one is above the law. That can never be said about America again after this decision from the Supreme Court. Without any question whatsoever, the Supreme Court held that the President of the United States, and in particular, the former President of the United States Donald Trump, is above the law.
Sadly, the press has not been covering it as much as they should in proportion to the seriousness of what just happened. The Supreme Court essentially told this individual, who has been convicted of 34 felonies, that he will be immune from the activity he has told us he is prepared to engage in if he gets back into the White House. […]
In an interview with Robert Costa of CBS’ Face the Nation today, Costa asked Senator Sanders about the movements orchestrated in the Senate by conservative Democrat Senator Mark Warner to push POTUS aside in the wake of the debate performance brouhaha and whether he would participate. Senator Sanders replied:
“No. Look, Mark is a friend of mine, I like Mark, is one of the more conservative members of the Democratic Caucus. No, I have not been invited. No, I will not attend…Biden had a terrible debate performance. I think he’s done better since..But I think most importantly, now, this is not a beauty contest, it’s not a Grammy Award contest. It is a contest of who stands with the vast majority of the people in this country, the elderly, the children, working class, the poor. And that candidate is obviously Joe Biden.”
Earlier in the interview, Sanders also stated that Biden’s record with respect to being the “first president in American history to walk a picket line; to put more money into fighting climate change than any time in the history of this country and to rebuild our crumbling infrastructure makes him the clear choice for President.” He did however, advise POTUS to spell out in detail his agenda for the next term which will uplift the working class in his interactions with the public. He believes that if POTUS provides such a plan, he will not only win, but “win big.”
RNC Abortion Platform approved
No surprise that the platform was approved, this sort of thing is not brought to a vote until approval is pretty sure. The Trump campaign and the RNC are effectively one organization even more then usual for an election year. A couple of hard-line anti-abortion members were removed from the committee to insure it would vote strongly in approval.
The final wording follows Trump’s hand it back to the states formulation. It favors anti-abortion positions and has nothing that would oppose a national ban. It does slip in words about birth control that some hard liners won’t like but that is a minor matter.
This is essentially Trump washing his hands of the issue. Hand it back to the states and Trump can avoid saying anything about what he personally supports. He doesn’t want to be seen as pro or anti abortion because being pro-choice is much more popular nationally but will cost him right wing votes.
As a whole the new Republican Platform is expected to be much smaller then the previous one and apparently Trump will have a hand in writing the new one.
French voters defied the expectations of pollsters on Sunday as a progressive alliance soared to victory over right-wing nationalists in the country’s legislative elections. On Monday, President Emmanuel Macron, whose own centrist party came in second, refused the resignation of France’s prime minister. A new government is expected to emerge from a coalition of the progressive New Popular Front, which took the greatest number of seats, and Macron’s Ensemble alliance. Forming that coalition government may not go smoothly, but the nationalist National Rally was relegated to a third-place finish.
Marine Le Pen, the de facto leader of National Rally, had promised to curtail French support of Ukraine, end birthright citizenship, block immigrants from accessing social services, and align France with Russia. But on Monday, National Rally leaders found themselves complaining that progressive parties had cheated as they faced another cycle in the political wilderness.
The result follows a landslide victory for U.K.’s center-left Labour Party, which sent the Conservative Party packing after a 14-year hold on the British government. Labour leader Keir Starmer was sworn in as the new prime minister shortly thereafter, and the more progressive leadership promises to repair more than a decade of damage done to the national health care system, raise the minimum wage, provide free meals to schoolchildren, improve environmental protections and public transportation, and create a new, publicly owned energy company.
In other words, despite the rising threat against democracy in many places around the world (and at home), liberal democracy isn’t dead just yet.
There has been story after story suggesting that liberal democracy is on its last legs. That’s been particularly true over the last few years when authoritarian populists celebrated and supported by Russia have dominated reports on election cycles, both in America and Europe.
Stories continue to herald the rise of a new authoritarian right in Europe, but the nationalist leaders who often dominate headlines share one thing in common: They usually lose. Nigel Farage, leader of the far-right Reform U.K. party, may have given a so-called “victory speech” following his country’s elections, but his party took just 14% of the vote. That’s more than Reform earned in previous elections, but the result earned them only five seats in the U.K.’s 650-seat House of Commons—five seats that are worth a lot less without a right-wing government in charge.
Germany’s far-right Alternatives for Germany party may have increased its support in the last round of elections, but it still earned less than 16% of the vote in the European Parliament elections held on June 9. That’s slightly below what polls showed a week from the election, and far below what they showed a few months earlier.
Outside of Europe, Mexico celebrated a substantial progressive victory last month, when Claudia Sheinbaum and her left-wing Morena party took the highest percentage of the vote in that nation’s democratic history. In India, parties on the left overperformed expectations, though they failed to displace a right-wing leader.
The pundits ready to play taps for democracy in Europe need to take off their funeral suits because it doesn’t seem like liberal democracy is going anywhere this week. If anything, it’s the right-wing parties that have emerged from recent elections rattled by voters who moved to install more progressive leadership. It seems like nationalists may have had their big moment in 2016 with the unexpected victory of Donald Trump in the United States and the shocking vote for “Brexit” in the U.K.
Since then, Brexit has been recognized as a mistake, with recent polling showing that most Britons want to rejoin the European Union’s single market, and now voters in the U.K. have kicked out the Tories, who were responsible for the Brexit vote. And in the U.S., voters held up their end in 2020.
Now we just have to do it again.
Marine Le Pen:
Marine Le Pen: “The policies I represent are the policies that are represented by Trump and Putin.”
The House Republicans’ most reliable conspiracy theorist is trying to make political hay out of President Joe Biden’s bad debate night and the ensuing media feeding frenzy and Democratic bed-wetting. Oversight Committee Chair James Comer is demanding an interview with Biden’s doctor, suggesting in his letter that White House physician Kevin O’Connor is part of the Biden “crime family” and is covering up Biden’s health.
No, seriously. Comer writes that the committee is “concerned your medical assessments have been influenced by your private business endeavors with the Biden family,” and that “evidence obtained by the committee shows your [O’Connor’s] and James Biden’s involvement with Americore Health, LLC. James Biden, the President’s brother, used funds from Americore to pay Joe Biden $200,000 as the company was facing financial distress.” Americore Health operates a number of rural hospitals.
He continues, writing that on the “same day James Biden received the $200,000 wire transfer from Americore into his bank account, James Biden wrote a check to his brother, Joe Biden, for $200,000 for a ‘loan repayment.’” Yes, the scare quotes are in the original.
“Given your connections with the Biden family, the Committee also seeks to understand if you are in a position to provide accurate and independent reviews of the President’s fitness to serve,” Comer wrote.
In February, O’Connor examined Biden, finding he is a “healthy, vigorous, 80-year-old male, who is fit to successfully execute the duties of the presidency.” O’Connor wrote that Biden underwent “an extremely detailed neurologic exam” and that there were “no findings which would be consistent with any cerebellar or other central neurological disorder.” O’Connor has been Biden’s personal doctor since 2009.
[…] Yes, this latest from Comer is whack and ridiculous, but it’s also an entirely predictable GOP response to Democrats publicly shitting the bed over Biden’s health, and as Markos wrote, their “inability to keep their eye on the ball.”
The longer Democrats feed the traditional media beast with their angst, the more you will see moves like this from the GOP.
Posted by readers of the article:
we’re going to see this kind of garbage from Republicans no matter what happens. I do not believe we should be tailoring or altering our race because of it.
————————
It’s especially rich, and exceedingly lame, for anyone associated with the Trump crime family to try to cast the Democratic president in a similar mold. The only theory of management that Trump has even a passing understanding of is “crime boss.”
——————————
That report says Biden met with the neurologist in January and March so far this year, that doesn’t sound like a medical emergency. There are physical tests for dementia looking for proteins in the brain. A preliminary pencil and paper test is an indicator for random patients. I would guess that the medical staff has extensive data on the President health not available to ordinary US seniors.
——————————-
Pop quiz for Rep.Comer, someone you loves needs emergency medical care and your only choices are:
a) President Biden’s White House physician, Dr. Kevin O’Connor
b) The Cheeto Jesus’ witch doctor/drug mule, Dr. Ronny Jackson (or is it Johnson)?
Pick one or your loved one dies. Pick the wrong one and your loved one dies.
——————————–
Biden had a test in February of this year. A pretty extensive test, not like the little mock test that TFG went through for the MSM.
[…] Comer and his fellow Republicans looked into all this crap during their interminable investigations of the Biden family over the last year and a half. The “loans” from Americore were actually payments James Biden took in lieu of a 35 percent stake in the company that he had decided he did not want. The $200,000 he gave his brother was payback for another loan the president had given him. He denied in an interview with Oversight that he had made the “open doors” comment, and no one seems to have ever found any evidence to contradict him on any of this.
It is not even clear from the transcript of James Biden’s interview with Oversight how Kevin O’Connor fits in with Biden’s involvement with Americore, other than he was Joe Biden’s personal physician while he was vice president and the company had something to do with medical services. It’s a bit like if Comer was investigating “The Daily Show” for something and wanted to question Wonkette because we also write politically themed humor.
In short, this was yet another wild hair the Republicans had up their ass, they couldn’t prove anything illegal or unethical had gone on, and they were reduced to their usual impotent sputtering.
The White House dismissed Comer’s letter to O’Connor as him indulging yet again in silly conspiracy theories. […].
2 dead as Beryl, now a tropical storm, batters Houston area
Tropical Storm Beryl is pulling away from Houston after pounding the city and region with intense winds and rain. More than 2.7 million people are without power in Texas, according to poweroutage.us. At least two people have been killed in the storm, officials said. Beryl made landfall as a Category 1 hurricane about 4 a.m. Central time Monday near Matagorda and was downgraded to a tropical storm later Monday morning, the National Hurricane Center said. […]
Houston airports are essentially nonoperational for most of Monday, as airlines have canceled hundreds of flights in and out of the city in the morning and afternoon, according to fly2Houston.com.
[…] A tornado watch is in effect through 10 p.m. in the border region of Texas and Louisiana as well as parts of southwestern Arkansas. This area is north and east of the center of Tropical Storm Beryl, in a favorable zone for tornadoes to develop.
Around 2:30 p.m. Central time, more than 10 tornado warnings were active in northeast Texas and western Louisiana, including two for “confirmed large and extremely dangerous” twisters. […]
More at the link.
Beryl hit in areas seeing some of the world’s fastest rates of sea level rise.
The S&P 500 is coming off its fourth positive week in the last five amid optimism that easing inflation could lead to a Federal Reserve interest rate cut.
Yaroslava Mahuchikh, who left her hometown of Dnipro shortly after the war with Russia began, erased a mark that had stood for 37 years.
[…] The 22-year-old Mahuchikh and world indoor champion Nicola Olyaslagers both cleared 2.01 meters on their second attempt. After Olyslagers failed three times at 2.03, Mahuchikh cleared that height to secure victory.
She then cleared 2.07 meters to set a Ukrainian record and had the bar raised to 2.10, which she cleared on her first try.
[…] Mahuchikh left her hometown of Dnipro shortly after the war with Russia began. Like virtually all elite athletes in her country, she has been training in foreign countries while keeping tabs on the war back home. She has been outspoken about the role Ukrainian sports can play to give signs of hope to those fighting for Ukraine’s survival.
“We all are fighting for our people, for our soldiers,” she said last month after defending her European title. “We want to show every person in the world that we will continue fighting […] We should fight in every field to show that Ukraine is strongest.”
World Athletics, which runs track on a global basis, has banned all Russian athletes from next month’s Olympic track meet, a decision Mahuchikh agrees with.
Just last weekend, World Athletics president Sebastian Coe visited Kyiv and reiterated his support for the Ukrainian effort in the war.
“Nothing I witnessed tells me that the decision we’ve taken is anything other than the right decision, but the right decision on behalf of our sport,” Coe said.
Donald Trump’s denial of Project 2025 has morphed into a classic example of the “Streisand Effect,” finally bringing threats of this dangerous, radical plan to public attention. By lying about his connection to the plan, Trump has generated a rise in reporting and public interest that is making Americans aware of a scheme to turn the federal government into a “fascist’s paradise.”
Trump’s denial was spurred by the pushback generated when Kevin Roberts, leader of the Heritage Foundation, which developed Project 2025, threatened to kill the left if they failed to roll over to the authoritarian capture of the government. “We are in the process of the second American Revolution, which will remain bloodless if the left allows it to be,” Roberts said on the far-right news channel America’s Voice.
President Joe Biden’s campaign responded to this threat with a statement that strongly attacked “Donald Trump’s revenge, resentment, and retribution.” Then Trump responded by claiming that he knew “nothing about Project 2025.”
The fresh attention brought to Project 2025 through Trump’s loud denial has generated an increase in stories in the media and a surge of interest online: [Chart at the link]
Trump’s denial has now entered the second round, as surrogates like Marco Rubio march forth to repeat his false claims. But even as Rubio tries to brush this off as “think tank stuff,” and Trump advisers try to disown their involvement, expanding the effort to place a facade between Trump and Trump’s aggressive plan for reshaping America in his image is likely to only continue to generate more coverage. A big part of that is his claims of ignorance are so ridiculous. [X post and list of Trump acolytes who are involved]
Project 2025 contains so many horrors, that it seems like it should have been at the top of every newspaper every day. Reporters have sporadically mentioned aspects of the plan for months, including how it plans to purge the federal government, weaponize the DOJ, and threaten democracy. And let’s not forget cutting Social Security, eliminating Medicare, and putting immigrants in “camps.” But when compared to the incredible levels of attention given to other stories in this election, a scheme that contains so much potential destruction has gotten off incredibly lightly. [Biden-Harris X post showing list of main goals of Trump’s Project 2025]
Even now, too many of the stories in the news still treat Project 2025 as if it’s nothing more than a distraction for Democrats rather than something that should concern every voter in the nation.
To highlight only a few aspects of the plan, Project 2025 would reclassify 50,000 federal workers so they could be easily dismissed and replaced with a MAGA army of Trump loyalists. Those loyalists could then execute the plan and lock down America in a vision of right-wing Christian nationalism.
“It is not enough for conservatives to win elections,” reads the introduction to the plan. “If we are going to rescue the country from the grip of the radical Left, we need both a governing agenda and the right people in place, ready to carry this agenda out on day one of the next conservative administration.”
It demands that the FDA reverse its approval of abortion drugs or support for military members seeking abortion. It takes the right-wing war on diversity to a new level, requiring that regulations delete any terms for gender, gender equality, or reproductive rights and makes a case for ending enforcement of hate crime legislation by saying that Americans shouldn’t be deprived of “their First Amendment rights.”
Both the authors and supporters of the plan call it a “handbook for dismantling the administrative state,” devolving the nation into a collection of states under one ultra-powerful executive.
The list contained in the image above doesn’t even come close to containing everything that it features in the 900-page plan, such as a scheme to end public broadcasting and turn Voice of America into a propaganda outlet for the National Security Council.
It’s taken too long for the media to start talking about Project 2025 in a way that’s garnering serious public attention. […]
of the 38 people responsible for writing and editing Project 2025, 31 were appointed or nominated to positions in the Trump administration and transition. […] Trump’s claim that he has “nothing to do” with the people behind Project 2025 is clearly false.
[…]
Prior to the 2016 election, the Heritage Foundation created a similar project called “Mandate for Leadership.” […] “334 unique policy recommendations.” One year into Trump’s term, […] “64 percent of the policy prescriptions were included in Trump’s budget, implemented through regulatory guidance, or under consideration for action in accordance with The Heritage Foundation’s original proposals.”
Seventy Heritage Foundation employees had already joined the administration, and other Heritage officials “briefed administration officials on the recommendations […]”
[…]
In October 2017, Trump was the keynote speaker at a Heritage Foundation event […] He credited the organization with helping him confirm Justice Neil Gorsuch and “ending the war on beautiful coal.” Trump said that he needed “the help of the Heritage Foundation” to advance other priorities, including large tax cuts. He concluded by expressing his “gratitude” to “the dedicated scholars and staff at the Heritage Foundation.”
Kristi Noem, the Republican governor of South Dakota who has been dogged by controversy since recounting how she chose to shoot dead a puppy and a goat, attracted new questions when it was noted that some of her official social media accounts appeared to have been deleted.
On Monday, a link from Noem’s official website led to an error message on Facebook, which said: “This content isn’t available right now. When this happens, it’s usually because the owner only shared it with a small group of people, changed who can see it or it’s been deleted.”
On Twitter/X, the governor’s site linked to Noem’s personal page. The official @GovKristiNoem page displayed the message “This account doesn’t exist”.
A new X account, @GovNoemOffice, created this month, had 309 followers, far fewer than the roughly half-million of Noem’s old account.
The new official account featured links to press releases.
[…]
Noem’s spokesperson, Ian Fury, told news outlets the new X page was the source for official updates but did not say what happened to the old account or why it was deleted.
U.S. troops formally withdrew from a major air base in Niger on Monday, the first of two bases to be evacuated by American forces after Niamey fell to a military coup in 2023 and Nigerien officials ordered Washington to leave.
American forces left Air Base 101, near the capital of Niamey, after a ceremony formalizing the departure of the troops, according to U.S. Africa Command (Africom).
[…] The U.S. will leave Air Base 201 in the city of Agadez in September.
U.S. Air Force Maj. Gen. Kenneth Ekman, Africom’s director of strategy, engagement and programs, said he was grateful for the orderly and safe withdrawal of American troops.
A military junta took control of Niger in July 2023, part of a series of Sahel countries falling to coups in recent years. Niamey has since grown closer to Russia.
The transition process to leave Air Base 101 began on May 19 when the U.S. and Niger signed a document stipulating the terms of withdrawal.
[…] “United States Africa Command will maintain our focus on building partner capacity and strengthening relationships and trust,” he said. “We are committed to listening to West African militaries to best support their partner-led, U.S. enabled operations to counter violent extremism and improve security and stability.”
Niger is north of Nigeria.
Imagine a pyramid getting wider at the bottom. Likewise, the name of Nigeria (“underneath” Niger) is longer than Niger.
.
Lynna, OM @ 94
😄
birgerjohanssonsays
Anton Petrov:
“Geological Solution to the Fermi Paradox: Plate Tectonics and Alien Life”
.https://youtube.com/watch?v=6sTbkHDXEA0
Yeah. There may be plenty of primitive life, but getting beyond that probably requires plate tectonics.
I say it over and over again: “being the only known sapient life means we have a special duty to survive, and preserve the biosphere”
CompulsoryAccount7746, Sky Captainsays
Reminder of Heritage Foundation’s thinking regarding contraception.
Conservatives have to lead the way in restoring sex to its true purpose, & ending recreational sex & senseless use of birth control pills.
[Embedded video of Mary Harrington]:
[Claimed birth control causes bipolar-like personality changes to drug women into accepting degrading sex.]
It seems to me that a good place to start would be a feminist movement against the pill, and for rewilding sex, returning the danger to sex, returning the intimacy and really the consequentiality to sex.
And a great deal follows from an intentional reconnection of women’s opting intentionally to reconnect with the fullness of our embodied nature.
built atop one fundamental premise: There are unalterable differences between the sexes, and mainstream feminism has ignored them at women’s expense. This idea is at the core of Harrington’s indictment of casual sex. In her telling, the Pill may have reduced women’s susceptibility to pregnancy, but it did not erase the psychological predispositions that males and females inherited from millennia of evolution.
[…]
women prefer a committed relationship to casual hookups. But the existence of oral contraception and legal abortion—combined with feminism’s insistence on male and female interchangeability—has left them without an excuse for withholding sex until commitment is offered. […] they extrapolate that predatory high-status men are each stringing along several women at a time, exploiting them for degrading and unfulfilling sex […] before assembling new harems.
[…]
She posits that people have gravitated toward BDSM as a way of compensating for the drab safety of protected sex, writing that eliminating the risk of pregnancy “takes much of the dark, dangerous and profoundly intimate joy out of sex” […] She provides approximately zero evidence for this theory. […] it seems doubtful to me that the majority turn to BDSM in an attempt to recapture the lost “thrill” of worrying mid-coitus that a condom just broke.
John Moralessays
It’s Anton Petrov, of course it’s just clickbait. Goes without saying, really.
I say it over and over again: “being the only known sapient life means we have a special duty to survive, and preserve the biosphere”
Why? I certainly don’t feel that duty.
Heck, I made sure to never have children, as I wanted neither the responsibility or the resource expenditure they would necessitate.
(Yes, I know, the concept is that life entails being biological, which is basically geocentrism, but that’s just a definition. But that’s begging the question)
Living off grid is a dream for many. But if you want to combine that lifestyle with an electric vehicle, then charging that vehicle up at home is going to be a headache. At least it was…until now. A US start-up has just started taking orders for a DC to DC ‘Solar to Vehicle’ battery charger, and one of the worlds largest solar PV brands, Solar Edge, is hot on their heels with their own competitive product. One more step on your off-grid odyssey?
—
The focus is in off-grid, but I have for a very long time been amused that so many devices we use are DC-powered though household power supplies are AC.
So all those devices need the AC power to be converted to DC with all the attendant losses and limitations involved.
(“Power adapters”)
JMsays
I have seen several commentators online mocking the idea that Trump doesn’t know about Project 2025. Honestly, I wouldn’t be surprised if he doesn’t. Yes he has pulled a lot of people recommended by the Heritage Foundation, but he isn’t the sort to care what they do as long as they say “Yes Mr President” when Trump asks them to do something. He isn’t the sort to get into long term or large scale planning.
He never got anywhere on building a wall along the south because he couldn’t get organized enough or manage the government well enough. He is the sort of manager that calls in from the golf course most of the time and never shows up for strategic planning sessions. His contribution to company planning is “Make it so” and “Why isn’t it done yet?”.
When Project 2025 came up somebody told Trump it was long term planning and he wandered off to harass a secretary.
John Moralessays
JM, in my estimation, it’s just a convenient thing to have around.
He doesn’t give a shit about any specific agenda, any specific policy, any particular tactic, any given strategy.
He just wants to be The Man.
(No more, but no less, either)
whheydtsays
Re: JM @ #104…
I seriously doubt that he doesn’t know it exists. He probably knows some of what’s in it. He probably doesn’t know much of the details. His complete denial is very much in the same vein as “I never met her” and “she’s not my type”. In other words…a damned lie. If he weren’t ignorant of so much on so many topics, I would assert that he uses log-log paper…but he wouldn’t understand that.
John Moralessays
Quick update on Russia’s quick and easy special operation:
An overview of the frontlines in Ukraine and what to expect in the coming months.
0:00 Intro
0:39 Kharkiv sector
3:22 Donbas frontline
5:57 The southtern front
6:37 Kharkiv diversion?
7:47 Strategic bombing
8:31 The big picture
9:35 Point of culmination
10:04 The coming months
birgerjohanssonsays
John Morales @ 102
A psychozooicum is the beginning of sapience, but there is no need to assume it cannot make the leap to silica and metal over geologic time scales (assuming HAL9000 would be around at 2001 was way too optimistic).
But for that to happen, the squiggly carbon thingies (that’s us) need to avoid self-extinction. Despite narcissistic buggers like Bojo and Trump (and the oligarchs that finance them).
birgerjohanssonsays
No surprises here. The Guardian:
“Conditions at UK immigration removal centre ‘worst inspectors have seen’ | Immigration and asylum |
blockquote>But for that to happen, the squiggly carbon thingies (that’s us) need to avoid self-extinction.</
blockquote>
Here’s the nub. The Omphalos.
What about after that has happened?
(And yes, I too think the Culture represents the best aspirational outcome in the long run)
—
Hey, have you read Blindsight?
(Thesis: sapience is not just over-rated, but an impediment to living)
KGsays
birgerjohansson@93,
Of course the media CEOs are lying shitbags, but anyone not convinced of the extent of Biden’s decline should compare his performance in the interview with Stephanopoulos (which was supposed to show that the debate was just a “bad night”) with recordings from the 2020 contest. You can do so here. The contrast is stark and shocking.
John Moralessays
KG, FWIW, I recently saw both Jon Stewart and Stephen colbert (in YouTube over the last few hours) and they are both rather scathing and, well, agree with your stance.
(Which is not insignificant, if not as great as the power that print media retains in the UK)
birgerjohanssonsays
Jon Stewart has a talent for cutting through the BS.
birgerjohanssonsays
John Morales @ 110
Yes, I have read Blindsight. Scary. The sequel is scarier.
The Culture is a much better future.
.
Neal Asher has written a series of books about The Polity, not quite as anarchistic as the Culture. Earth Central dominates their federation.
The Prador aliens (with biological constraints that pre-adapt them to being vicious) are the nastiest beleivable aliens I have read about.
birgerjohanssonsays
..‘I was handed to a complete stranger’: the survivors fighting to end child marriage in 37 US states — and the people who want to keep it legal
It’s not a secret that Donald Trump spends a great deal of time watching television, which means he occasionally sees Democratic campaign ads — many of which note President Joe Biden’s accomplishments. If I had to guess, I’d say the former president saw just such an ad yesterday afternoon, leading to this item by way of his social media platform:
“I got the price of Insulin for seniors brought WAY DOWN, not Biden. He just inherited this, and many other things, and then always tries to take credit for it. He’s done nothing but destroy our Country!!!”
If the message sounded at all familiar, it’s not your imagination. About a month ago, the presumptive Republican nominee published this item, insisting, “Low INSULIN PRICING was gotten for millions of Americans by me.” He added that the Democratic incumbent “had NOTHING to do with it.”
Soon after, during the first presidential debate of the 2024 cycle, Biden briefly referenced his success in making insulin more affordable. Trump was outraged. “I’m the one that got the insulin down for the seniors,” the former president claimed. “I took care of the seniors.”
The day after the debate, Trump held a rally in Virginia and repeated the lie. “I was the one that got you the inexpensive [insulin], not him,” the Republican said, adding, “I did the insulin!” [video at the link]
Even by Trump standards, this is pretty weird. Indeed, the truth is unambiguous, whether the former president understands it or not.
In reality, it’s true that Trump said he would address insulin costs while in office, but he didn’t. The issue then fell to Biden, who signed the Democrats’ Inflation Reduction Act — which included the policy on insulin costs. As a result, American consumers are benefiting from a policy that caps the cost of insulin at $35.
Complicating matters, Trump isn’t just claiming credit for one of Biden’s accomplishments, he’s also planning to undo the Inflation Reduction Act, which would necessarily mean the end of the price caps that the Republican is falsely attributing to himself.
It doesn’t help that the former president might not know what insulin is. At an event four years ago, for example, the then-Republican president said, “I don’t use insulin. Should I be? Huh? I never thought about it. But I know a lot of people are very badly affected, right? Unbelievable.”
To this day, I still don’t know what point he was trying to communicate. Nevertheless, the issue has returned to the fore in an unexpected way, and Trump’s rhetoric is plainly bonkers.
The fact that the Republican National Committee has written a platform suggests the party has finally cleared a low bar. It was, after all, just four years ago when the RNC — for the first time since 1856 — skipped the platform-writing process altogether and instead declared that it simply wanted whatever Donald Trump said he wanted.
With this in mind, the fact that Republicans actually bothered to write down their principles, priorities, values and goals certainly looks like progress — at least until one actually reads the document the party produced. USA Today’s Rex Huppke made the case that the Republicans’ new platform reads as if it were generated “by an authoritarian-leaning AI that was fed a Trump rally transcript.”
On Monday, the Republican National Committee’s platform committee adopted the strangest document ever created and declared it the party’s new official platform. It was less a serious expression of a party’s values and plans for governing and more a reminder that Republicans think actual policy proposals are for woke ninnies and American voters should just shut up and let billionaires control things.
What, specifically, makes the Republican platform so extraordinary? Let us count the ways.
The preamble: Before the blueprint begins in earnest, there’s a preamble, spanning nearly three pages, which appears to have been written by Trump himself. It’s filled with vapid, all-caps, bumper-sticker-style declarations, featuring a combination of vague goals and proposals that President Joe Biden has already delivered.
The contents: Some of the reporting about the new RNC blueprint has suggested that it was made deliberately more “moderate” than some far-right partisans preferred. Don’t believe it. As American Bridge’s Brandon Weathersby summarized in a statement, “The Republican National Committee platform is one of the most extreme party platforms ever in the history of modern presidential elections.” From immigration to education, taxes to law enforcement, there should be no doubt that this assessment is correct.
The omissions: Hoping to avoid campaign-season attacks, the Republican platform no longer calls for federal prohibitions against abortion and same-sex marriage, but as the editorial board of The Washington Post summarized, “The former president wants the 2024 GOP platform to be anodyne, but don’t be fooled. He has an extreme agenda.”
The language: It was hard not to notice that the new Republican platform condemns “Christian-hating Communists,” which is a phrase with a deeply ugly history.
The length: The party’s platform in 2016 was nearly 60 pages. There were some reports indicating that this total, at Trump’s insistence, would be cut in half. Those reports understated matters: The actual text of the 2024 platform spans roughly 10 pages — reinforcing the fact that the contemporary Republican Party just isn’t serious about governing and policymaking.
The process: While Republicans have spent decades crafting the party’s platform in public, this year, the process was moved behind closed doors. Even more incredibly, Politico published this report on the way in which the platform was approved: “Representatives from Trump’s campaign walked around the room with a ‘vote yes’ sign as voice votes were being held. … One RNC member who was present inquired about why staff of the Trump campaign and RNC were taking photographs of delegates as they voted.”
For now, the document is still a draft platform: As NBC News reported, the blueprint “still must get approval from the full Republican National Committee.” Watch this space.
The Kansas Supreme Court reaffirmed abortion protections in the state’s Constitution on Friday, striking down Republican-backed laws that banned a common second-trimester abortion procedure and created additional licensing requirements for abortion clinics.
Senator Mike Lee is spreading he lies, (as reported by the Salt Lake Tribune):
On Friday evening, Utah Sen. Mike Lee used his personal X/Twitter account to amplify a baseless claim that President Joe Biden was having a “medical emergency” on Air Force One. It’s unclear if Lee tried to verify the falsehood before sharing it with his 224,000 followers.
There’s ignorant, and then there’s Marjorie Taylor Greene:
Representative Marjorie Taylor Greene spent the Fourth of July weekend getting barbecued after boldly declaring that several people who did not sign the Declaration of Independence were signers of America’s most well-known document. […]
James Madison, Alexander Hamilton, James Monroe, Aaron Burr, Paul Revere, and George Washington were not signers of the Declaration of Independence.
Additional commentary:
It’s unclear where Greene got this information, what prompted her to post it, or why, days after making it, she hasn’t taken it down or corrected it. One user mused that were Greene to have to take a citizenship test, as all immigrants to the United States seeking citizenship must do, she would likely fail, while others wondered how a sitting member of Congress could be so brazenly ill informed about U.S. history. […]
Why do we have people making laws who couldn’t pass a fifth grade history class? […]
I know this is crazy, but hear me out—maybe we shouldn’t elect morons to Congress. […]
Other users skewered Greene by building on her list of signers detached from reality, adding names like Karl Marx, Gandalf, Kermit the Frog, and Beethoven. […]
Only two of the people Greene named actually signed the Declaration of Independence: Thomas Jefferson, who wrote it, and John Hancock, who was the first to sign it. Here’s the full list of the signers of the Declaration of Independence, and here’s an explainer about the differences between the Declaration of Independence, the Bill of Rights, and the Constitution.
From the explainer:
[…] the Declaration, the Constitution, and the Bill of Rights are different kinds of documents with different purposes. The Declaration was designed to justify breaking away from a government; the Constitution and Bill of Rights were designed to establish a government. The Declaration stands on its own—it has never been amended—while the Constitution has been amended 27 times. (The first ten amendments are called the Bill of Rights.) The Declaration and Bill of Rights set limitations on government; the Constitution was designed both to create an energetic government and also to constrain it. […]
birgerjohanssonsays
Lynna OM @ 118
Ever since the Tea Party I have known the Republicans are ‘special’.
FFS Candance Owens is flirting with flat-Earth belief.
Yesterday evening I saw the first thing that made me think Joe Biden will weather this storm and remain the Democrats’ candidate for President. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez appeared outside the Capitol stating clearly and categorically that Biden’s in the race and she supports him. Period. Interestingly she referred to having spoken to him “extensively” over the weekend. By my subjective impression, she didn’t say this, as I’ve seen some Democrats say things over the last week, in a way that struck me as a holding pattern remark. AOC obviously carries a lot of weight in the progressive wing of the party. But beyond that she has exceptionally good political instincts, both as to the general election as well as the mood within the congressional party. When I saw the video of her comments it was the first card I’d seen on the table in ten days which made me think this whole drama would go in President’s direction.
Then after seeing this I saw something that happened earlier in the day but which I hadn’t seen yet. (I spent much of the afternoon working on something else.) The Congressional Black Caucus came out squarely in favor of the President. This fits a historical pattern. The CBC remained steadfast for Bill Clinton in his most beleaguered days. But it also lines up with what I’d heard anecdotally about reactions to the last week among many African-American voters.
This thing has spun in so many directions I’m not inclined to make any predictions. But these developments strike me as very big deals.
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. is a conspiracy-spouting, fact-hating jackass whose work spreading lies about vaccines directly led to the death of children. However, he’s still politically astute enough that when Vanity Fair ran a story on July 2 claiming that he had eaten a dog, Kennedy rushed to deny it.
Kennedy may have denied chowing down on a canine, but he did not deny the other part of the Vanity Fair story—the part alleging that he sexually assaulted a former nanny. In fact, Kennedy seemed both to confirm the story and find it all amusing.
“I’m not a church boy,” Kennedy told the host of the “Breaking Points” podcast, adding that he had “many skeletons in my closet.”
News stories about Kennedy over the past few days have focused on his standing in the polls and his engagement with 9/11 conspiracies. And, of course, there were several more stories about Kennedy denying that he ate that dog. What seems to be avoiding any scrutiny is that other sordid allegation revealed by Vanity Fair.
Because America, or at least the American media, seems to care more about dead dogs than it does the live women who are victims of sexual assault.
[snipped details of South Dakota Gov. Kristi Noem shooting a dog]
But when it comes to the other half of that RFK Jr. story, here’s the entire exchange from that “Breaking Points” interview:
Host: Vanity Fair came out with a major profile today. I want to give you a chance to respond to this. There’s a photo circulating, I believe with you posing with what looks like a dog and also—a barbecued dog. I’m not going to show the picture. I’m a dog lover and I know you have pets yourself. And also a sexual assault allegation from one of your former nannies. So I want to give you a chance to respond to that.
Kennedy: The article is a lot of garbage. The picture of me they said is of me eating a dog is actually me eating a goat in Patagonia on a white water trip many years ago on the Futaleufú River. They have an expert that has identified that as a dog carcass. It’s just not true. You know, in terms of the other allegations, listen, I said this from the beginning. I am not a church boy. I am not running like that. I said it in my— I had a very, very rambunctious youth. I said in my announcement speech that I have so many skeletons in my closet, that if they could all vote I could run for king of the world. So, Vanity Fair is recycling 30-year-old stories and I’m not going to comment on the details of any of them, but, you know, I am who I am.
This isn’t a denial. This is the opposite of a denial. This is a dismissal of sexual assault as just something very rambunctious. As a byproduct of youth. As “boys will be boys.”
The story about the nanny is in fact from 1998, so Kennedy’s claim about the story’s age is only off by about four years. But when it comes to his age, Kennedy was 44 years old at the time. Is there anyone who genuinely believes that a 44-year-old married man represents “rambunctious youth”?
[snipped details of Trump having being an adjudicated sexual abuser]
One dead dog may keep anyone from running for high office. But it seems that any number of live women who are victims of sexual assault can be overlooked, or minimized as youthful hijinks of the type men talk about in locker rooms.
As much as we all love dogs, something about that just seems wrong.
President Joe Biden’s terrible performance at the June 27 presidential debate has raised concerns about his age, health and ability to lead the federal government.
Administration officials have blamed his confused and at times indecipherable answers at the debate with Republican Donald Trump on a head cold, exhaustion and poor preparation at Camp David. But at 81, Biden has found his health to be a key issue for many voters going into November’s election. Dr. Kevin O’Connor, Biden’s physician, issued his first comment since the debate late Monday, after White House press secretary Karine Jean-Pierre struggled to address questions about the president’s health at Monday’s news briefing. [I saw the briefing. I thought Karine Jean-Pierre answered the questions well.]
HOW OFTEN DOES THE PRESIDENT SEE A DOCTOR?
Biden has extensive yearly physical exams, Jean-Pierre said. She added that most Americans don’t understand the extent of the medical care provided to the president, as many people are lucky if they get to see their doctors once or twice a year. By contrast, the president’s medical unit is “just steps down from the residence” at the White House. “A couple times a week,” Biden does a “verbal check-in with his doctor while he’s exercising,” Jean-Pierre said, adding that he had a check-in on Monday.
There has been confusion as to whether Biden saw his doctor about his cold after the presidential debate on June 27. The White House initially said there was no medical exam, but it later said there was a “short verbal check-in” and it was determined that no exam was needed.
HAS THE PRESIDENT SEEN A NEUROLOGIST?
“He has seen a neurologist three times,” said Jean-Pierre. “Not more than that.”
The White House spokesperson repeated the phrase “three times” in 17 instances during the Monday briefing. She stressed that all three meetings with a neurologist were tied to the president’s annual physical exams. But Jean-Pierre declined to say where Biden had seen the neurologist — whether the visits were at Walter Reed National Military Medical Center or elsewhere. “I don’t have anything to state as to location,” she said.
HAVE BIDEN’S PHYSICAL EXAMS FOUND SIGNS OF PARKINSON’S OR OTHER NEUROLOGICAL DISEASES?
Not according to the report of the president’s most recent physical, issued in February. Jean-Pierre cited that document Monday in response to reporters’ questions.
That letter said “an extremely detailed neurologic exam was again reassuring” in that there were no findings consistent with a stroke, multiple sclerosis, Parkinson’s or ascending lateral sclerosis. The letter added that no tremors or “motor weakness” were detected. Written by Biden’s physician, O’Connor, the letter added that Biden “demonstrates excellent fine motor dexterity.”
WHY HAS A NEUROLOGIST SPECIALIZING IN PARKINSON’S VISITED THE WHITE HOUSE?
Visitor logs show that Dr. Kevin Cannard, a neurologist who has conducted research into Parkinson’s, went to the White House eight times between July 2023 and this past March.
Jean-Pierre declined to confirm the name of the doctor or say why he was going to the White House. She told reporters this was due to security reasons and noted that the White House medical unit treats more people than just the president. “There are thousands of military personnel who come on to this White House,” Jean-Pierre said. “Many of them get the care from the White House medical unit and so we need to be super careful.”
Jean-Pierre encouraged the public to “connect the dots.”
Later Monday, O’Connor released a letter with the permission of both Biden and Cannard and confirmed that Cannard had been the neurologist who evaluated the president at each of his three physicals since he took office.
But most of Cannard’s visits to the White House were pursuant to his role as a specialist attached to the White House Medical Unit, treating patients there for a wide array of neurological issues over a dozen years, O’Connor said.
Cannard made similar trips to the White House during the Obama administration, according to visitor logs, and during the Trump administration — which did not publish visitor logs — according to a person familiar with the matter who spoke on condition of anonymity.
Cannard did have one visit with Biden’s personal physician this January in the White House Residence clinic, weeks before the president’s physical in February. O’Connor repeated that the findings of that physical that didn’t detect signs of any neurological disorder.
“President Biden has not seen a neurologist outside of his annual physical,” O’Connor said in his letter.
COULD BIDEN WAIVE HIS RIGHTS AND MAKE HIS FULL MEDICAL RECORDS PUBLIC?
At Monday’s news briefing, Jean-Pierre was asked whether Biden could choose to release his full medical records. She said the president had “shared a comprehensive medical report that is pretty detailed” and in line with what was provided by former Presidents Barack Obama and George W. Bush. Sen. John McCain, in 2008, allowed reporters to review more than 1,100 pages of his medical records when he was running for president at 71, which would have made him the oldest elected president at the time.
“Joe Biden is our nominee. He is not leaving this race. He is in this race, and I support him.” She added: “What is critically important right now is that we focus on what it takes to win in November, because he is running against Donald Trump, who is a man with 34 felony convictions.”
CompulsoryAccount7746, Sky Captainsays
A warning about Peter Watts’ book Blindsight—not its philosophizing but rather some grating tropes employed.
a book with neither an autistic author nor autistic characters […] despite the aforementioned lack, this is a book that keeps coming up every so often in discussions of autism in SFF. […] I want to talk about why that is, and what an autistic reader might get out of this book
[…]
The character […] most often described as autistic—or as an unintentional autistic stereotype—is the narrator […] he has difficulty with empathy or with relating to why people behave in the way that they do […] analyzing these emotions by rote.
[…]
for someone who supposedly knows so much about how NTs interact, he shows a really remarkable inability to understand that people in romantic relationships might desire tenderness […] beyond the most reductive possible variety of evo-psych bullshit. […] (Spoiler: it’s a Peter Watts book: EVERYONE is maladjusted.) So I may be protesting too much on that point.
[…]
You don’t get autism in real life by taking a regular person and removing […] the bits that handle social/emotional processing, and get an autistic person […] Despite certain corporate logos, we are not NTs with a piece missing.
[…]
Wikipedia—somewhat inexplicably to me—describes not Siri, but the book’s vampires as autistic. […] struck me as being something more like superintelligent predatory animals
[…]
according to many sources […] Siri is not meant to be an autistic character—he is meant to be a philosophical zombie. […] I’m pretty sure that stating you can become a p-zombie because of having a hemispherectomy is even more offensive to people who have had this procedure than it is for autistic people.
More than 2.4 million customers were without power Monday night after historic record-breaking Hurricane Beryl landed in heavily populated SE Texas. Residents struggled with moist, soupy heat and a lack of air conditioning overnight.
Today, even hotter heat arrives and is expected to last until Thursday. The danger for the populace may result in the deaths of many residents before power is restored, which could take a couple of weeks. Few to no cooling centers are available. Houston and other lowland cities are still submerged by flood waters.
CNN —
[…] Beryl slammed into southern Texas as a Category 1 hurricane Monday, knocking out power to more than 2.5 million homes and leaving at least 8 people dead in Texas and Louisiana.
The storm – now a tropical depression – unleashed flooding rains and winds that transformed roads into rushing rivers, ripped through power lines and tossed trees onto homes, roads and cars. As it hurtles toward the Midwest Tuesday, it threatens to trigger more flooding and tornadoes along its path.
As difficult recovery and cleanup efforts are underway in southeast Texas, including the Houston area, extreme heat will bear down on the region Tuesday and Wednesday, creating hazardous conditions for those working outdoors or without adequate cooling.
A heat advisory is in place Tuesday for southeast Texas, where heat indices – a measure of how the body feels under both heat and humidity – could hit 105 degrees and high temperatures in the 90s are forecast across the region.
[…] Where is Ted Cruz? No one knows precisely, but he is believed to be at an ill-timed vacation resort in California. [Photo of Ted Cruz on a whale watching boat in California. Photo of Abbott in South Korea] Governor Abbot is reportedly in South Korea.
[…] Cruz’s Senate seat is in danger.
From Newsweek:
Ted Cruz may not have as big a lead as he would have been hoping for in the race for his Texas Senate seat, according to a poll. [good news]
A Manhattan Institute survey of 600 likely voters in Texas found that Cruz has a 3 point lead (46 percent to 43 percent) over his Democratic rival, rep. Colin Allred. This margin is down from a double-digit lead the incumbent Republican has enjoyed in previous Texas senate surveys.
When broken down further, the Manhattan Institute poll found that Allred has an 11-point lead over Cruz among female voters (49 percent to 38 percent) as well as an eight-point lead over the potentially crucial independent voters (43 percent to 35 percent).
The polling group also suggests that Cruz may find himself in a “tight race” partially because of Allred’s favorability. The Democrat holds a net favorability rating of plus 12 points, compared to minus nine for the GOP Senator. [more good news]
Is Joe Biden Too Old To Stop Methane Leaks? Washington Post Demands Answers!
Why yes, this $850 million grant program to fight emissions is another part of the Inflation Reduction Act.
[…] the Biden administration has rolled out a joint grant program from the EPA and the Energy Department to reduce methane leaks from the oil and gas sector. The grant program is part of $1.5 billion that Congress authorized in the Inflation Reduction Act for measuring and mitigating emissions of methane, a “super pollutant” that’s among the nastiest, most potent greenhouse gases out there.
Of course methane is also the main ingredient in “natural” gas, which has overtaken coal as the most common fuel used in generating electricity. Burning fossil gas releases carbon dioxide into the atmosphere, causing global warming; about the best that can be said for gas is that its carbon emissions are far lower than those from coal, but they’re plenty bad enough. And in its raw form, methane itself is a much more potent greenhouse gas by volume than CO2, about 84 to 86 times more harmful over 20 years, and 28 to 34 times worse over a century.
CO2 is still considered Climate Enemy Number One because there’s simply so damn much of it produced by fossil fuels, which is why we need to transition to renewable, carbon-free energy as quickly as possible. But because methane is so much more powerful — it’s estimated that it’s responsible for about a third of planet-warming emissions today — we’ll also get the greatest short-term reductions in warming by eliminating every source of methane emissions we can. Go ahead and say “most bang for the buck,” but don’t have any open flames around methane gas, please.
That’s why taking on methane has been a top priority in the Biden/Harris administration’s climate plan, which has also included fines against industry for methane leaks, the EPA’s new, tighter limits on methane emissions, and the creation of a global methane pledge to get international cooperation on cutting methane. (Hey, China, still need you to get on board with that!)
The new grant program, announced in late June, will attack methane emissions from three main directions, each with its own tranche of grant funding, according to Deputy Energy Secretary David Turk.
E&E News summarizes thusly:
The first category will offer three [classes of] awards for projects focused on reducing emissions from existing oil wells and infrastructure, while the second will include up to 26 awards for addressing leaks in equipment prone to methane leaks — including engines and compressors.
The third category will go toward projects to enhance methane leak monitoring in communities near oil and gas facilities, especially those that are lower-income areas or communities of color, and will fund partnerships aimed at tracking methane emissions in specific oil and gas basins.
Well, there goes that Joe Biden again with the “Climate Justice” thing that’s been central to the administration’s climate policy from right off the bat. As with other parts of the Biden/Harris climate plan’s Justice40 Initiative, grant applicants will need to show that 40 percent of the benefits go to disadvantaged communities. The application process will open up in August.
As the Environmental Defense Fund explains, that first category of emissions reduction grants is aimed primarily at shutting down methane leaks from wells owned by fairly small operators, who might otherwise be unable to afford eliminating the leaks. Another part of that first tranche would go to stopping leaks on wells on Tribal lands.
Prioritizing marginal wells is crucial because despite producing only about 6% of the nation’s oil and gas, they’re responsible for approximately half of wellsite methane emissions. Inspecting these smaller producing wells on a regular basis is a key requirement in the nationwide oil and gas methane regulations finalized by EPA in December and this funding is specifically designed to assist states, tribes and the oil and gas industry in cutting emissions and complying with those rules.
The second category of grants is aimed at cleaning up the equipment and infrastructure in the industry, basically seed money for new methane emissions solutions that can be adopted and deployed widely.
And the third set of grants will increase monitoring of methane emissions, especially in frontline communities, because if you don’t measure where the pollution is, you can’t know what needs cleaning up. There too, the emphasis will be not only on monitoring specific sites, but also on developing tech and data collection methods that can be deployed not just in the US, but also by other nations.
Exciting, heady stuff, we know, but that’s part of how tackling climate change works: getting into the machinery of the oil and gas industry and reducing emissions wherever possible, while we’re also pursuing a wider energy transition to get off the fossil fuel teat altogether.
Not that everyone is on board yet. As E&E News notes:
In December, EPA announced a new rule that requires oil and gas operators to monitor for methane leaks and update their equipment to ensure it is less prone to leaks. It also bans oil and gas companies from burning off — or flaring — excess gas at oil wells in most instances, among other things.
Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton (R) filed a lawsuit challenging the rule earlier this year, alleging that it exceeds EPA’s authority.
[Ken Paxton on the wrong side again!]
And now that the Supreme Court has tossed out “Chevron deference” by deciding that federal agencies can’t actually regulate anything that Congress didn’t specify they can regulate, it remains to be seen whether Paxton’s seemingly laughable suit will get anywhere. [JFC]
New York Times Says Orkin Man Visited White House, IS JOE BIDEN INFESTED WITH WASPS?
Obviously.
Whatever legitimate concerns exist with Joe Biden and his age and fitness for office, there are those who are asking serious questions, and there are shit-stirring hacks, chaos agents and losers on the internet, and at the New York Times, which arguably started it all with their endlessly ridiculous stories on “Biden is old.” (As of July 5, they had published 192 stories on Hillary Clinton’s Biden’s emails debate performance. As of today, they have published a higher number than that.)
Did this start because the Times takes its journalism seriously, or is it because the Times is [a media outlet] that’s been mad for months that Biden wouldn’t do an interview with them, which ultimately set the ball rolling to this point? Wellllll.
Anyway, Parkinson’s! Does Joe Biden have it? Because you see, this Parkinson’s doctor went to the White House a humber of times, the New York Times is just saying. Does Joe Biden have Parkinson’s?
Also, the Orkin man went to the White House a bunch of times, does Joe Biden have wasps?
Also the HVAC man went to the White House a bunch of times, is Joe Biden low on Freon?
Also a sexy pizza delivery man went to the White House a bunch of times, is Joe Biden embarking on a secret life of porns?
The story is, um, not much of one. A Parkinson’s expert from Walter Reed, a neurologist named Dr. Kevin Cannard, went to the White House eight times in the past year or so. Once, he met with Joe Biden’s doctor.
“It was unclear whether Dr. Cannard was at the White House to consult specifically about the president or was there for unrelated meetings,” said the newspaper in paragraph three […]
Not only did Dr. Cannard go to the White House a bunch while Biden was president, he went there a bunch while Obama was president, and he might have gone a bunch when Trump was president, but “Mr. Trump rescinded Mr. Obama’s voluntary White House visitors disclosure policy, so records are not available for his four years in office.”
Unfortunately, Dr. Cannard did not respond to the New York Times’s hounding about the nature of his visits in time for publication, so they just went with whatever they had.
Of course, the “no there there” nature of the story didn’t stop members of the White House press corps yesterday from showing their asses during the press briefing, because Press Secretary Karine Jean-Pierre, for privacy reasons, wouldn’t disclose the exact reasons for each and every one of Cannard’s visits. CBS’s Ed O’Keefe was easily the most obnoxious, sitting next to Fox News’s Peter Doocy, who appeared for once to be sitting back and letting somebody else be the trifling asshole. [video at the link]
Jean-Pierre told the reporters the president has seen a neurologist three times during his presidency, every time he has a physical. She told them they have policy against confirming names and details of specialists who come to the White House. At one point she stopped the briefing because they were being so rude, especially Ed O’Keefe. [!!!] [video at the link]
Jean-Pierre said, in part:
“We understand that freedom of the press, we respect the freedom of the press. You heard me talk about this last week. We — I appreciate the back and forth that we all have. It is, I try to respect you and I hope you try to respect me,” Jean-Pierre said, referring back to a tense exchange she had with CBS News’s Ed O’Keefe.
“And we literally do everything that we can,” Jean-Pierre said. “My team does everything that we can to make sure we get the answers to you. That’s what we do. And sometimes we disagree. Sometimes we are not in agreement. But you know what? That’s democracy. That is what is important to have that healthy back and forth. And so to say that I’m holding information or allude to anything else is really, really unfair. I think people who are watching and have been watching this briefing for this past week could say that we are doing our best in this briefing to provide the information that we have, and I will admit, I will be the first one to admit, sometimes I get it wrong. At least I admit that. At least I admit that. And sometimes I don’t have the information. And I will always, always admit that. But I do take offense to what was just happening at the beginning of this briefing. It’s not okay. Go ahead.”
The New York Times has now updated its story to reflect that last night at 9:40 p.m., Dr. Kevin O’Connor, the White House physician, broke protocol — with Biden’s and Cannard’s blessing — to release a statement saying that Dr. Cannard has seen Joe Biden three times, during his normal physicals, but — and here’s where NYT gets conspiratorial again — “did not directly say whether any of his other visits were related to consulting on the president’s health.” They continued:
Instead, Dr. O’Connor implied that most of Dr. Cannard’s visits were related to treating other people who work at the White House. “Prior to the pandemic, and following its end, he has held regular neurology clinics at the White House Medical Clinic in support of the thousands of active-duty members assigned in support of White House operations,” Dr. O’Connor wrote.
Oh. (During at least one of them, Joe Biden wasn’t at the White House at all. He was in Lake Tahoe, at Tom Steyer’s house. Somebody could have checked the dates and cross-referenced them, you’d think.)
The Times explains that according to the results of Biden’s most recent physical, there are no signs of Parkinson’s, stroke or other neurological issues. The Times also explains many more words, because serious journalists write long articles, with lots of details.
As of this printing of Wonkette, the Parkinson’s story is nowhere to be found on the front page of the New York Times.
We’d say it’s maybe because it’s not polite to jerk off in the front yard right where everyone can see, but that’s never stopped the Times before.
Nation’s Beloved Health Insurance Companies Might Be Scamming Medicare? That Can’t Be Right!
And therefore scamming us.
There are few institutions more adored in the United States of America than private health insurance companies. People love the choices they provide, which definitely exist, even if I have no idea what they are and no one can explain them to me.
And yet, these companies keep doing practically everything they can to deplete the seemingly bottomless trough of trust that Americans have in them.
For instance! On Monday, the Wall Street Journal — the truism about their reporting being excellent while their op-ed board runs amok may still hold! — ran an exposé about the tendency of these companies to claim Medicare Advantage customers suffer from a variety of ailments for which they never receive any treatment, so Medicare will give them more money.
The way it works is that these companies offer to send a doctor to the home of someone subscribed to Medicare Advantage (a program in which private insurers contract with Medicare to provide health insurance to seniors and the disabled), and then the doctor puts it in their file that they have certain health issues. In most cases, the patient and their actual doctor were entirely aware of this.
Medicare pays these companies a base rate of $3735 per person they cover, but this number increases with each additional diagnosis. For instance, a diagnosis of diabetic cataracts will net an additional $2,863, while seizures will bring in $2,806. From 2018 to 2021, the article alleges, these companies bilked Medicare out of $50 billion this way.
Via Wall Street Journal:
The Journal reviewed the Medicare data under a research agreement with the federal government. The data doesn’t include patients’ names, but covers details of doctor visits, hospital stays, prescriptions and other care. The Journal identified the patients named in this article through their doctors.
Some diagnoses claimed by insurers were demonstrably false, the Journal found, because the conditions already had been cured. More than 66,000 Medicare Advantage patients were diagnosed with diabetic cataracts even though they already had gotten cataract surgery, which replaces the damaged lens of an eye with a plastic insert.
“It’s anatomically impossible,” said Dr. Hogan Knox, an eye specialist at University of Alabama at Birmingham. “Once a lens is removed, the cataract never comes back.”
Whoops! You’d think that would be something that their very thorough doctors would pick up on, but apparently not. Oddly enough, 36,000 of those the insurers said were suffering from diabetic cataracts were not being treated for diabetes, either. Is that dangerous? It seems dangerous!
This has also happened with HIV.
About 18,000 Medicare Advantage recipients had insurer-driven diagnoses of HIV, the virus that causes AIDS, but weren’t receiving treatment for the virus from doctors, between 2018 and 2021, the data showed. Each HIV diagnosis generates about $3,000 a year in added payments to insurers.
Everyone with HIV should be on antiretroviral drugs, the only effective treatment, and nearly all Medicare patients whose doctors diagnosed the virus took the drugs. Less than 17% of patients with insurer-driven HIV diagnoses were on them, the Journal found.
Sure, it’s possible that these people just had bad judgment and thought, “You know, I’m just gonna see how this goes — who needs retrovirals?” … but it’s not likely.
Naturally, insurers like UnitedHealth and Humana denied that any of this is happening. They say that their doctors are simply more thorough than regular doctors and catch health problems even before they become an issue. This also does not seem very likely.
If it is true, however, these companies are stealing from us, and not just in the usual way where they take our money and then pay people to figure out how to keep us from getting anything in return for it. When they diagnose people with health conditions they don’t have in order to get more money from the US government, they are stealing our tax money that we could hypothetically use to actually help people […]
Andrew Witty, the CEO of UnitedHealth, makes $23 million a year. As understandable as it is that he may not feel this is enough for him to live on, that does not justify stealing from hard-working Americans (in a slightly different way than he usually does).
There are contractors whose job it is to audit these payments and get our money back if it is determined that these companies scammed us — so hopefully they can get some of it back if that is the case. And perhaps someday, somehow we can figure out a way to provide our citizens with healthcare in a less stupid way.
Despite some divisions within the party, House Democrats have remained largely supportive of the president after his debate performance last month.
What’s happening on the campaign trail
President Joe Biden continues to push back on calls for him to drop out of the presidential race, criticizing “party elites” and calling Democratic anxiety a distraction.
House Democrats have remained largely supportive of Biden despite party divisions on his re-election.
The possibility that former President Donald Trump could be re-elected — and the prospect of a decrease in Ukraine aid as a means to pressure Kyiv into a peace deal with Russia — is casting a shadow over the NATO summit in Washington.
[…] After today’s House Democrats meeting, several sources painted a picture to NBC News of a caucus concerned about its nominee, but still publicly on his side— even as some expressed resignation about that.
[…] Another told NBC News that the “overwhelming consensus” was that Biden would stay in the race and the party should unify to support him. “Those with concerns should voice them privately,” this person advised.
Certainly, that’s what top Democrat Hakeem Jeffries was trying to ensure: that colleagues, including him, had a chance to listen and take stock of where fellow lawmakers are at on this. […]
Rep. Jerry Nadler, D-N.Y., told reporters outside the House Democrats’ caucus meeting at the DNC that he is in support of the Biden campaign again.
“Whether I have concerns or not is beside the point,” he said. “He’s going to be our nominee, and we all have to support him.”
This comes days after Nadler and three other congressional Democrats told their colleagues on a phone call that Biden should step aside, according to multiple sources familiar.
[…] National Security Council spokesman John Kirby again pushed back this morning against the notion that Biden doesn’t allow information to be shared with him late at night.
Kirby said during an interview on CNN that being president is a “24-hour job, seven days a week” and from his experience working with Biden, “It doesn’t matter what the hour on the clock says.”
“He knows the world doesn’t take a breather after a certain time of day,” Kirby said.
[…] Rep. James Clyburn, D-S.C., emerged from the closed-door House Democratic Caucus meeting signaling that he and his colleagues are largely backing Biden for president.
“We’re ridin’ with Biden,” Clyburn said repeatedly in response to reporters’ questions. Clyburn was largely credited with turning around Biden’s 2020 primary campaign on his way to winning the party’s nomination.
Rep. Ayanna Pressley, D-Mass., another member of the Congressional Black Caucus and the “squad” of more progressive House members, told reporters after the meeting that she doesn’t want to be distracted by a 90-minute debate, and said Democrats should focus on the Project 2025 proposal, an initiative by the conservative Heritage Foundation to create a policy framework for a Republican administration.
[…] Rep. Juan Vargas, D-Calif., a member of the Congressional Hispanic Caucus, criticized the handful of colleagues who have called on Biden to drop out of the presidential race.
“It’s a circular firing squad,” Vargas said to reporters after leaving the closed-door House Democratic Caucus meeting. “It’s the stupidest thing I’ve ever seen.”
Vargas said he has always supported Biden as the nominee and hasn’t changed his position since the president’s debate.
[…] On the heels of reaffirming his commitment to staying in the presidential race, Biden is scheduled to deliver remarks at the NATO summit in Washington to commemorate the alliance’s 75th anniversary.
Trump is back on the campaign trail today with a scheduled rally at his golf course near Miami. […]
[…] as a report by The New York Times reminded readers overnight, “Mr. Trump once declared NATO ‘obsolete,’ threatened to exit the alliance and more recently said he would let the Russians do ‘whatever the hell they want’ to any member country he deemed to be insufficiently contributing to the alliance.”
A Politico report added that U.S. allies in NATO want President Joe Biden to win another term […]
But as concerned as NATO members are about the future of American leadership, unease in Kyiv is at a whole other level. The Times reported over the weekend:
Ukraine, which depends on American military aid for its survival, has long tried to maintain bipartisan support in the United States. That has never been easy, but it is getting harder, especially with the increased possibility that Donald J. Trump, no great friend of Ukraine, will return to the White House.
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy spoke to Bloomberg News last week, for example, and was rather candid about his fears.
“If there are risks to Ukrainian independence, if we lose statehood — we want to be ready for this, we want to know,” the Ukrainian leader said. “We want to understand whether in November we will have the powerful support of the U.S. or will be all alone.”
“If Trump knows how to finish this war, he should tell us today,” Zelenskyy added.
That said, it’d be an overstatement to suggest every prominent foreign official is fearful about Trump’s possible second term. The Times’ report added that Russia’s Vladimir Putin recently delivered public remarks and “seemed to relish the prospect of Mr. Trump’s return.”
Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen called President Biden “extremely effective” amid growing calls for him to step aside after a poor showing in his first presidential debate against former President Trump.
Rep. Mike Lawler (R-N.Y.) asked Yellen during a House committee hearing if she had “noticed any mental or cognitive decline” in any of her meetings with Biden.
“The president is extremely effective in the meetings I’ve been in with him. That includes many international meetings that are multi-hour like his meetings with President Xi [Jinping of China],” Yellen said Tuesday during an annual hearing with the House Financial Services Committee on the international financial system.
The Treasury secretary declined to answer Lawler’s question about the last time she met with the president.
“I’m not going to comment on my meetings with the president. Those are private,” Yellen said.
Yellen also offered a single “no” when Lawler asked if there had been any discussion among Biden’s cabinet about invoking the 25th Amendment, which would allow a majority of the Cabinet to transfer powers from the president to the vice president if they believe they are unable to perform their duty. […]
CompulsoryAccount7746, whoever wrote that about ‘Blindsight’ entirely missed the point, and focuses on a silly aspect due to their own misapprehension.
All the characters are basically superheroes and cyborged, none are baseline.
The POV character (the ‘autist’) is a child who had radical brain surgery (a hemispherectomy ) as a child and is now a ‘synthesist’ who can ‘read’ people by their ‘surfaces’. The autism, in short, is story-telling autism, not a reflection of the real thing, but a functional effect resulting from having half his biological brain missing.
In short, if anyone reads that book and imagines it’s a realistic depiction of autism as it exists today, which is a rather wide spectrum, they’re doing it wrong. Very wrong.
Might as well complain that the vampirism in that book is not quite like real vampirism!
(Have you yourself read the book?)
John Moralessays
[bah]
Erratum: “had radical brain surgery as a child”, not “is a child who had radical brain surgery”.
Joe Biden has announced that Nato countries will provide Ukraine with five new strategic air defense systems as leaders began a summit in Washington where the alliance was expected to declare Ukraine’s path toward Nato to be “irreversible”.
The promise of weapons deliveries, including anti-air defenses sought after by Ukrainian president Volodymyr Zelenskiy, came just a day after a deadly missile strike against a pediatric cancer hospital and other civilian targets in Ukraine that Biden called a “horrific reminder of Russia’s brutality”.
“All told, Ukraine will receive hundreds of additional interceptors over the next year, helping protect Ukrainian cities against Russian missiles and Ukrainian troops facing their attacks on the front lines,” said Biden.
The headline speech was a critical step to convincing foreign leaders that Biden, 81, remains up to the task of leading the 32-member military alliance. It was also a key test in saving his presidential campaign following a disastrous debate against Donald Trump that led many in his own party to question his mental acuity.
[…]
In remarks to the Guardian, Ruslan Stefanchuk, Chairman of the Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine, said that the strike on the Okhmatdyt children’s hospital should be a “turning point” in the war and lead to great supplies of anti-air weapons to Ukraine.
“I believe that what happened today must be a turning point to change everyone’s attitude to what is happening in Ukraine, and I believe that without the F-16 fighter jets, without the new air defence systems, without the ammunition for those systems, we won’t be able to cover the skies to defend Ukraine,” he said.
CompulsoryAccount7746, Sky Captainsays
@John Morales #138:
the characters are basically superheroes and cyborged
I’d gleaned as much from synopses. Even from those and fan chatter, I caught hints of said tropes. (Yes, I saw some fans sought autism diagnoses based on resonance with the character or self-identified. Wikipedia currently says “vampires operate with diminished sentience presented as comparable to high-functional autism with comparable dysfunction in affect and speech”)
As I said, the point of the warning was of tropes. You could claim it’s not a book meant to promote philosophy, just cyborgs and aliens. But it functions as a vehicle for such musing. Likewise, the author hewed close enough to harmful stereotypes to be problematic when he designed his superheroes and repeated them to his audience. The reviewer went into more detail.
if anyone reads that book and imagines it’s a realistic depiction of autism as it exists today, which is a rather wide spectrum, they’re doing it wrong. Very wrong.
From the article: “If the first thing that you think of, when trying to imagine how a p-zombie would live, is autism because of what these people say about autism… Then that’s a problem.” The reviewer was writing about that problem, not the storyline.
“some of Siri’s descriptions of how [rote processing] works seem to have been lifted straight from real-life autistic people’s descriptions”
Have you yourself read the book
I added it to my todo list and consider giving it a shot. Was already familiar with the philosophical themes it drives at. Not keen on ‘awful people reacting to eacher’ dramas either. Or evopsych.
gijoelsays
It’s a day that ends in y, and another force-birther is caught raping children.
An Alabama Department of Education employee who once headed up an anti-abortion committee in the state was arrested Wednesday on charges of sexual abuse of a child under age 12.
Marty Decole “Cole” Wagner, who was employed by ALSDE in government relations until his arrest on Wednesday, was indicted by a Montgomery grand jury on June 30, according to court records, for subjecting a child under 12 to “sexual contact.” A source familiar with the specifics of Wagner’s arrest told APR that the alleged victim in the case is under 10.
What a good, christian gentleman.
A source familiar with the specifics of Wagner’s arrest told APR that the alleged victim in the case is under 10.
I’m not sure if I want to throw up or fly into a blind rage.
“The allegations against Mr. Wagner are serious, tragic and shocking,” a statement from ALSDE said Thursday.
Two out of three ain’t bad.
APR reported in 2018 that Wagner had been tapped to head up the anti-abortion committee Alliance for a Pro-Life Alabama, which was formed primarily to push a constitutional amendment saying there was no right to an abortion in Alabama. The amendment, which ultimately passed, had no effect on actual abortion laws…
…“The Alliance for a Pro-Life Alabama is tasked with educating voters about the constitutional amendment and providing them with accurate and truthful information while, at the same time, refuting falsehoods and misinformation that may be disseminated by pro-abortion forces within the state,” Wagner said at the time.
John Moralessays
Appreciate the response, CA7746.
As I said, the point of the warning was of tropes.
Maybe. Seemed more to me that the author imagined it was supposed to be a depiction of actual autism and therefore fit the tropes into which autism fits, since it’s not depicted as regular autism normally presents. Or something like that.
The article began thus: “Today’s Book: “Blindsight” by Peter Watts”.
and ended thus: “The Verdict: Not Recommended”
(Emphases in the original)
Likewise, the author hewed close enough to harmful stereotypes to be problematic when he designed his superheroes and repeated them to his audience. The reviewer went into more detail.
Um, I read the article. It’s rather short, and — again! — it misses the point.
Whatever ‘tropes’ the author imagines are more from their prejudiced perception than in the work itself.
The crew of the ship is the very best of the best, the cream of the cream.
All superbly gifted.
Seriously. It is not a book about autism, it’s a book about how useful consciousness is.
From the article: “If the first thing that you think of, when trying to imagine how a p-zombie would live, is autism because of what these people say about autism… Then that’s a problem.” The reviewer was writing about that problem, not the storyline.
Yeah, but here’s the thing:
That’s the article writer’s personal opinion, not what is actually in the book.
I was surprised, upon listening to a two part interview with Peter Watts, to find him tentatively supporting Chalmer’s positions on qualia and the hard problem. Part of the reason is that Watts is a(n ex-) scientist with a background in biology and neuroscience, and also both very intelligent and spectacularly good at not avoiding unpleasant trains of thought. The other reason I was surprised is that I read Blindsight, and interpreted it as an amazingly good takedown of the Chalmers philosophical zombie idea along the same lines as Dennett’s.
(See what I mean?)
Was already familiar with the philosophical themes it drives at.
Really. Even though you haven’t yet read the book.
Fair enough.
That for sure is self-confidence, but.
John Moralessays
PS re:”Even from those and fan chatter, I caught hints of said tropes.”
The protagonist, a “Synthesist” sent as part of the crew aboard the Theseus in response to an alien transmission codenamed Burns-Caulfield. As a child he suffered from epilepsy, which his parents chose to treat through a procedure which cut out half of his brain. Though his condition was cured, the operation left him with a radically altered mind, lacking normal emotion but capable of expertly interpreting the subconscious thoughts of others. Now, he works as a translator of sorts who uses his abilities to understand the post-human thinking of minds even more advanced than his own and communicates this information to baseline humans.
(It’s not autism!)
John Moralessays
Well, one more. Thread is endless, after all…
I just about snickered when I read this:
I have a few additional points to make before we wrap up this review. First, I focused on Siri in this review because most of the fan discussions I’ve seen center around Siri as a supposedly autistic character. That’s not the only way to discuss autism in the context of “Blindsight”. In fact, the Wikipedia–somewhat inexplicably to me–describes not Siri, but the book’s vampires as autistic. (Yes, there are vampires. In space. Long story.) This is so baffling to me that I’m not sure what to say about it, except that the vampires really do not strike me that way, and apart from their lack of desire for social contact, I’m not even sure why anybody would read them that way. To me the vampires (and, please note, I liked the vampires) struck me as being something more like superintelligent predatory animals in human form.
Truly clueless, even having read the book, is what I think.
Seemed more to me that the author imagined it was supposed to be a depiction of actual autism […] not depicted as regular autism normally presents. […] I read the article. […] Seriously. It is not a book about autism […] and ended thus: “The Verdict: Not Recommended”
From the article:
despite the aforementioned lack [of autistic characters], this is a book that keeps coming up every so often in discussions of autism in SFF. It shows up on lists of books with autistic characters, it gets recommended to autistic friends, etc. Not super often, but not just once, and not in just one way. So I want to talk about why that is […] and why I disagree
[…]
understand why so many people read Siri as autistic. […] there is enough rough correspondence that it feels very plausible Watts might have been influenced […] by previous acquaintance with autistic stereotypes—even if it wasn’t his conscious intent. […] I adamantly believe that Siri Keeton is not autistic
[*snip*] My biggest problem with the reading of Siri as autistic [*snip*] It’s exactly this qualitative different-ness that is missing from Siri.* It’s also exactly this qualitative different-ness that people ignore when they spin the worst forms of propaganda about autism.
* Because it’s not real autism. It is not a book about autism. However, it was written close enough to ambient propaganda that audiences have been reading that prejudiced caricature into it and think it is autism. Which would be wrong. And people sick of such propaganda, such as those targeted, may find the similarity irritating. Hence the negative recommendation for the book.
John Moralessays
Yes, yes, CA7746. Exactly!
It’s an opinion, and not a well-founded one at that, about the work itself.
That video, BTW, is super-excellent.
[spoilers]
It was a Flash promo for the book like, um, around a couple of years in advance.
It perfectly explains the backstory to the vampire featured in the story itself.
It’s a perfect representation of the dry, amoral style of a scientist working for Big Pharma (check out the logos on the lower right!) who documents their progress.
Yes, vampires are autistic people, but it turns out autism is the result (this is hard SF, BTW) of the restoration of functionality of what was thought to be ‘junk’ DNA, and in the process they unearth vampirism. Turns out that it’s only a tiny facet of the vampire genome manifesting in otherwise regular people.
(Akin to the Neanderthals)
The science is magnificent.
—
The conceit is he took the elements of the vampire myth and made it scientifically-explainable.
Biology, ecology, physiology, behaviour, sociology, psychology of vampires are all covered.
All the mythic attributes are covered, as well, not just the scientific ones.
Crosses, more than covered. But garlic deprecated.
Etc.
By the way, that video is in itself a short story, not just a backstory.
It’s positively Jonathan Swift-level quality when it comes to Big Pharma.
It excoriates the lack of scruples in that industry, and the way they insidiously do their regulatory capture.
It features Texas (a great place where there is a huge convict population, a number of them in death row, and also access to controls since Texas is so, um, generous in its jail hospitality and not so fussed about pesky human rights stuff).
Gotta see it to get the gist, of course. But I assure you, it’s excellent.
And one can tell he is a fully-trained and practiced neuroscientist.
Main spoiler: What we perceive as ‘autism syndrome’ is actually the manifestation of a dormant geneplex and in its full flowering makes us look worse than second-rate.
(this is of course only approximate, but might be something that the person to whose opinion you so defer might understand; whether you do, well, I cannot say)
—
Anyway, point being, anyone who writes this is indicating they just don’t get it:
“This is so baffling to me that I’m not sure what to say about it, except that the vampires really do not strike me that way, and apart from their lack of desire for social contact, I’m not even sure why anybody would read them that way.”
(PW is Canadian, BTW. Had an incident on the USA border, was not good. Googleable, if you care to know some more context)
—
However, it was written close enough to ambient propaganda that audiences have been reading that prejudiced caricature into it and think it is autism. Which would be wrong.
To the undiscerning (such as the opinionator you quoted), sure.
And, again: it is autism, just not for the POV character.
(Humans are but prey, and predators are smarter than their prey)
John Moralessays
Hey, ever see Dollhouse, by the now-deprecated Whedon?
Re: “audiences have been reading that prejudiced caricature into it and think it is autism”
Now, don’t call me cynical or anything (heh), but it seems to me someone considering reading the book and having read that particular opinion and without my sort of other input or context will either be primed to read it in that manner, or to not bother reading at all.
Bit of a disservice to a most excellent work, I reckon.
And, remember: Science Fiction, right.
(Anyway, good luck — surely you are not thus primed, CA7746)
John Moralessays
Regarding people’s perception of particular media nuggets:
HP Lovecraft: We are insignificant motes in the cosmic vastness. Mankind is as nothing.
Peter Watts: It’s worse than that; we are also burdened by consciousness, and weak as fuck.
Keir Starmer has denied that his decision to bring in a retirement age of 80 for the House of Lords means he believes Joe Biden should stand down as US president.
Ahead of his first bilateral talks with Biden at the White House, the UK prime minister said the “primary driver” for bringing in a retirement age for peers was the size of the second chamber.
“The simple fact is that our House of Lords is massive. It is the second biggest political chamber in the world. I think it’s only the Chinese who have a bigger political chamber than our House of Lords. We have to reduce it.
“That is the primary driver of the retirement at 80. You can see why that needs to be done. We’ve got 800-plus members of the Lords, it’s simply too big. We need to reduce it.
“So it doesn’t reflect on how other elected representatives are chosen in other countries, it’s to do with the size of the House of Lords.”
Russia has issued an arrest warrant for Yulia Navalnaya, the widow of Alexei Navalny and a leading dissident living in exile, imposing a two-month detention order on grounds that she participated in an “extremist” group.
The warrant was issued in absentia by a Moscow court on Tuesday, five months after Navalny died in a Russian Arctic penal colony. Navalnaya held the Russian president, Vladimir Putin, responsible for her husband’s death.
In Russia, the label “extremist” is routinely applied to dissident or independent civic groups by courts, which typically carry out the wishes of the Kremlin in political cases.
StevoRsays
The graphs are shouting warmings on Global Overheating :
Sixty per cent of the world’s population experienced extreme heat reaching CSI levels of at least 3, indicating that climate change made these temperatures at least three times more likely to occur.(Supplied: Climate Central)
Russia and other dictatorships have “rubber” crimes that can be applied to absolutely everything.
Russia: “extremism”, “hooliganism”, China “separatism”. Muslim countries:”causing unrest in the realm”.
.
“Ghost Ship of the Baltic Sea: Inside Sweden’s Ultimate Stealth Corvette”
(The presentation is by a US channel, but is blissfully free of verbal narration, a component that is often so over the top that it ruins the experience)
.https://youtube.com/watch?v=RI_UfBZBgkY
I would rather serve on this than on one of those unsinkable Russian vessels.
KGsays
President Joe Biden continues to push back on calls for him to drop out of the presidential race, criticizing “party elites” – Lynna, OM@134 quoting NBC News
At the presidential debate two weeks ago, Donald Trump lied uncontrollably about a great many things, but the Republican’s rhetoric about the Jan. 6 attack stood out for its detachment from reality. The former president claimed, for example, that there were a “small” number of rioters, which wasn’t true. He said the insurrectionists attacking the U.S. Capitol in his name were “ushered in” by police, which also wasn’t true.
The presumptive GOP also said he offered 10,000 National Guard troops to then-House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, which wasn’t true, before claiming that Pelosi said, “I take full responsibility for January 6,” which is something the California Democrat never said.
In case that weren’t quite enough, at the same event, Trump said some of the imprisoned rioters are “so innocent,” which (a) isn’t true; and (b) is contradicted by the fact that many of the convicts pleaded guilty during their prosecutions.
A New York Times report noted soon after that for many of the former president’s critics, Trump’s “embrace of Jan. 6 and his refusal to agree to unqualified acceptance of a democratic election” were worse than President Joe Biden’s unnerving performance on the same stage.
[…] Two weeks later, Trump is still at it — as we were reminded overnight at the former president’s rally in Miami. Reading from his teleprompter, the GOP candidate told his followers:
“[W]hen people who love our country protest on January 6 in Washington, they become hostages unfairly imprisoned for long periods of time. But fortunately, the Supreme Court has just ruled, and they should be out soon.”
[JFC]
If you watch the clip, note that the creepy music was played at the campaign event; it was not added afterward to make the remarks sound more ridiculous.
[…] while the U.S. Supreme Court issued a ruling that will affect some Jan. 6 cases, the idea that convicted rioters and insurrectionists “should be out soon” is just plainly wrong.
Nevertheless, Trump has referenced the ruling to call for the release of all Jan. 6 criminals and suspects.
In other words, when it comes to Jan. 6, the former president still has no idea what he’s talking about. [Trump is bonkers. Trump is stuck in rut where he keeps proving that he doesn’t understand a fucking thing.]
Stepping back, Trump hasn’t exactly been subtle in recent months with his focus on Jan. 6 rioters, offering them praise, support and vows of future pardons. A recent Associated Press report noted that the former president has positioned “the violent siege and its failed attempt to overturn the 2020 election as a cornerstone of his bid to return to the White House.” This coincided with a related Semafor report on the degree to which the Republican has put Jan. 6 rioters “at the heart of his campaign.”
That report was published in March. It’s worse now.
Surely, at some point this misrepresentation of January 6, and Trump’s focus on it, will backfire.
Over the last couple of years, Oklahoma Superintendent of Public Instruction Ryan Walters has cultivated a reputation as a right-wing Christian nationalist — even some Republicans have expressed discomfort with his radicalism — prompting discussion among Democratic legislators about possible impeachment proceedings.
Walters has generally responded to criticisms with right-wing and legally dubious tactics, as evidenced by his declaration last month that Oklahoma educators keep Christian Bibles in every classroom and incorporate his preferred holy text into public school curricula.
Walters soon after said that public school teachers who resist his demands for Bible lessons could lose their teaching licenses.
That was a striking offensive in the larger culture war, but it was not the last skirmish. The Daily Beast reported this week on the latest antics from Oklahoma’s top education official.
Superintendent Ryan Walters plans to overhaul Oklahoma’s social studies curriculum with the help of a committee that includes a laundry list of right-wing think tank veterans and influencers — including Heritage Foundation President Kevin Roberts, whose work on the presidential policy proposal document Project 2025 has gone viral in recent days.
At face value, it might not seem especially notable that a state is reviewing its social studies curriculum. Plenty of states do this as a matter of course.
But what makes Walters’ move in Oklahoma so notable is his choice of partners: The Oklahoma superintendent of public instruction isn’t turning to scholars, academics, historians, and qualified educators; he’s turning to likeminded ideologues. His committee includes:
– Kevin Roberts, president of the Heritage Foundation, a far-right think tank responsible for the radical Project 2025 agenda;
– Prager U’s Dennis Prager, who has openly admitted that he hopes to “indoctrinate” American children with a right-wing worldview;
– Steve Deace, a far-right media personality;
– and David Barton, a far-right activist often described as a “pseudo-historian.”
[JFC. The worst of the worst.]
In a statement to The Washington Examiner, Walters said, “Our goal is to give Oklahoma students an education that focuses on history, not indoctrination.”
If the Oklahoma Republican expects people to take such an assertion seriously, he’s likely to be disappointed.
On the Fourth of July last year, Sen. Josh Hawley stumbled into a mess of his own making. The Missouri Republican — who majored in history at Stanford before getting a law degree from Yale — honored Independence Day by publishing a tweet that quoted Patrick Henry claiming that the United States was “founded … on the Gospel of Jesus Christ.”
Henry, however, never said any such thing: Hawley was actually quoting a report from a white nationalist publication that ran in 1956 — more than a century and a half after the Founding Father’s death.
[Yep. Hawley is either blatantly lying or really ignorant (ignorant despite his studies in history at Stanford). Either way, he is depending on his audience of MAGA cult followers to be ignorant.]
[…] the far-right GOP senator make a similar mistake almost exactly a year later. HuffPost reported:
Sen. Josh Hawley (R-Mo.) is under fire after a speech Monday night in which he advocated “Christian nationalism” for the good of the nation. The Missouri Republican was speaking at the National Conservatism Conference in Washington, D.C., when he attempted to put a positive spin on “Christian nationalism,” a far-right ideology that promotes the belief that America was founded as a Christian nation and that policy should be decided using a fundamentalist interpretation of the Bible.
The Republican lawmaker wasn’t exactly subtle in his messaging.
“Some will say I’m calling America a Christian nation. And so I am,” Hawley said at the conference’s gala dinner. “Some will say I’m advocating Christian nationalism. And so I do.” [video at the link]
[…] Hawley made two related but distinct mistakes.
The first is the idea that the United States is a “Christian nation.” This is, to be sure, a popular idea within the GOP’s theocratic wing, but it’s also offensive, ahistorical nonsense.
The United States is based on a secular Constitution, which in turn created a secular government. Thomas Jefferson wrote in 1802 that our First Amendment built “a wall of separation between church and state.” In 1797, John Adams agreed: “The government of the United States of America is not in any sense founded on the Christian Religion.”
Americans unsure what to believe have a straightforward choice: They can listen to Hawley, or they can read the Constitution and honor the declarations of actual Founding Fathers. This doesn’t seem like an especially tough call.
Just as outrageous is the sentiment behind the rhetoric: Those who espouse the idea that the United States is a “Christian nation” appear eager to tell everyone else, “You’ll be tolerated, but you’re still The Other, relegated to second-class status.” It’s a sentiment at odds with our highest ideals, though Hawley doesn’t seem to care.
But then there was the rest of the quote, in which the senator boasted about “advocating Christian nationalism.”
The New York Times’ David French wrote a good piece on the radical philosophy earlier this year, explaining that Christian nationalism is rooted in the belief “that there should be Christian primacy in politics and law. It can manifest itself through ideology, identity and emotion. And if it were to take hold, it would both upend our Constitution and fracture our society.”
It’s an approach that starts with a radical premise — adherents of one faith tradition must enjoy exalted status in the United States — before advancing to insist that American Christians must rule, dictate and govern in ways they see fit.
To see and hear a prominent Republican senator publicly espouse such radicalism is chilling.
I tie this to emotional neglect and abuse at many levels of society. Including abuse of employees by customers. It is natural for humans to display their moods. This is an inhumane view on happiness.
The “damage” caused by the unhappy, not the damage that causes unhappiness.
People like this can’t lose power fast enough and it’s my hope that the suppressed unhappy of all kinds (which likely align with his politics) take their humanity back. It’s part of why I do rational abandonment of civility.
Brony @162, good points. Thanks for that input. Dennis Prager is despicable, atrocious, heinous, odious, contemptible, horrible, execrable … and any other synonyms you can add.
Texas is receiving federal aid for Hurricane Beryl later than needed because state leaders were slow to request an official disaster declaration from the White House, President Joe Biden told the Houston Chronicle Tuesday.
With Gov. Greg Abbott out of the country on an economic development trip in Asia, Lt. Gov. Dan Patrick has served as acting governor amid the storm, making him responsible for putting in the state’s request for aid.
A White House spokesperson told the Chronicle that officials had tried multiple times to reach Abbott and Patrick, and Biden said he only connected with Patrick Tuesday, after which he issued the disaster declaration. Beryl came ashore on Texas’ Gulf Coast early Monday morning, bringing heavy rain and winds that wreaked havoc over Houston and other parts of southeast Texas.
Patrick denied Biden’s account, writing on social media that the president was “falsely accusing” him of being unreachable.
“I am disappointed that President Biden is turning Hurricane Beryl into a political issue,” Patrick said, describing a “cordial call” with Biden earlier Tuesday in which the president granted his request for a major disaster declaration.
Patrick added that state officials “needed to determine what our outstanding needs were” before they could make an official request. [Sounds to me like it is true that state officials were slow to make the request.]
[…] In a statement early Tuesday evening, Biden noted that FEMA resources had been on the ground in Texas “since well before the storm.” That included 500,000 meals and 800,000 liters of water that were “ready to distribute at the state’s request,” FEMA officials said in a statement Monday. The agency also deployed 60 generators “to provide power to critical infrastructure, if needed.”
The disaster declaration includes 121 counties, including Harris County and other parts of southeast Texas that were hit hard by Beryl, Texas Division of Emergency Management Chief Nim Kidd said at a press conference Tuesday afternoon.
[…] Politics have also regularly infused the response to past Texas storms, most recently when then-Land Commissioner George P. Bush, a Republican, feuded with then-Houston Mayor Sylvester Turner, a Democrat, over Hurricane Harvey aid. Bush also accused the Biden administration of using “red tape” and “complex regulations” to slow the distribution of aid.
The political sparring came as millions of Texans remained without power as temperatures climbed into the 90s in parts of the state, one day after Beryl’s deadly winds and rain caused widespread damage.
Texas officials are blaming Biden and the Biden administration is blaming Texas officials. Patrick cannot be trusted.
Posted by readers of the article:
a few years go, Lieutenant Governor Dan Patrick was quite explicit about this. During the early stage of the Covid-19 pandemic Dan Patrick said that old people should be willing to sacrifice themselves for the sake of the economy.
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Actually, I suspect they are following T***p’s dictum of not letting Biden look competent, as the Republicans did on the Immigration Bill. They’d kill their own grandmothers if they thought it would help them politically.
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the admin is getting ahead of the story the R’s will try to spin.
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I sure hope Biden brings receipts and POTUS phone logs to this fight. My bet is that Patrick was stretching out the wait just so Texas could complain about Biden.
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While blabbing about “Biden turning this political”, Patrick admitted what the Biden Adminsitration was saying is accurate. What a buffoon.
A White House spokesperson told the Chronicle that officials had tried multiple times to reach Abbott and Patrick, and Biden said he only connected with Patrick Tuesday, after which he issued the disaster declaration.
“I am disappointed that President Biden is turning Hurricane Beryl into a political issue,” Patrick said, describing a “cordial call” with Biden earlier Tuesday in which the president granted his request for a major disaster declaration.
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I guess it’s Biden’s fault that Abbott didn’t want to call the White House and interrupt his vacation in sunny Japan and South Korea.
Former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley announced on Tuesday that she is releasing the delegates she earned in the Republican primaries and asking them to vote for Donald Trump. This will not alter the outcome; Trump secured enough delegates to ensure his nomination months ago. But now he may be spared the distasteful distraction of hearing someone else’s name entered into nomination during his coronation next week in Milwaukee.
For Haley, this is the final step down a descending staircase of self-abasement and humiliation.
The move comes just over a month after Haley endorsed the man she had called “unstable and unhinged.” Which came after she suspended her campaign while refusing to endorse Trump. Which came after she lost her home state but vowed she was staying in the race. Which came after Trump threatened to blacklist Haley donors and supporters.
Now Haley’s voters, who continued to cling to her name as a symbol of their dislike for Trump even after Haley officially suspended her campaign, are finding that Haley’s tough talk about Trump has vanished. They’re getting confirmation that being a Republican in 2024 means supporting Trump. And nothing else.
For months during the campaign, Haley repeatedly signaled to her voters that she was never going to get behind Trump’s run to return to the White House. In February, she declared that Trump was a “bully” who was “getting meaner and more offensive by the day.”
Haley may have offered a series of proposals on foreign policy and her own plan for the economy, but most of those who voted for her simply did not care about any of that. As The Atlantic wrote in May, they voted for Haley, and continued to vote for her long after her candidacy was no longer viable, for a simple reason: “as a way to stop Donald Trump.”
Haley didn’t get nearly 29% of the vote in Minnesota a week after suspending her campaign because they were enamored with her thoughts on Israel or her plans for economic investment. They voted for Haley as a symbol, as a life raft. As the one remaining spot of earth lingering about a rising MAGA tide.
[…] On Tuesday, Haley stood up to that “bully,” to the “mean” and “offensive” and “unstable” and “unhinged” man who had threatened both her and her supporters, and gave her last abject surrender. She’s far from the first to make this descending journey. But in this round, she’s pretty much the last.
Millions of Republicans still seem to believe that there’s room in the Republican Party for someone who didn’t bow to Trump. They’re wrong.
It remains to be seen whether the crisis that came about after that debate between Joe Biden and the babbling loon rapist criminal will ultimately pass. (The babbling loon rapist criminal did a rally last night where he said nobody eats bacon anymore because of Joe Biden, and said incoherent words about Hannibal Lecter, as usual. The New York Times should do 192 stories about that sometime!)
For what it’s worth, there are some distinct signs the tide may have turned in the conversation in favor of the president. Of course, Politico Playbook is still leading with 75,000 words about every single fart, belch, and rumor they’ve heard on the subject on Capitol Hill. We are certain that if the nominee changes, we’ll hear about it.
But goodness gracious, America’s least necessary white men sure are tipping their hands about how scared they are to run against Kamala Harris, should such a thing ever come to pass.
Here is a Newsmax segment featuring host Rob Schmitt, most recently featured on Wonkette having a breakdown because of a gay flag football team; Matthew Whitaker, known better to Wonkette readers as Meatball McPeenerToilet, the single dumbest oaf ever to hold the position of “acting” attorney general in the Trump administration; and loser Trump Nazi — or at least Nazi-adjacent — Sebastian Gorka, who gets very triggered by people like soccer superstar Megan Rapinoe […]
Listen to this talking urinal cake — who literally worked in Trump’s White House — though nobody really knows what he did — call Kamala Harris a “DEI hire” and “colored.” [video at the link]
These three extraneous men were yapping at each other about Beltway rumors about whether Joe Biden will stay or whether he will go, and Gorka was making up conspiracy theories on the fly about how Hunter Biden is part of the negotiations, demanding pardons and cash. [raised eyebrows … really?]
And Rob Schmitt asked:
ROB SCHMITT: Do these donors really think that Kamala Harris is going to do better in Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania than Joe Biden would? I mean, that’s — because it can’t be anybody else, right?
SEBASTIAN GORKA: Rob, you’re being logical. Stop it. All right. She’s a DEI hire, right? She’s a woman. She’s colored. Therefore, she’s got to be good. And at least her brain doesn’t literally freeze in mid-sentence.
We would mention whatever Meatball McPeenerToilet said, but he’s never said anything important, so fuck it. He mispronounced “Kamala,” because that’s a thing white racist MAGA men do.
But oh, these men are so scared of Kamala Harris.
You see, guys like Gorka, Schmitt, and Whitaker think they know how to run against Joe Biden. He’s “old” and “debate” and “China” and “Hunter Biden’s penis,” and so forth.
But with Harris, a woman far smarter, more accomplished, and quite frankly better than they are in every way — did we mention she is Black? That is important, we should mention, because it’s relevant here — they have no idea what to do.
The one word they all want to say about her — the thing many white MAGA conservatives say about her at the dinner table at night when they think the wokes can’t hear them — they know they can’t say.
So we get these euphemisms like “DEI hire,” like Gorka did here, like white racist Texas GOP Rep. and discard pile human Chip Roy said this week, and like that little KKKlan-ifesto the New York Post published this weekend described Harris. And we get not-even-euphemisms like “colored.” Gorka really peacocked around in his white hood with that one, didn’t he?
As we said at the top, we have no idea how this is all going to shake out. But this particular Wonkette would love to see Kamala Harris run for and win the presidency some day, because it’s just going to be really fun watching these dorks lose their goddamned shit trying to live in a country where she is their Madam President.
Also will be funny whenever Pete Buttigieg is president and a gay who is smarter, handsomer, stronger, and better than them is their president.
This Lawyer Blamed A 12-Year-Old For Seducing Trump Pastor Robert Morris
His name is J. Shelby Sharpe and there is something deeply wrong with him.
Content Note: child sexual abuse
Last month, it came to light that Robert Morris, the founder and pastor of Texas’s Gateway Church and one of Donald Trump’s “spiritual advisors,” had sexually abused Cindy Clemishire when she was 12 years old, while he was staying with her family. To make matters worse, rather than describe the incident as child molestation, as it clearly was, he referred to it as “inappropriate sexual behavior.”
One thing that should not come as any kind of surprise to anyone is that he also had friends who were terrible human beings — including his lawyer, one J. Shelby Sharpe.
As if describing child sexual abuse as “inappropriate sexual behavior,” were not horrific enough, Sharpe somehow managed to make it worse by claiming that it was the 12-year-old girl who started it.
Via NBC:
25 years later, when Clemishire hired an attorney and threatened to sue Morris, accusing him of repeatedly molesting her as a child, a lawyer representing Morris responded by blaming Clemishire for what happened to her, according to 2007 correspondence obtained by NBC News.
“It was your client,” wrote lawyer J. Shelby Sharpe, referring to Clemishire at age 12, “who initiated inappropriate behavior by coming into my client’s bedroom and getting in bed with him, which my client should not have allowed to happen.”
I think we can all assume that, if that did happen, it’s highly unlikely that the child did so looking for some action.
As if that were not repulsive enough, Sharpe also had the gall to bring up two other times Clemishire was assaulted by adult men at the ages of 12 and 13 as though that were evidence of some sort of moral failing on her part.
She also “acted inappropriately with two other men who stayed in her home between 1982 and 1987,” Sharpe wrote in his letter.
In an interview, Clemishire disputed Sharpe’s characterizations. She said two other men touched her inappropriately at her home when she was a child, but she said she did not initiate those interactions. In one instance, Clemishire said, it was Morris who instructed her, when she was 13, to go into a bedroom at her childhood home where another traveling evangelist was staying. Once she was inside, she said, the man, whom she declined to name, began to kiss her but eventually pulled away and told her she was too young.
In another instance, in 1986, Clemishire said, another man who was staying with her family climbed on top of her while she was sleeping on a sofa bed next to his 3-year-old daughter. She believed he planned to rape her, but she said the man suddenly got off of her.
Again, that is not a 12-year-old being “inappropriate,” that is a 12-year-old being sexually assaulted by adult men.
When asked about the letter by a reporter, Sharpe denied knowing that the girl was 12 at the time, though the lawyer representing Clemishire explicitly told him that she was 12 in their correspondence. [Sheesh. Once again, not even good at telling lies.]
In addition to defending Morris, Sharpe has also defended Southern Baptist Convention leader Paige Patterson, who was accused of not doing anything to prevent the sexual abuse of children. So he’s got some interesting priorities there.
Speaking of which, here he is talking about how “no-fault divorce” is somehow the cause of school shootings. [video at the link]
Of course, even those who “get it” (“it” being that it is bad to molest children) still have a long way to go. The NBC article I cite here specifies that “Cindy Clemishire was a 12-year-old girl who dressed in flowery pink pajamas and still liked to play with Barbie dolls” — and, you know, I’d really like to take a moment to point out how completely fucking unnecessary every word in that sentence after “Cindy Clemishire was a 12-year-old girl” is. There is no such thing as a 12-year-old who is or ever could be remotely complicit in their own sexual abuse by an adult. It doesn’t matter what they were wearing or what their preferred after-school activities are. Why? Because they’re 12. They are children, regardless of anything else they may do.
That is the same mindset that allows people like Morris, like Sharpe, to justify child sexual abuse by claiming the child was somehow more mature than they actually were — like they did to Cindy Clemishire.
No one is ever asking for it, least of all a child.
So What Are The Trump/Jeffrey Epstein/Underage Girls Rape Accusations? A Very Gross Explainer.
This is your BIG FAT TRIGGER WARNING.
With “Katie Johnson” and #TrumpPedoFiles trending on Xitter, time for an unrefreshing refresher to the many ties between dirty old creep Donald Trump and Jeffrey Epstein. […]
A plaintiff with the pseudonym “Katie Johnson” filed a lawsuit in April 2016, repped by lawyer Lisa Bloom, claiming Trump raped her when she was 13. But she dropped the suit under strange circumstances that November and has been hiding ever since, her lawyer citing threats. So, any claims that Trump raped her when she was 13 are neither proven nor disproven in court.
[…] Trump and Epstein had an “epic bromance.”
Trump partied with Epstein and Ghislaine Maxwell for years, and they were photographed together dozens of times. Trump’s in Epstein’s little black address book 16 times, and Trump left Epstein phone messages. Trump is on the flight logs of the Lolita Express seven times, once with Eric.
Epstein and Trump shared women. They both dated the unfortunately named Celina Midelfart, a Norwegian cosmetics heiress whom Trump squired about town in 1998, when she was 25 and Trump was 52. She was with Trump at an old-man-young-model-mingle party the night he met one Melanija Knavs. A 2021 story in Rupert’s raggiest rag the Daily Mail has photos of Midelfart with both Trump and Epstein, also of Midelfart and Epstein visiting Mar-a-Lago in 1995. Midelfart also took at least 13 trips on Epstein’s private jet. From a 2016 New Yorker profile of Melania:
[Melania] met Trump in 1998 at the Kit Kat Club in New York, at a party thrown by Paolo Zampolli, the owner of a modelling agency. Their courtship story is as chaste as its backdrop is louche: Donald saw Melania, Donald asked Melania for her number, but Donald had arrived with another woman — the Norwegian cosmetics heiress Celina Midelfart — so Melania refused. Donald persisted.
Also Anouska De Georgiou. In 1994, the London Daily Mirror reported that Epstein introduced De Georgiou to Trump and Maxwell, and that Maxwell often introduced Trump to her “friends”:
[Trump] met London model Anouska De Georgiou at a party in Manhattan. Several American millionaires already had their eyes on Anouska. But she was there with Robert Maxwell’s daughter Ghislaine, who has introduced several of her attractive friends to the property developer.
Trump flew Madam Maxwell and the model south to the sunshine state where all three enjoyed a happy weekend together. When they returned to New York, Anouska was installed in one of Donald’s many apartments there.
Anouska later described Trump as “generous-spirited,” and claimed to have been abused by Epstein.
Trump openly creeped on young women and used them to attract business connections to his parties. He sponsored, hosted, and judged Elite modeling’s Look of The Year contest with models as young as 14, and teenage models said the agency required them to attend dinners and events with him. He bought the Miss Universe Organization, including Miss USA and Miss Teen USA, and bragged about going backstage while teen girls were changing. [video at the link]
He opened Trump Model Management, and hosted parties at the Plaza Hotel where “wealthy friends, high-rollers from his Atlantic City casinos, and potential Trump condominium buyers could meet models.”
Male witnesses told the Daily Beast about the social life of Trump in the ‘90s, “partying in a room with cocaine, very young women and underage girls, and rich, old men there to … fuck them.”
“Trump was in and out. He’d wander off with a couple girls. I saw him. He was getting laid like crazy. Trump was at the heart of it. He loved the attention and in private, he was a total fucking beast.”
Leonardo DiCaprio, while at the height of his “[P-word] Posse” fame, thanked Trump for offering “one-stop date-shopping.”
It’s all very pimp-scented.
Trump and Epstein creeped on young girls together. In ‘92 Trump and Epstein hosted a party at Mar-a-Lago with 28 young models, with themselves as the only male guests. The organizer was aghast and complained, “Donald, this is supposed to be a party with VIPs. You’re telling me it’s you and Epstein? … I know Jeff really well, I can’t have him going after younger girls.”
Trump reveled back then in his and Epstein’s mutual horny-chickenhawking proclivities, telling New York Magazine in 2002, “I’ve known Jeff for fifteen years. Terrific guy. He’s a lot of fun to be with. It is even said that he likes beautiful women as much as I do, and many of them are on the younger side. No doubt about it — Jeffrey enjoys his social life.”
And then there’s footage of them creeping at a party together, and the only time Trump has ever looked truly happy: [video at the link]
And that is the filthy ecosystem in the background of the lawsuit filed in April of 2016 by the woman with the pseudonym “Katie Johnson,” who claimed Trump raped her repeatedly when she was 13. The suit was withdrawn seven months later, right before the election, with Johnson’s lawyer Lisa Bloom claiming it was due to “numerous threats” against her. Bloom claimed her firm’s website was hacked, that Anonymous had claimed responsibility, and that death threats and a bomb threat came in afterwards.
The publicist who was claiming to rep Johnson turned out to be a shady former Jerry Springer producer, and Katie Johnson herself disappeared. Media dropped the story because without Johnson’s cooperation there’s no way to verify if her claims are true, or if she even exists. Then again, there’s no way to prove that they aren’t.
The allegations are explosive. She sued both Trump and Epstein for a hundred million dollars, claiming they raped her multiple times at Epstein’s New York home over a four-month time span, when she was just 13 and had come to New York to model, and instead she got lured into being a “sex slave” for Epstein’s horrific old-man orgies. She claims Trump and Epstein took tandem naked “massages” together, and she saw Trump get a “massage” from another 13-year-old girl. Johnson claims she had to jerk off Trump herself, and perform in a threesome with him and a 12-year-old girl, where he forced them to perform together for him, and give him a blowjob together.
Johnson also claims that a different time she was tied to a bed and raped by Trump, he slapped her when she asked him to wear a condom, and when she cried and said she was worried about getting pregnant, Trump threw money at her and screamed “get a fucking abortion.” Then, Trump and Epstein got into a bitter fight because Trump rudely took her virginity before Epstein could, and Trump screamed at Epstein that he was a “Jew bastard.”
Could it be entirely invented, sure, but it’s mighty interesting how the story lines up with what we’d all later learn about Trump and Epstein’s close ties and shared proclivities. And this lawsuit dropped way before all of Trump’s 26 other sexual misconduct accusations became public, showing the same pattern of an enticement with a job […]
Trump fits the description of “Doe 174” in the Epstein documents. Business Insider’s analysis cross-referencing filings from transcripts of depositions from Sarah Ransome, Virginia Giuffre, and Epstein’s Palm Beach housekeeper Juan Alessi solves the acrostic of the identity of Doe 174, who is identified as an Epstein friend who hung out at his house sometimes.
Trump appears in a filing from Alan Dershowitz’s own lawyer, who repeated Sarah Ransome’s claim that she had a friend who was “one of the many girls that had sexual relations with Donald Trump” and that the friend said she had sex with Trump in Epstein’s Manhattan mansion. Dershowitz’s lawyer brought it up as part of a claim that Ransome is a liar, because Ransome claimed to have video footage, but didn’t have any, so therefore the underlying claims couldn’t possibly be true.
“She told me how he kept going on about how he liked her ‘pert nipples,’ […] Donald Trump liked flicking and sucking her nipples until they were raw.”
YEEEEEK, WTF.
Dershowitz admits to getting a massage at Epstein’s but claims it was from some old Russian woman, and he kept his underwear on.
Trump and Epstein shared Bill Barr. Trump’s Attorney General Bill Barr’s dad hired an under-qualified young Epstein to teach at Dalton high school. Epstein died in prison, the result of what Bill Barr called “the perfect storm of screw-ups.”
Trump’s Secretary of Labor Alex Acosta brokered Epstein’s extremely lenient plea deal in 2008, and Trump downplayed Acosta’s role and defended him.
Trump and Epstein shared Steve Bannon. Lachlan Cartwright, the former National Enquirer editor and the Wall Street Journal’s source for the original Karen McDougal and Stormy Daniels hush money story, reported that Epstein approached Steve Bannon in 2017 and asked for PR help to rehab his image.
Trump wished Ghislaine Maxwell well. “I’ve met her numerous times over the years, especially since I lived in Palm Beach, and I guess they lived in Palm Beach. But I wish her well, whatever it is,” he said, after Maxwell was arrested on charges of transporting children for illegal sex acts. What. The. Fuck.
Trump balked and dithered when Fox interviewers asked him if he would declassify Epstein files. “I guess I would. I think that less so because, you don’t know, you don’t want to affect people’s lives if it’s phony stuff in there, because it’s a lot of phony stuff with that whole world. But I think I would. I don’t know about Epstein so much as I do the others. Certainly about the way he died. It’d be interesting to find out what happened there, because that was a weird situation and the cameras didn’t happen to be working…”
Yes, it sure would be interesting to find out.
Also we’ve already found out plenty! At least 26 women, dozens of corroborating witnesses, Trump’s own words, and a couple of juries saying Trump is a sex pest and rapist … the GOP and his whackadoodle cult will never care nor mind. A lotta them are a bit underage-rapey themselves! […]
Additional embedded links in the article lead to corroborating material.
It’s all too iffy … and way too much covered up, with insufficient investigation.
[…] The heat is hampering efforts to transport patients and conduct rescues in the region’s national parks, places that can rely on choppers amid the vast wilderness. When hikers get lost or become stranded on remote trails, helicopters are sometimes sent to locate and pull them out.
National parks including Joshua Tree and Death Valley warn visitors that a helicopter may not be able to reach ambitious hikers in the heat, park rangers said. When temperatures pass 122 degrees — which has already happened this year in parts of California including Death Valley — medical helicopters often cannot fly. […]
As summarized by Steve Benen from a Washington Post article:
In his campaign rally last night in Miami, Trump spent far more time than usual going after Vice President Kamala Harris — whose name he repeatedly mispronounced. Given the broader circumstances, the shift did not go unnoticed.
Summarized by Steve Benen from an NBC News article:
while the political world waits for news about Trump’s new running mate, the former president told the NBC affiliate in Miami yesterday that Republican Sen. Marco Rubio “certainly will“ have a role in prospective administration, even if the Florida senator isn’t the vice president.
As they reshape American life, the conservative Supreme Court justices are working to realize the vision developed by the right-wing legal world they came from: weak regulatory agencies, an omnipotent executive, a flexible enough rule of law to imbue the courts (particularly theirs) with awesome power.
They employ (and create) a variety of tools to give their rulings a patina of legitimacy. […]
The liberals have long been relegated to writing stridently in dissent, picking apart their conservative colleagues’ cherrypicked rulings. But in the years since the majority has charged hard to the right, liberal Justices Sonia Sotomayor, Elena Kagan and Ketanji Brown Jackson have increasingly and sometimes furiously started to outline a competing vision of America. And this term, in many of the banner cases, newcomer Jackson led the charge.
In her sophomore year on the bench, Jackson hasn’t shied away from writing alone on some of the term’s biggest cases. She occasionally pushed beyond the often joint opinions of Kagan and Sotomayor both to intensify their critiques and, importantly, to situate them in a greater philosophical framework.
That project has been, to this point, anemic on the political and legal left, to the movement’s detriment. […] The three liberals — and, in particular, Jackson — are starting to fill some of that silence.
The Vision
In her solo dissent from the Donald Trump immunity case, where the conservatives granted presidents sweeping protections from criminal prosecution, Jackson situated the majority ruling as an ahistorical break with the individual accountability model that had long undergirded our criminal justice system (in theory).
[…] She outlined a counterargument to the Trumpist, and thus Republican, vision of an untouchable, imperial presidency and super-powerful Supreme Court unchecked by a flaccid Congress and lording over increasingly hobbled federal agencies. It’s a structure in which power pools in the least democratic corners of our governmental structure, insulated from popular will.
In Jackson’s vision of the rule of law, defendants, including former presidents, are given a gamut of protections, both before and during their trials, able to challenge prosecutions that are wrongly brought and to mount a robust defense of their actions. The Court’s new theory of immunity is an affront to such a system, where the most powerful person, the one best equipped to avail himself of these protections, is shielded from being prosecuted even for egregious crimes committed in plain sight.
[…] confined to the dissent, she formulated an overarching counterargument that those on the left have neglected to make outside of myopic cases or individual policy issues.
“It is a core tenet of our democracy that the People are the sovereign, and the Rule of Law is our first and final security,” she wrote.
She took a similarly philosophical view on United States v. Rahimi, where all but Justice Clarence Thomas ruled that domestic abusers could be stripped of their gun rights.
[…] She countered the conservative fixation on originalist “tradition” with a series of questions pointing out its obvious weaknesses — including that laws at or around the founding were written to protect a vanishingly small slice of Americans.
[…] She again made the case for the rule of law, arguing that this inconsistent and arbitrary “originalism” has forced judges to don the ill-fitting hats of historians, leading to a patchwork of contradictory opinions.
[…] In her vision, history would be a factor, and not the sole basis, for judicial review of gun regulations. […] individual judges wouldn’t sift through historical episodes to get to their chosen end result.
Unbalancing Power
Jackson also earned the distinction of being perhaps the most consistent justice in her decrying of the conservatives’ project to unbalance the branches of government, to the detriment of both Congress and the regulatory agencies in the executive branch. This was a leading theme for all of the liberals, given the gargantuan strides the right-wing majority took this term in shifting power away from federal agencies to itself.
But Jackson wrote on a couple major cases where the other liberals kept silent.
She was the only one to write outside of the majority in Starbucks Corp. v. McKinney, partially dissenting from an otherwise unanimous decision that gave the coffee behemoth a modest victory in its efforts to quash unionization efforts at its stores. […]
She characterized the decision as yet another judicial power grab, another case where the Court blessed judicial discretion over the agency’s, despite Congress’ clear intent to tilt the scales the other way.
[…] And in this specific case, Congress insisted on empowering the board because courts have such a dismal record of protecting workers’ rights: “To put it bluntly, courts exercising their equitable discretion amidst labor disputes today do so against the backdrop of an ignominious history of abuse,” she added.
She wrote alone, without the support of the other liberals, to underscore that the labor dispute was actually just the latest in an unmistakable trend of the right’s long-pursued mission to defang the administrative state.
She did similar work in Moore v. United States, a right-wing effort to preemptively head off a wealth tax, and Moyle v. United States, a case pitting state abortion bans against federal emergency room requirements.
[…] These positions aren’t novel, but the left, outside of academia, has still failed to articulate them as the foundation of its policy goals, the ideology from which everything else (abortion rights, environmental and worker protections, progressive tax schemes) flows. With her solo opinions, Jackson is building up this progressive vision of the rule of law, of the balance of power, of judicial restraint and congressional vigor.
She often writes in dissent and sometimes writes alone; but for any liberal on the bench, this game is a long one and the construction of a left-wing counterargument to the predominating right-wing theory of law and governance is a worthwhile cause in the meantime.
The FSB is coming up with increasingly creative ways to create low-follower X accounts.
In early 2022, a senior employee at the Russian state news agency RT pitched his superiors on an idea: could RT create an in-house social media bot farm to reach people outside of its traditional news broadcasts?
Per federal court documents released on Tuesday, RT executives said yes.
The result was a quixotic attempt involving the FSB, the successor agency to the KGB, to use AI to develop a mushrooming series of fake X accounts that parroted Russian propaganda.
In a search warrant affidavit, the FBI said that it had identified 968 accounts after an unnamed “U.S. government agency” tipped it off to the inner workings of RT and its alleged cooperation with an FSB official in setting up the network. Per a statement, X moved to shut down the accounts while the DOJ seized two domain names related to the network.
The affidavit — in which an unnamed FBI agent recounted how federal investigators learned of the bot farm, assessed at least part of its scope, and moved to dismantle it — reads partly like a spy novel, and partly like a skeptical take on the value of Russian disinformation efforts. The impression the affidavit leaves of what the FBI demolished is less that of a devious effort to pour gasoline on nuanced differences within the American public, and more of a scattershot approach: creating as many accounts as possible, and then using them to take the propaganda that Russia trains on its own citizens abroad. […]
Enter the FSB
That relatively small reach — and focus on the kind of Eastern European historical issues on which President Putin has long obsessed over but which seem likely to elude most American audiences — belies the lengths to which both Russian officials and U.S. law enforcement went to create and then demolish the network.
[…] An officer from the KGB successor recruited the two RT employees to work for an unnamed “private intelligence organization” that he had created. The group’s purpose, the FBI said, was to advance Russian government goals, including by using fake social media accounts to broadcast Russian propaganda. Per the tip, the Kremlin approved the group’s creation.
From there, the affidavit says, the unnamed U.S. government agency determined that the intelligence organization began to provide “investigative services” to RT last year, effectively acting as a cover within the Russian state organization for what was really going on: the FSB was using RT to “conduct influence operations against foreign adversaries in coordination with the Kremlin,” including via the bot farm.
[…] What makes this different are the many layers of deception. Per the affidavit, not only was the FSB’s involvement concealed from RT, but RT then used subterfuge to create the network of fake social media accounts with which to spread FSB messaging.
[…] Many of the addresses were registered to unknown domains; after obtaining information for who bought the domains (they were sold by an Arizona provider), the FBI found that they were registered to a fake person with a VPN in Lithuania.
[…] it was created from an IP address that traces back to Russia. […] [snipped many-layered references to Russian nesting dolls approach to trying to hide the source of the social media manipulation.]
The FBI found that it listed an associated phone number. That traced back to the beginning: one of the two RT employees that worked on the bot farm.
In the wake of the Supreme Court’s immunity ruling in Trump v. U.S., Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez of New York issued a statement condemning the high court’s “corruption crisis beyond its control.” But the congresswoman — who’s sometimes known by her “AOC” initials — didn’t stop there.
“Today’s ruling represents an assault on American democracy,” the New York Democrat added, referring to the immunity case. “It is up to Congress to defend our nation from this authoritarian capture.”
To that end, Ocasio-Cortez vowed to introduce articles of impeachment against Supreme Court justices after Congress’ Fourth of July break. Evidently, she meant it. NBC News reported this afternoon:
Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, D-N.Y., on Wednesday introduced articles of impeachment against Justices Clarence Thomas and Samuel Alito. “The unchecked corruption crisis on the Supreme Court has now spiraled into a Constitutional crisis threatening American democracy writ large,” she wrote. She cited Thomas and Alito’s financial and personal entanglements as a “grave threat to American rule of law” and the “integrity of our democracy.”
AOC has already picked up some allies: Her impeachment resolutions are backed by eight original co-sponsors: Democratic Reps. Barbara Lee of California, Rashida Tlaib of Michigan, Bonnie Watson Coleman of New Jersey, Delia Ramirez of Illinois, Maxwell Frost of Florida, Ilhan Omar of Minnesota, Jamaal Bowman of New York, and Jasmine Crockett of Texas.
The move also comes against a backdrop of several related efforts on Capitol Hill. Democratic Sens. Sheldon Whitehouse and Ron Wyden, for example, have asked Attorney General Merrick Garland to appoint a special counsel as part of a potential criminal investigation into Thomas.
Democratic Rep. Joe Morelle of New York, meanwhile responded to the Trump v. U.S. ruling by vowing to introduce a constitutional amendment that would reverse the Supreme Court’s “harmful immunity decision and ensure that no president is above the law.” Democratic Rep. Bonnie Watson Coleman of New Jersey added in a written statement that read in part, “We must take all available measures to reign in the increasingly unfettered power of this radical court, including … expanding the number of justices.”
[…] I continue to think there are a couple of ways to assess efforts like these. The first is on the merits, and on that front, it’s easy to be sympathetic to the Democratic proposals. The Supreme Court’s radicalized Republican majority has taken indefensible steps in recent years, but to elevate the presidency above the law is a uniquely pernicious act.
This, coupled with recent ethics scandals, put Democratic efforts on firm ground.
The second, however, is more pragmatic. No sitting justice has ever been removed from office through the impeachment process, and the last time such a case even went to the Senate was 220 years ago. Given the Republican majority in the House, the earliest such a move could even be considered is next year, and if Democrats fall short of a majority, the idea would again be off the table. [None of those pragmatic issues is a reason not to try to rectify the Supreme Court’s error.]
Relatedly, the Constitution has never been amended to reverse a misguided Supreme Court decision; and while Congress has expanded the Supreme Court before, it’s been 155 years, and the odds of such an effort clearing Capitol Hill anytime soon are extraordinarily remote.
Or put another way, Democrats are taking the broader issues seriously, as they should, but those hoping to see their efforts amount to meaningful changes should probably lower their expectations.
But if Congress can’t fix what Republican justices have broken, what is the remedy?
There is “very little we can do except elect a Democrat [as president] who will appoint vacancies if Democrats hold [the] Senate,” Democratic Rep. Steve Cohen of Tennessee recently told Axios.
In other words, those looking for a near-term recourse shouldn’t look to Congress, they should look to voters, who now have an added reason to choose wisely in the fall.
The online advertisement to Donald Trump supporters was clear enough: Click here, and receive a free Trump 2024 flag and a commemorative coin. All in exchange for taking a quick survey and providing a credit card number for the $5 shipping and handling.
“You’ll get two free gifts just by taking this quick poll in support of Trump,” says the ad’s narrator.
The ad—which has appeared on Facebook, YouTube, and other platforms—didn’t mention the $80 charge that would later appear on credit card statements. Those that clicked were scammed.
Political advertisements on social media are one of the best ways for candidates to reach supporters and raise campaign cash. But as a new report from Syracuse University shows, weak regulations governing online ads and haphazard enforcement by tech companies also make ads a prime source for misleading information about elections—and a tantalizingly easy way for con artists to target victims.
“There is very little regulation on the platforms,” said Jennifer Stromer-Galley, the professor who led the research for the ElectionGraph Project at Syracuse University’s Institute for Democracy, Journalism & Citizenship. “It leaves the American public vulnerable to misinformation, disinformation, and propaganda.”
Stromer’s research examined more than 2,200 groups on Facebook or Instagram that ran ads between September and May mentioning one of the presidential candidates. Combined, the ads cost nearly $19 million and were seen more than 1 billion times.
[…] Many of the ads contained misleading information, or deepfake video and audio of celebrities supposedly crying during a speech by former First Lady Melania Trump. Stromer-Galley noted that falsehoods in ads about urban crime and immigration were especially common.
[…] Stromer-Galley found that some of the pages shared common creators, or ran virtually identical ads. When one page disappeared—perhaps removed by Facebook moderators—another would pop up quickly to take its place.
Many of the pages sold Trump-related merchandise such as flags, hats, banners, and coins or advertised fictitious investment schemes. The true motive, apparently, was to get a user’s credit card information.
The ads promising a free Trump flag were placed by a group called Liberty Defender Group. Emails sent to several addresses listed for the company were not returned, and a phone number for a company representative could not be found. […]
The Trump campaign, which has no known ties to the network, did not respond to a message seeking comment.
The researchers at Syracuse were only able to study ads on Meta platforms because other companies do not make such information public. As a result, Stromer-Galley said the public is in the dark about the true amount of misinformation and scams spreading on social media.
[…] Sens. Sheldon Whitehouse and Ron Wyden delivered a 14 page letter to Merrick Garland yesterday detailing a whole bunch of off-the-books gifts to Clarence Thomas and suggesting that he be investigated for tax fraud.
The list of potentially secret gifts also includes a loan of more than $267,000 provided by Thomas’ close friend Anthony Welters, the yacht trip to Russia from the Baltics, and the helicopter ride to Yusupov Palace in St. Petersburg. ProPublica first reported last year on the existence of extensive undisclosed gifts and lavish trips from Crow. [excerpted from a Daily Beast article.]
[…]
So Clarence Thomas visited Russia? Clarence Thomas got a helicopter ride to Yusupov Palace in St. Petersburg?
President Biden will sit down with Lester Holt of NBC News for an exclusive interview that will air Monday, the network announced Wednesday.
The interview, which will be taped in Austin, Texas, will air in full as part of a prime-time special on the network starting at 9 p.m. Eastern.
NBC said portions of the interview will be aired earlier that day on “NBC Nightly News” and at NBCNews.com.
Biden’s sit-down with NBC’s top news anchor comes just days after he granted a similar interview to George Stephanopoulos of ABC News, which also aired that conversation in prime time.
[…] Monday evening is also the first night of the Republican National Convention, creating a potential split-screen moment for the country as voters weigh a match-up between Biden and former President Trump this fall.
Biden Delivers Barn-Burner NATO Speech, Doesn’t Even Threaten To Quit Alliance And Marry Putin
We guess it DOES matter who’s president.
Last night, during Donald Trump’s rally at Doral, he admitted that before he was president, he didn’t even “know what the hell NATO was too much,” but said he figured it out really fast, “like two minutes.” He then proceeded to give his perpetually confused explanation for NATO funding. “They weren’t paying, we were paying!”
Trump has always seemed to believe there’s a NATO checking account somewhere, that only America pays into. (NATO funding is an agreement among member nations to each spend two percent of GDP on their own defense.)
He also told his followers that he told NATO allies that he wouldn’t defend them against Russia, if they didn’t “pay.” (He told it as a “sir” story, so it’s almost certainly a lie that he was such a tough guy with NATO allies in private. He’s not known for being a really tough guy, in private.)
Meanwhile, there is a real NATO summit of the real NATO alliance happening in Washington DC, hosted by President Joe Biden, who gave a barn-burner of a speech last night to welcome NATO leaders.
Go ahead and watch it. Biden starts just after the 45-minute mark. [video at the link]
Biden called NATO the “single-greatest, most effective defensive alliance in the history of the world.” He noted that NATO is “stronger than it’s ever been in its history,” having just finally brought Finland and Sweden into the alliance, to defend against a rogue Russia.
About Russia, Biden said that Vladimir Putin “wants nothing less than Ukraine’s total subjugation, to end Ukraine’s democracy, to destroy Ukraine’s culture, and to wipe Ukraine off the map.” He added that “we know Putin won’t stop with Ukraine.”
But he continued, “Make no mistake, Ukraine can and will stop Putin,” and said in no uncertain terms Ukraine would continue to do that with NATO’s full support. He announced new air defense systems for Ukraine, courtesy of the USA and NATO.
Biden even bragged on his own success in getting NATO members to pay up, as Trump is so obsessed with them doing, noting that in 2020 — you know, the last year Trump was president — only nine members paid the requisite two percent of their GDP for defense spending. Now it’s 23.
At the end, Biden said he wanted to end his speech “a slightly unusual way.” […] he gave NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg the Presidential Medal Of Freedom for his leadership over the last decade, and especially since the beginning of Russia’s evil war on Ukraine.
So yeah, he nailed it. They gave him a standing ovation, like you give to the leader of the free world.
The reviews for Biden’s speech were strong. In fact, just about everybody used the word “forceful.” Even the New York Times.
President Biden opened NATO’s 75th anniversary summit on Tuesday seeking to bolster confidence in both the alliance and his own political standing with a forceful speech warning of the threat posed by Russia and other authoritarian states as the world plunges into a new era of superpower conflict.
Mr. Biden, speaking in a strong voice, with few errors, sounded themes from some of the most memorable speeches of his presidency, painting an image of a fearsome and growing NATO with an ironclad commitment to Ukraine in its fight against a Russian invasion.
Strong voice! Few errors! That fucking killed them to write, you just know it.
They mentioned the debate in paragraph four, and a number of times after, but grudgingly conceded:
By all measures, he passed the test,
Wait for it …
though he was speaking from a teleprompter — meaning there was no risk he would wander into incomplete thoughts.
Unlike other presidents, who just fuckin’ wing it when they give formal addresses to world leaders, we guess.
Biden’s schedule for this NATO week is bugfuck by anyone’s standards, and that’s after his past week full of events. (Trump, comparatively, spent the week with his thumbs up his ass before he reappeared for his rally last night. You would too if the American media was dutifully doing your job of taking down your opponent for you.)
He’s got 12 straight hours of presidenting and NATO hosting today, and then tomorrow he’s doing a real live press conference.
We’ll see how that goes! Regardless, we are sure the New York Times will have something really important to say about it.
The former fixer turned star witness in the hush money trial wants to force Trump to pay for jailing him in response to his refusal to promise not to write a book.
Michael Cohen is asking the Supreme Court to wade into his fight with former President Donald Trump after a federal appeals court rejected his latest attempt to seek compensation for being jailed in what another judge called an act of retribution.
In a filing he will make with the court on Wednesday, Cohen asked for a review of a Court of Appeals for the Second Circuit decision that denied his request to hold Trump, former Attorney General Bill Barr and other Justice Department officials accountable for throwing him back in jail because he refused to agree not to write a book that was going to be critical of Trump.
“This is a case of first impression,” Cohen said of his filing. “No president should ever be permitted to weaponize the Department of Justice through a willing and complicit attorney general to have a citizen unconstitutionally remanded to prison (solitary confinement) because they refused to waive their First Amendment right. It’s a case ripe for the SCOTUS.”
Cohen is asking the Supreme Court to apply the Bivens precedent which would allow some suits against federal officials. Bivens claims are virtually impossible to obtain after recent Supreme Court decisions gutted the prior ruling, an NBC News investigation found.
Cohen’s filing argues that his case should qualify as a Bivens claim because of “a finding by a federal judge who found that the president’s most public critic was incarcerated for retaliation for attempting to speak and write about the president.” Justice Sonia Sotomayor granted an extension to Cohen of the filing deadline from June to July 10th.
Judge Alvin Hellerstein of the Southern District of New York found that Cohen was incarcerated in retaliation for attempting to speak and publish his book. He ordered Cohen released and ordered the government never to jail him again.
A district judge ruled against Cohen’s initial attempt to sue Trump and the other officials, determining that Supreme Court precedent does not allow him to pursue damages and the Second Circuit Court of Appeals agreed, ruling that his ultimate release was sufficient to meet his claims. District Judge Lewis Liman, in denying Cohen’s claim, did concede that his rights were violated but said Supreme Court precedent barred him from letting the case move forward.
“The case represents the principle that presidents and their subordinates can lock away critics of the executive without consequence,” Cohen said in an appearance on MSNBC’s “Deadline: White House.” “That cannot be the law in the country the Founders created when they threw off the yoke of the monarch who imprisoned Wilkes.”
Cohen served as a star witness in Trump’s New York hush money trial, during which a jury found the former president guilty of 34 counts of business document falsification related to hush money payments to a porn actress ahead of the 2016 election.
Cohen has painted a frightening picture of what he expects would happen in a second Trump presidential term. “He is capable of absolutely anything and everything, don’t discount what he is telling you, he will have unlimited power,” Cohen said in the interview on MSNBC. “You allow your mind to wander into the farthest level of dystopia, and then you finally get a small glimpse into how far he will push this.”
Jon Michael Dougherty, Cohen’s attorney, says Trump and other presidents must be held accountable. “This is one of the most un-American acts of executive abuse imaginable. The reason we need this kind of remedy is to ensure every officer at every level of the government from ordering the arrest and incarceration of critics for refusing to be silent.”
Alina Habba, Trump’s attorney, has called the lawsuit frivolous, “We are very pleased with today’s ruling,” she said when the complaint was initially dismissed. “Mr. Cohen’s lawsuit was doomed from its inception. We will continue to fight against any frivolous suits aimed at our client.”
whheydtsays
Re: Lynna, OM @ #167….
Perhaps they noticed that Kamala Harris was (1) elected DA of San Francisco, (2) elected Attorney General of the State of California, and (3) elected to be a US Senator from California.
Lightbulb moment:
Michelle Obama is a genuinely popular human being but does not like politics.
-Dubya had not exactly been awarded a Nobel Prize, but he stumbled through 8 years by delegating thinking to various Republican thugs.
Solution (that is better than the Dubya years): make Michelle Obama president, with the understanding big political decisions can be delegated to some reasonable competent and honest Veep.
*
I write this after the devastating criticism written by Clooney, because it implies the debate screwup was not an isolated event.
.
I know Biden is perfectly capable of policy, but right now the issue is defeating fascism in a political campaign.
Biden cannot do this purely from behind well-spoken proxies.
The way Merican election campaign functions, the Democratic nominee must be front and center blasting away like Demosthenes or Cicero. This is goddamn Trump they are facing.
birgerjohanssonsays
“Bandkanon 1 self-propelled gun | The Swedish beast with a fearsome fiery breath
.https://youtube.com/watch?v=82jXQ56mOe0
I wish we still had them in inventory, ready to ship to Ukraine. The rapid fire was perfect for counterbattery work.
The SaveAFox animal rescue Youtube channel got hacked by a Russian group for three days, but now the site is back.
JMsays
@186 birgerjohansson: The US is actually working on new strategy for artillery. Based on analysis of what has happened in Ukraine they realized the old systems would not be good in an actual army vs army engagement shortly after the war started. The US Army depends on too much towed artillery, good for fighting in Afghanistan and Iraq against insurgents but too slow and fragile for duty against a hostile army with long ranged artillery also. The M109 is decent but terribly out dated. Defense News – US Army readies new artillery strategy
The article is from 2023 and outdated at this point. The Army canceled the ERCA system early in 2024, it had too many problems. Some have pushed for improved artillery shells but the Army seems to have come to the conclusion that isn’t a good idea for a basic weapon either, in a war they couldn’t be produced fast enough and would be too expensive.
Shipping artillery to Ukraine seems to have reminded the army that in an actual war they would need a lot of shells and thus they need to be easy to make and cheap.
(Even Chopper (‘harden the fuck up’) Reid would have been impressed)
John Moralessays
Birger @175, FWIW, that’s a great video by Phil.
(I don’t usually make such comments, but can’t be relentlessly critical, either)
GerrardOfTitanServersays
From a clip of a news article above
[…] the power to bring criminal cases is not only centralized in relatively few government prosecutors, […]
Note that this is grossly misleading in context. I have no idea why nearly all legal scholars continue with this fiction, especially for those on our side when the real history is very different and that would be very useful to supporting the rule of law. Again, at the time of the founding in America, many / most criminal prosecutors were the victims of the (supposed) crimes acting in their own private capacity. It was the common law right of every person to seek an indictment from a grand jury to become prosecutor (or presumably appoint someone else of their choosing to be prosecutor). Criminal prosecution was never an exclusive power of the executive. Rather, it was a common law right of the people which was then usurped by various acts of the legislature, and then granted to the executive by the legislature.
Is Prosecution a Core Executive Function? Morrison v. Olson and the Framers’ Intent
Stephanie AJ. Dangel
The Yale Law Journal
Vol. 99: 1069
Note that this argument also seriously undercuts some of the arguments used by the king-of-America decision because even under a unitary executive theory, the president still has no special powers over prosecution except those that congress took from the people and gave to the president.
Sorry for copy-pasting it here too, but I think others should see it, if only for the conversations that it might start and the brainstorming that it might lead to.
Upon reflection, this is what I think Biden should do. Joe Biden should order the arrest of Trump and the 6 MAGA SCOTUS judges and ordered them held at GitMo, without access to lawyers, without habeas corpus. After that is accomplished, he should make the following public announcement.
Trump tried to overturn the election and stop the peaceful transition of power on 6 January 2021. By the definition in the Constitution, he is a traitor and was part of an insurrection against the United States. With the recent Trump v United States decision by the Supreme Court, 6 Supreme Court justices have become complicit in this attempt to overthrow the government. Through their actions, they have also violated their oaths of office. Consequently, I have taken the drastic action of ordering their arrest and detention pending trial.
Furthermore, I have taken it upon myself to enforce the provision of the 14th amendment that bans traitors who have previously taken an oath of office from running for public office again. Under that authority, I am ordering that Trump shall be removed from all ballots for the November election, and the 6 Supreme Court justices shall be immediately removed from their position on the supreme court.
Given the severity of these crimes, and how the initial crimes happened during an armed rebellion against the constitution, and giving the ongoing threat of armed rebellion by their many collaborators in the federal congress, and in the State legislatures, and elsewhere, I have revoked their right to habeas corpus as allowed by the federal constitution.
It is my goal that the State legislatures will work to immediately pass a new federal constitutional amendment that affirms that no officer or agent of the executive branch, including the president, shall have any immunity for unlawful actions because everyone should be equal before the law in court, even if they are the president. Our nation was founded on this central premise, that everyone should be equal before the law in court. That’s what it means to be equal before the law.
Next, I will work with both parties in the Senate to immediately appoint 6 new supreme court justices to fill the new vacancies. I will strive for moderate, non-partisan picks. In particular, I will endeavor to find judges who wish to respect precedent and preserve the prior status quo, including Chevron Deference, but also the people’s inalienable right to weapons as guaranteed by the second amendment. However, make no mistake: I will not hesitate to make my selections without the cooperation of one political party in the Senate if they decide to not cooperate and instead side with the people who would tear down our republic constitution and replace it with a monarchy.
Finally, to show that this is not about my own personal power, nor the power of my party, I plan on resigning as president as soon as these two things are accomplished, and I will not run for reelection.
May god bless America.
The point of this new plan is that it’s not actually unlawful. Arguably everything is part of the legal process, although the invocation of the 14th amendment in this way by the president would be highly controversial among those who support traitors, e.g. the Republican party. The 14th amendment does not specify an enforcement mechanism for the clause about traitors who violate their oath of office, so the president might as well claim enforcement power, to kick Trump off the ballot, and to remove the 6 MAGA traitor justices from SCOTUS.
John Moralessays
Joe Biden should order the arrest of Trump and the 6 MAGA SCOTUS judges and ordered them held at GitMo, without access to lawyers, without habeas corpus.
Right. Biden should break the law, in other words.
The point of this new plan is that it’s not actually unlawful. Arguably everything is part of the legal process, although the invocation of the 14th amendment in this way by the president would be highly controversial among those who support traitors, e.g. the Republican party.
You got one word in the wrong place, there. Entirely changes the meaning.
(It’s a thing in both law and coding)
Here’s the fix (I double-clicked, then dragged that word to its proper place):
‘The point of this new plan is that it’s Arguably not actually unlawful. everything is part of the legal process, although the invocation of the 14th amendment in this way by the president would be highly controversial among those who support traitors, e.g. the Republican party.’
John Moralessays
PS “May god bless America.”
Nononono… this is supposedly a public announcement, according to the vision.
It should be “God bless America!”.
(Oratorical techniques are a thing)
John Moralessays
Still, it is indeed better than “maybe god can bless America?”.
(So, could be worse)
GerrardOfTitanServersays
Right. Biden should break the law, in other words.
How does it break the law? It’s Biden’s power and duty under his oath of office to prevent coups, and the 14th amendment is quite clear that traitors cannot hold public office. Trump is clearly a traitor, and IMAO the 6 MAGA SCOTUS justices are clearly complicit in the attempt to overthrow the government by retroactively granting Trump immunity for trying to overthrow the government so he can try it again.
John Moralessays
For example: “America could sure use God’s blessing!”.
(But then again… this is the USA of which we speak)
GerrardOfTitanServersays
John
That’s tradition for America, and I’m trying to use persuasion. I don’t actually believe in gods, but that’s the kind of thing that sells well to certain very large segments of America.
John Moralessays
How does it break the law?
Due process.
It’s Biden’s power and duty under his oath of office to prevent coups, and the 14th amendment is quite clear that traitors cannot hold public office.
Due process.
Trump is clearly a traitor […]
Due process.
[…] and IMAO the 6 MAGA SCOTUS justices are clearly complicit in the attempt to overthrow the government by retroactively granting Trump immunity for trying to overthrow the government so he can try it again.
I get that.
—
Again: in your case, you say ((X is true) and (it’s arguable that X is true because [blah]) whereas I hold that you should have said ((X is arguably true because [blah])
IOW, you can’t just assert something is true and follow that up with an arguable reason for its purported truth, if you want to be at all cogent.
John Moralessays
… that’s the kind of thing that sells well to certain very large segments of America.
Now that, I sure cannot dispute. :)
John Moralessays
[To be clear, I’m not dissing your perception, only your argumentative technique, Gerrard]
GerrardOfTitanServersays
During a coup in progress, there is no due process concerns at all. That’s why our constitution explicitly allows suspending habeus corpus during an invasion or rebellion.
Due process does not necessarily apply to someone’s ability to hold public office. There is no obvious legal standard under the 14th amendment that someone should get due process before being removed for being a traitor. Historically, when it was passed, there was no due process for the traitors of the Confederacy for being barred from holding public office. They were simply barred. You sound like the Trump defenders in the Colorado ballot court battle where the Colorado court made the same determinations that I just did in this paragraph, but the Colorado court decided that it was their power to remove Trump from the ballot (again because the 14th amendment doesn’t specify an enforcement mechanism). You sound just like Trump’s defenders saying that “no no, it should work differently (while also not specifying how it should work)”.
Under my plan, Trump and the 6 MAGA traitor judges will get their date in court for treason, but no date in court for being removed from office.
Again, SCOTUS just created a king of America, and is doing it clearly for that traitor Trump to have another chance to overthrow the government. If that’s not treason, then I don’t know what is.
GerrardOfTitanServersays
[To be clear, I’m not dissing your perception, only your argumentative technique, Gerrard]
Thank you. I see.
John Moralessays
Um, were you not the very person who not so long ago held the Rule of Law to be an indispensable platform for proper government, Gerrard?
John Moralessays
Re #204, thank you too. Civility is nice.
John Moralessays
One more, but endless, right?
Again, SCOTUS just created a king of America, and is doing it clearly for that traitor Trump to have another chance to overthrow the government.
The current cynical narrative is that SCOTUS made the Prez immune to official actions of the office, the little caveat is that SCOTUS (ultimately, after all, due process) decides what is and what is not an ‘official act’.
Ain’t POTUS being made the king, it’s SCOTUS making itself the éminence grise.
They like whatever it was, they can decide it was official, and therefore immune to prosecution.
They don’t, well… you see where this leads.
GerrardOfTitanServersays
Um, were you not the very person who not so long ago held the Rule of Law to be an indispensable platform for proper government, Gerrard?
Yes. Which is why I’m so incensed, so angry, so worried, so upset. The president immunity decision is a direct attack on rule of law. An attack in the worst way possible. “Rules for thee and not for me”. “Rule of law” means that people are answerable to the law via a grand jury and petite jury in a court of law. That’s what “rule of law” means. That what “under the law” and “answerable to the law” means. They have practically destroyed the rule of law with this decision. At least mortally wounded it.
When the enemy is breaking the rules and trying to install a Christian theocratic fascist regime, we shouldn’t play by the old rules if that gives them a chance for victory.
Also, I think that my plan is still mostly playing by the old rules. The 14th amendment, aka the highest law because it’s in the constitution, based on the historical record, arguably can be enforced simply by presidential decree. I might not support that interpretation in more normal times, but these are not normal times.
GerrardOfTitanServersays
The current cynical narrative is that SCOTUS made the Prez immune to official actions of the office, the little caveat is that SCOTUS (ultimately, after all, due process) decides what is and what is not an ‘official act’.
Yea. IIRC, I was the first to mention this in the old “July 4” thread.
John Moralessays
Well, anyway.
Tell ya what, Gerrard: I’m an Aussie, and my skin in this game is second, maybe third hand.
I can but speak of generalities, but as I reckon it, anything along those lines is surely beyond mere brinkmanship; rather, at best, a provication, then worse, an ultimatum, with the obvious opening to spin it as trolling and total hypocrisy.
(Neither of us are politicians, of course)
GerrardOfTitanServersays
I think I’m prepared to face those potential consequences compared to letting them destroy the rule of law and make a king in America, although I’m open to a less extreme plan.
In recent years, the Republican Party has been credibly accused of becoming hostile toward democracy. The evidence to bolster the allegations has been overwhelming: From voter-suppression measures to election denialism to rejecting the certification of vote tallies, the contemporary GOP has been unsubtle in suggesting that Americans no longer resolve our differences at the ballot box.
But there’s another dimension to this that’s even less oblique: Some Republicans have been explicit in their rejection of democracy.
AL.com’s Kyle Whitmire, for example, took note of the latest rhetoric from John Wahl, the chair of the Alabama Republican Party, who shared some odd thoughts during an appearance on a local radio program last week.
“The mainstream media wants us to think of ourselves as a democracy because that leads to socialism,” Wahl said on the program. … “Even our Republican elected officials call us a democracy far too often, and we are not.”
To be sure, that’s quite a conspiracy theory. Rascally journalists, we’re apparently supposed to believe, have secretly launched an effort to convince Americans that they live in a democracy — not just to deceive them, but also to advance the cause of “socialism.”
As best as I can tell, Wahl wasn’t kidding.
But the Alabama Republican isn’t alone. A few months ago, GOP officials in the state of Washington assembled for an election-year convention and passed a resolution that read in part, “We encourage Republicans to substitute the words ‘republic’ and ‘republicanism’ where previously they have used the word ‘democracy.’” The same resolution added that Republicans in the state of Washington “oppose legislation which makes our nation more democratic in nature.”
One delegate to the state GOP convention declared at the event, “We are devolving into a democracy. … We do not want to be a democracy.”
Such thinking has even popped up on Capitol Hill. About a month before Election Day 2020, for example, Sen. Mike Lee raised a few eyebrows by declaring via social media that the United States is “not a democracy.” The Utah Republican added soon after, “Democracy isn’t the objective; liberty, peace, and prospefity [sic] are. We want the human condition to flourish. Rank democracy can thwart that.”
Nearly a year later, Sen. Rand Paul made a related argument. “The idea of democracy and majority rule really is what goes against our history and what the country stands for,” the Kentucky Republican argued in June 2021, despite reality.
One need not be a hysterical partisan to accuse the Republican Party of growing increasingly hostile toward democracy; one need only quote Republican officials.
Up until fairly recently, the “Appeal to Heaven” flag was a relatively obscure symbol, at least in contemporary times, though as a New York Times report recently noted, it’s become “a symbol of support for former President Donald J. Trump, for a religious strand of the ‘Stop the Steal’ campaign and for a push to remake American government in Christian terms.”
Slate’s Dahlia Lithwick added, “That flag is not merely another January 6 signifier but also rooted in John Locke’s ‘appeal to heaven,’ meaning ‘a responsibility to rebel, even use violence, to overthrow unjust rule.’”
With this in mind, it was rather unsettling when the public learned that the Appeal to Heaven flag, also known as the Pine Tree flag, was hoisted above Supreme Court Justice Samuel Alito’s vacation home in New Jersey last year.
This week, the same symbol became politically relevant anew, thanks to the latest reporting from NOTUS’s Haley Byrd Wilt.
Rep. Jim Banks — a Republican who is seeking a Senate seat in Indiana this year — isn’t saying whether he opposes armed rebellion against the American government. “I don’t take you seriously enough to answer your question,” Banks told NOTUS on Tuesday when asked, for the fourth time in person, if he opposes violent revolution against the United States.
Let’s back up and review how we arrived at this point.
Hours after a jury convicted Donald Trump of 34 felonies, Banks published an image — without text or a caption — of the Appeal to Heaven flag to his social media platform. (As of this morning, it remains the Indiana Republican’s pinned tweet, suggesting he places special significance on the symbol.)
This led NOTUS’s Haley Byrd Wilt to note that some commenters speculated the image meant that the GOP congressman “might view what was happening to Trump as dire enough to warrant some new kind of American revolution.”
Banks has been given a variety of opportunities to reject the idea of armed rebellion. He’s chosen not to take advantage of those opportunities.
“I’ll let you make your own conclusions,” he told NOTUS.
The outlet also asked the Republican lawmaker whether he condemns any kind of violent insurrection. Instead of saying “yes” or “of course,” Banks said he condemns “the Democrats for what they’ve done to weaponize the federal government against their political enemies.” (There is literally no evidence of Democrats weaponizing the federal government against their political enemies. There is, however, overwhelming evidence of Donald Trump trying to weaponize the federal government against his political enemies — which Banks has never publicly criticized.)
Asked whether he believed his promotion of the Appeal to Heaven flag, the night of Trump’s conviction, could be misconstrued, Banks added, “I’m not sure what there is to misconstrue.”
It seems like it would’ve been quite easy for the Indiana Republican — who’s all but certain to be elected to the Senate in the fall — to simply express his opposition to armed rebellion. For reasons he has not yet explained, Banks apparently doesn’t want to deliver such a message.
Rex Huppke of USA Today covers the utter incoherence and lies of yet another Donald Trump rally speech.
During the event, the former president slurred words, claimed his son Don Jr. is married when he’s actually just engaged, and consistently described the world around him in a manner wholly inconsistent with reality.
During one heartbreaking moment, Trump stopped talking for a full minute while the usual eerie music favored by an unhinged conspiracy group called QAnonplayed in the background. He sweatily moved his head back and forth and randomly pointed at people, appearing to not know exactly what he was doing. […]
At one point during Tuesday’s rally, Trump said tourists who go to Washington, D.C., and visit the Jefferson Memorial or the Washington Monument “end up getting shot, mugged, raped.” It was troubling to see a man hoping to become president again act so confused. Violent crime in the District of Columbia is down more than 20% this year, as crime nationwide has plummeted.
Various X posts are also showing Trump stopping talking for a full minute.
More from Rex Huppke:
Slurred words, imagined dystopian scenes and a rant about airports
Trump slurred his words again while apparently making a promise that, if reelected, no American will ever overdose on drugs again: “Mothers will never again be forced to watch their children overdosing and hosplee.”
I don’t know what hosplee means. I don’t even know if Trump knows what it means or if he even knew he was there in the South Florida heat, randomly talking about airports:
“We are a nation whose once revered airports are a dirty, crowded mess. You sit and wait for hours and then are notified that the plane won’t leave, that they have no idea when they will, where tickets prices have tripled, they don’t have the pilots to fly the planes, they don’t seek qualified air traffic controllers and they just don’t know what the hell they are doing.”
Trump’s imagined view of dystopian airports has no basis in reality. This past Sunday, a one-day record of 3 million travelers were screened by the Transportation Security Administration.
USA TODAY recently reported that the average domestic airfare last year was only 9% more than what it was in 2019, compared with overall inflation at 19% in the same period.
Trump also babbled about Hannibal Lecter (a fictional serial killer) again, for the umpteenth time.
On a recent conference samples of tissue and enzymes taken from dead Greenland sharks were discussed – it looks like there is no decline in enzymatic activity in greenland sharks with age (they become sexually mature at 150 and may live as long as 500 years).
Previously it was known that bowhead whales can get more than 200 years old.
(Once aquatic species have grown to a size where they have no enemies evolutionary pressure for self-repair and longer life can manifest, as there is no predation)
The Internal Revenue Service beefed up its enforcement efforts last fall—and the push is paying off quickly. The tax-collecting agency announced Thursday that it scooped up more than $1 billion in past-due taxes from millionaires since October, an achievement that the House GOP is still trying to undo.
“With this collection activity, the IRS passed an important milestone in our effort to improve compliance and ensure fairness in the tax system,” said IRS Commissioner Danny Werfel. “Our increased work in this area means these past-due tax bills from high-end taxpayers are no longer being left on the table, like they were too often in the past.”
The IRS launched its new enforcement efforts on millionaires and big corporations at the end of October 2023, and managed to reap this return in just eight months.
“The collection results achieved in less than a year reveal the magnitude of what can be achieved over the long run as our Inflation Reduction enforcement continues to ramp up in the months ahead,” Werfel added.
Werfel is referring to the 2022 Inflation Reduction Act championed by President Joe Biden and the Democrats, which provided a 10-year, $80 billion investment in the IRS, with $45.6 billion over 10 years specifically earmarked for tax enforcement. Every single Republican in the House and Senate voted against that bill.
The Republican quest to protect tax-cheating millionaires continued with the very first policy vote the House GOP took in 2023 after regaining the majority. Republicans voted in lock-step to repeal that IRS funding—a repeal which the Congressional Budget Office said would decrease federal revenue by $186 billion between 2023 and 2032, costing the government more than $114 billion.
That repeal effort was squashed by the Democratic-controlled Senate, but the GOP is still at it. Republicans are trying to defund the IRS in next year’s appropriations bill, attempting to cut $2.2 billion from the agency, or about 18% of its budget for next year alone. A full $2 billion of those cuts would come from enforcement funding.
As always, Republicans are looking out for the super-rich (and the Pentagon) while drafting bills that would screw the rest of us.
[…] In 2016, J.D. Vance was one of the harshest critics of Trump as well as one of the most insightful analysts in identifying the threat that he posed. On Facebook, Vance referred to Trump as “America’s Hitler.” In an op-ed for The Atlantic titled “The Opioid of the Masses,” Vance likened Trump to the fentanyl and heroin that featured in his book, “Hillbilly Elegy.”
During this election season, it appears that many Americans have reached for a new pain reliever. It too, promises a quick escape from life’s cares, an easy solution to the mounting social problems of U.S. communities and culture. It demands nothing and requires little more than a modest presence and maybe a few enablers. It enters minds, not through lungs or veins, but through eyes and ears, and its name is Donald Trump.
But by 2018, Vance began a well-timed pivot. Rather than fighting against the deadly rush generated by Trump’s message of hate, Vance began to indulge. And soon enough he was mainlining what he had previously called “cultural heroin.”
Eventually, as Rolling Stone reported in 2022, Vance “kissed Trump’s ass just enough to make it to the Senate.” From there, he has gone on to be one of right-wing media’s favorite Trump surrogates, putting the gift of words he used to become a bestselling author to use in defending Trump’s every action.
However, that’s probably not what put Vance on the shortlist. What got him noticed was not how Vance flip-flopped on Trump, but just how far toward wanna-be KGB he was willing to go. That was best showcased in a specific incident in 2023.
When historian Robert Kagan wrote an essay in The Washington Post on the dangers of a dictatorship under Trump, Vance responded. Only he didn’t respond by trying to counter Kagan in print. Instead, Vance called on the Department of Justice to investigate Kagan for treason.
In a letter to Attorney General Merrick Garland that is still highlighted at Vance’s campaign site, Vance asked: “Will the Department of Justice open an investigation into Robert Kagan for potential violations of 18 U.S.C. § 241, 18 U.S.C. § 2383, or any other federal criminal statute? If not, what factors counsel against such an investigation? Why were those factors inapplicable in President Trump’s case?”
That’s the kind of loyalty to Trump-over-everything move that helped Vance rocket to the top of the VP list.
Now that Vance is deep into the final stages of his Trump addiction, he’s still saying things that Trump might not find helpful. Like thanking the authors of Project 2025 in a recent speech at the same time Trump is trying to deny knowledge of the plan. Vance included a hat tip to Heritage Foundation leader Kevin Roberts, who recently threatened to kill “the left” if they didn’t go along with his plan.
But it’s not likely that will hurt Vance’s chances. Trump loves people who have humiliated themselves to show their loyalty to him. Besides, pretty much every potential running mate was a never Trumper at some point.
Overall, it’s hard to find anyone who has aggressively shredded more of their personal credibility than Vance. That’s what makes him such a Trump favorite.
Trump sees that J.D. Vance can be manipulated, and that at his core Vance has no moral compass.
SaveAFox:
“We got HACKED! How to fix your stolen YouTube account.”
.https://youtube.com/watch?v=_TuVeTpXS94
(They were lucky to have a Google employee as a subscriber)
Congressional Republicans haven’t given up on their crusade against Attorney General Merrick Garland, but as NBC News reported Thursday afternoon, their efforts aren’t going especially well.
The House of Representatives on Thursday rejected a resolution to hold Attorney General Merrick Garland in “inherent contempt” for failing to turn over the audiotapes of President Joe Biden’s interview with special counsel Robert Hur.
[Good news.]
The final tally was 210-204. The measure would’ve passed, but four House Republicans — Reps. David Joyce of Ohio, Mike Turner of Ohio, Tom McClintock of California, and John Duarte of California — balked and voted with the Democratic minority.
[…] Several months ago, former special counsel Robert Hur wrapped up his investigation into President Joe Biden inadvertently taking some classified documents after his vice presidential tenure ended. Not surprisingly, the prosecutor decided not to indict the incumbent president.
Soon after, Hur released a report, which included a transcript of an interview that Biden volunteered to participate in. (Donald Trump, in contrast, refused to be interviewed by either special counsel Robert Mueller or special counsel Jack Smith.)
In theory, that ended the story. In practice, however, there was one additional element that Republicans decided to pursue: the audio recording of the incumbent president’s Q&A with investigators. Republicans admitted that they were just looking for a campaign cudgel, but that didn’t deter the effort.
When the White House asserted executive privilege, and the Justice Department told Congress it wouldn’t get the recording, House GOP members voted to hold Garland in contempt.
And then things got a little weird.
Republican Rep. Anna Paulina Luna of Florida recently announced a plan to go after the attorney general with an “inherent contempt” measure that would, for all intents and purposes, empower the House’s sergeant-at-arms to arrest Garland.
When that failed to gain traction, Luna turned to Plan B — a second “inherent contempt” measure that would subject the A.G. to $10,000-a-day fines until the Justice Department provided lawmakers with the interview tapes.
On Wednesday, this effort received a hearty endorsement from Trump. Roughly 24 hours later, the measure fell short in the House anyway.
What’s next? One can only guess, though it seems inevitable that the GOP majority will continue to explore new ways to go after the attorney general. Watch this space.
birgerjohanssonsays
The good thing with the Trump era is, we now know the truth about the Republican party – we had really known it all along, but it is nice they hsve dropped the masks.
And it is surprising to see that some really horrible conservatives somehow found the integrity to back out of the insane vlown posse.
Like in 1860 and 1933, it is only in extreme circumstances you see what people really are like.
The alleged plot targeted the CEO of Rheinmetall, which provides artillery rounds to Ukraine and plans to open plants in Ukraine to make ammo and armored vehicles.
Russia planned to assassinate the CEO of a major German arms manufacturer that provides artillery ammunition and armored vehicles to Ukraine, but the plot was uncovered and disrupted by U.S. and German authorities, according to a U.S. official and a source with knowledge of the matter.
The alleged plot targeted Armin Papperger, the chief executive of Rheinmetall AG, Europe’s largest producer of ammunition, whose company makes 155 mm artillery rounds for Ukraine and plans to open several plants inside the country to produce both ammunition and armored vehicles, including the Lynx infantry fighting vehicle. U.S. intelligence agencies discovered the plan to go after Papperger earlier this year and informed the German government, the sources said.
CNN first reported on the assassination plot.
Papperger was one of a number of defense industry chiefs in Europe to be targeted but the plot against him was believed to be more advanced, the sources said.
The revelations followed recent warnings from NATO’s secretary-general, European governments and U.S. officials about an expanding effort by Moscow to disrupt arms deliveries to Ukraine as it tries to defend itself against invading Russian troops.
The White House National Security Council would not comment directly on the specific case involving Rheinmetall, but council spokesperson Adrienne Watson said the Biden administration was concerned about the growing threat of Russian sabotage.
“While I don’t have a comment on this specific report, Russia’s intensifying campaign of subversion is something that we are taking extremely seriously and have been intently focused on over the past few months,” Watson said. “The United States has been discussing this issue with our NATO Allies, and we are actively working together to expose and disrupt these activities. We have also been clear that Russia’s actions will not deter Allies from continuing to support Ukraine.”
[…] A spokesperson for the Democratic minority on the House Intelligence Committee declined to comment on the alleged plot but said: “As Putin continues to fail to accomplish his maximalist agenda in Ukraine, Russia has increasingly turned to illegal and aggressive malign activities abroad, including in NATO countries. The Intelligence Committee is closely following these threats, which only strengthen our resolve to support Ukraine.”
[…] Last month, NATO Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg said alliance members planned to impose more restrictions on Russian intelligence agents and to bolster security for key infrastructure to counter Moscow’s use of sabotage, cyberattacks and disinformation to undercut Western support for Ukraine following Russia’s full-scale invasion in February 2022.
“We have seen several examples of sabotage, of arson attempts, of cyberattacks, of disinformation,” Stoltenberg told reporters.
NBC News has previously reported that Russia is conducting a sabotage campaign across Europe in an increasingly aggressive effort by President Vladimir Putin to undermine Western support for Ukraine, seeking to damage railways, military bases and other sites used to supply arms to Kyiv.
The attempted sabotage includes an alleged Russian-backed arson attack on a Ukrainian-linked warehouse in the United Kingdom, a plot to bomb or set fire to military bases in Germany, attempts to hack and disrupt Europe’s railway signal network and the jamming of GPS systems for civil aviation. […]
By design, Ukraine was this week’s big winner at the NATO summit in Washington.
It was NATO’s 75th birthday party, and despite not being a member of the alliance, Kyiv stole the spotlight. Over the course of three days, the 32-member military alliance rallied around Ukraine’s war efforts to combat the Russian invasion.
[…] The alliance agreed to language declaring the country’s membership in the alliance “irreversible,” intends to provide $43 billion in military assistance next year, has started transferring F-16 fighter jets to Ukraine, and is sending dozens of air defenses including four Patriot missile systems to Kyiv.
In a joint communique, NATO members also condemned Moscow’s nuclear saber-rattling, and called China the “decisive enabler” in Russia’s war against Ukraine — which is already bothering Beijing.
While Ukraine didn’t get everything it wanted, Kyiv made clear today it was happy with the result.
[…] In a call with reporters Thursday morning, national security adviser Jake Sullivan said the summit is proof that Biden is capable of doing the job.
“The capacity and strength of this alliance should send a clear message to any of our adversaries anywhere in the world.”
[…] Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán, whose country recently assumed the temporary European Union presidency, cozied up with China and Russia ahead of the summit, drawing criticism from across Europe. Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan, for his part, accused the U.S. and Western countries of making the Russia-Ukraine and Israel-Gaza conflicts worse. [Orbán and Erdoğan are not helpful.]
Paul Dans, a former Trump administration official and the director of Project 2025, told a right-wing podcast last year that his group has a “great” relationship with former President Donald Trump, and “Trump’s very bought in with this.” His comments fly in the face of Trump’s recent attempts to distance himself from Project 2025.
Project 2025, which is organized by right-wing think tank The Heritage Foundation, states that “Dans directs Heritage’s 2025 Presidential Transition Project, organizing policy and personnel recommendations and training for appointees in the next presidential administration. Prior to joining Heritage, Dans served in the Trump Administration as Chief of Staff at the U.S. Office of Personnel Management.”
Media Matters has heavily documented the extreme nature of Project 2025. Notably, Heritage Foundation president and key Project 2025 figure Kevin Roberts recently sparked heavy criticism when he said, “We are in the process of the second American Revolution, which will remain bloodless if the left allows it to be.”
Following the controversy, Trump attempted to distance himself from the Heritage plan and has repeatedly claimed, “I know nothing about Project 2025.” But media outlets including Media Matters have documented the numerous connections between the project and the presumptive Republican presidential nominee.
Dans himself appears to have contradicted Trump’s claim that he knows nothing about the project. During a podcast interview that aired on May 20, 2023, the Project 2025 director assured a pro-Trump host that “we’ve had great relationships” with Trump and other Republicans, adding that “ultimately, yes. I think, you know, President Trump’s very bought in with this.” […]
On Thursday, The New York Times published an editorial accurately noting that Donald Trump is “dangerous” and “unqualified” to be president.
“[Trump] has demonstrated an utter lack of respect for the Constitution, the rule of law and the American people,” the Times’ editorial board wrote. He is “animated by a thirst for political power: to use the levers of government to advance his interests, satisfy his impulses and exact retribution against those who he thinks have wronged him.”
That’s all true. And it would be better if it didn’t come several paragraphs into an editorial that starts off complaining about “the post-Covid era of stubborn inflation, high interest rates, social division and political stagnation.” Not to mention running it on the same morning that inflation dropped to 3%, raising the strong possibility of an interest rate cut, with the biggest concern being that unemployment rates are too low.
But at least the New York Times has taken a moment to notice that Trump still exists. It’s a nice change after a week in which it, and every other media outlet, have been dominated by stories of anyone with a passing thought about President Joe Biden’s campaign.
Numerous papers have dropped editorials calling for Biden to drop out of the race following an unsteady debate performance. They are still at it. Before the Times ran their column on Thursday, only The Philadelphia Inquirer made a similar call for Trump to depart after his debate responses were filled with lies and fantasies about everything from immigration to the Jan. 6 insurrection.
Thursday’s Times not only carries that editorial declaring that Trump is unqualified, but it also carries a front page notably less cluttered with thoughts on Biden’s viability as a candidate. That seems like a good sign ahead of the president’s press conference on Thursday.
Still, there seems to be more concern in the media over noting every entertainer who has a thought about Biden—or even those who might have a thought—than in the long list of former Trump officials who want nothing to do with their old boss. It might seem like the fact that Trump’s former vice president is refusing to endorse him might rate more attention than any actor. It should.
The challenge for the New York Times and others isn’t whether they will give Trump’s nastiness an occasional mention, but whether they will provide the kind of sustained and focused coverage that has been devoted to Biden’s status post-debate.
Because, believe it or not, there has been good news for the media over the last week.
As discussed on
@KatyTurNBC in many ways, more damage has been done to Biden by the melt down post debate than was done by his performance in the actual debate. We need to spend more of our time attacking the GOP – another week of this circular firing squad & we’re all doomed. [Pie charts at the link.]
Analysis shows that among Black voters who watched Biden’s debate performance, 21% had their view of Biden negatively impacted while 70% said the debate had made them more likely to vote for the president. However, 57% of Black voters who didn’t see the debate said they were now less likely to vote for Biden, with only 43% more likely.
The big negative effect for Biden came not from the debate, but from people talking about the debate.
How is that good news? It’s good news for the national media in the sense that shows how much power remains in their control. The sustained media coverage concerning Biden’s debate performance, and of Democrats dithering in response, has been much more impactful than Biden’s actual debate performance.
That may come as a surprise to Politico writer and MSNBC correspondent Sam Stein.
The killer for the White House and campaign has to be that there is tons of great/good news that is getting buried right now
Inflation cooling
Voters economic outlooks rising
Nearing Israel-Hamas deal
Jobs steady
As it happens, there is a whole industry that is supposed to be telling voters about that good news. They could do that. They could explain that we’re not seeing “stubborn inflation” and that economic conditions have improved vastly following Trump’s departure. They might even point out that the Trump economy was absolutely awful, no matter what he claims.
They could give Trump’s lies the kind of intense, sustained scrutiny that they provided to Biden’s every stumble. They could provide the same breathless attention to every former Trump cabinet official who refuses to get near him today, as they’ve given to every Democrat worried about Biden’s prospects. They could talk about the lies Trump told at his debate and continues to tell at his rallies.
They could do that. And people would listen.
What the last week has demonstrated is that the media really can give concentrated attention to a single issue, and that attention can still sway the opinions of voters in an age where the role of the media is frequently in doubt. Good for them.
Now they just need to make it good for America—by pointing this power in the right direction.
The President’s physical and mental abilities are now under a microscope. [… But] the microscope only seems to be turned on when people can find something wrong. Whenever he seems to be behaving completely normally, that microscope seems to be turned off. No one seems to be interested in what that looks like.
Now we are going to show you the president’s comments in full and again I would not normally run all of these, but this is the first time since the debate that we have seen the president speaking, extemporaneously without a teleprompter, no script, not answering questions in a question and answer format with an interview or debate moderator. And so we are going to show you this, because not only do people say he cannot do this, there are people saying he has not done it.
There are people that don’t know he did this today, who are talking in public discussions about what the president is capable of and they are not even watching what he is doing. So we can all watch this video together. You can judge what you are looking at.
A food safety scandal has caused mounting public outrage in China days before a high-level Chinese Communist party meeting at which leaders will try to boost confidence in the economy.
Last week the state-run newspaper Beijing News published an in-depth exposé on the “open secret” of fuel tankers being used to transport cooking oil, without the tankers being washed or disinfected in between.
In the report, an undercover reporter interviewed a trucker who had driven a tanker of coal-derived fuel from Ningxia, a region in the west of China, to the east coast city of Qinhuangdao in Hebei, a journey of more than 800 miles (1,290km). The trucker told the journalist he was not allowed to return with an empty vehicle, and subsequently drove to a facility in another part of Hebei to load up with nearly 32 tons of soya bean oil, without cleaning the tanker. Several other tankers featured in the article made similar journeys.
Volunteer doctors at two Gaza hospitals said that a majority of their operations were on children hit by small pieces of shrapnel that leave barely discernible entry wounds but create extensive destruction inside the body. Amnesty International has said that the weapons appear designed to maximise casualties.
Feroze Sidhwa, a trauma surgeon from California, worked at the European hospital in southern Gaza in April.
“About half of the injuries I took care of were in young kids. We saw a lot of so-called splinter injuries that were very, very small to the point that you easily missed them while examining a patient. Much, much smaller than anything I’ve seen before but they caused tremendous damage on the inside,” he said.
Weapons experts said the shrapnel and wounds are consistent with Israeli-made weapons designed to create large numbers of casualties unlike more conventional weapons used to destroy buildings. The experts question why they are being fired into areas packed with civilians.
[…] [photo in article]
X-ray of the damage done to a 15-year-old’s leg by fragmentation shrapnel, some of which is still lodged in the bone. The surgeon said: “The shrapnel entered from the left into the tibia bone and exited through the fibula to the right of the image. Our word for very smashed bone is ‘comminuted’. Bone comminution does not get greater than this.” The surgeon has put in a stainless steel plate screwed into the tibia. Photograph: The Guardian
birgerjohanssonsays
Here is the link to Science about very early plate tectonics.
My comment; If plate tectonics can get started that early, maybe biological processing of matter is not always needed for plate tectonics to be viable, making plate tectonics on exoplanets more plausible.
.
“Ancient crystals point to a surprisingly early start for plate tectonics” | Science | AAAS https://www.science.org/content/article/ancient-crystals-point-surprisingly-early-start-plate-tectonics
I thought Tom Baker’s Doctor Who killed off Suhtek once and for all in Pyramids of Mars, but now they have a rematch.
.
Worse, someone is doing a remake of a Sergio Leone / Clint Eastwood classic.
Two new just-released national polls taken well after the June 27 presidential debate show President Joe Biden tied with or one point ahead of Donald Trump.
This follows the pattern of several other polls after the debate. People think Trump won but that both Trump and Biden did badly in the debate in different ways, just Biden did worse. The end result is that very few votes shifted and the undecided are still undecided.
John Moralessays
Birger @240,
“But we have argued that consciousness may have evolved to facilitate key social adaptive functions.”
It follows they must believe social adaptive functions existed prior to consciousness existing, which is on its face absurd.
John Moralessays
I thought Tom Baker’s Doctor Who killed off Suhtek once and for all in Pyramids of Mars, but now they have a rematch.
Ah, the show Moffat fucked beyond repair, where the Doctor has become a mythic demigod.
Anyway, by the time I stopped watching (the Moffatification of the show had reached a terminal stage) it was all down to wibbly wobbly, timey wimey stuff.
Translation: “it’s in the script”. Don’t have to justify anything at all.
Rob Grigjanissays
John @245: Moffat was also at least partially responsible for the execrable Sherlock.
Yep, that’s so common with Biden, he has been a gaffe machine throughout his entire career. People used to keep lists of his gaffes 30 years ago.
Biden also provided nuanced and fact-based assessments of:
NATO
China and its leadership
Unions and their effect on the economy
South Korea’s new investments in chip manufacturing in the USA
etc.
There is no such thing as a perfect, gaffe-free Biden. Never has been. Never will be. Often, he corrects himself in real time. That’s one gaffe he didn’t correct in real time.
There is no way, in the current political climate, that anyone will let Biden get away with even one gaffe, let alone several. I don’t see any way out of this.
Price increases slowed more sharply than expected in June, adding to evidence that high inflation has subsided and potentially clearing the way for the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates that affect everything from mortgages to credit card payments. … From May to June, prices fell 0.1% — the first time the monthly reading meaningfully declined since May 2020, early in the pandemic.
China lashed out at NATO on Thursday, accusing it of smearing the country after the Western alliance called it a ‘decisive enabler’ of Russia’s war in Ukraine — the first time it has accused Beijing of involvement in the conflict.
President Biden answered questions about this at the press conference. He did well with those answers. He explained the situation and then went on the outline a response that included Europe and other nations joining the USA in finding ways to show that China will a pay (does pay) price it doesn’t want to pay for siding with Russia. (Mostly economic/industry stuff related to lack of European and USA investment in doing business in China.)
President Joe Biden faced off with a large number of journalists on Thursday afternoon in his first press conference following a troubling performance in the first presidential debate. With a growing number of Democrats in Congress either calling for Biden to withdraw as a candidate or expressing concern about his ability to defeat Donald Trump in the fall, this press conference took on an outsized importance for the 2024 election.
Biden opened his appearance with a clear rundown of the good news of the day: an economy that just keeps getting better, the success of the just-concluded NATO summit, and the improving chances for peace in Gaza.Throughout this opening, Biden was strong in describing the importance of NATO to both Europe and the United States. He also pointed out the threat that Trump represents through his efforts to undermine the NATO alliance and appease Russian dictator Vladimir Putin.
[Yes, that part of Biden’s performance at the press conference was really good, very good. And he spoke without a teleprompter. Biden provided an overview, and details.]
As Biden moved on to the question-and-answer portion of the press conference, most of the queries were—as expected—about the questions that have swirled around his candidacy since the debate, and whether he felt that Vice President Kamala Harris is prepared to step into the lead. Biden was firm in stating that Harris was completely prepared to be president “or I wouldn’t have picked her,” but was consistent in defense of his ability to do the job.
If I were Biden at this conference right now, I’d say something like, “You know, my memory must be going because I swear I’ve answered the same question at least four or five times.”— Ana Marie Cox (@anamariecox.bsky.social) Jul 11, 2024 at 4:49 PM
Biden spoke from the Walter E. Washington Convention Center after a day in which he held a series of meetings with leaders of other NATO countries. Earlier in the day, he fumbled the names of Putin and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, which became the subject of one of the questions during the press conference. But Biden quickly corrected himself at the earlier meeting and was insistent that the NATO meeting had been highly successful. He also noted that European leaders were concerned about the possibility of another Trump term and anxious that Biden remain president.
Later in the press conference, Biden was asked questions about both the war in Ukraine and the involvement of China. He provided long, complex answers, detailing how China and North Korea were involved in Ukraine and the threat that China represents in the Pacific. Biden’s knowledge of the military aspects and the economic implications was clear, and he maintains a full grasp on a very complex situation.
I have no doubt that reporters will focus on Biden confusing a few names and some mangled phrases … but Biden’s policy depth in this presser has been impressive and not something that Trump could come close to replicating—Michael Cohen [True!]
Biden elaborated on an idea he brought to the NATO summit for improvements in industrial policy in the West, saying that it came as a surprise to some members of the alliance how they had fallen behind in the capacity to produce items such as vehicles and artillery.
Biden also answered detailed questions on Gaza, describing the challenges of dealing with a conservative government in Israel that wanted to move aggressively, negotiating with unreliable Hamas leadership, and grappling with a shifting collection of neighboring nations whose positions are never certain.
“Don’t make the same mistake America made after Bin Laden,” Biden said he told Israeli leaders in an answer that gave more insight into the U.S.’s role in negotiations. Biden expressed disappointment over his inability to convince the Israeli government to follow his advice in every instance, spoke to the declining support for Hamas, and provided a powerful, nuanced, and thorough answer.
In general, he spoke with the kind of authority and broad knowledge that Trump could never match. The president also talked about what he still wants to do with such passion and obvious desire that it is clear he has no interest in stepping away from this fight.
“I’ve got to finish this job,” Biden insisted. “I’ve got to finish this. Because there’s so much at stake.”
Biden was also very clear in saying that no matter what he does, he knows it won’t be enough to satisfy his critics. [True.]
He also had some fun with a question about whether he would allow his delegates to vote for someone else if they had doubts.
“Sure,” said Biden, before adding, “That’s not going to happen” in a stage whisper. He followed that up by saying that, while there were other people he believed could beat Trump, he believes he is best suited to win the election.
There were moments in which he misspoke, and others in which he paused or stumbled, but there were none in which Biden seemed to lose the thread or demonstrate less than authoritative knowledge on a series of complex topics. If anything, Biden’s issue on Thursday evening was the same as it has been through his career in both the White House and the Senate: a mind bursting with knowledge and a mouth that sometimes can’t keep up with his desire to share what he knows. [Yep. Good analysis. Sometimes Biden stepped on his own clear answers by trying to provide too many asides. He has always been like that. He is a better president than he is a communicator.]
Earlier in the evening, ABC News reported that there were high-ranking Democrats standing by who hoped that Biden was going to have “a bad night,” because they were prepared to join the ranks of those calling for him to step aside. [Yep, I had that feeling too. Fucking overly excited vultures.]
If those people exist, they were disappointed. Joe Biden did not have a bad night.
Now you see why the media hates Biden, he’s old and boring and talks policy. They want to hear about Hannibal Lector eating people, cancer windmills, electric sharks and shit.—Alex Cole
German Chancellor Olaf Scholz on Thursday warned against underestimating President Biden, describing him as a “very focused” leader following this week’s NATO Summit in Washington, D.C.
[…] “I’m not someone that is able to say how will be the outcome of American elections,” Scholz responded. “But I think it would be a big mistake to underestimate the president. He is successful in doing the necessary things, for instance, in organizing the NATO alliance.”
“And his leadership was very important in the last years and months, and also preparing this very meeting here in Washington. […]” he continued.
Scholz later said he had not seen any moments from Biden in the past week that indicate he is not up for another four years in office, as some lawmakers and political pundits have argued after the presidential debate.
“And I just can tell you, from my perspective, as someone that is speaking with Biden, he is very focused, and he is very intensely doing what the president of the United States has to do for leading the alliance,” Scholz said. […]
[…] CNN anchor Jake Tapper is demanding Robert F. Kennedy Jr.’s campaign remove an ad from social media that manipulates footage from news broadcasts falsely portraying them boosting his candidacy.
The ad, published Wednesday evening, is deceptively edited to show leading cable news hosts such as Tapper, Dana Bash, MSNBC’s Joy Reid and others saying Democrats are “rallying” around Kennedy and lauding him as someone who knows how to “root out corruption” and “lead.”
“This is so misleading and deceptive it should be taken down at once,” Tapper wrote Thursday on social platform X. “The quotes are falsely clipped together.” […]
“Tonight President Biden was knowledgeable, engaging, and capable,” Sen. Chris Coons (D-Del.) said on X. “He displayed a level of depth on foreign policy that Donald Trump has never and could never. No one is more prepared to lead our nation forward than Joe Biden.”
I like the joke Biden told about Trump filling out his score card before he ever hits the golf ball.
People saw whatever they wanted to see. Commentators and politicians cherry-picked parts of the press conference that they thought proved their points.
Critics, new and old, pounced before it was over […]
[True! Critics especially had statements prepared and issued them before the press conference was over.]
[…] At least two more House Democrats called for the president to drop out of the race — bringing it to about 17 congressional members from his own party to express that view since the debate.
“Today I ask President Biden to withdraw from the presidential campaign,” said Rep. Scott Peters (D-Calif.). “The stakes are high, and we are on a losing course.”
Just minutes earlier, Rep. Jim Himes (D-Conn.), the top Democrat on the Intelligence Committee, also called on Biden to step aside in a post on X. And purple-district Rep. Eric Sorensen (D-Ill.) wrote on X: “I am hopeful President Biden will step aside in his campaign for President.”
Republicans also piled on.
[…] “I think he convinced a lot of people he should stay in the race,” said Rep. Steve Cohen, a Tennessee Democrat
Rep. Brad Schneider (D-Ill) said in an interview on CNN that Biden “did a fine job” during the news conference but added, “We can’t have a situation where every day we are holding our breath. Whether it’s a press conference, debate or a rally.”
[…] the press conference wasn’t as bad as some Democrats feared. Biden demonstrated his deep knowledge of foreign policy — including his role in expanding NATO and a complex response to a question about China. He defended his accomplishments, including legislation to bring high-tech manufacturing back to the U.S. and working to bring down inflation and spur employment. […]
I note whoever Alex Cole may be, knowing know how to spell ‘Hannibal Lecter’ is not one of their abilities.
(Sorry, was a bit bowled over by all the gushing)
KGsays
Commentators and politicians cherry-picked parts of the press conference that they thought proved their points. – Lynna, OM@255
If Biden was actually fit to stand (let alone remain President until 2029), those calling on him to go would not be able to cherry-pick anything. As it is, it looks increasingly likely the USA will be run by President Putin and Vice-President Trump come January.
birgerjohanssonsays
I get a headache whenever “quantum” pops up in a headline. I leave it to you to dissect the article for flaws.
“Time might be a mirage created by quantum physics, study suggests”
and
“Time might not be a mirage created by quantum physics, study suggests”
are the very same headline.
(not even gonna look at it, but that lack of quantification is suggestive)
—
Anyway, that’s definitely within Sabine’s expert purview.
The President’s physical and mental abilities are now under a microscope. [… But] the microscope only seems to be turned on when people can find something wrong. Whenever he seems to be behaving completely normally, that microscope seems to be turned off. No one seems to be interested in what that looks like.
True, why doesn’t the media make a front page report that “90% of the time, Biden was mentally sharp and showed no sign of mental senility” because after all, the standard for being the president of USA is that your brain should only fall apart some of the times rather than most of the times.
KGsays
I’ve watched the entire Biden press conference, and while “Vice-President Trump” was by far the most glaring gaffe, there were several occasions where his replies lacked coherence, wandering from his main point and failing to come back to it, andor a sentence tailed off into an “anyway…”. Sure, it wasn’t as bad as his debate performance, but considering how vital it was to reassure people about his capabilities, it was nowhere near good enough.
StevoRsays
Just read this if you can bear it. Nothing justifies this. WARNING : War, violence, death, torture,horror, Gaza reality.
It took him long enough. The mask paranoia has Penn dropping libertarian.
Very early on in the Deep Rifts I remember joining in on the criticism of Penn for shaming a women comedian. I wish I remembered the details better but my impression is that he wasn’t supposed to find it funny because it wasn’t in his life experience. In fact it revealed his unprofessionalism as a comedian to me at the time, and the fact that he reacted with anger at her humor was revealing. I hope he’s becoming more professional and mature. https://www.cracked.com/article_40871_penn-jillette-wants-to-talk-it-all-out.html
Sure, Biden has always been gaffe-prone, but an exaggeration of longstanding weaknesses is surely what might be expected with age. And I already linked @111 to a video where you can compare the Biden of today with the Biden of the 2020 campaign. As for all the “But Trump…” stuff here and elsewhere, it’s precisely because Trump’s return to the White House would be a world-endangering catastrophe that he must be defeated in November – and along with many others, including people who see Biden close up, I don’t believe he can do that. It just won’t do to attribute all the publicity about his decline to evil billionaires – his calamitous performance at the debate can’t be wished away, and neither the Stephanopoulos interview nor the NATO press conference was a convincing refutation of the claims that he is unfit both for the campaign and to serve another term.
lumipunasays
Hello.
The Finnish parliament just (narrowly) passed a law that allows border guards to turn away potential asylum seekers. This is relevant for future developments on the Finnish-Russian border – but how exactly, remains unclear.
I haven’t even seen any mention on when the law will become effective. Supposedly, it would only be applied in “emergency circumstances” that might or might not arise in near future, ie. if Russia again facilitates a mass movement of asylum seekers to the Finnish border. But what counts as an emergency? Last year’s border closure (which is still ongoing) was rolled out before there was real mass movement, but it arguably probably prevented the situation from escalating into a real mass movement. I’m still not convinced that it was the best solution, particularly if it needs to be continued infinitely. There has been discussion on whether opening the border crossing points for passenger traffic in near future might be feasible, and whether the possibility of applying this new law will make it any more feasible. The circus we saw last year could always start again.
There’s a great deal of skepticism about what the border guards could actually do in a situation of actual mass movement, if many of the migrants refuse to turn away (particularly if some FSB guys on the Russian side are also ordering them to turn back to Finland, possibly at gunpoint). The reps of border guards’ union have told media that they are concerned about legal liabilities regarding individual border guards’ duties. They want clear instructions on how to define and identify “specially vulnerable individuals” such as children and sick people, who’d need to be given a pass regardless. Legal experts are concerned that the whole law will turn out unenforceable after being challenged by the European Union.
I’ll write more about this when something happens or I have more coherent thoughts on the public discussion.
lumipuna @274: “Legal experts are concerned that the whole law will turn out unenforceable after being challenged by the European Union.”
Sounds like a mess. Elected officials in the Finnish parliament are not doing their jobs carefully enough. If people cannot understand what the law’s instructions are, then it is unenforceable, (and that’s apart from what the European Union may decide).
The data contains records of calls and texts between approximately May 1 and Oct. 31, 2022, and on Jan. 2, 2023.
Hackers stole six months’ worth of call and text message records of nearly every AT&T cellular network customer, the company said Friday, a breach that has the potential to reveal sensitive information about millions of Americans.
The company said in an SEC filing that it learned from an internal investigation that in April, hackers “unlawfully accessed and copied AT&T call logs” that were saved on a third-party cloud platform.
The data contains records of calls and texts between approximately May 1 and Oct. 31, 2022, and on Jan. 2, 2023.
The content of the calls and messages was not compromised and customers’ personal information was not accessed — but the records did include phone numbers. Such information is often called metadata, which is information about communications, and considered highly sensitive especially when collected and analyzed at large scales to reveal patterns and connections between people.
AT&T’s wireless network has 127 million devices connected to it, according to the company’s 2023 annual report.
“While the data does not include customer names, there are often ways, using publicly available online tools, to find the name associated with a specific telephone number,” the company said in its SEC filing.
The Justice Department and the FBI each said it is working with AT&T to investigate the hack. The FCC also said it had launched an investigation into the breach.
John Scott-Railton, a senior researcher at the University of Toronto’s Citizen Lab, which focuses on communications technology and security, called the hack at “megabreach,” emphasizing that metadata stolen at this scale has the potential to be a major national security threat as well as a problem for businesses and individuals.
“These are incredibly sensitive pieces of personal information and, when taken together at the scale of information that appears to be included in this AT&T breach, they present a massive NSA-like window into Americans’ activity,” he said […]
[…] “If you have somebody’s metadata, you know when they go to work, where they go to work, where they sleep every night,” he said.
AT&T said it has “taken additional cybersecurity measures in response to this incident including closing off the point of unlawful access.” Customers affected by the hack will be contacted, it said.
[…] AT&T added that it is assisting law enforcement officers in efforts to arrest the hackers.
“Based on information available to AT&T, it understands that at least one person has been apprehended,” the company said, without providing further details.
The company sought to assure customers that, at least as of Friday, “AT&T does not believe that the data is publicly available.” [Not all that reassuring.]
The filing also said the hack would not impact its operations or negatively affect its financial results.
Metadata on its own does not include the actual name of a person, though such information can be easy to find online.
But the hack announced Friday could pose an even greater threat to AT&T users because of a previous security issue. Some AT&T customer names were previously released in a breach announced in March, according to Jake Williams, vice president of research and development at Hunter Strategy, an IT consultancy. That incident also included Social Security numbers.
“AT&T data previously compromised and released will help threat actors map a large percentage of the phone numbers in these customer records to the actual victims impacted,” Williams said in an email to NBC News.
Sen. Ron Wyden, D-Ore., said in a statement that the breach was indicative of the lax legal environment in which telecommunications companies operate.
“This is not the first data breach revealed by a major phone company and it won’t be the last,” he said. “These hacks, which are almost always the result of inadequate cybersecurity, won’t end until the FCC starts holding the carriers accountable for their negligence. These companies will keep shortchanging customer security until it hits them in the wallet with billion dollar fines.”
The morning after President Joe Biden’s Thursday night press conference, much of the press was forced to reluctantly admit that the president spent an hour “deftly” answering questions from 10 different reporters in an unscripted event where he “comfortably waded” through complex issues involving economics, the military, and foreign affairs.
Biden gave lengthy, thorough answers, several of them containing genuine news. That included giving a more complete account of what it has been like for the U.S. to engage in a situation in the Middle East with few reliable leaders, a large number of players, and constantly shifting alliances. He also dealt with issues as intricate as China’s influence in the Pacific and as immediate as Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. But as expected, much of the media focus has been on a single gaffe.
Because the media seems to have completely forgotten that it spent decades chuckling over Biden’s “gaffe-prone reputation” and calling him a “human verbal wrecking crew.”
Someone definitely has a memory issue.
Here’s how The New York Times described Biden in 2008, shortly after Barack Obama had selected him to be his running mate:
Senator Joseph Biden Jr., the Democratic vice-presidential nominee, is an experienced, serious and smart man. But he does say some curious things. A day on the campaign trail without some cringe-inducing gaffe is a rare blessing. He has not been too blessed lately.
That exact paragraph could be used in 2024. But it won’t be. Because it no longer fits the media narrative.
Gaffes have always been part of Biden’s character. Not only does he stutter, he often finds himself searching for some alternative phrase when he can’t get out the right words. More often, he simply says the wrong thing or gets his words so tangled that they can’t be parsed with a machete. He’s a guy whose mouth isn’t always in synch with his brain. [True]
Time magazine used the occasion of Biden’s election to vice president to showcase “Top 10 Joe Biden Gaffes” going back to 2001. Both that article and a 2007 article from ABC News thought they were clever in saying that Biden had “foot-in-mouth” disease.
Biden has always been this way.
But, in case you missed it, CNN currently has an entire video devoted to Biden saying “Trump” when he meant to say “Harris” in Thursday evening’s press conference. That single flub, in an hour of answering questions, has been replayed over and over on national news. It’s being used now to illustrate the idea that Biden can no longer be counted on as president.
Biden’s gaffes haven’t changed. But his age has. Now that the media has helped to create, and fully endorsed, the Biden-so-old narrative, gaffes that generated eye-rolls in the past now spark week-long speculations over Parkinson’s.
This isn’t Biden’s problem. It’s really not. It’s the media’s problem. It’s society’s problem. It’s a problem called ageism.
But that may not matter. Not only has the media gone all in on the story of how a clearly competent Biden can no longer be trusted due to gaffes that generated more laughs than concern 16 years ago, but that narrative is getting nods from both politicians and pundits.
Democrats in the House and Senate, understandably nervous about their own races as well as whether Biden is capable of defeating Trump, are likely to continue to put distance between the president and themselves. Many read Nancy Pelosi’s statement on “Morning Joe” in which she asked them to back off from calls for Biden to step aside in the middle of difficult negotiations, not as a suggestion to stand behind Biden, but as permission to break ranks as soon as the NATO summit had ended.
At the same time, Biden is continuing to get “kindly” suggestions like CNN urging him to make a “graceful exit.”
There’s no doubt Biden has a problem. That problem has more to do with perception than reality.
But it may not matter.
tomhsays
I’m still waiting for mainstream news to run constant articles on how unfit Trump is to be president. No cherry-picking needed.
Lynna @ # 255: … Biden was knowledgeable, engaging, and capable …
KG @ # 263: … his replies lacked coherence, wandering from his main point and failing to come back to it…
One key difference here involves the skill-set needed to act as president versus the (slightly-overlapping) skill set needed to run for president. JRB (mostly) does pretty well in the former and (especially recently) poorly in the latter; DJT mostly the opposite.
We owe much of this conundrum to the newsertainment media complex and the electorate they have trained to their values – sfaict, one of the few situations in which the US today does not echo 20th-c Europe of the ’20s & ’30s. (Though Huey Long’s and Adolf Hitler’s showmanship did make all the difference in their respective careers, neither of them pandered to an already-primed audience demanding theatricality.)
In 2016, Russia took steps to interfere in our elections to help Donald Trump. In 2020, Russia did it again. In 2024, Russia is doing it once more.
Shortly before the presidential debate two weeks ago, NBC News reported on a network of pro-Kremlin social media accounts that were “attempting to spread false narratives.” Not surprisingly, those narratives were intended to help Donald Trump.
This was not an isolated incident. The Wall Street Journal reported this week:
The Russian government has launched a “whole-of-government” effort to influence the outcome of the U.S. presidential election and favors Republican candidate Donald Trump in the race, senior U.S. intelligence officials said Tuesday. […] covert social-media use and other online propaganda efforts — mirrored the 2020 and 2016 election cycles, when Moscow also favored Trump and sought to undermine Democratic candidates, according to U.S. intelligence agencies.
A senior official in the Office of the Director of National Intelligence told reporters, “We haven’t observed a shift in Russia’s preferences for the presidential race from past elections.”
That seemed like a polite way of effectively saying, “Moscow wanted Trump in power before, and Moscow wants Trump in power now.”
What’s more, Russia’s interest in the outcomes of our election is especially acute right now because of the United States’ support for Ukraine. Bret Schafer, a senior fellow at the Alliance for Securing Democracy of the German Marshall Fund, who tracks foreign disinformation efforts, told NBC News earlier this year, “Not that they didn’t have an incentive to interfere in the last two presidential elections. But I would say that the incentive to interfere is heightened right now.”
[…] In 2016, Russia targeted U.S. elections. There used to be a bipartisan consensus on this obvious and uncontested fact.
In 2018, Russia targeted U.S. elections. Though Trump, for reasons that have never been explained, rejected his own country’s intelligence on the matter, the United States’ top national security officials made it categorically clear that Russia took deliberate steps to interfere in the midterm cycle.
In 2020, Russia targeted U.S. elections. In fact, intelligence officials told Congress about the evidence showing that Russia was interfering in the 2020 campaign for the express purpose of trying to secure a second term for Trump.
In 2022, Russia targeted U.S. elections. In fact, The Wall Street Journal reported last year, “The Russian government and its proxies attempted to denigrate the Democratic Party and undermine voter confidence ahead of the 2022 midterm elections.”
And in 2024, Russia is once against targeting U.S. elections.
The pattern isn’t exactly subtle.
But as Rachel has explained on the show, one of the most important differences between the Kremlin’s latest efforts and the Putin regime’s earlier intelligence operations is that many Republican officials no longer bother with the pretense that Russian intervention is a problem.
After the president’s news conference, the list of congressional Democrats calling for Biden to pass the torch grew longer: Reps. Jim Himes of Connecticut, Scott Peters of California and Eric Sorensen of Illinois added their names to the intraparty roster. This morning, Democratic Rep. Brittany Pettersen of Colorado also publicly urged Biden to stand down.
Donald Trump’s allies have set the stage for contesting November’s election—and doing so violently. Following a bonkers war-games presentation Thursday—including scenarios in which Barbra Streisand is kidnapped by Hamas and Trump wins but is immediately arrested by the FBI—the Heritage Foundation declared that the election is already being rigged against Trump and made more threats of violence.
“As things stand right now, there’s a zero percent chance of a free and fair election,” said Mike Howell, executive director of Heritage’s Oversight Project. That project is “technically independent of the Heritage Foundation,” The Washington Post reports, “but included multiple Heritage employees.”
“I’m formally accusing the Biden administration of creating the conditions that most reasonable policymakers and officials cannot in good conscience certify an election,” Howell continued.
“If we see the kind of manipulations that we saw in 2020, I wonder if average Americans who are supporters of the president [Trump] will swallow that so easily as they did in 2020,” Adam Ellwanger, a rhetoric professor at the University of Houston-Downtown who helped lead the presentation, said.
That’s a not-so-subtle call to arms for MAGA world. Worse, it follows last week’s declaration from Heritage President Kevin Roberts. “We are in the process of the second American Revolution, which will remain bloodless if the left allows it to be,” he said on a right-wing news channel.
During Thursday’s presentation, Howell accused the Biden administration of a “coordinated invasion over our southern border for the purposes of impacting this election.”
Not to be outdone, extremist GOP Sen. Mike Lee of Utah told Fox News’ Laura Ingraham that it is a “virtual certainty” that Democrats are registering undocumented immigrants to vote, and will “harvest the ballots” and “Democratic operatives will fill those out.”
Obviously, none of these conservatives has presented any evidence for their claims.
Heritage released a report Thursday stating that President Joe Biden could try to hold the White House “by force” if he loses in November, and that “the current president and his administration not only possesses the means, but perhaps also the intent, to circumvent constitutional limits and disregard the will of the voters should they demand a new president.”
This is the very narrative that the Trump campaign and allies have been setting: that the election is rigged against Trump, and if he wins despite that, Biden will use his “weaponized” government to prevent Trump from taking office. Note that Biden, of course, has said he will accept the results of the election, while Trump has repeatedly refused to do so.
As if we need more evidence of Trump’s ties to Heritage and Project 2025 (and there are more every day), they are working together to lay the groundwork for contesting the election—again—but this time, they are putting the threat of Jan. 6-style violence front and center.
A judge dismissed Rudy Giuliani’s Chapter 11 bankruptcy on Friday, removing a shield that for six months froze two Georgia election workers’ efforts to collect their $148 million defamation judgment.
The former New York City mayor had long pushed back on the mounting pressure from his creditors. But in recent days, he consented to dismissal after they increasingly asserted he acted in bad faith and could be liable for bankruptcy crimes […]
In a 22-page ruling issued Friday, U.S. Bankruptcy Judge Sean Lane tossed the bankruptcy, citing Giuliani’s “continued failure” to provide financial transparency.
“Mr. Giuliani has failed to provide an accurate and complete picture of his financial affairs in the six months that this case has been pending. Transparency into Mr. Giuliani’s finances has proven to be an elusive goal,” Lane wrote.
It ends a half-year detour that commenced after the two Georgia election workers, Ruby Freeman and her daughter, Shaye Moss, prepared to collect on a jury’s $148 million defamation verdict over Giuliani’s baseless conspiracy that the duo committed mass election fraud in 2020. Giuliani has vowed to appeal.
Filing for Chapter 11 automatically froze their case and Giuliani’s other civil lawsuits, all while enabling him to remain in control of his assets so he could propose a plan of reorganization — which never surfaced.
Giuliani’s creditors long cast the bankruptcy as a delay tactic, accusing him of hiding assets and spending egregiously. The election workers insisted bankruptcy law would have ultimately prevented the former federal prosecutor and Trump attorney from discharging the staggering judgment.
In his ruling, Lane called Giuliani’s struggle to retain an accountant “a clear red flag,” chastising gaps in his financial reporting.
“When confronted with complaints about a failure to satisfy the Bankruptcy Code’s obligations as to financial transparency, most debtors will respond by curing at least some — if not all — of the defects. By contrast, Mr. Giuliani has done nothing,” Lane wrote.
By dismissing the bankruptcy, as the election workers requested, their original lawsuit will unfreeze and again set the duo free to attempt to collect their sum.
They are likely to recover far less than the $148 million, however, as a result of Giuliani’s limited asset pool, which mainly include his New York and Florida properties. The election workers’ lawyers contended proceeding in the bankruptcy system would instead send much of the available funds to professional fees.
Why Did Joe Biden Send Hurricane Beryl To Houston, And Why Hasn’t He Turned On Their Power?
Houston storm waters contaminated by toxic bullshit flow from Lt. Governor.
The power is still out for nearly a million people in Houston today, five (5) days after Hurricane Beryl slammed into the city in the wee hours of Monday morning, initially knocking out electricity to 2.2 million residents. CenterPoint Energy, the privately owned utility that serves Houston, managed to restore power overnight to another 150,000 customers, finally getting the number of those with no service below a million, and the company says it hopes to restore power to another 400,000 by the end of Friday.
Not everything is ducky, however, as the Houston Chronicle reports. While some folks on social media were posting videos of themselves turning on lights and AC after several days, that was
cold comfort for hundreds of thousands across the city still waiting their turn, and even more frustrating for those listed as “fully energized” on CenterPoint’s new outage map who don’t actually have power. Many say they have no way of communicating their statuses or concerns to the utility company as its call center continues to be flooded by people seeking help, updates and answers.
Cold comfort? More like hot and humid comfort!
The story also notes that on Wednesday, CenterPoint only managed to reconnect “fewer than 100,000 people” during daylight hours, and that the company says as many as half a million customers may not get any electricity until after the weekend. The National Weather Service has a heat advisory in effect for Houston, warning that the continued power outages and lack of air conditioning “will aggravate the risk for heat-related illnesses” due to temperatures in the low 90s Fahrenheit, with the heat index reaching as high as 103 degrees.
Gov. Greg Abbott is still out of the country; he left for a trade junket through Asia last Friday, after Beryl made landfall in Mexico and had already been forecast to turn north towards Texas. But before he skedaddled, Abbott promised that the state was ready for whatever came, and that in his absence, Lt. Gov. Dan Patrick would do just fine.
After Beryl hit, however, President Joe Biden had a heck of a time tracking down Patrick to get him to ask for a major disaster declaration, which is required before the federal government can release aid. Biden finally reached the acting governor Tuesday afternoon, and then Patrick lied about why he hadn’t contacted Biden immediately, claiming that “before you can ask for a declaration you have to go meet with people in the impacted areas to see what’s needed and the level of need,” which a former top FEMA official told the Houston Chronicle was hooey. (Everybody has heard state officials over the years request declarations of emergency even before hurricanes have made landfall […])
Thank goodness acting goober Patrick had the chance to assuage Houston residents’ worries in a news conference Thursday, which Patrick used to blame Joe Biden and the Democratic head of Harris County, Judge Lina Hidalgo, for the slow emergency response.
“The President is either totally incompetent or has no idea what he’s doing and doesn’t remember what he said. Or he’s just lied to me and to Texas,” Patrick said in a lengthy and intense press conference on Thursday. “You have to follow the law and do the assessments first. FEMA doesn’t just hand out money unless there’s some proof of need, so we did what we’re supposed to do.”
[Trump-like stream of lies coming out of Texas, complete with gratuitous insults toward people who are actually helping.]
Once again, we’ll just point out that actual former FEMA director of public affairs Rafael Lemaitre told the Houston Chronicle Tuesday that
major disaster declarations do not need to wait for thorough on-the-ground assessment. Governors are the lead requesters for the designation and support, but can amend their asks as they get more information.
“The fact that 80% of Texas’ largest city was in the dark, along with widespread public reports of impacts to life and property is more than sufficient to begin the process,” Lemaitre said. “The one thing you never get back during a response is time.”
[…] In any case, Patrick continued to blame Biden in Thursday’s presser, because why didn’t Biden just call Abbott, who was in Korea, if he was so all-fired insistent on helping Texas?
[…] One might ask why Abbott, the actual governor, who has dealt with federal disaster declarations several times, didn’t call Biden, since Abbott knows how that works. But asking that would make one a communist.
Patrick went on to insist that Biden was just angry about his own political situation and trying to distract people from that, or maybe he’s senile, probably both!!
“He’s politicized the operation of FEMA with the State of Texas, either because he’s trying to hide and stay on the ballot, because Democrats are trying to take him off, or he doesn’t know what he’s doing or doesn’t remember what he said,” Patrick said.
Heckuva job, brown-noser.
While he was at it, Patrick also slammed Hidalgo, claiming that he had tried repeatedly to contact her before Beryl came ashore, and that the last message he had from her before the hurricane hit was “we’re good.”
“We have not had one request from the county judge of Harris County, so I guess all her citizens are fine,” Patrick said, and as far as we can tell no reporters asked if he had heard from Harris County since the storm. You know, seeing as how he was too busy surveying the damage to call the White House and initiate a federal disaster declaration.
Nim Kidd, the head of Texas’s Division of Emergency Management, also performatively attacked Biden, because damn that man is why, he’s a demon:
“There are Texans right now that still don’t have power, and it embarrasses me and saddens me to the point that this president has weaponized the federal government to enrage our citizens here to think I am not doing my job and that our governor is not doing his job,” Kidd said.
So there’s your update on Houston’s hurricane recovery: The state would sure like to do more, but Joe Biden is senile and a liar who’s weaponized the federal government to make Texas’s leaders look bad, so what can they do?
It’s a remarkable display of competence from the same people who blamed the “Green New Deal” for Texas’s blackouts during the deadly winter storm of April 2021, although of course that was only a proposal that was never actually passed into law. (The closest thing to it, Joe Biden’s Inflation Reduction Act, passed over a year later, in August 2022.)
KGsays
The morning after President Joe Biden’s Thursday night press conference, much of the press was forced to reluctantly admit that the president spent an hour “deftly” answering questions from 10 different reporters in an unscripted event where he “comfortably waded” through complex issues involving economics, the military, and foreign affairs. – Lynna, OM quoting Daily Kos@277
Having watched the entire press conference, I simply don’t agree with that assessment – mine is given@263, and from what I’ve seen online, I’m by no means an outlier.
One key difference here involves the skill-set needed to act as president versus the (slightly-overlapping) skill set needed to run for president. JRB (mostly) does pretty well in the former and (especially recently) poorly in the latter – Pierce R. Butler@280
We know a lot more about how Biden’s doing on the latter skill-set than the former – because he has a competent team around him, they could be doing much of the work, as Reagan’s team clearly did in his second term. But let’s assume that’s not so, or doesn’t matter because of his competent team; it’s the latter skill-set that’s key to defeating Trump, and that’s currently the most important-and-urgent task facing anyone anywhere in the world. And again I’m seeing complaints above about the media, which, however true, are simply beside the point – unless Biden, following the SCOTUS immunity decision, takes emergency powers to order the media to switch from covering his gaffes to covering Trump’s lies and evil intentions.
lotharloosays
@283 birgerjohansson:
Meh, okay video. The most interesting thing was the last part where he brought up the impossibility of intergalactic travel. But apart from that, there is no paradox because there are no intelligent life forms in the universe, once you accept that humans are not actually intelligent.
KGsays
lotharloo@291,
Yes, I wasn’t convinced that intergalactic travel would be impossible to a galactic-scale culture – he simply asserted that rather than arguing it. For example, such a culture might manipulate stellar orbits so one or more stars was propelled out of its home galaxy toward another.
lotharloosays
@KG:
Well, even if you manage to move at 10 times the speed of Voyager (fastest stuff made by humans), you will be moving 1000 times slower than light and since Andromeda is more than 2 million light years away, it will take you more than 2 billion years to get to Andromeda, so, yeah, intergalactic travel is pretty impossible.
John Moralessays
Brony @270, that’s a surprisingly good interview. I’m mildly surprised.
Well, even if you manage to move at 10 times the speed of Voyager (fastest stuff made by humans), you will be moving 1000 times slower than light and since Andromeda is more than 2 million light years away, it will take you more than 2 billion years to get to Andromeda, so, yeah, intergalactic travel is pretty impossible. – lotharloo@293
Why assume that’s the fastest speed possible to a galactic-scale culture? Voyager 1 is travelling at about 17 km/s relative to us, but some stars move relative to their parent galaxies at >1000 km/s, and I see no reason to assume a galactic-scale culture couldn’t propel things a lot faster than that.
John Moralessays
Again, it’s not about speed.
From my link above:
Suppose that our aliens send out a ship to the nearest star to them, and this takes 100,000 years to get there. When they arrive, they take 1,000 years to acclimate, breed, and fully settle in. That’s a long time; it is for example greater than the time from the Norman Conquest of England (1066 AD) to now. However, it barely adds to the 100,000 years of travel. After that time, both the original world and the new world send out ships to different stars, taking 100,000 years, and these two new colonies also take 1,000 years to get their local affairs in order. At the end of that period, the four worlds send exploratory ships out, and so on.
This is exponential growth again. After 100,000 years the aliens have two worlds. After 200,000 years, they have four; after 300,000 years eight, and so on. The number of worlds they have can be described by the equation
N = 2^(t/100,000 years) . (1)
This would say that after just 10 million years, the total number of stars they would have would be 2^100 ≈ 10^30, which is actually a hundred million times the total number of stars in the visible universe. Clearly this can’t be; the resolution is that after a short time the various colonies would run into each other. The net result is that the bottleneck really is how long it takes to get from one star to another. If a species had a strong planet grab instinct it could easily occupy every single planetary system in our entire galaxy within a billion years.
They wouldn’t even have to do it themselves. Another possibility would be to send selfreplicating machines that make copies of themselves from the local resources of any system they found.
birgerjohanssonsays
The Omega Centauri globular cluster has a black hole with at least 8200 times the mass of the sun.
To give Biden his due, his performance Thursday night did suggest that he remains competent to perform his office’s basic functions — certainly, more competent to do so than his Republican challenger. The president demonstrated fluency in foreign affairs and an ability to intelligibly convey his thoughts, at least much of the time.
This said, the rigor and cogency of his remarks on geopolitics have been grossly exaggerated. To take just one example: At the NATO summit, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy pressed the United States to give his country greater latitude for using American weapons offensively. Zelenskyy argued that Ukraine could not win the war without greater freedom to strike military targets within Russia. A reporter asked Biden whether he found this argument persuasive. Here was Biden’s reply, according to the White House transcript:
We have allowed Zelenskyy to use American weapons in the near term, in the near-abroad into Russia. Whether or not he has — we should be — he should be attacked — for example, should Zelenskyy — he’s not, but if he had the capacity to strike Moscow, strike the Kremlin, would that make sense? It wouldn’t.
The question is: What’s the best use of the weaponry he has and the weaponry we’re getting to him? I’ve gotten him more HIMAR— I got him more long-range capacity as well as defensive capacity.
And so, our military is worki— I’m following the advice of my commander-in-chief — my — my — of the — the chief of staff of the military as well as the secretary of Defense and our intelligence people.
Tethyssays
Yeah, Ezra Klein (owner of Vox) has many terrible opinions based in sniffing his own farts. Why anyone thinks his narrow minded views represent rigor or cogency is a mystery. Fake liberal men really should just shut up forever with their opinions after the endless propaganda they spewed about Hillary DIRECTLY caused the 2016 debacle.
Hillary Clinton won three debates, yet somehow did not win? Huh, it’s almost as if those debates were not predictive! Quelle surprise!
Paul Ksays
To everyone trying their best — from all I can see — to hand the election to Trump by piling on Biden’s age and decline: Please tell us who should replace Biden, and just how that person will be a winner in the election. No one, to my knowledge, has given a clear, comprehensive answer to both of those questions, especially the second one (and I’m mostly talking about political pundits and elected officials here.) How can someone else win? Where will they get the needed money, and even more important, the needed ground game all across the country? To win the electoral college game that happens in less than four months? Sure, if there were a stand-out, obvious choice who would get fairly universal support across the spectrum of Democratic voters, there’d at least be a better argument. But there is no such person.
If Biden truly is collapsing, and won’t have what it takes to win the election, then we’re screwed, because no one else can do it in the time remaining. And if he is not collapsing, and I’m one who thinks he’s just lost a step because he’s fucking old, then we’d better stand behind him. We have no other even semi-realistic choice, and the elected Democrats who are calling for him to step down are fucking idiots who should know better. I know this is a horse I keep beating, but I have yet to hear a good argument against what I’m saying. If Biden quits, who else can beat Trump at this late date, and how can they do it?
I cannot even listen to the news right now because I’m so disheartened by the apparent surrender to not just a fascist takeover, but a takeover that is being run by obvious morons, with the able assistance of people who should be fighting hard to prevent it.
whheydtsays
Re: Paul K @ #306…
I am reminded of times long past when a common remark was a preference to vote for Bonzo as an improvement over Reagan.
I will not vote for Trump. Nor will I write in any other Republican (as Sen. Collins has said she will do). So I’ll vote for whoever the Democrats run. This is not because I am overly fond of any possible Democratic candidate. Rather it is to keep Trump OUT of the White House.
StevoRsays
@ ^ whheydt : Thankyou. I really desperately hope enough Amercians do likewise because the USof A falling to outright fascism and possibly Civil War seems a scarily plausibly scenario right now. The global consequences of a Trump regume on cliamet alone is horrenmdous to contemplate. Ausise here but willdo anything Ican can to help stop trump which needs to be the number 1 priority here.
This is fun!
“Project 2025 Leader Crumbles As Furry Hacker Threat Unravels In Leaked Texts”
.https://youtube.com/watch?v=urnE4brSUC0
Heritage Foundation;
From Red Scare to Red Panda Scare!
-The leader of one of the politically most influential organisations makes a fool of himself in potty-mouthed rant.
StevoRsays
For the first time, researchers have uncovered and analysed the 3D structures of a woolly mammoth genome.
The 52,000-year-old specimen was so well preserved that hair follicles and the shape of the muscles were still intact, with one scientist likening the location of the find to dying “in the deep freezer”. While older mammoth DNA has been previously sequenced, these were the first 3D structures, called chromosomes, assembled for any ancient DNA sample. Chromosomes — packages of tightly wound DNA — are where creatures like mammoths and humans store and duplicate genetic information within cells. Analysis of the woolly mammoth (Mammuthus primigenius) genome, published today in the journal Cell by an international team of scientists, revealed the species had 28 chromosomes — the same number as both the Asian and African elephants.
It’s a bunch of rich assholes, plus the media they own and politicians in their hip pockets. They want Biden out not because Biden can’t win against Trump but because he can. Indeed, Biden is the only candidate with a proven ability to beat Trump, as he’s the only one to have actually done it before!
The article indeed notes that the “disastrous” debate performance didn’t move public opinion on the general election candidates noticeably, but the growing (billionaire-sponsored) media fuss over Biden’s capability is starting to do so. The problem isn’t Biden; it’s that fuss, and its corporate sponsors, who are all thoroughly in the tank for Trump.
There is a heuristic that has been used to predict every Presidential election outcome accurately for the past fifty-plus years (excepting 2000, because the Supreme Court butting in and flipping the outcome was completely outside the scope of the system — if a meteor had landed in just the wrong spot and killed Gore in his sleep late in October it would likewise not have invalidated the heuristic). That heuristic is called “The Keys to the White House”, and consist of thirteen indicators.
Two of those indicators are incumbency and party unity going into the general election. The Dems very likely need both of those indicators to win in November. If the billionaires succeed in pushing Biden out of the race, the Dems lose the first one. If they fail but sow enough division among Dems over Biden’s continued candidacy, the Dems lose the second one.
That is their plan to get more tax cuts like 2017s, and more deregulation and defanging of government impediments to their profiteering. Impediments to the chemical industry like not being allowed to poison schoolchildren. Impediments to the charter school industry like kids having a free public option for education. Impediments to the oil industry like not setting the damn planet on fire. And impediments to the defense industry like not starting World War III.
This attempt at a bought-and-paid-for internal putsch within the Democratic Party must be quashed very soon and the party reunified behind Biden as their nominee. The planet depends on it.
P.S. Something keeps logging me out here, including even while I’m typing a comment in. Please fix whatever it is that is broken.
CompulsoryAccount7746, Sky Captainsays
@StevoR #308:
Civil War seems a scarily plausible scenario
Given that every state is purple with urban vs rural patches, factions can’t separate into regions capable of functioning/fighting. There are Republican-controlled states, but they tend to be financially dependent on the rest, with long-discontented constituents, and their capitols are urban, too. If there were to be intra-state revolts to unseat local government, the Republicans wouldn’t be in a good position.
Right-wing extremists have been attempting general terrorism, ineptly, for decades. Trump himself could only muster the dregs of Jan 6; that was pulling from the whole country, AND he was negligently running the besieged government.
Republicans do the most harm by being voted in and wielding legitimate power.
KGsays
The “movement” for Biden to step down is treasonous astroturfing by stealth Trump supporters, pure and simple. – Bekenstein Bound@312
What a load of fucking stupid crap. As your own link says:
The polling data I’ve seen suggests that concerns about Biden’s age and evident decline worry a wide swath of the public.
And as it also makes clear, it’s Democratic Party donors who are withholding money. Now of course it’s true that these people have power they should not have, but If they want Trump to win, why the fuck would they have been funding Biden up to now? And how did they manage to get Biden to make such an embarrassing spectacle of himself at the debate? Bribe him? Poison him? What? Hey, maybe you are the one trying to get Trump elected, by keeping Biden as the Democratic candidate, as Trump and his henchpersons appear to want. Makes as much sense as your brainless accusations.
KGsays
To everyone trying their best — from all I can see — to hand the election to Trump by piling on Biden’s age and decline: Please tell us who should replace Biden, and just how that person will be a winner in the election. – Paul K@306
Harris. By being able to run a vigorous campaign, and thrash Trump in debate, as Biden is/was patently unable to do.
KGsays
And BTW, Paul K., no-one could “pile on Biden’s age and decline” if it wasn’t glaringly evident to anyone with eyes and ears.
KGsays
John Morales@299,
I don’t get your point, if it’s intended as an argument with me. I’m not arguing that a space-faring culture couldn’t colonise a galaxy – indeed, I’ve argued that it could in several earlier discussions on Pharyngula. I’m arguing that a culture which did so could then spread between galaxies (I’d add – at least within a gravitationally-bound cluster – past that, the expansion of space may outpace anything possible). And for that, lotharloo@299 claims it is a question of speed.
KGsays
Returning to Biden, if debates aren’t important, why was Biden’s team keen to have one, and as early as June? It was their initiative, not Trump’s. They reportedly wanted it to reset the race in Biden’s favour. That was clearly a poor decision, but it was theirs. Hey, maybe they were got at by the ebil millionaires who were pretending to back Biden but really wanted Trump to win!!! More likely, Biden himself insisted on it, because he’s lost the ability to judge his own limitations – notoriously one of the first things to go in the early stages of cognitive decline.
John Moralessays
Relax, KG.
John Morales@299,
I don’t get your point, if it’s intended as an argument with me.
Nah, no such intention; just weighing in.
And for that, lotharloo@299 claims it is a question of speed.
Indeed.
But, you know… ‘The Ox is slow but the Earth is patient’
—
But hey, might as well repeat myself.
Biden ain’t the best, but he will suffice.
Trump is the worst. Simple as.
(I’ve already opined — some time ago now — about the electoral penalty to parties that show distrust in their own leaders, no point reiterating that)
So, to that degree, I very much get Paul K.
John Moralessays
PS KnockGoats: you clearly saw I get you.
cf. my #304.
And, I do get the point.
(I’m just being pragmatic)
John Moralessays
Why they would want to move bits of condensed matter in bulk across interstellar distances when starwisps and seed coding for replicators are so very much easier (obs, mediated by mere light-speed comms and updates) is left to anthropocentristic conceits to discuss.
(I know KG gets me)
lotharloosays
@297:
Mister Morales, this is from your link (pdf file):
Incidentally, this argument does not work when we consider the distances between galax-
ies. For example, the nearest big galaxy to ours is the Andromeda galaxy, some 2.2 million
light years away. At 30 km/s, the trip would take 22 billion years, i.e., longer than the
universe has existed. Civilizations that span a single galaxy are in principle possible with
nearly-current technology, given enough time, but ones that range over many galaxies would
require significant advances in propulsion.
So, it generally helps one to read the links one posts fully.
@KG:
Why assume that’s the fastest speed possible to a galactic-scale culture? Voyager 1 is travelling at about 17 km/s relative to us, but some stars move relative to their parent galaxies at >1000 km/s, and I see no reason to assume a galactic-scale culture couldn’t propel things a lot faster than that.
At 1000kg/s you will still need 600 million years to get to Andromeda. I mean sure it is not mathematically impossible and it is also difficult to rule it out physically but it is not something I would expect a supposed advanced alien species to be capable of.
KGsays
Jon Stewart on Biden. Clearly, after decades as a lefty comedian, he’s been bought and paid for by the ebil millionaires and now wants Trump to win!!!!
KGsays
lotharloo@322,
As John Morales suggests@322, it seems likely a highly advanced culture would choose to send multiple tiny objects which could be accelerated to a reasonable fraction of light speed rather than bulk matter, but I also think we can’t rule out the latter.
not something I would expect a supposed advanced alien species to be capable of.
Short of transluminal speeds, which we have good reason to think will be forever impossible, I don’t know how we can rule out anything from the possible abilities of a galactic-scale culture. How much could, say, Archimedes have said about the possible abilities of our own technological culture?
John Moralessays
So, it generally helps one to read the links one posts fully.
<snicker>
Oh, sorry. Didn’t realise you were on about intergalactic colonination, rather than mere galactic colonisation.
(heh)
At 1000kg/s you will still need 600 million years to get to Andromeda.
Um, what was that about reading stuff?
I quote from the prefatory part of the very link you thought I hadn’t read before adducing it:
Colonization of the Milky Way
The distances between the stars are huge. However, our galaxy has existed for more than ten billion years, so does the time or the distance win? An easy way to see that the time is triumphant is to note that a speed of 30 km/s, comparable to the fastest spacecraft our still-young civilization has launched, is about 1/10,000 times the speed of light.
(That’s three orders of magnitude slower than your own postulate!)
John Moralessays
Mostg amusingly, and this is literally quoted from the article I adduced that someone wishfully imagined I had not read, with emphasis in the original:
Incidentally, this argument does not work when we consider the distances between galaxies.
For example, the nearest big galaxy to ours is the Andromeda galaxy, some 2.2 million
light years away. At 30 km/s, the trip would take 22 billion years, i.e., longer than the
universe has existed. Civilizations that span a single galaxy are in principle possible with nearly-current technology, given enough time, but ones that range over many galaxies would require significant advances in propulsion.
John Moralessays
Milky Way, Andromeda… meh. Both are galaxies, no, lotharloo?
John Moralessays
Need I quote Douglas Adams?
I reckon so.
“Space is big. You just won’t believe how vastly, hugely, mind-bogglingly big it is. I mean, you may think it’s long way down the road to the chemist’s, but that’s just peanuts to space.”
lotharloosays
@John Morales:
KG was talking about stars that move at 1000k/s relative to their galaxy so I guess the point was maybe you can sling shot using them or something and reach 1000k/s which even in that case, it will take you 600 million years to reach Andromeda. And of course once you move above the hierarchy of galaxies things become more and more impossible. Our galaxi is part of a local group of galaxies which is a part of Virgo supercluster https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Virgo_Supercluster one of the 10 million superclusters.
And this whole discussion started because of the last part of the video where the guy was trying to explain that it is reasonable to assume that no alien technology will be able to reach intergalactic colonization. So assuming that, the best any technology can do is to colonize their own galaxy and thus even if 99% of the galaxies are fully colonized by aliens, the fact that we live here might just mean that our galaxy has not been colonized, solving the paradox.
KG was talking about stars that move at 1000k/s relative to their galaxy so I guess the point was maybe you can sling shot using them or something and reach 1000k/s which even in that case, it will take you 600 million years to reach Andromeda.
(sigh)
Again: speed does not matter.
And this whole discussion started because of the last part of the video where the guy was trying to explain that it is reasonable to assume that no alien technology will be able to reach intergalactic colonization.
Did it?
Heh.
I don’t need top watch the video, and what someone assumes is reasonable is perforce speculative.
(Again: it’s not a Paradox!)
John Moralessays
Did a British MP put a Flat Earther on his “expert” list?
If someone reckons A did B, they will write “A did B”.
They will not write “did A do B?”
Fucking clickbait.
Not a complicated concept!
John Moralessays
‘Did Biden fuck a Pekinese dog?
vs
‘Biden fucked a Pekinese dog’.
(Bloody obvious the distinction there, no?)
John Moralessays
Honestly.
I don’t know how I could make it any plainer, any more fucking obvious.
Again: clickbait is clickbait.
(It may or it may not have substance in the actual content, but clickbait it is)
John Moralessays
(Did I stick a feather up your arse?)
birgerjohanssonsays
I only this week realised the glee conservatives show about Alec Baldwin being on trial was about him parodying Donal Trump on SNL.
lotharloosays
@John Morales:
Again: speed does not matter.
If it takes you 20 billion years to get to your destination, it matters. Read your fucking link.
John Moralessays
If it takes you 20 billion years to get to your destination, it matters.
Heh.
So, how old is the universe, you reckon?
(You are most amusing)
John Moralessays
Read your fucking link.
<snicker>
You still pretend to imagine I have not?
(So weak!)
John Moralessays
Oh, this is fun!
If it takes you 20 billion years to get to your destination, it matters.
What if it takes you (20 billion years – 1 year)? Does that matter?
What about if it takes you (20 billion years – n years)? Does that matter?
(Surely there’s a threshold, else any n will work)
John Moralessays
Come on, lotharloo!
Tell me more about some value for speed that makes it all not-nonsensical.
Just remember the age and size of the universe, and c matter.
John Moralessays
Um.
[blah] the glee conservatives show about Alec Baldwin being on trial was about him parodying Donal Trump on SNL
What’s the glee conservatives show about Alec Baldwin being on trial?
I have no idea.
(I can hardly realise anything about it if I don’t even know to what “it” refers)
John Moralessays
Is there even a conservatives show about a non-Alec Baldwin being on trial?
Dunno, any more than whether there is a conservatives show about Alec Baldwin being on trial.
(What’s that show, then? I might check it out)
birgerjohanssonsays
I followed some people on Facebook that have MAGAesque leanings (people are complex – not all bad all the way). I noticed they were happy to see Alec Baldwin get into trouble. I found it surprising.
If even I notice something (I am not very observant in social contexts) then it is probably a “thing”. Yes, anecdotes are not evidence etc.
birgerjohanssonsays
CNN: Plague linked to mysterious disappearance of Europe’s first farmers https://edition.cnn.com/2024/07/10/science/plague-ancient-dna-europe-first-farmers/index.html
.
This was likely one of several causes of the population collapse, including poor farming practices that exhausted the soil and led to malnutrition and poor health. (This would in turn have reduced the resistance to disease). And the influx of steppe people (with a somewhat better resistance to the disease due to proximity to the plague reservoir animals) would have brought more contamination to the surviving neolithic farmers.
birgerjohanssonsays
BTW does anyone know how the Lithuanian language relates to indo-european languages? I only know it is an outlier.
Also does anyone know if any studies have been done on the language of the Urartu iron age kingdom (east Turkey) eegarding the possibilly of it being a relic of the languages by the neolithic Anatolian farmers that first brought farming to Europe?
KG, at 315: Harris could probably beat Trump, given different circumstances, but we don’t get those in this world we’re living in. She’s a woman, she’s not white. Sadly, those are real factors in this stupid country, and they’d need time to be put aside. Even supposedly unbiased reporting always goes way harder after women in our culture. Second, she’s Biden’s VP, and has loyalty to him. Even if he voluntarily chose to step down, I believe enough folks, at this point, would think it was because he was forced, and they would stay home in November. If Harris took over, at least some folks would consider it disloyal.
All of this could be dealt with in another time and place, but with the time left, the media not on fire from Trump’s madness and their wanting to keep this a both-sides, just another horse-race election, I just don’t see it. I hope I’m wrong, and the Democratic convention might bring something to see, but I’m not hopeful at all.
And Jon Stewart has been questionable on plenty of other issues. Even if he and you and all the others are right about Biden, (and I am in no way denying that he does have major issues, both with his health and his policies) that simply does not matter, given where we are. The Republicans, the media, billionaires, and Russian bots, all are doing their best to give Trump another shot. And now Democrats are helping them along.
Rob Grigjanissays
birger @347: You should know a bit more about the people who live just across the Baltic Sea from you! ;-)
Latvian and Lithuanian are the only surviving Baltic languages. Baltic languages are part of the Balto-Slavic branch of Indo-European. The only sense I know of Lithuanian being an ‘outlier’, is that it is one of the more conservative IE languages, having many readily recognizable features in common with, for example, Sanskrit.
lotharloosays
@John Morales:
You are fucking deranged and your posts make no sense. Why I would be interested in debating the limits of how many billion years is a reasonable limit on intergalactic colonization, like a fucking dumbass nerd?
Seriously disturbing for the near future – utterly terrifying for the slightly further away future.
StevoRsays
@351. lotharloo : :”nerd” as an insult? Here? Seriously diarrheariously?
To answer your question – curiosity? Intellectual intrest? Exercise in testing one’s imagination?
lotharloosays
@353 StevoR:
Yeah in this case, “nerf” is an insult. Also, humans don’t need any help in testing their imaginations, we are already top tier in imagining physically impossible things. And finally, there is no intellectual substance in debating the feasibility of intergalactic colonization because it is a stupid debate about technologies we do not have, and the problems we cannot even imagine.
Even though she is not presently at the top of the ticket, Republicans in general, and the Trump campaign specifically, have decided to call Kamala Harris a “DEI hire.” They assume she is not competent and that she got the job because she is a woman and “she is colored” (as Sebastian Gorka so tellingly put it.)
Beyond destroying Kamala Harris, the conservative movement increasingly is committed to purging women, minorities and black folks from positions of power in America life.
Difficult diplomacy, as described by The New York Times:
Some American officials have grown more optimistic that a deal to release Israeli hostages held in Gaza in return for a cease-fire is at hand. But people briefed on the talks say it will be days until it is clear whether a breakthrough has been achieved because of difficulties in communication between Hamas officials in Qatar and the group’s leaders in Gaza
A federal judge in Kansas has refused to block the nationwide enforcement of a Biden administration rule requiring firearms dealers to do background checks of buyers at gun shows, leaving Texas as the only state so far where a legal challenge has succeeded.
Good news, in a limited way.
New York Times:
A Texas-based company has started making vending machines for gun ammunition, arguing that this is the safest way to sell it. The company, American Rounds, has already had six of those machines installed at grocery stores in Texas, Alabama and Oklahoma. Two more are set to be installed by the end of the month in Texas and Colorado, said Grant Magers, the chief executive of American Rounds.”
When conservative opponents of the Biden administration’s protections for LGBTQ+ students decided to go to court, they knew exactly which jurisdictions to file their cases. Reuters reported:
Two conservative federal judges in Texas have blocked President Joe Biden’s administration from enforcing new anti-discrimination protections for LGBTQ students, preventing the rule from taking effect in the Republican-led state and a school district represented by a Christian legal rights group.
The injunctions don’t come as much of a surprise, and they represent the first step of a legal process that will continue to unfold.
But it’s worth noting which specific judges blocked the White House’s policy.
One of the jurists was U.S. District Judge Matthew Kacsmaryk, who, as regular readers know, is a Trump-appointed judge in Texas. He’s also earned a reputation as one of the most controversial members of the federal bench.
It was, for example, Kacsmaryk who took it upon himself to suspend the FDA’s approval of mifepristone last year, relying in large part on highly dubious studies — which have since been retracted. (The ruling was ultimately overturned for procedural reasons.)
When a federal judge blocked the Biden administration from enforcing a new rule in Texas that would require firearms dealers to run background checks on buyers at gun shows, that was Kacsmaryk, too.
When a conservative group wanted to challenge energy efficiency standards, they figured it’d be a good idea to file the case in Kacsmaryk’s district. When a conservative group wanted to challenge the administration’s protections for LGBTQ+ students, they did the same thing.
[…] The other judge was U.S. District Judge Reed O’Connor, whose name might also sound familiar.
The week before Christmas in 2018, for example, O’Connor agreed to strike down the entirety of the Affordable Care Act, root and branch. Even many conservatives and ACA critics agreed that the ruling was indefensible, and reactions tended to include words and phrases such as “pretty bananas,” “embarrassingly bad,” and “absurd.”
The New York Times noted soon after that Republicans had a habit of bringing their cases to this specific district court because of their confidence that O’Connor would give them everything they wanted: “He ruled for Texas in 2015 when it challenged an Obama administration measure extending family leave benefits to married same-sex couples. … He also ruled for Texas in 2016, blocking the Obama administration from enforcing guidelines expanding restroom access for transgender students.”
In 2022, the same judge, nominated by George W. Bush, also undermined the Navy’s vaccine requirements, ignoring generations’ worth of precedent. A year later, O’Connor took steps to undermine the Affordable Care Act again.
The tactic goes by different names. I’ve seen it referred to as “forum shopping,” “judge shopping,” “venue shopping,” and “court shopping,” but the phrases all mean the same thing: Instead of simply taking one’s chances in the judiciary, many litigants effectively try to hand-pick ideologically aligned jurists, filing their cases in specific districts in the hopes of guaranteeing success before the process even begins in earnest.
In Trump’s hush-money case, his GOP allies were invested in the idea that prosecutors engaged in court shopping, pursuing an indictment in a court where a conviction was more likely. That never made any sense: Trump’s crimes were committed in the district in which he was charged.
If Republicans are looking for some actual examples of court shopping, I’d refer them to Kacsmaryk’s and O’Connor’s docket.
Year after year, while Roe v. Wade was the law of the land, Texas legislators passed measures limiting access to abortion—who could have one, how, and where. And with the same cadence, they added millions of dollars to a program designed to discourage people from terminating pregnancies.
Their budget infusions for the Alternatives to Abortion program grew with almost every legislative session—first gradually, then dramatically—from $5 million starting in 2005 to $140 million after the U.S. Supreme Court overturned the right to an abortion.
Now that abortion is largely illegal in Texas, lawmakers say they have shifted the purpose of the program, and its millions of dollars, to supporting families affected by the state’s ban.
In the words of Rep. Jeff Leach, a Republican from Plano, the goal is to “provide the full support and resources of the state government … to come alongside of these thousands of women and their families who might find themselves with unexpected, unplanned pregnancies.”
But an investigation by ProPublica and CBS News found that the system that funnels a growing pot of state money to anti-abortion nonprofits has few safeguards and is riddled with waste. [“State” money!]
Officials with the Health and Human Services Commission, which oversees the program, don’t know the specifics of how tens of millions of taxpayer dollars are being spent or whether that money is addressing families’ needs.
In some cases, taxpayers are paying these groups to distribute goods they obtained for free, allowing anti-abortion centers—which are often called “crisis pregnancy centers” and may be set up to look like clinics that perform abortions—to bill $14 to hand out a couple of donated diapers. [Connections between “crisis pregnancy centers” and religious organizations have been discussed previously.]
Distributing a single pamphlet can net the same $14 fee. The state has paid the charities millions to distribute such “educational materials” about topics including parenting and adoption; it can’t say exactly how many millions because it doesn’t collect data on the goods it’s paying for. State officials declined to provide examples of the materials by publication time, and reporters who visited pregnancy centers were turned away.
[…] They didn’t conduct an audit of the program in the wake of revelations in 2021 that a subcontractor had used taxpayer funds to operate a smoke shop and to buy land for hemp production.
[…] The nonprofit network receives the most funding of the program’s four contractors and oversees dozens of crisis pregnancy centers, faith-based groups and other charities that serve as subcontractors.
[…] Pregnancy Center of the Coastal Bend in Corpus Christi, for instance, built up a $1.6 million surplus from 2020 to 2022. Executive Director Jana Pinson said two years ago that she plans to use state funds to build a new facility. She did not respond to requests for comment. A ProPublica reporter visited the waterfront plot where that facility was planned and found an empty lot.
Because subcontractors are paid set fees for their services, Neeley said, “what they do with the dollars in their bank accounts is not connected” to the Thriving Texas Families program. “It is no longer taxpayer money.”
The state said those funds are, in fact, taxpayer money. “HHSC takes stewardship of taxpayer dollars, appropriated by the Legislature, very seriously by ensuring they are used for their intended purpose,” a spokesperson said.
None of that has caused lawmakers to stop the cash from flowing. In fact, last year they blocked requirements to ensure certain services were evidence-based.
[…] lawmakers around the country are considering programs modeled on Alternatives to Abortion.
Last year, Tennessee lawmakers directed $20 million to fund crisis pregnancy centers and similar nonprofits. And Florida enacted a six-week abortion ban while including in the same bill a $25 million allocation to support crisis pregnancy centers. John McNamara, a longtime leader of Texas Pregnancy Care Network, has been working to start similar networks in Kansas, Oklahoma, and Iowa. He’s also reserved the name Louisiana Pregnancy Care Network.
And U.S. House Republicans are advocating for allowing federal dollars from the Temporary Assistance for Needy Families program—intended to help low-income families—to flow to pregnancy centers. In January, the House passed the legislation, and it is pending in the Senate. Rep. Elise Stefanik, R-N.Y., castigated Democrats for voting against the bill.
“That’s taking away diapers, that’s taking away resources from families who are in need,” she said in an interview with CBS News after the vote.
But, as Texas shows, more funding doesn’t necessarily pay for more diapers, formula or other support for families.
Lawmakers rebranded Alternatives to Abortion as Thriving Texas Families in 2023. The program is supposed to promote pregnancies, encourage family formation, and increase economic self-sufficiency.
[…] A single visit by a client to a subcontractor can result in multiple charges stacking up. Centers are eligible to collect the fees regardless of how many items are distributed or how much they are worth. […]
[…] Even if nonprofits distribute items they got for free or close to it, the state will still reimburse them. Take Viola’s House, a pregnancy center and maternity home in Dallas. Records show that it pays a nearby diaper bank an administrative fee of $1,590 for about 120,000 diapers annually—just over a penny apiece. Viola’s House can then bill the state $14 for distributing a pack of diapers that cost the center just over a quarter.
But before they can get those diapers, parents must take a class. The center can also bill the state $30 for each hour of class a client attends.
[…] The tax experts disagree with Texas Pregnancy Care Network’s argument that the money is no longer taxpayer dollars after its subcontractors are paid.
“It’s still the government buying something,” said Jason Coupet, associate professor of public management and policy at Georgia State University, who has studied efficiency in the public and nonprofit sectors. “If I were in the auditor’s office, that’s where I would start having questions.”
[…] KSAT-TV reported that the nonprofit, A New Life for a New Generation, had used Alternatives to Abortion funds for vacations and a motorcycle, and to fund a smoke shop business owned by the center’s president and CEO, Marquica Reed. It also spent $25,000 on land that was later registered by a member of Reed’s family to produce industrial hemp.
In an interview with ProPublica, a former case manager recalled how Reed would get angry if employees forgot to bill the state for a service provided to a client.
The former case manager, Bridgett Warren Campbell, said employees would buy diapers from the local Sam’s Club store, then take apart the packages. “We’d take the diapers out and give parents two to three diapers at a time, then she would bill TPCN,” said Campbell.
[…] The state requires contractors to submit independent financial audits if they receive at least $750,000 in state money; Texas Pregnancy Care Network meets this threshold. However, its dozens of subcontractors don’t have to submit these audits—something experts in nonprofit practices said should be required. In the fiscal year before the alleged misspending came to light, A New Life for a New Generation received more than $1 million in reimbursements from the state, records show.
[…] The agency has never thoroughly evaluated the effectiveness of the program’s services in its nearly 20 years of existence.
[…] Texas’ six-week abortion ban took effect in 2021, and more than 16,000 additional babies were born in the state the following year. Academics expect that trend to continue.
But the safety net for parents and babies is paper thin.
Texas has the lowest rate of insured women of reproductive age in the country and ranks above the national average for maternal deaths. It’s last in giving cash assistance to families living beneath the poverty line.
Mothers told reporters they are struggling to scrape together enough diapers and wipes to keep their babies clean. […] “It is unconscionable that a [Thriving Texas Families] provider would be allowed to keep millions in reserve when there is a tremendous need for more investment in access to health care services,” she said.
More at the link.
The article includes many embedded links that lead to additional resources.
“You heard about it? [Project 2025] It’s a blueprint for a second Trump term that every American should read and understand,” Biden said, accusing his opponent of trying to run from the plan “just like he’s trying to distance himself from overturning Roe vs. Wade because he knows how toxic it is. But we’re not gonna let that happen.”
Commentary:
[…] As a raucous Detroit crowd chanted “don’t you quit!” and “we got your back!” President Biden said—again—that he was still running for reelection and vowed to “shine a spotlight on Donald Trump” and what the Republican would do if he returned to the White House. Biden lambasted an expansive far-right policy agenda crafted by conservative think tanks that Trump has scrambled to distance himself from, while ticking off several items on his own wish list for the first 100 days of his second term.
[…] Campaign aides underscored the enthusiasm for Biden after his news conference at the conclusion of this week’s NATO summit. Communications director Michael Tyler said donations “exploded,” saying there were 40,000 contributions on Thursday night—a clip that was seven times the average.
[…] In a swing state that he won by close to 3 percentage points in 2020, Biden continued to command support. Michigan Rep. Debbie Dingell, Rep. Haley Stevens, Rep. Shri Thanedar, and AFL-CIO President Liz Shuler accompanied Biden on Air Force One from Washington to Detroit, in Biden’s fourth trip to the state this year. Also attending was Academy Award-winning actress Octavia Spencer. And over a dozen Detroit-area state lawmakers signed onto a joint letter Thursday “to express our unwavering support” for Biden.
After the rally, Ken Jacobs, 71, said Biden’s speech, which stretched to over 30 minutes, should put to rest any talk that he couldn’t handle another four years in office. […]
Biden: “Just look at this right-wing Project 2025… [it] is run & paid for by Trump people… [it’s] the biggest attack on our system of government and our personal freedom that has ever been proposed in this country… [it] will criminalize the shipping of abortion medication”
Digital staffers will tell you that content about Project 2025 performs very well on social media, with freaked-out younger users on Instagram and TikTok often hitting the like and share buttons en masse. As a result, the Biden campaign told Semafor in March that they were seeing solid signs of engagement and would make it a centerpiece of their digital messaging strategy moving forward. More recently, a Washington Post analysis found that mentions of Project 2025 among progressive influencers have “skyrocketed” in the past month.
Kristen Welker spent her show hammering President Biden for accidentally getting names wrong and asking if Biden should step aside, and then moments later she called President Biden ‘President Trump.’
JFC. I know she is trying to fill Chuck Todd’s shoes … that’s probably not a good plan. She tried to do a both sides thing and it was incoherent.
Commentary:
This is what the media does — they try to emphasize the horserace. They nitpick over bullshit. They don’t talk policy, they don’t talk issues. They only have 10 mins in their C Block and they need to keep as many eyeballs watching as possible. Substance is secondary.
Link. Video of Kristen Welker’s gaffe is also available at that link.
Over the years, Donald Trump has hardly been a responsible social media user: He’s railed against the “fake news media” while disseminating actual fake news, referred to his impeachments as a “scam” and a “hoax,” repeatedly undermined the integrity of the 2020 election, fueled an attack on the Capitol on January 6, 2021, and spewed so much Covid misinformation that we built a timeline of it. He has used his social media accounts to impugn powerful women, and to viciously attack officials he dislikes, often resulting in threats of violence against them. In March, he shared a video on Truth Social depicting Joe Biden tied up in the back of a pickup truck, employing a messaging tactic experts refer to as “stochastic terrorism.”
Despite these transgressions and more, Meta announced Friday that it would remove restrictions on Trump’s Facebook and Instagram accounts to “ensure people can hear from political candidates” in the lead-up to the 2024 election.
The decision comes just over three years since Meta and Twitter suspended Trump’s accounts in response to the Jan. 6 mob attack on the US Capitol. Twitter reinstated Trump’s account in 2022, shortly after Elon Musk purchased the company. Meta lifted its suspension on Trump’s accounts in January 2023, but placed several “guardrails” on the former president, including advertising penalties for breaking its guidelines. According to Axios, which first reported Meta’s announcement, no other public figure had been subject to such restrictions.
Now, those guardrails are gone. With the Republican convention coming up, Meta’s president of global affairs Nick Clegg noted in a statement, nominees for president will soon be solidified. “In assessing our responsibility to allow political expression, we believe that the American people should be able to hear from the nominees for President on the same basis,” the statement read.
The Biden campaign doesn’t see it that way. As a spokesman told the New York Times, the decision “will allow Trump and his MAGA allies to reach more Americans with their fundamentally undemocratic, un-American misinformation,” calling it “a direct attack on our safety and our democracy.”
Trump and Hungarian dictator are making a present for Putin, surprise, it’s Ukraine!
Aspiring Dictator On Day One Donald J. Trump simply cannot get enough of making goo-goo eyes at prime minister Viktor Orbán, the Hungarian idol who read an old copy of Dictatorships 4 Dummies by Arthur Finkelstein and then got his country downgraded from a democracy to an autocracy.
Trump hosted that two-bit dictator of one of Europe’s poorest countries at the White House back when he was president, and they yukked it up like old pals. Then Trump had him down to his Florida roach motel just back in March, right after Orbán gave a pep talk to the Heritage Foundation, which […] loves to gush about how autocratic Hungary “Leads The Way in Defense of Conservative Values.”
D and V spent a bromantic evening jamming to classic rock, making each other friendship bracelets, bagging on democracy, and gossiping about all the other rightwing strongman heartthrobs. They’re so strong! And tough! Vlad thinks you’re cute too! Melania was even defrosted for a rare walk-though and photo op, and Orbán gave her a horse-sized bouquet.
Then Thursday Orbán came calling again, waltzing in Trump’s door, just like he did before. Joe Biden was at the NATO summit, giving a rootin’ tootin’ speech to other grownups who don’t want to live in dictatorships where a toadlike man grifts everybody’s money […] And Orbán shoulda been there too, Hungary being a member of NATO, but nah. Instead he played hooky to fly down to Florida […]
Orbán’s rotated into six months serving as representative of the Presidency of the European Union, which he’s been using to visit NATO’s enemies on what he calls “Peace Mission 5.0.” The hashtag-peace he’s seeking being for NATO to hand Ukraine on over to Putin, then everybody just shuts the fuck up about it, already […] And Trump can’t wait to help! [Screen grab of Trump’s post is available at the link.]
Cooed Orbán on Xitter: “Peace mission 5.0. It was an honor to visit @realDonaldTrump at Mar-a-Lago today. We discussed ways to make #peace. The good news of the day: he’s going to solve it!”
Purred back Trump from Truth Social, “Thank you Viktor. There must be PEACE, and quickly. Too many people have died in a war that never should have started! DJT”
Because Ukraine should have just rolled over and handed itself to Russia in the first place? Maybe Putin would accept Hungary as a substitute, since Orbán apparently hates NATO so damn much. […]
Merely a week ago Orbán flew to Moscow to kiss Putin’s ass and tell him how great he’s doing at bombing hospitals, before that he was swinging with Xi Jinping in Beijing, and frowning across a table at Volodymyr Zelenskyy in Kyiv, probably muttering, everything will remain bloodless if the Left allows it to be. […]
V & D have so much in common! Orbán took Hungary from democracy to a flavor of autocracy he calls “illiberal democracy,” scaring people into electing him by demonizing George Soros, immigrants, and gay and trans people, and being all me big white Christian hetero strongman only one who can save you!
Once elected, he enacted a radical democracy weight-loss plan. He got laws changed to let him rule with unchecked power by decree, took control of the media, fired disloyal civil servants and purged universities of professors accused of having left-wing political opinions, and he shook down companies for kickbacks like the mafia. So you can see why Trump’s pupils turn into throbbing little hearts at the mention of his name. Orbán has returned the affection, so far being the only European leader to endorse Trump. After Thursday’s snuggletime, they social media’d a video of themselves together, with an orchestra surging in the background. [Screen grab available at the link]
“A smart, strong, and compassionate leader of a wonderful Country, Hungary. Great job, Viktor!!! DJT” Trump Twoofed on Friday.
Why does he never swoon about the US that way? Oh that’s right, he hates more than half the people who live here, and also democracy itself.
In 2017 Orbán authoritariansplained his Christofascist sentiments, which could have come straight from a Project 2025 author or Patriot Front manifesto:
“Christian democracy is, by definition, not liberal: it is, if you like, illiberal. And we can specifically say this in connection with a few important issues — say, three great issues. Liberal democracy is in favor of multiculturalism, while Christian democracy gives priority to Christian culture; this is an illiberal concept. Liberal democracy is pro-immigration, while Christian democracy is anti-immigration; this is again a genuinely illiberal concept. And liberal democracy sides with adaptable family models, while Christian democracy rests on the foundations of the Christian family model; once more, this is an illiberal concept.”
So a free society, but just for white Christian supremacists. And VERGOGNA, or maybe a little prison, for the rest of you!
Probably needless to say, no Republican has any criticism for this Logan Act-violating-y reach-around.
And former Rep. Dennis Kucinich […] is also on the give Ukraine to Russia tip, and re-Tweeted a crypto bro about it. [Screen grab of post is available at the link.]
Democracy: a whole lot of people don’t even want it.
KG, at 315: Harris could probably beat Trump, given different circumstances, but we don’t get those in this world we’re living in. She’s a woman, she’s not white. Sadly, those are real factors in this stupid country, and they’d need time to be put aside.
So your proposed solution to racism and sexism is to give in to them. Did you notice that Barack Obama is Black? And that Hillary Clinton (who beat Trump on actual votes, and would have won the presidency if not for illegitimate interference by James Comey), is a woman? And do you not think that those who would not vote for Harris because they are racist andor sexist might notice that she’s on the ticket, and very likely to succeed to the presidency if Biden is re-elected?
Second, she’s Biden’s VP, and has loyalty to him. Even if he voluntarily chose to step down, I believe enough folks, at this point, would think it was because he was forced, and they would stay home in November. If Harris took over, at least some folks would consider it disloyal.
And you don’t think people might stay home out of disgust if they are offered the choice between a pathological liar and narcissist, and a man in the early stages of dementia – and also, incidentally, showing symptoms of narcissism, in his absurd claim that no-one else could successfully handle relations with foreign leaders?
Even if he and you and all the others are right about Biden, (and I am in no way denying that he does have major issues, both with his health and his policies) that simply does not matter, given where we are. The Republicans, the media, billionaires, and Russian bots, all are doing their best to give Trump another shot. And now Democrats are helping them along.
Since Biden has major issues with his health, he has no business standing for re-election. I agree with you that Democrats – first among them, Biden – are helping Trump along. And he and his camp seem happy enough to face Biden – as why should they not be, given the fiasco of the debate?
John Moralessays
@John Morales:
You are fucking deranged and your posts make no sense.
Heh heh heh.
birgerjohanssonsays
Dr Ruth Westheimer has died at 96.
For the young ones: she is the one who informed your parents’ generation things about sex that had been taught in European schools for about a generation at that time.
birgerjohanssonsays
A glorious late evening watching
public, non-commercial TV:
‘Alien’, followed by ‘Train To Busan’.
And ‘Alien; Romulus’ comes to cinemas in Umeå a month from now.
(Speaking of the big screen, Cage is supposed to be pretty good as super-psychopath in ‘Longlegs’. Damn, I miss Dennis Hopper.)
birgerjohanssonsays
I very grudgingly agree with Bernie Sanders; Joe Biden is what is available, and you have to do what the British do at every war and just muddle through, regretting previous mistakes and hoping for victory.
KGsays
birgerjohansson@347,
From Wikipedia: Lithuanian (endonym: lietuvių kalba, pronounced [lʲiəˈtʊvʲuː kɐɫˈbɐ]) is an East Baltic language belonging to the Baltic branch of the Indo-European language family.
Tethyssays
Joe Biden is also currently doing a rather fabulous job of being POTUS, a fact that is notably absent in all the absurdity of the current media narrative. The media is obviously a bunch of twits who have completely forgotten how they were a megaphone for any asinine propaganda that was vomited forth by Trump/Putin.
But the debate = but her e-mails.
Re-electing Biden/Harris is the opposite of encouraging racist and sexist pushback. Duh. Americans above all prefer stability and safety, so why wouldn’t they support the Democrats? There is literally no downside to reelecting Biden even should he die in office. I prefer old, egalitarian, and competent to a grifting old, sexist, fascist, rapist, felon who should in fact be in a federal prison cell awaiting trial for his crimes.
Paul Ksays
KG, Clearly, we are not going to agree on this. I surely get your points, but to my mind, you and others trying to get Biden to quit are not only wrong, but dangerously so.
Lots of folks who would vote for Biden, even with Harris as his VP, would not vote for Harris on her own. Me stating that is not to ‘give in to them’, it’s just saying what I know to be true. And, yes, Clinton beat Trump in the popular vote, but you know as well as I do that that’s meaningless with our stupid Electoral College. And there were plenty of older Democrats at the time that said straight out that they couldn’t vote for a woman.
And, boy, I think you go too far when you say that he is ‘showing symptoms of narcissism, in his absurd claim that no-one else could successfully handle relations with foreign leaders?’ This seems so very both-sides to me. He has to lead. He has long-standing relationships with other leaders around the world in an extremely dangerous time. He’s doing the job right now. Could he have worded things better? Sure. But he has reasons for what he’s saying; it’s not like he’s lost his mind, as Trump has (if he ever had a sane mind).
I do not believe that Biden’s ‘major issues with his health’ are anything like bad enough for him to drop out of this race. You don’t agree. Neither of us is inside his head or his doctors’. There’s really no point in continuing the back and forth, and it just makes me want to tear my hair out.
Rob Grigjanissays
KG @370:
Since Biden has major issues with his health, he has no business standing for re-election
Sure. And Reagan had no business standing for re-election. The world doesn’t work the way you (or I, for that matter) think it should. Based on any reasonable levels of competency, Trump should never have got more than a few percent of the vote in any election, and Biden should be a shoo-in in this one, regardless of his shortcomings.
The question is: where lies the greater risk? Sticking with the incumbent and his obvious shortcomings, or ditching the incumbent a few months before the election, given the realities of American politics? Your confidence in what you perceive is the correct choice is somewhat perplexing to me. Is it based on how the world is, or how you think it should be?
redwoodsays
@368 I rather like the acronym we get for Dictator On Day One. It even goes well with a certain someone’s first name. Thanks Wonkette via Lynna! Now I know what to call him for the rest of the election period: DODO Don.
Reports are still very confused, but it appears from the video that Trump may have been hit in the right ear by a bullet.
CompulsoryAccount7746, Sky Captainsays
Electorally threatening the Biden campaign on this other matter at least had potential for policy nudging.
2024-05-20 Reuters
“What’s happening in Gaza is not genocide. We reject that,” Biden said […] Biden stressed his belief that Israel was the victim dating back to the Oct. 7 attack […] He said U.S. support for the safety and security of Israelis is “ironclad.” […] Biden also rejected the International Criminal Court’s prosecutor for saying he had requested arrest warrants for Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and his defense chief over alleged war crimes.
The question of when to label Russia’s actions in Ukraine “genocide,” particularly the legal threshold for doing so had been discussed inside the White House ever since images of mass graves and civilian torture and assassinations emerged in Bucha […] Biden had recently begun to make his views clear in private, so White House officials weren’t surprised that he called what’s happening in Ukraine “genocide,” but they were taken aback that he did so offhandedly in a speech in Iowa about inflation, the people said.
[…]
Biden said Russia was committing war crimes in Ukraine […] a week before the U.S. government completed its legal process and formally made that declaration.
[…]
In clarifying that he was expressing his personal view by calling the situation in Ukraine genocide, Biden said […] “And we’ll let the lawyers decide internationally whether or not it qualifies, but it sure seems that way to me.” […] Biden has felt that he and his aides were too slow to call out Russia’s actions in Ukraine as war crimes and label Putin a war criminal, and he didn’t want to be behind on what he believes is genocide.
[…]
Biden has throughout his decades long career at times been quicker than others in the U.S. government to speak out about genocide. […] In June 1994 as the Clinton administration avoided saying the mass killing in Rwanda was genocide, Biden, then a senator, joined other Senate Foreign Relations Committee members in insisting it was. […] Biden was one of eight co-sponsors of legislation commemorating the Srebrenica massacre as genocide. […] Last year, Biden became the first president to formally recognize the mass slaughter of Armenians during World War I as genocide
2024-04-29 Rep. Katie Porter says the State Dept. is sitting on memos of human rights violations by Israel (video 8:11)
we do not want those weapons or that training being provided to military units that engage in gross violations of human rights […] murder, rape, kidnapping.
For most other countries, there’s a pretty straightforward process: before the aid’s given, the State Separtment vets the individual military units […] But Israel has a diferent process, and that’s what I requested and received the State Department briefing on. But what we found out this week—after I heard all about that process and got assurances that it was working—is that in fact, it’s not working. The State Department employees sent up evidence of gross violations of human rights that Israel has not remediated
[…]
The [Leahy] law’s very clear […] Aid to that unit must not go. The US cannot send it legally.
2024-04-17 ProPublica on the special “Israel Leahy Vetting Forum” yielding no sanctions.
“The [US] state department falsified a report earlier this month to absolve Israel of responsibility for blocking humanitarian aid flows into Gaza, overruling the advice of its own experts, according to a former senior US official who resigned
[…]
the US would be obliged to cut arms sales and security assistance to any country found to have blocked delivery of US aid.
birgerjohanssonsays
Two fatalities at the shooting at the Trump rally.
The year was 1939. In an otherwise unoccupied auditorium, a man knelt on hands and knees chiseling a square hole into a large stone pillar. […] He set both of his hand-made precision mechanical clocks—a primary and a fail safe—to count down for approximately six days. He then carefully slid the 80 cm by 80 cm box into the congruent cavity.
[…]
All flights had been delayed due to heavy fog, so this year, for the first time, the Führer had deviated from his traditional schedule. He had started his speech 30 minutes early, and shortened it to just one hour […] to return home via train. Hitler had stepped out of the Bürgerbräukeller just 13 minutes before the device automatically activated, and he did not learn of the assassination attempt until well after the building had been shattered into a collapsed ruin. Later, When he was informed of the close call, Hitler responded, ‘A man has to be lucky.’
[…]
Judging from utter atomization of the lectern, if Hitler had been sitting there at 9:20pm as originally scheduled, his contribution to history would have been sharply abbreviated.
More details concerning the shooting at the Trump rally:
Former president Donald Trump was rushed off the stage at a campaign rally in Butler, Pa., about 30 miles north of Pittsburgh, after shots were heard near the beginning of the event. He put his hand to his right ear and ducked after the first of several pops. Secret Service agents surrounded him and took him off the stage, his face streaked with what appeared to be blood.
The incident is being investigated as an attempted assassination, with the FBI, Secret Service, and ATF all working on the case, according to two people familiar with the matter, who spoke on the condition of anonymity to discuss it.
President Biden said in a statement Saturday evening that Americans “must unite as one nation” to condemn the shooting at former president Donald Trump’s rally in Pennsylvania.
“I have been briefed on the shooting at Donald Trump’s rally in Pennsylvania. I’m grateful to hear that he’s safe and doing well,” Biden said in the statement. “I’m praying for him and his family and for all those who were at the rally, as we await further information.”
Gabrielle Giffords, a former congresswoman from Arizona who was shot in the head in an assassination attempt in 2011, condemned the shooting at Donald Trump’s rally in a post on X.
“Political violence is terrifying,” Giffords said. “I know. I’m holding former President Trump, and all those affected by today’s indefensible act of violence in my heart. Political violence is un-American and is never acceptable — never.”
House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries (D-N.Y.) posted on social media that he was sending his “thoughts and prayers” to former president Donald Trump.
“I am thankful for the decisive law enforcement response. America is a democracy. Political violence of any kind is never acceptable,” he tweeted.
Former president Donald Trump “is fine” and being evaluated at a local medical facility, his campaign spokesman Steven Cheung said.
“President Trump thanks law enforcement and first responders for their quick action during this heinous act. He is fine and is being checked out at a local medical facility. More details will follow,” Cheung said in a statement.
In video of the incident at the Trump rally, you can see an audience member gesturing at a press camera, with his middle finger raised. The man is clearly shouting “Fuck You” multiple times.
I’m worried that anger and shock will precipitate more violence.
FIRST: Not a single one of you perfect angels will write ANYTHING in my comments that can be construed as wishing that an apparent projectile of some sort had succeeded. No matter what you think quietly in your brain.
SECOND: There are all kinds of options for what just happened at Donald Trump’s rally in Butler, Pennsylvania, or rather two. There are two kinds of options. False flag? […] An actual attempted assassin? Could be that too, and we do not know until we know.
THIRD: This is going to rile up the Right like FUCKING CRAZY. Be careful out there.
FOURTH: We don’t kill people. We don’t ideate on killing people. If someone on our side did this — and they very well may have — they were bad and wrong and badwrong. […]
FIFTH: I’m pretty sure that wasn’t a well-organized militia, fuck you Antonin Scalia and Heller decision.
We’re now seeing reports that Trump was hit not by a bullet but by glass fragments from the plexiglass shields which are there to protect the President. This doesn’t dramatically change the nature of what happened. It’s still the result of an attempt to shoot Trump. But it gives a clearer understanding of precisely what happened and shows, if these accounts are true, that one of the basic protective measures worked.
We’ve had a basic question from the beginning how someone with a gun could have gotten into a presidential event where everyone goes through a magnetometer. We now have what I believe are reliable reports that the shooter was outside the security perimeter. The area is open and flat. There is no high ground for a shooter to fire from. It appears the shooter got onto the roof of nearby, low building and was able to have a line of sight toward the stage. We now have confirmation that it was the Secret Service that returned fire and killed the shooter. So it appears that the shooter was killed in the first moments of the incident.
We now have clearer confirmation: Shooter dead; one bystander dead; one bystander with serious injuries.
President Joe Biden just addressed the nation regarding the shooting at a Donald Trump rally in Pennsylvania earlier today. You can watch below: [video at the link]
[…] “Trump was just elected today, folks,” I heard a man shout. “He is a martyr.” […]
The Secret Service quickly cleared the press area, moved the crowd out and declared the rally setting a crime scene. State troopers cordoned off a section of the stage-right bleachers with yellow tape.
There was confusion, and the crowd dispersed slowly. On the stage-right bleachers, now empty, I saw blood.
Several medical helicopters arrived after 7 p.m. and departed minutes later, headed south, toward Pittsburgh, about 35 miles away.
Vice President Harris said in a statement that she has been briefed. “Doug and I are relieved that [Donald Trump] is not seriously injured,” she said, referring to her husband, Doug Emhoff. “We are praying for him, his family, and all those who have been injured and impacted by this senseless shooting. … We must all condemn this abhorrent act and do our part to ensure that it does not lead to more violence.”
First 12-24 hours, news will be confusing and unclear. Do not react, do keep abreast of credible media. Have good verification & vetting for news.
During this time look for the framing that various political elements bring to it.
Watch how Trumpist leadership frames this, that will indicate how they are trying to construct a perceived enemy.
Keep an eye out for disinfo early on, for example Cernovich, Posobiec, others in Trumpist universe. It appears that Musk is supporting Cernovich.
From me:
Always cite your sources. Do Not Spread Rumours.
Appropriate response is to keep a cool head and think clearly.
Appropriate tone of our response is ‘conventional and high-road’.
If Trumpist violence or calls for violence occur in response to this, it will hurt their cause.
Do Not React To Incitement! Do Not Escalate Rhetoric!
From the article:
Trump could be heard on the video saying at least twice, “Let me get my shoes, let me get my shoes,” with another voice heard saying, “I’ve got you sir.”
Trump got to his feet moments later and could be seen reaching with his right hand toward his face. There appeared to be blood on his face. He then pumped his fist in the air and appeared to mouth the word “Fight” twice his crowd of supporters, prompting loud cheers and then chants of “USA. USA. USA.”
The crowd cheered as he got back up and pumped his fist.
Not great! I saw the man Lynna mentioned @ #387 and also a woman doing the same.
StevoRsays
ABC news coverage of the attempted assassination here – being updated constantly :
Newer reports from CNN’s Evan Perez say that the building in question was more like 150 yards from the stage and apparently a building, unsecured, right outside the security perimeter. Don’t want to get ahead of ourselves. But there are going to be some pretty big questions why that rooftop wasn’t secured.
As expected, but really awful and shocking nonetheless:
[…] At least one Republican House member, Rep. Mike Collins of Georgia, laid the blame on Biden, saying, “The Republican District Attorney in Butler County, PA, should immediately file charges against Joseph R. Biden for inciting an assassination.” […]
Link.
The words Biden used in a recent speech were “We’re going to shine a spotlight …” in reference to Trump’s plans for 2025. Instead of quoting Biden correctly, rightwing doofuses are saying that Biden said he was going to put “Trump in a bullseye.”
From the same article:
“As one whose family has been the victim of political violence, I know firsthand that political violence of any kind has no place in our society. I thank God that former President Trump is safe,” former House Speaker Nancy Pelosi said in a statement. “As we learn more details about this horrifying incident, let us pray that all those in attendance at the former President’s rally today are unharmed.”
Pelosi’s husband was bludgeoned with a hammer in 2022 by a man who broke into their home.
Former president Obama:
here is absolutely no place for political violence in our democracy. Although we don’t yet know exactly what happened, we should all be relieved that former President Trump wasn’t seriously hurt, and use this moment to recommit ourselves to civility and respect in our politics. Michelle and I are wishing him a quick recovery.
J.D. Vance:
Today is not just some isolated incident.
The central premise of the Biden campaign is that President Donald Trump is an authoritarian fascist who must be stopped at all costs.
That rhetoric led directly to President Trump’s attempted assassination.
Here’s where the Biden quote is coming from. Politico reported that Biden said it on his call to the National Finance Committee on Monday, July 8th:
“I have one job, and that’s to beat Donald Trump. I’m absolutely certain I’m the best person to be able to do that. So, we’re done talking about the debate, it’s time to put Trump in a bullseye,” Biden said.
The “spotlight” comment was from a different speech.
He blamed Biden’s recent rhetoric for encouraging such attacks. “If you read what Biden has said for the past few months, it was an invitation,” Gingrich said.
chigau (違う)says
If you watch the videos of the Reagan and Ford assassination attempts, you can see a difference in the Secret Service responses.
Russian propaganda accounts, MAGA, and Proud Boy channels on Telegram spread some false claims about the shooting. That was quick, and some used verified accounts on X. Apparently, “verified accounts” on X can still be bogus as hell.
[…] “Antifa” became a top trending topic on X after social media posts seemingly misidentified the gunman responsible for Saturday’s shooting.
The posts blamed a “prominent Antifa activist,” Mark Violets. Law enforcement has not publicly identified the shooter or released any information about his background as of Saturday evening.
In posts to X, Telegram and niche online spaces, users claimed that the false identification had come from the Butler Police Department. The posts included a photo of a man in sunglasses and a black hat alleging it was a screenshot from a video posted to YouTube before the attack in which the man claimed “justice was coming.” That was all false.
The posts were shared by verified accounts on X. One popular verified account, Wall Street Silver, which is known to spread misinformation, posted the claim to 1.3 million followers and later deleted it without explanation. Russian propaganda accounts, MAGA, and Proud Boy channels on Telegram also spread the claim.
[…] Violi posted on his own Instagram account that the news was fake, writing in Italian, according to Meta’s translation, “I STRONGLY DENY BE INVOLVED IN THIS SITUATION. I WAS AWAKE IN THE MIDDLE OF THE NIGHT (2AM IN ITALY TO BE PRECISE) FROM THE MANY NOTIFICATIONS I RECEIVED ON INSTAGRAM AND ON X. I’M IN ITALY, I’M IN ROME AND I HAD NO IDEA WHAT HAPPENED.”
Established conspiracy theorist Alex Jones livestreamed to an audience of hundreds of thousands of people on X in the aftermath of the incident. In a series of posts on the platform viewed millions of times Saturday, Jones blamed “the deep state.”
Similarly, X accounts with hundreds of thousands of followers known for sharing Qanon conspiracy theory content brought in millions of views sharing names of high-profile Democrats and Republicans they said were “possibly colluding” with the CIA to make the incident happen. There’s no evidence supporting any aspect of the claim.
Well that’s no way to de-escalate the too-tense political situation:
“Someone just tried to ASSASSINATE President Trump. The Democrats and the media are to blame for every drop of blood spilled today. For years and years, they’ve demonized him and his supporters. Today, someone finally tried to take out the leader of our America First and the greatest President of all time,” Marjorie Taylor Greene wrote on X, adding, “President Trump said “FIGHT,” SO WE WILL!!”
Commentary:
[…] Less than an hour after her initial X post, Greene shared a series of screenshots showing articles that noted there was an incident at Trump’s rally without describing it as a shooting. The screenshots were indicative of the kind of cautious language media outlets use in quickly breaking stories when the nature of the incident has not been confirmed. However, Greene framed them as deliberate lies and evidence for her claim the press was to blame.
“LIARS! These scumbags in the media are responsible for what happened today,” Greene wrote. “People were shot (potentially killed) and this is what they claimed happened.” […]
@Lynna #401:
Marjorie Taylor Greene indicated support for executing prominent Democrats in 2018 and 2019 before running for Congress (an old article)
Bekenstein Boundsays
I don’t have much time tonight so I will have to be brief.
The notion that donors to Dem candidates can’t prefer Trump is ridiculous. Big-dollar donors often donate to both campaigns, so as to have some influence no matter who wins, hedging their bets; and to keep up appearances, if they and their business holdings brand themselves as “progressive”. Big-dollar donors also know exactly which side their bread is buttered on, and that they do far better in their personal finances under Republicans than they do under Democrats. Also, they probably don’t like that Biden sicced Lina Khan on them. They would likely prefer any other Democrat to Biden now, and Trump to every Democrat.
On the intergalactic travel angle, the timescales are just longer, that’s all. Assuming no FTL, it’s maybe 30 million years to colonize one galaxy, and 600 million to reach other galaxies from there, so maybe a couple of billion to bag the Local Group or equivalent scale cluster. And it’s eminently doable, physics-wise: fling a star with habitable planet (or structures, or computronium) orbiting it at those 1000+km/s speeds at the target galaxy and then bide your time. As long as the star has over 600 million years of its own lifespan left that’s good enough (and some can last perhaps 100 trillion). The real hurdle to colonizing on any such vast scales is not going to be reaching all those places. It’s going to be holding them. The video and others seem to assume as a matter of course that anyone with interstellar travel will be able to establish dominion over arbitrary volumes of space, for arbitrarily long. I don’t think that’s particularly likely. No empire known has lasted even the lifespan of a bristlecone pine, let alone 30+ million years, and the logistical problems with maintaining an empire on the distance scales envisioned are literally astronomical. It is also questionable if it’s possible for any kind of individual, institution, or polity to sustain constancy of purpose on anything like such timescales. Worse, the factors working against long term dominion (purpose-drift, political instability) speed up if the underlying beings speed up (e.g., are AIs rather than humans). If anything one would have to slow down (possibly by exploiting time dilation) to sustain a stable direction on the relevant time scales … but any would-be dominion that does so will have rings run around it by rivals who don’t. In the end, what can colonize on those scales is not a polity, nor even a species (name one that is wholly unchanged after 30 million years — not a larger taxonomic group like “sharks”, but a single individual species), but an ecosystem. An ecosystem is also the smallest unit of life known to be wholly self-sustaining on just sunlight, water, and chemical nutrients, and so is the smallest known to be potentially capable of space colonization. That ecosystem might include, say, a smart tool- and language-using ape or something analogous, but its descendants will have become a trillion different species and ecologies, far from a unified empire of any sort, by the time it has pervaded a galaxy, let alone a cluster. The Fermi Paradox then becomes not “why aren’t we already in the Galactic Empire” or even “why don’t our radio-telescopes pick up the Emperor’s Volksempfanger rants on hydrogen times pi”, but “why did Earth merely have a few bacteria immediately after it had stable bodies of liquid water, rather than getting a swift series of Surtsey-style seral stages moving in, culminating in some talky tool-user who belonged to no empire at all and is probably a hippie-dippie type integrated into the rest of that ecosystem, making Earth quickly turn, by 3.8 GYa or so, into not Coruscant or Corellia but Pandora, complete with Na’vi living in giant trees?” There are three options: Great Filter (I see as unlikely, as language is so fundamentally useful for evolved-evolvability that it’s as unlikely to be dis-invented as DNA, even in a severe extinction pulse); We-Happen-To-Be-First-In-This-Galaxy (which probably requires something to inhibit galactic habitability until < 30 MYa, but the Phanerozoic’s been a going concern for roughly 17 times that long); and It’s-Really-Hard-To-Send-More-Than-Bacterial-Spores-Between-Stars (but we’ve thought up so many ways, up to and including Shkadoving our whole solar system to within Apollo-tech range of another one and sending in the terraformers, if nothing smaller can make the trip without being wrecked on a space-reef or dying of radiation save hardy D. radiodurans spores or similar).
GerrardOfTitanServersays
Well that’s no way to de-escalate the too-tense political situation:
As long as one side is supporting a traitor to the constitution and republic, who tried to overthrow the election on Jan 6, there’s no hope of toning down the rhetoric. When Trump’s confederates in SCOTUS gave Trump immunity for trying to overthrow the election, that meant we couldn’t settle this in court in a criminal trial, which made violence possibly inevitable IMHO.
They’re going for broke, pulling out all of the stops, breaking every political norm, and you’re sitting here saying that we need to be more civil and try to find common ground with the traitors? No. I’ll be more civil and calm as soon as Biden wins the election or Trump is dead. Until then, we need to recognize the severity of what this is, and stop pretending that things are normal.
We need to energize our base even more to win the election.
lotharloosays
I don’t think Trump can lose now. This election is so fucking over.
KGsays
Paul K @377
Lots of folks who would vote for Biden, even with Harris as his VP, would not vote for Harris on her own. Me stating that is not to ‘give in to them’, it’s just saying what I know to be true.
Undoubtedly there would be some. But how do you think you know that the number who would vote for Biden/Harris but not Harris/Whoever is greater than the number who would vote for Harris/Whoever but not for Biden/Harris? Particularly if (as I fear) Biden’s incapacity becomes even more evident between now and the vote, andor it becomes more obvious that those around Biden have been lying to the public about his condition – as I think it is already clear they have? There is no safe course – and that’s even more true after the assassination attempt on Trump – the question is, which way are the risks greater?
I think you go too far when you say that he is ‘showing symptoms of narcissism, in his absurd claim that no-one else could successfully handle relations with foreign leaders?’ This seems so very both-sides to me. He has to lead. He has long-standing relationships with other leaders around the world in an extremely dangerous time. He’s doing the job right now.
It’s not clear how far he is doing the job now, and how far his staff are carrying him.
Rob Grigjanis@378
The question is: where lies the greater risk? Sticking with the incumbent and his obvious shortcomings, or ditching the incumbent a few months before the election, given the realities of American politics? Your confidence in what you perceive is the correct choice is somewhat perplexing to me. Is it based on how the world is, or how you think it should be?
It’s based on the fact that Biden’s “obvious shortcomings” have become a central issue in the campaign, will remain so as long as Biden is the presumed candidate, and as Tethys@376 says (inadvertently supporting my position):
But the debate = but her e-mails.
The Democrats have to change the campaign’s narrative to focus on Trump’s mix of incapacity and vileness or Biden’s record as president, as all those who rather plaintively trot out “But Trump…” or “But look at Biden’s achievements” here and elsewhere are trying to do. It’s obvious that however true what is then said is (and it generally is true), the strategy has failed. Presumably you and others believe it can still succeed. I don’t, particularly because on any occasion when Biden has to think, and put his thoughts into words, on his feet, a repetition of the debate fiasco is possible. That should have been an event for which he was well-prepared and well-rested – and all the excuses such as “his staff over-prepared him”, “He had a cold”, “He had jet lag” (12 days after returning to the US) are utterly unconvincing.
John Moralessays
Bekenstein Bound, gotta love your nerdishness.
(I approve!)
John Moralessays
KG, re: “It’s not clear how far he is doing the job now, and how far his staff are carrying him.”
Part of the job is being able to let your staff (in particular, the experts!) carry one.
(The extension to the concept of delegation, no?)
—
Also, what SC wrote @394.
KGsays
John Morales@408,
The president should be the one in charge, with a clear overview of who is doing what and how everything fits together. It’s far from obvious Biden is. (Yes, I know the same can be said of Trump. So. Fucking. What?)
John Moralessays
Yah, but you know, part of leadership is to know when to delegate; that does not mean they are not in charge.
Setting policy is one thing, telling functionaries that they should do is a thing, but after that, it’s up to the staff.
And, you know, Biden at least brought in as many competent people as he could.
(Why have experts at hand if one does not sometimes defer to their expertise?)
Let the Private Hudson impressions begin! Oh, I see they already have begun. Carry on then!
Paul Ksays
KG, at 406: We’re both just repeating ourselves now, so I see no point in responding.
The shooting at the Trump rally will no doubt be the media focus for the immediate future, with spin from every direction. We don’t really even know what happened yet, but already people are saying the election is now decided. Trump will now win. Things do seem to be going his way in the world of events, but hope is all I’ve got.
CompulsoryAccount7746, Sky Captain @402, yes that’s true. I had forgotten that. Marjorie Taylor Greene is consistent in that way … always encouraging violence.
Update on the shooter:
The FBI early Sunday morning identified 20-year-old Thomas Matthew Crooks of Bethel Park, Pennsylvania as the suspected gunman in the shooting attack on Donald Trump during a Saturday campaign rally in the state.
The young man does not not seem to have a social media account. He was a registered Republican. There is no information that identifies a motive … not at this time anyway. Crooks had also made a political donation through ActBlue, so his political affiliation is a muddled picture.
From Reuters:
State voter records show that Crooks was a registered Republican. The upcoming Nov. 5 election in which Trump is challenging President Joe Biden would have been the first time Crooks had been old enough to vote in a presidential race.
When Crooks was 17, he made a $15 donation to ActBlue, a political action committee that raises money for left-leaning and Democratic politicians, according to a 2021 Federal Election Commission filing. The donation was earmarked for the Progressive Turnout Project, a national group that rallies Democrats to vote.
[…] Crooks received a $500 “star award” from the National Math and Science Initiative, according to the Pittsburgh Tribune-Review newspaper. […]
Meanwhile, more and more right-wingers and Republican officials are claiming that President Biden ordered the attack. Other conspiracy theories claim it was a “false flag” event and that Trump’s team was behind the attack. It’s all frothing nonsense.
The Proud Boys are openly talking about “war.” Telegram channels are full of “civil war” talk.
Almost no one on the right is talking about gun control or about cooling things down. A few Republicans, like Rep. Dan Meuser (R-PA), are acting responsibly: “We all need to take responsibility to cool things down,”
Photo Appears to Capture Path of Bullet Used in Assassination Attempt
Michael Harrigan, a retired F.B.I. special agent, said the image captured by Doug Mills, a New York Times photographer, seems to show a bullet streaking past former President Donald J. Trump.
In documenting the Pennsylvania campaign rally on Saturday afternoon that turned into an attempt on a former president’s life, Doug Mills, a veteran New York Times photographer, appeared to capture the image of a bullet streaking past former President Donald J. Trump’s head.
That is the assessment of Michael Harrigan, a retired F.B.I. special agent who spent 22 years in the bureau.
“It absolutely could be showing the displacement of air due to a projectile,” Mr. Harrigan said in an interview on Saturday night after reviewing the high-resolution images that Mr. Mills filed from the rally. “The angle seems a bit low to have passed through his ear, but not impossible if the gunman fired multiple rounds.”
Simple ballistic math showed that capturing a bullet as Mr. Mills likely did in a photo was possible, Mr. Harrigan said.
Mr. Mills was using a Sony digital camera capable of capturing images at up to 30 frames per second. He took these photos with a shutter speed of 1/8,000th of a second — extremely fast by industry standards.
The other factor is the speed of the bullet from the firearm. On Saturday law enforcement authorities recovered an AR-15-type semiautomatic rifle at the scene from a deceased white man they believe was the gunman.
“If the gunman was firing an AR-15-style rifle, the .223-caliber or 5.56-millimeter bullets they use travel at roughly 3,200 feet per second when they leave the weapon’s muzzle,’’ Mr. Harrigan said. “And with a 1/8,000th of a second shutter speed, this would allow the bullet to travel approximately four-tenths of a foot while the shutter is open.” […]
Law enforcement officials told The Associated Press that bomb-making materials were found inside the vehicle of the man suspected in the Trump rally shooting. There were also bomb-making materials found at his home. The two officials were not authorized to speak publicly and spoke to the AP on condition of anonymity.
Investigators believe the firearm Thomas Matthew Crooks used had been purchased by Crooks’ father at least six months ago, two law enforcement officials said. Federal agents were still working to understand when and how his son obtained the gun and to gather additional information about Crooks, according to the officials, who were not authorized to publicly discuss details of the investigation and spoke to the AP on condition of anonymity.
[…] An AP analysis of more than a dozen videos and photos from the scene of the Trump rally, as well as satellite imagery of the site, shows the shooter was able to get astonishingly close to the stage where the former president was speaking.
A video posted to social media and geolocated by the AP shows the body of a person wearing gray camouflage lying motionless on the roof of a building at AGR International, a manufacturing plant just north of the Butler Farm Show grounds where Trump’s rally was held.
The roof where the person lay was less than 150 meters (164 yards) from where Trump was speaking, a distance from which a decent marksman could reasonably hit a human-sized target. For reference, 150 meters is a distance at which U.S. Army recruits must hit a scaled human-sized silhouette to qualify with the M-16 rifle. The AR-15, like the shooter at the Trump rally had, is the semi-automatic civilian version of the military M-16.
The range from which Crooks fired and his clothing led to early speculation that the shooter had military experience. However, all the branches of the military searched their records Sunday and said in response to a query by the AP that they had no records of him serving. […]
Image at the link shows Donald J. Trump’s re-post on Truth Social of a hog-tied, dead-looking Joe Biden lying in the back of a pickup truck.
I will also add that it was Trump who posted images of Hillary Clinton with a bullseye on her head and face, not a metaphorical bullseye meant to signal putting your attention on someone, but a real-looking gun sight image.
[…] Rep. Lauren Boebert (R-Colo.) quickly proclaimed that Biden “is responsible” for the shooting. She then went further than blaming the Ds for their anti-Trump rhetoric and retweeted a post from a MAGA activist who explicitly accused the Democrats of being behind the shooting: “The Dems realized it’s too late to switch out their candidate so they attempted to kill ours instead.” Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene voiced the same dastardly message: “Democrats wanted this to happen. They’ve wanted Trump gone for years and they’re prepared to do anything to make that happen.” Greene’s remark suggested the Democrats were somehow involved in this attempted assassination.
No shocker, the Kremlin chimed in and echoed the MAGA talking points, saying the Biden administration had created the “atmosphere around candidate Trump” that “provoked” the shooting.
These comments from the Republicans and MAGA extremists were reckless and absurd. For years, Trump has been pushing an ugly narrative: Joe Biden and the Democrats are in league with antifa, Black radicals, and communists to destroy the nation. Trump has said this zillions of times. In both the 2020 and 2024 campaigns, he has exclaimed that if Biden is elected “we may not have a country anymore.” He has repeatedly preached an apocalyptic sermon casting his political rivals as bent on annihilating the United States. He has depicted Biden and his allies as an existential threat to America.
And, of course, Trump has repeatedly encouraged violence—most infamously on January 6. But with this shooting his MAGA allies quickly spotted an opportunity for a rubber-glue propaganda campaign to characterize the Dems as the true threat to democracy and civility and concoct a massive deflection. One of Biden’s chief lines of attack on Trump is that he presents a danger to the republic. Now the Trump crew had a chance to turn the tables and they eagerly grabbed it. Ultimately, the MAGA crowd doesn’t have to win the argument that Biden endangers democracy. They merely need to use it to muddy the waters and undercut the Democrats’ main case against Trump.
There was other ridiculousness from the right. Dave Rubin, a conservative commentator, tweeted, “Assuming it turns out to be true that this sick fuck was an Antifa member, Antifa should be labeled a terrorist organization immediately. And that should’ve happened years ago, actually.” And Elon Musk, who after the shooting issued a full-throated endorsement of Trump, responded, “Absolutely.” When it turned out, the alleged shooter was a Republican, neither called for labelling the GOP a terrorist outfit (as liberal commentator Keith Olbermann noted.)
As did many, Marco Rubio brought God into this, asserting the Almighty had “protected” Trump. [Jesus. Marco Rubio is not the only one pushing the “God protected Trump” line. Apparently, God did not bother to protect the rally attendee who was shot, and then died.]
[…] The attempted assassination of Trump was a horrific event that claimed the life of one person and further traumatized American politics. It also triggered a flood of bullshit. The MAGA world rushed to take advantage of the shooting to remake Trump, who has essentially condoned political violence by vowing to pardon January 6 rioters, into a martyr of political violence and to portray Democrats as the perpetrators of such violence. It is a foul act but a true reflection of the black-is-white reality-denialism of Trump and and his MAGA following.
The cause of this tragic shooting has yet to be determined. But one thing is certain: Only one of the candidates in the 2024 contest incited a violent assault on the US Capitol to overturn an election and still threatens American democracy. What happened in Butler, Pennsylvania, does not change that.
Lynna… @ # 416: The young man does not not seem to have a social media account.
Which makes him an extreme outlier among 20-y.o. USAnians – probably more so among those who wear any YouTube-vended t-shirts. I surmise Crooks either participated online under a pseudonym, or shared a higher (if justified) level of operational paranoia than most US gun nuts. (So far, I think the ActBlue donation doesn’t mean much – most of us go through a lot of sociopolitical changes between 17 and 20.)
Tangentially, Republican pollster Frank Luntz opines that this will have a pretty small effect on November’s voting: he expects it will change few people’s alignments, but may well reinforce turnout among those already likely to vote Trump before 7/13. (Or so he says… as a hardcore GOPster, he may just intend to avert premature complacency within his bloc.)
Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin on Friday spoke by phone with his Russian counterpart for the second time in less than a month and one day after the NATO summit wrapped up in Washington with a focus on countering Moscow, according to the Pentagon.
During the call with Russian Minister of Defense Andrey Belousov, which was initiated by Moscow, Austin “emphasized the importance of maintaining lines of communication amid Russia’s ongoing war against Ukraine,” deputy press secretary Sabrina Singh told reporters.
Austin last spoke with Belousov on June 25, about 2.5 weeks earlier. Prior to that, the Pentagon chief had not directly spoken with his Russian counterpart since March 2023. Communications between Washington and Moscow have almost entirely broken down since Kremlin forces invaded Ukraine in February 2022.
But Russia appears to be roiled following the NATO Summit, during which alliance members issued a joint communique laying out new military and financial support for Ukraine and pledged their support for an “irreversible path” to future membership for the embattled country.
What’s more, NATO has backed Ukraine’s push for more latitude in its use of Western-supplied weapons to strike inside Russia, with the United Kingdom announcing it would allow Kyiv to hit targets over Russian borders with British-provided long-range missiles.
In addition, the U.S. and Germany on Wednesday announced the movement of more strategic weapons into Europe, including long-range fires such as undeveloped hypersonic missile systems, starting in 2026.
Moscow, which has long viewed the expansion of NATO as a national security threat, said it would retaliate against the U.S. missile deployment plans. [snipped Russian saber rattling]
Adding to tensions, reports emerged this week that U.S. and German intelligence had foiled a Russian assassination plot against the CEO of a German manufacturing company sending munitions to Ukraine.
NATO Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg has since said allies are increasing intelligence sharing to combat such Russian attacks. […]
Discord, an online chat platform popular with gamers, said it removed an account linked to gunman Thomas Matthew Crooks.
The account “was rarely utilized and we have found no evidence that it was used to plan this incident, promote violence, or discuss his political views,” said Clint Smith, Discord’s chief legal officer. Discord is working with law enforcement, Smith said. It wasn’t immediately clear if Crooks had other accounts.
SACRAMENTO, Calif. (CN) — Cannabis history is happening at the California State Fair and if you don’t know it’s there, you just might miss it.
Behind a monolithic building, past museum-like exhibits that wind the attendee down a timeline of the marijuana plant, sits the first area for on-site sales and consumption of cannabis at a state fair.
[…]
Embarc has partnered with Fair Play Ventures to create the newest version of the fair’s cannabis exhibit. A cannabis competition has taken place at the fair since 2022. This year, after having a chance to speak with growers and vendors, attendees can purchase cannabis products and use them in a consumption area.
[…]
A visitor to the cannabis exhibit can see how people’s attitudes toward cannabis have changed over time.
The exhibit is in a large building a short walk from the main entrance…
[…]
A timeline of cannabis through the decades is on the walls. Attendees will see a poster for “Reefer Madness,” an anti-marijuana movie from the 1930s now seen by many as a cult classic. Cannabis was used to impugn immigrants and the jazz culture. The War on Drugs wasn’t far behind.
“It’s all about education,” Leitz said. “It started with education.”
The story keeps evolving through the years. The voices of people who saw cannabis as medicine started to grow. The 1990s brought legal, medicinal marijuana to California.
And then, around a corner, the visitor can see the gold and silver medal winners in categories like sun grown, mixed light, cartridge, edibles and beverages.
[…]
Hafner’s office will have a compliance team on site during the fair to ensure regulations are obeyed — and there are plenty. The exhibition hall is for those 21 and older. There is no consumption site for smoking on Friday and Saturday. However, smoking is allowed on all other days, except July 19, when a beer fest is set for the fair.
The California State Fair at Cal Expo, 1600 Exposition Blvd., Sacramento, runs from July 12 – 28.
Try this if you want to chill out from the cacaphony of bad news
‘Boards of Canada’ – In A Beautiful Place Out In The Country
.https://youtube.com/watch?v=zVWcptE6UAI
Allies of the former president are embracing divine intervention — “the hand of God” — to help explain how Donald Trump survived a harrowing assassination attempt during his Saturday rally in Butler, Pennsylvania.
His daughter, Ivanka, said she believed her late mother was watching over Trump during the assassination attempt. Rep. Carlos Antonio Giménez (R-Fla.) told Fox News that Trump survived by “the grace of God,” while Rep. Cory Mills (R-Fla.) said “divine intervention” and the “protective hand” of God kept the former president alive.
And, House Speaker Mike Johnson stated it plainly: “GOD protected President Trump yesterday.”
Trump himself praised God for saving his life, writing early Sunday morning that it was “God alone who prevented the unthinkable from happening.” [That’s offensive.]
[…] His supporters’ — many top Republican officials — embrace of divine intervention further solidifies Trump’s position in the party as not just its leader, but as one who is viewed as chosen by, perhaps, a higher power to save the country.
[…] Less than 24 hours after the attack, many Republicans leaned in on their own religion — describing the incident as a “miracle.” Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar (R-Fla.) posted an illustration on X of an angel steering Trump away from the bullet. [Yeesh]
“Yesterday there were miracles, and I think the hand of God was there too,” House Majority Leader Steve Scalise told Fox & Friends Weekend on Sunday, relating the shooting to his personal experience of being shot while practicing with the Republican congressional baseball team in 2017. “You can just see one centimeter over and we’re having a very different conversation.”
Former Republican presidential hopeful Vivek Ramaswamy, a strong Trump supporter, also pointed out the fateful position of the bullet, calling it “Divine Providence.” Ramaswamy added it was “one hair’s width away from deathblow to a nation.”
And while Republicans pointed to God being a saving hand from the assassination attempt, they also blamed violent rhetoric as the inspiration for the attack.
“God saved our Republic last night. Extreme voices have stoked the flames in America,” moderate Republican Rep. Brandon Williams (R-N.Y.) posted on X. “This photo will go down in history as a moment of extreme moral clarity—Standing defiantly against extreme hate.” [eyebrows raised]
That image — showing Trump with a raised fist and blood trickling down his face — already instilled the former president’s view as a martyr from among his base of supporters. Republicans also did not shy away from drawing historical parallels. Johnson said God once protected George Washington from a gunfire ambush in 1755, which also took place in Pennsylvania in July.
“God spared Ronald Reagan for a reason. God spared Donald Trump for a reason. God doesn’t miss,” Rep. Mike Collins (R-Ga.) wrote on X.
[…] Peter Westmacott, U.K. ambassador to Washington between 2012 and 2016, told POLITICO that Trump supporters see the former president’s survival as “a manna from heaven,” which he said “may change the game a bit.”
“It is very good for the victimhood, the martyrdom line that Donald Trump has been using during his campaign,” Westmacott said. “I’m sorry to have to say that — it’s a cynical observation. But that is the thought that one has after the horror you feel […]
[…] The former president’s joint fundraising committee sent an email and text message Sunday afternoon. They linked to a WinRed page that shows a stylized image of Trump raising his fist after he was shot, along with the words: “I am Donald J. Trump and I will NEVER SURRENDER.”
“Unity. Peace. Make America Great Again,” the page reads before asking for a donation.
[…] Many campaigns scaled back or paused their digital fundraising operations amid calls to cool the political temperature in the aftermath of the apparent assassination attempt. The four major congressional party committees — the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, National Republican Congressional Committee, the Democratic Senate Campaign Committee and National Republican Senatorial Committee — all paused fundraising emails and text messages. So did Biden’s campaign.
But a senior GOP aide said that Republican campaigns and committees would resume fundraising, following Trump’s lead.
Rob Grigjanissays
Re Euro final. Great match, and Spain deserved winners, but well-played England.
CompulsoryAccount7746, Sky Captainsays
Follow the Crypto: A new project to track cryptocurrency industry spending
Did you know that the cryptocurrency industry has spent more on 2024 elections in the United States than the oil industry? More than the pharmaceutical industry?
In fact, the cryptocurrency industry has spent more […] than the entire energy sector and the entire health sector. Those industries, both worth hundreds of billions or trillions of dollars, are being outspent by an industry that, even by generous estimates, is worth less than $20 billion.
[…]
Most of the cryptocurrency industry’s money is going to massive super PACs […] focused only on installing crypto-friendly politicians and ousting those the industry views as a threat. Although these PACs have spent only a fraction of the more than $200 million in their combined war chests, they’re already finding some success. […] Katie Porter lost her primary race after Fairshake spent $10 million on attack ads against her. […] Furthermore, the wealthy executives and venture capitalists associated with the industry are spending heavily as individuals
[…]
I’ve spent the past two months working on a new website: Follow the Crypto.
Support expenditures are alotted 2:1 to Republicans over Democrats.
Opposition money is almost exclusively to oust Democrats.
You know, the ‘hand of god’ saved Hitler several times, as well as Ayatollah Khomeini. The dictator of South Korea was saved several times (except the last time).
It is almost as if gods have nothing to do with it.
Yes, TR lost the 1912 election, after being shot on the campaign trail – the story goes, the bullet lost most of its impulse barrelling through several folds of the 50-page speech in his breast pocket – but TR was not standing as the Republican nominee. His candidacy as a third-party candidate split the vote for the sitting President Taft, allowing the Democrat Wilson to take office. (TR managed to collect almost all of Taft’s likely electoral college votes, so Taft finished a distant third.)
birgerjohanssonsays
What’s Hidden Under the Ice of Antarctica?”
.https://youtube.com/watch?v=KOnB47PyZJw
There is a potential giant impact crater, and also a grander grand canyon (but was it carved out by liwuid water, or ice? We know the bottom of fjords are kilometers below the sea surface)
xohjoh2nsays
@441:
An Ancient science/military base containing a Zero Point Module, a control chair for a defensive missile system and a stasis chamber.
Rob Grigjanissays
xohjoh2n @442: Also an attractive Ancient who seems to be the only sentient being (apart from the Unas) who doesn’t speak English.
when Rolling Stone began asking questions about how MeidasTouch spends its money, things got weird. […] bizarre conspiracy theories and online vitriol. […] they responded a lot like, well, Donald Trump. […] its founders threatened to sue [the magazine, and even someone who spoke to Rolling Stone,] over a story that had not yet been published. A ceaseless barrage of misinformation followed, with MeidasTouch rallying its legions of social media followers to join the campaign.
Meidas attacked and insulted the reporter, calling him a “coward” for declining to go on its podcast […] “slime,” a “tabloid hack,” and one of Trump’s “puppets.”
The Meiselas brothers said they were the ones being harassed […] “We will not be threatened by these mob-style tactics and will continue to keep you up-to-date,” the group tweeted. The group told supporters that the reporting on MeidasTouch was an assault on them. “The MeidasMighty is a movement. You attack the movement, you attack us all. […]” […] that its corporate ownership was using Rolling Stone to push a pro-Trump agenda and attack Trump’s critics.
[…]
Meidas told its followers that to help defend against these attacks, it needed their support in campaign dollars.
Also, English football enthusiasts, you have my sympathy.
Bekenstein Boundsays
Not sure what screwed up the formatting on yesterday’s post.
His supporters’ — many top Republican officials — embrace of divine intervention further solidifies Trump’s position in the party as not just its leader, but as one who is viewed as chosen by, perhaps, a higher power to save the country.
One might as easily hypothesize that he was chosen by a lower power, especially after noticing that he has the same initials as “Damien Thorn” …
Bekenstein Boundsays
How evolution proceeded from the origin of life to early communities at the time of LUCA remains an open question, but the inferred age of LUCA (~4.2 Ga) compared with the origin of the Earth and Moon suggests that the process required a surprisingly short interval of geologic time.
This has Fermi implications. Specifically, one of the following statements must be true:
a) Abiogenesis happens very easily and geologically quickly — within perhaps 100Ma of having a suitable environment with sunlight and liquid water; or
b) The ancestors of Earth’s life predate Earth … and likely got here, as I suggested previously, as a whole ecosystem, if a simple one with maybe only a few bacteria-level organisms in it.
How would such an ecosystem travel unaided? If b) is true it would have to exist “in the wild” in some much smaller, more mobile environment and be able to “island-hop” there. The obvious supposition is comet-like bodies. The source of H2 there obviously couldn’t be serpentinization or volcanism, but photodissociation of H2O, NH4, CH4, and other H-containing small molecules during perihelion passages could certainly do the job. Outgassing would allow spores to escape; or whole fragments of bacterial mats might be ejected that had adapted to be able to vacuum-desiccate and then revive subsequently. The soft-landing of such spores or fragments could seed terrestrial planets, as well as easily spreading this stuff from comet to comet, and the constant jostling of stellar Oort clouds and capture of loosely-bound comets would mix this stuff throughout the galaxy on sufficient timescales (a few GY). There would have been a whole galaxy of comets serving as “warm little ponds” (if only intermittently so) wherein abiogenesis could take place, vastly outsizing one single planet’s hydrosphere, and further, it would be an environment available beginning somewhat earlier in cosmic history (less metallicity is needed to get comets than to get large rocky bodies with substantial nickel-iron cores, I’d warrant).
This scenario (which is not a “saucer men from Mars did it” directed-panspermia scenario!) seems significantly more plausible than “abiogenesis happens easily in a Pacific-sized volume of water in only a couple of hundred million years”, given the known rate of reactions that could “try” new combinations per unit volume and the length of the sequence of the shortest plausible autocatalyzing RNAs, (Especially noting that trying new combinations is going to be drawing with replacement — until heritable information is a thing there’s no way to “mark” a combination as “already tried”.)
In that case, the probable development of life started in comets, with something like such an RNA; gained sophistication to include proteins (making a proto-ribosome plus plus) and then cell membranes; at some point gained DNA (as a more radiation-tolerant way to compile a library of useful RNAs, and to more easily up and downregulate different ones); and at some point you have a bacterium that is capable of forming a radiation-resistant spore that can spread to more comets. Sometime after that, the galaxy gets to a state where any terrestrial planet able to support liquid water not only gets supplied with that, but with bacteria coming along for the ride.
Any Great Filter “hard steps” in this case have to be later developments — perhaps creating eukaryote-level complexity (or finding a way to have that and have sex as well, look how complex crossover, meiosis, and fusion are even compared to mitosis, as compared to mere plasmid-swapping) is a hard step, and language/cognition above the crow/baboon/elephant level is a hard step. That would lead to planets with bacteria being dirt-common (we’ll soon see, free oxygen everywhere in the galaxy means I’m right) but ones with jungles being rare and ones with talky tool-users maybe being handful-a-galaxy or less common. The other solid Fermi option here is “rare Earth”, where the rare features are probably the combination of a strong magnetic field and functioning plate tectonics, both needed for long-term viability against key life-enabling elements being lost to space (magnetic field) or locked up underground for good (plate tectonics). No magnetic field = Mars. No plate tectonics = Venus. Earth is, critically, busily forming an inner core, and may not have had a very strong magnetic field until shortly before the Phanerozoic Eon started. That might not be a coincidence. The atmosphere may have been dwindling (but counteracting a slowly brightening sun) until then, and the surface too drenched in radiation to get complex plant and animal life in shallow (= light’s available) habitats. Afterward, the atmosphere stabilized (and oxygen could skyrocket) while multicellular life began to proliferate.
Another possible rare-Earth feature is having a Goldilocks amount of water. A bit more, percentage-wise, and there’s no dry land: you might get octopodes, but no potential spaceship-makers or radio-astronomers to go off a-signaling and a-colonizing. A bit less and the land is nearly all at Gobi Desert levels of desiccation (and primary productivity), leaving precious little habitat for intelligent tool-users to develop on land or in the littoral. (Even as it stands, Earth goes through phases of that level of shore/land-habitat-poverty every time there’s a supercontinent. The last time, it suffered the catastrophic Permian extinction.)
We don’t know how common it is to get a rocky planet with a decent magnetic field (Venus’s is mediocre and Mars’s is piss-poor), or plate tectonics, or a decent percentage (teens to 20s) of land on an otherwise ocean world, let alone all three. It could be that all-three is rarer than hen’s teeth and there isn’t another Earth in the entire Local Group. If so, Earth’s habitability is very precious and must not be squandered … and that should inform your politics.
CompulsoryAccount7746, Sky Captainsays
@birgerjohansson #429, 431:
Follow-up. The Philadelphia Inquirer gathered hometown testimonies about the assassin, which turned out to be either contradictory or POV-limited.
A loner bullied daily wearing camo. Not bullied and never in suspect attire. Kind, nerdy, reserved, not a creepy loner. Apolitically interested in government. Staunchly conservative.
it isn’t at all unthinkable. The presumptive Republican presidential nominee has repeatedly contended that […] his criminal mugshot deeply resonated with Black voters […] Trump looked into the crowd and raised his fist. […] the “Black Power Salute” remains one of the most iconic images in global sports history. Trump could claim that his raised fist was an homage
For hard numbers on the “discover an autocatalyzing RNA problem”, note: there are about 4×10^40 carbon atoms in Earth’s atmosphere now; add the hydrosphere, and allow that these may have been thicker on the early earth, and call it 10^41 that were “bioavailable” very early on. Regarding self-catalyzing RNAs, Wikipedia sez:
The ability to self-replicate or synthesize other RNA molecules; relatively short RNA molecules that can synthesize others have been artificially produced in the lab. The shortest was 165 bases long, though it has been estimated that only part of the molecule was crucial for this function.
Generously suppose you can have a (somewhat low quality, approximate, but sufficient for heredity to take over for hill-climbing to a more effective self-replicator from there) self-replicator at 100 bases. There are roughly 10 carbon atoms per base in RNA, so call it 1000 carbon atoms needed to make one attempt at a self-replicator. If all of the hydro/atmosphere carbon participated continually in such attempts that would allow the ancient Earth to make 10^38 simultaneous attempts.
The number of possible 100-base RNA sequences is 4^100, which with a bit of juggling of logarithms comes to about 1.6×10^60, so 1.6×10^22 iterations of making 10^38 parallel simultaneous attempts would be required to systematically try all combinations. Two factors pull this in opposite directions: one, there might be more than one 100-base RNA capable of autocatalyzing, but on the other hand two, combinations will be tried randomly (drawn with replacement) rather than systematically (drawn without replacement). The latter probably greatly outweighs the former, making 1.6×10^22 iterations a weak lower bound, because it turns a linear search into, ultimately, a near-exponential one.
Degradation of RNA involves an activation energy of about 17.9 kcal/mol, and this might be a decent estimate for the energy needed to do (or heat released from) changing one (set of) RNA molecules into a different set, with different sequences. The number of moles of RNA here is simply 1/10 the number of moles of carbon in that RNA since there are 10 carbon atoms per RNA molecule, so the above equals 179kcal/mol carbon. Dividing the 10^41 atoms of carbon by Avogadro’s number gives a total molar carbon content of this system of about 1.6×10^17, and a total energy needed (and heat dissipated) per iteration, across the entire planet, of 3×10^19kcal, or about 1.26×10^23 joules.
Earth’s energy budget now is around 240w/m^2, nearly all of that solar — conservatively, let’s ignore the faint early sun assuming that early higher heat flux from the interior compensates (it probably doesn’t fully). Multiply this figure by an area of 5×10^14 m^2 and one gets 1.2×10^17w, very close to one one-millionth of the energy per iteration calculated above. The implication is that one iteration (and 10^38 combinations) could be tried every million seconds, maximum. 1.6×10^22 iterations would then require 1.6×10^28 seconds,
That’s 5×10^20 years. As compared to Earth’s present age of 4.5×10^9 years.
It seems unlikely that Earth chances upon a replicator in only the first couple of hundred million years, doesn’t it?
Of course, the search isn’t just taking place on Earth. Every planet in the observable universe with similar surface conditions, in every epoch, would be participating. By the weak anthropic principle, if any of them eventually succeeded, we’d find ourselves there.
But in this case, abiogenesis is absolutely a “hard step” in Great Filter terms. It is very unlikely for any planet to succeed during its own lifetime. There is a long and involved mathematical argument that on a planet where success does occur, the achievement of “hard steps” would occur at points between the onset and end of planetary habitability that were distributed such that the intervals here — habitability start to first hard step, first hard step to second, etc., last hard step to end of habitability — would have lengths that were uniformly distributed random variables, from the “anthropic viewpoint” (observers on worlds where all hard steps were achieved). If the only “hard step” is abiogenesis (so, tool-using talkers easily ensue wherever abiogenesis occurs — unlikely given the long interval between “first bacteria” and “first talkers” here of around 4Ga), we would expect to observe it somewhere in the middle third or so of the planet’s habitability lifespan, estimated at from 4Ga ago to about 1Ga in the future, so not until around 1Ga into the Archaean. That is not what we observe. If there are three hard steps (abio, eukaryotes, language) we’d still expect longer than a geological eyeblink between “first liquid water” and “first bacteria”. Bacteria at 3.5Ga, eukaryotes around 1.5-2Ga, and talkers now with 1Ga habitability left afterward would be fairly plausible; bacteria at 4.2Ga, not so likely.
The conclusion here is that a) in the previous comment is nearly certainly false, and either b) is true or there are five or more “hard steps” (perhaps photosynthesis, between bacteria and eukaryotes, on the one hand, and multicellular animals, between eukaryotes and us, on the other).
So, the two new alternatives seem to be
a) Five hard steps, and life extremely rare in any one galaxy — one in 10^11 earthlike planets or so, or
b) Cometary undirected panspermia, which allows a f#$!ton more simultaneous tries galaxy-wide than a measly 10^38.
This reinforces what I said above: if exoatmosphere data starts coming in and the result is “free oxygen everywhere we look” then b) is pretty much guaranteed.
Further, the number “5×10^20 years” is actually extremely conservative since it assumes a newborn planet’s energy and volatile-carbon budgets being both very efficiently used on constant attempts to create a self-replicator, which is not remotely realistic. Making that number larger doesn’t actually change the number of hard steps in a), but does further reduce the frequency of planets with life, let alone ones with talky tool-twiddlers. Perhaps to where having one of the latter in even a whole Hubble volume in a mere 1.4×10^10 years starts to get unlikely.
Comets are about 7.5% carbon, and the Oort cloud contains about 1.9 Earth masses of total stuff, so about 0.05 Earth masses of carbon are in the Oort cloud, and likely not much more in all of the solar system’s “volatile carbon budget”. That’s around 3×10^26g, near to 2×10^50 carbon atoms, or 2×10^9 times as much as in Earth’s air and water. Multiply by 100 billion or so stars in the Milky Way to get 2×10^20. The galaxy as a whole can maybe discover a replicator in 2.5 years (not gigayears, or even megayears — years) given the calculations above … except that the average energy budget per carbon atom is going to be significantly lower than on Earth. Comets spend small amounts of time getting more w/m^2 than Earth and very long stretches of time (especially if unperturbed-as-yet) getting basically none. Even if it averages to a billionth as much, though, that suggests a galaxy the size of ours is likely to originate a replicator in 2-3 gigayears after it has enough metallicity to produce comets in anything close to their present abundance. This still presumes efficient search (which would make the timescale way longer again) and also that the mass of carbon around the sun is close to the per-star average (which could be wildly wrong, in either direction).
However, even if the inefficient search makes it take much longer for a galaxy to produce a replicator, we now have one “hard step” that only has to happen once per galaxy and maybe a few more on any one planet in that galaxy to get a sapient spacefarer emerging there. Star formation rates peak early (before much metallicity) and then decay exponentially with a roughly 3Gy half-life, so the single galaxy-wide “hard step” would be expected to occur most likely when between 1/3 and 2/3 or all of the eventual stars had formed there that would form after the metallicity threshold was reached for substantial icy bodies. Supposing this was reached at cosmic age 3Gy, then the replicator would appear in “lucky” galaxies perhaps in the range of 5-8Gy, corresponding to a time range in the past of 9-6 Gya. We would find ourselves in such a galaxy, with abundant (microbial) life in cometary bodies and on habitable terrestrial planets (and likely in roofed-ocean worlds too), but many of the galaxies seen in our scopes would be barren. Nearby ones would likely have life after some time, if ejected stars (or sideswipes of whole galaxies) occasionally carry a retinue of infected comets to a new galaxy. Clusters like the Local Group eventually get colonized without the need for sapient intervention, but not larger scale regions.
Intelligent life might be rare cosmically, and rare or abundant locally depending. (But one sign it’s likely to be rare locally is just how many Earth life forms are social, tool using, and primate-smart but don’t have language or a civilization — it looks like there is a “glass ceiling” that humans smashed around 200Ka that likely represents a “hard step”, and coming perhaps 4/5 of the way through Earth’s habitability this likely means there is one other earlier “hard step” that happened in the first third of the Earth’s past, likely eukaryogenesis. That in turn means there’s likely only one or a handful of planets with independently-evolved sapients in each galaxy that ever does develop sapients, and if we blow our chance we can’t count on the corvids or proboscids or some such group succeeding us, even if they survive the mess we make. Again, let this inform your politics.)
birgerjohanssonsays
Sky Captain @ 450
Yes. Another example of how bloody hard it is to find truth… now I will be content to let the feds handle the thankless task of untangling everything.
Bekendtein Bound @ 449
Goddammit you are channeling my thoughts!
BTW I recently communicated with John S Lewis professor emeritus from Arizona, he pretty much ruled out ever terraforming Venus.
As far as Mars is concerned, without plate tectonics it would be unlikely to find rich ore deposits of any useful elements- most mines on Earth depend on ore bodies formed during the continent-building phase of the neoproterozoic.
An update.
The cop who interrupted the shooter was helped up by a colleague so he could peek over the edge of the roof.
In this situation the gunman pointed the rifle at him and he let go and fell down.
However as the gunman had been spotted he had to aim and fire under extreme stress.
As the bullet came very close to Trump it is likely the officer saved his life.
I don’t agree with all Owen Jones says here but he does makes some good points.
As noted elsewhere, the election is still a way off, a lot could change quickly and if the Democratic party does unite and work , well , it ai’t over yet. Oh and quietly Biden and his administration is doing a reasonable, competent job.
KGsays
It seems unlikely that Earth chances upon a replicator in only the first couple of hundred million years, doesn’t it? Bekenstein Bound@453
You seem to be asuming that there are no steps between “definitely nothing having any lifelike properties” and a single RNA sequence capable of self-replication, with the latter then being “life”. I don’t think either of these implicit assumptions is likely to be true. I wonder if you’ve read Nick Lane’s The Vital Question? (He’s one of the authors of the paper linked to by birgerjohansson, and takes a “metabolism first” view of abiogenesis, in which long-sequence molecules which get accurately copied would be a relatively late stage.)
@454. birgerjohansson : “BTW I recently communicated with John S Lewis professor emeritus from Arizona, he pretty much ruled out ever terraforming Venus..”
Remember Clarke’s First Law?
When a distinguished but elderly scientist states that something is possible, he is almost certainly right. When he states that something is impossible, he is very probably wrong.
I won’t say it will definitely happen some day or is going to be a realistic near term project (much as the, okay, not so near future SF Venus novels trilogy of Pamela Sargeant appeals) but I wouldn’t rule it out completely..
I would also point out that 100 million years is a very long time, and that we’re looking at molecular evolution on a planet-wide scale. I doubt that human guesses at probability are particularly reliable.
StevoRsays
The things British Things* you stumble on channel surfing when you can’t sleep late at night – a classic froma comical but also factual kids TV show.
After the assassination attempt targeting Donald Trump, many of the former president’s Republican allies didn’t just blame Democrats for the gunman, they also pointed to a very specific Democratic line of criticism. As a HuffPost report summarized:
High-profile Republicans have immediately blamed Donald Trump’s near-assassination on Democrats calling him a threat to democracy. House Speaker Mike Johnson (R-La.) said on Sunday that “when the message goes out constantly that the election of Donald Trump would be a threat to democracy and that the republic would end, it heats up the environment.”
Johnson had plenty of company. House Majority Leader Steve Scalise added that Democrats have been “fueling ludicrous hysteria that Donald Trump winning re-election would be the end of democracy in America.” Sen. Tim Scott of South Carolina claimed that the shooting in Pennsylvania was “aided and abetted by the radical Left and corporate media incessantly calling Trump a threat to democracy, fascists, or worse.”
Around the same time, former Attorney General William Barr said on Fox News, “The Democrats have to stop their grossly irresponsible talk about Trump being an existential threat to democracy. He is not.”
There’s no shortage of relevant angles to this, but as the public discussion continues to unfold, let’s keep a few relevant details in mind.
First, at least at this point in the investigation, there is no evidence to suggest the nature of the Democratic criticisms led to the attempt on the former president’s life.
Second, if Republicans are convinced that this specific line of argument is beyond the pale, they might want to take it up with their presumptive presidential nominee. It was literally last week when Trump described the Biden administration as a “fascist government,” as his campaign operation issued a fundraising appeal asserting as fact that President Joe Biden is “a threat to democracy.”
Two weeks earlier, the former president wrote on his social media platform, “JOE BIDEN IS A THREAT TO DEMOCRACY, AND A THREAT TO THE SURVIVAL AND EXISTENCE OF OUR COUNTRY ITSELF!!!” The hysterical missive dovetailed with months of rhetoric in which Trump has told voters the United States would likely cease to exist if he loses.
As best as I can tell, not one of the Republicans demanding that Democrats abandon their talking point took issue with Trump’s rhetoric.
Third, at least some of the GOP voices insisting that Democrats stop characterizing Trump as a threat to democracy appear to know better. In Bill Barr’s case, for example, the former president pressed him to prosecute his political rivals before Election Day 2020, then pressed him to help overturn the results after Election Day 2020. The Republican lawyer also recently reflected on instances in which Trump, during his White House tenure, would sometimes “lose his temper” and talk about killing people who upset him.
It is, in other words, odd to hear Barr claim that it’s wrong to see Trump as an opponent of democracy.
Fourth, the former president’s allies are effectively demanding that their rivals stop repeating a claim that remains rooted in fact. As we’ve discussed, this is a candidate who has repeatedly raised the prospect of creating a temporary American “dictatorship,” and who has talked about “terminating” parts of the U.S. Constitution that stand in the way of his ambitions.
He’s running on a platform of rejecting election results he doesn’t like, militarized camps, pardons for politically aligned criminals, friendships with foreign authoritarians he holds in high regard, and mass firings for federal bureaucrats who are deemed insufficiently loyal to Trump’s ideological ambitions.
All of which leads us to the apparent motivation for the GOP pushback: Republicans want to convince Democrats to stop repeating a politically potent truth ahead of the 2024 elections. That seems unlikely to happen.
Judge Aileen Cannon was already credibly accused of being biased in Donald Trump’s favor. Then she dismissed the classified documents case altogether.
When Republican-appointed Supreme Court justices sided with Donald Trump in the immunity case two weeks ago, Justice Clarence Thomas took it upon himself to add a highly provocative concurring opinion. Special counsel Jack Smith’s office, the far-right jurist argued, is of dubious constitutional legitimacy.
As NBC News reported late last week, the appointed prosecutor urged U.S. District Judge Aileen Cannon not to take Thomas’ concurring opinion into consideration in the classified documents case. As my MSNBC colleague Jordan Rubin explained this morning, the controversial Trump-appointed Florida judge did it anyway.
U.S. District Judge Aileen Cannon dismissed the classified documents case against Donald Trump on Monday. The Trump appointee wrote that special counsel Jack Smith’s “appointment violates the Appointments Clause of the United States Constitution.”
As Trump confronts dozens of felony counts across multiple jurisdictions, the classified documents case stands out for a reason: It’s the toughest to defend. Last summer, even a Senate Republican was willing to concede the case looked like a “slam dunk” for prosecutors.
And yet, as things currently stand, the case is no more, despite the mountain of incriminating evidence.
It’s important to emphasize that Cannon didn’t dismiss the case on the merits; this was done on procedural grounds. In other words, the judge didn’t say Trump is innocent; she said Smith’s appointment as special counsel was unconstitutional and therefore the prosecutor didn’t have the authority to file the case in the first place.
[…] As a New York Times report explained, “The ruling by Judge Cannon … flew in the face of previous court decisions reaching back to the Watergate era that upheld the legality of the ways in which independent prosecutors have been named.”
Noah Rosenblum, a professor at the NYU School of Law, said he was skeptical of the idea that Cannon was undermining the rule of law to protect Trump, but his perspective has now changed. “This is bonkers,” Rosenblum wrote online in response to the judge’s dismissal of the case. “She is just making things up.”
[…] A recent New York Times report noted, “Judge Cannon has exhibited hostility to prosecutors, handled pretrial motions slowly and indefinitely postponed the trial, declining to set a date for it to begin even though both the prosecution and the defense had told her they could be ready to start this summer.”
She’s also, incidentally, repeatedly given observers reason to question her competence, lent credence to questions that legal experts consider absurd, refused to assign pretrial motions to a more experienced magistrate judge for reasons that are difficult to defend, and justified procedural delays by pointing to logjams that she created.
I’m reminded anew of an infamous quote attributed to Roy Cohn: “Don’t tell me what the law is, tell me who the judge is.”
The special counsel’s office seems likely to appeal to the 11th Circuit, which has already reversed Cannon before in this case. University of Michigan law professor Barbara McQuade, a former U.S. Attorney and an MSNBC legal analyst, wrote online this morning that Cannon’s latest move might actually be good for Smith, since the prosecutor can use these developments to ask the appeals court for the case “to be reassigned to a new judge.”
Watch this space.
The case could also be refiled by another prosecutor instead of Special Counsel Jack Smith. Still, this adds up to another significant delay in prosecuting Trump for obvious crimes.
Not surprisingly, those hoping to bring firearms into the Republican National Convention will be disappointed: Guns are strictly prohibited inside the venue. But what about the area outside the arena in Milwaukee?
The inner perimeter will have similar gun restrictions, though as my MSNBC colleague Clarissa-Jan Lim noted last month, “Open and concealed carry will be permitted up to within a few blocks of the event space, per Wisconsin state law.”
In the wake of the attempted assassination targeting Donald Trump on Saturday, Wisconsin’s governor believes it’s time to change that policy. The Milwaukee Journal Sentinel reported:
Wisconsin Gov. Tony Evers has requested that the decision to allow firearms within the soft perimeter of the Republican National Convention in Milwaukee be reconsidered “immediately” following the attempted assassination of former President Donald Trump, a source with knowledge of the discussion shared with the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel. The request was made to the U.S. Secret Service, which would relay the governor’s concerns to the Republican National Committee, the source said.
In theory, the Democratic governor’s request seems entirely sensible. In practice, it’s unlikely to go anywhere.
As the local report added, “The power to ban firearms in the security ‘footprint’ outside the credentials-only ‘hard’ security zone seems to rest with the state, not the Secret Service, the RNC or the City of Milwaukee.”
A New York Times report noted that some local officials tried to change the policy months ago — long before a gunman targeted the former president — pushing a city ordinance that would’ve banned firearms near the convention site. It failed.
As the Times’ article noted, “The city is prevented from regulating firearms beyond state law, officials said.”
[…] The Journal Sentinel reported in May, “Those looking to cross into the area immediately outside the Republican National Convention perimeter will likely have to leave behind non-plastic containers, tennis balls and other typically innocuous items. What won’t be prohibited: Guns.”
Alderman Robert Bauman told the newspaper at the time, “I find that totally absurd. Literally, you can’t have tennis balls, but you can have an AR-15 assault rifle.”
More commentary along the same lines. This is from David Frum, writing for The Atlantic:
The Gunman and the Would-Be Dictator
Violence stalks the president who has rejoiced in violence to others.
Fascism feasts on violence. In the years since his own supporters attacked the Capitol to overturn the 2020 election—many of them threatening harm to Speaker Pelosi and Vice President Mike Pence—Trump has championed the invaders, would-be kidnappers, and would-be murderers as martyrs and hostages. He has vowed to pardon them if returned to office. His own staffers have testified to the glee with which Trump watched the mayhem on television.
Now the bloodshed that Trump has done so much to incite against others has touched him as well. The attempted murder of Trump—and the killing of a person nearby—is a horror and an outrage. More will be learned about the man who committed this appalling act, and who was killed by the Secret Service. Whatever his mania or motive, the only important thing about him is the law-enforcement mistake that allowed him to bring a deadly weapon so close to a campaign event and gain a sight line of the presidential candidate. His name should otherwise be erased and forgotten.
JMsays
@466 Lynna, OM: “The case could also be refiled by another prosecutor instead of Special Counsel Jack Smith. Still, this adds up to another significant delay in prosecuting Trump for obvious crimes.”
The Biden administration is also considering the possibility of some shuffling of how the special counsel is financed to get around the issue with a legal tap dance. You point out the real issue though, no matter what the case is frozen until after the election. Nothing else need happen until the appeals are resolved and it’s unlikely to be heard before the election let alone resolved. There is a good chance that was Cannon’s primary motivation for making a ruling she knew would likely be reversed.
StevoRsays
In a year’s time from today (Aussie time -July 15th – except its now ttechnically the 16th here but anyhow..) it will be a decade since the New Horizons spaceprobe flew past Pluto giving us our first look at this ice dwarf type planet.
WARNING Warning: jerky, almost strobe-y effect with individual NH photos flashing by flickering-ly here. helps to press the pause button to slow it & get actual orignal fly-by pics.
On Sunday evening, President Joe Biden addressed the nation from the Oval Office, condemning Saturday’s assassination attempt on Donald Trump. Biden expressed his condolences to the family of former fire chief Corey Comperatore, who was fatally shot at the rally. He extended his good wishes to Trump. He called on Americans to settle their differences at the ballot box and in the field of debate, rather than turn politics into “a literal battlefield or, god forbid, a killing field.”
But the most important part of Biden’s speech was when he contextualized what happened at Trump’s rally in Butler, Pennsylvania. This was not an isolated incident of political violence, but part of a continued surge.
Violence has never been the answer, whether it’s with members of Congress in both parties being targeted in the shot, or a violent mob attacking the Capitol on Jan. 6, or a brutal attack on the spouse of former Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi, or information and intimidation on election officials, or the kidnapping plot against a sitting governor, or an attempted assassination on Donald Trump. There is no place in America for this kind of violence or for any violence ever. Period. No exceptions. We can’t allow this violence to be normalized.
[video at the link]
Biden’s assessment is 100% right. What happened at Trump’s rally is another in a long line of incidents. Those incidents didn’t start with Trump, but since his rise in politics, in 2015, violent political speech has certainly increased. As PBS NewsHour reported in 2021, violence is “becoming a dangerous feature of Republican campaign and party messaging.” [video at the link]
That’s not to say Democrats are completely innocent of calls for violent action. But there’s a difference between someone on Twitter calling for violence and someone in a position of power making that same call—especially if that person is in the White House.
Right now, Republicans are seeking to leverage this past weekend’s assassination attempt to their political advantage, painting Democrats as the primary—or even sole—perpetrators of violence. However, a study of incidents between 2021 and 2023 conducted by Reuters shows exactly what might be expected: “In those years, fatal political violence more often emanated from the American right than from the left.”
Reuters’ numbers confirm exactly what Biden talked about in his speech. The United States is currently experiencing the “most sustained spate of political violence since a decade of upheaval that began in the late 1960s,” according to Reuters. That violence has come from many different parts of the political spectrum, including a number of property crimes associated with protests originating on the left. But when it comes to violence against people, most were conducted “by suspects acting in service of right-wing political beliefs and ideology.”
And it’s not hard to understand why. [X post showing Republican Christmas cards that feature entire families brandishing guns, even the little children have guns.]
Political violence is unacceptable. But so is violence against kids in school. So is the violence of domestic abuse. So is violence against anyone, anywhere, on any occasion.
The attempted shooting of Trump isn’t garnering attention because it was an exceptional event in an America overrun with guns and people who think all problems can be solved by a bullet. It’s getting attention because it’s Trump. [X post showing Republican House members wearing AR-15 pins on their lapels.]
If politicians want to stop people from climbing onto rooftops and firing rifles into a crowd, toning down the political rhetoric is a great idea. And doing so in the Christmas cards, pins, campaign ads, and daily rhetoric that celebrates the use of deadly weapons to settle disputes is a good place to start. [video of Marjorie Taylor Greene firing a really big gun]
But an even better idea is to stop making battlefield weapons acceptable in the public square, streets, stores, and homes of Americans. Stop making America itself the “battlefield” or “killing field” that Biden warned against.
What happened to Trump is, unfortunately, not unusual in America, no matter how much media attention it’s getting.
[…] …“Upon careful study of the foundational challenges raised in the Motion, the Court is convinced that Special Counsel’s Smith’s prosecution of this action breaches two structural cornerstones of our constitutional scheme—the role of Congress in the appointment of constitutional officers, and the role of Congress in authorizing expenditures by law,” Cannon concluded in her 93-page order.
The legal theory that Smith was illegally appointed and funded has generally been considered far-fetched. Trump’s legal team didn’t adopt the argument in court until conservative legal groups pushed it.
Text quoted is from The Washington Post.
More from Talking Points Memo:
Cannon’s determination that Smith was unlawfully appointed effectively endorses a legal theory tested multiple times in previous cases and dismissed, rooted in the idea that the Attorney General cannot appoint and fund a special counsel absent authorization from Congress. That was seen as an absurd notion, and one contravened by decades of special counsel investigations under the current statute.
But it received a boost both after Cannon held a multi-day hearing on the question and after Supreme Court Justice Clarence Thomas supported the idea in a concurrence in the Trump immunity ruling. Cannon cited that concurrence throughout her order.
Chuck Schumer:
“This breathtakingly misguided ruling flies in the face of long-accepted practice and repetitive judicial precedence. It is wrong on the law and must be appealed immediately. This is further evidence that Judge Cannon cannot handle this case impartially and must be reassigned.”
Adam Klasfeld:
In Trump’s immunity ruling, Justice Thomas all but invited Judge Cannon to find Jack Smith was unconstitutionally appointed as special counsel.
Cannon noticed.
Her ruling doing so cites that concurrence at least three times.
Chris Hayes:
Just to be crystal clear: SCOTUS has upheld special counsels repeatedly. Cannon is a district court judge, her job is to apply controlling precedent. She’s doing this because she thinks the MAGA court is on the same page as her and Trump’s lawyers and will go along.
Donald Trump:
As we move forward in Uniting our Nation after the horrific events on Saturday, this dismissal of the Lawless Indictment in Florida should be just the first step, followed quickly by the dismissal of ALL the Witch Hunts —The January 6th Hoax in Washington, D.C., the Manhattan D.A.’s Zombie Case, the New York A.G. Scam, Fake claims about a woman I never met (a decades old photo in a line with her then husband does not count), and the Georgia “Perfect” Phone Call charges.
I snipped the rest of Trump’s blather. Kind of funny how his loooong list of court cases undercuts his claims.
[…] Sen. Raphael Warnock did what he does just about every Sunday: The Democratic senator delivered a sermon from the pulpit of the Ebenezer Baptist Church in Atlanta. Not surprisingly, Warnock condemned the shooting, prayed for the former president’s wellbeing, and said how thankful he was that Trump wasn’t seriously hurt.
But the Georgian also took some time to widen the aperture.
As a Washington Post report noted, Warnock said the man who tried to kill Trump “was no patriot — and neither were the people who attacked our Capitol and assaulted police officers and tried to stop the nonviolent transfer of political power on Jan. 6.” The senator added, “They are cut from the same cloth. We must cry foul, we must call out the hypocrisy of anybody who would try to condone one and condemn the other.”
[…] Biden and Warnock took care to connect the dots. The point isn’t to downplay the indefensible attempt on Trump’s life; the point is argue that political violence is always wrong, even when Trump suggests otherwise.
It’s a relevant detail as the public conversation continues.
Aileen Cannon Dismisses Trump Docs Case For Lack Of Wanting To Try Trump Docs Case
Wildly incompetent Judge Aileen Cannon, who’s been acting like a member of Donald J. Trump’s defense team for over a year, has dismissed the US vs. Classified Documents In The Shitter case, claiming that Jack Smith was illegally appointed.
[…] In a 93-page batshit opinion, Cannon uses tortured logic to claim the attorney general has no power to appoint a special counsel, and that funding the office isn’t legal. She accuses the special counsel’s office of “linguistic distortion,” then proceeds to arglebargle over the meanings of the words “appoint,” “retain,” “commission” and “special attorney,” because irony is dead and it’s projection all the way down in Trumplandia.
Just look at this bullshit: [Screen grab of a portion of the ruling is available at the link]
For the reasons set forth above, it is ORDERED AND ADJUDGED as follows: 1. Defendants’ Motion to Dismiss Superseding Indictment Based on Unlawful Appointment and Funding of Special Counsel Jack Smith is GRANTED in accordance with this Order [ECF No. 326]. 2. The Superseding Indictment [ECF No. 85] is DISMISSED. 3. This Order is confined to this proceeding. The Court decides no other legal rights or claims. 4. This Order shall not affect or weaken any of the protections for classified information imposed in this case or any protective orders pertaining to classified information. 5. The Clerk is directed to CLOSE this case. Any scheduled hearings are CANCELLED. Any pending motions are DENIED AS MOOT, and any pending deadlines are TERMINATED. DONE AND ORDERED in Chambers at Fort Pierce, Florida, this 15th day of July 2024.
Special counsels have been around since 1978, when Congress passed the Ethics in Government Act, inspired by Watergate. Title VI of the act established formal rules for the appointment of a special prosecutor, and the constitutionality of it was upheld by the Supreme Court again in 1988, in Morrison v. Olson. But precedent apparently means nothing anymore.
Also Cannon is a district court judge, her job is to apply precedent, not to decide that SCOTUS has been wrong for more than 40 years […]
The good news is that the decision came before the case got to a jury, so it can be appealed to the 11th Circuit Court of Appeals, which has overruled Cannon and her bullshit before. If the 11th Circuit agrees that this is, in fact, some bullshit, maybe it will be assigned to a normal judge who hasn’t been drinking Trump’s dirty bathwater. The bad news is that even if the 11th Circuit agrees that this is some crazy bullshit, the case will be delayed even more. And if the 11th Circuit agrees, that decision could be appealed up to the Supreme Court, and who the fuck knows what they’re thinking these days.
For this opus of guano, Cannon apparently picked right up on the birdseed that Justice Clarence Thomas was throwing down in his concurrence for Trump Can Shoot Everybody On 5th Avenue vs. No:
I write separately to highlight another way in which this prosecution may violate our constitutional structure. In this case, the Attorney General purported to appoint a private citizen as Special Counsel to prosecute a former President on behalf of the United States. But, I am not sure that any office for the Special Counsel has been “established by Law,” as the Constitution requires.
Conservatives have balked at special counsels for a while, because they buy into the “unitary executive theory,” AKA the president is a king who can do whatever the fuck he (or she, LOL) wants. Justice Antonin Scalia was [complaining] about them back in 1988 in his dissent in Olsen. His ghost is surely happy now, as it roams the luxury Cibolo Creek Ranch, where he died on a trip with expenses paid by a guy who owned a company with business before the court. […]
List of other stupid things Judge Aileen Cannon has done is available at the link
birgerjohanssonsays
The Guardian
“Body found in area where Jay Slater went missing in Tenerife” | Spain
[…] as details emerged about the attempted assassin, 20-year-old Thomas Matthew Crooks, narratives from people too eager to find how they could blame Democrats and liberals for this started to dissipate. Crooks was:
– A registered Republican who voted for Republicans in the first election he was eligible for (2022 midterms)
– Came from a conservative family
– Used an AR-15, the very weapon Dems have been trying to ban unsuccessfully thanks to Republicans
– It was a legally purchased assault weapon from his father
If Crooks had shot at BLM protestors rather than Trump, people like Johnson would be lionizing him like they did Kyle Rittenhouse or Daniel Perry. So, how did Johnson work around these inconvenient facts?
JOHNSON: The greatest threat to our nation right now is, we’re horribly divided. But, again, in general, we share the same goals. So why are we so divided? Well, there are political figures. There are political groups. I would argue that’s what identity politics is about. That’s what Critical Race Theory is about.
A white Republican man shot a white Republican man because of critical race theory?! Using a racist dog whistle to blame for this is very on brand for a multiple year winner of Senate dumbest Republican.
[…] SENATOR LINDSEY GRAHAM: I’m grateful you weren’t hurt any worse, and I love you. You know, we were supposed to play golf this morning at 8:30. I have talked to him three times this week. There’s a lot going on in the world. He was excited about playing golf. He thought he had something that could help my swing.
Graham, teary eyed, called for “both sides” to turn it down and solely blame the shooter for his actions. But when Kristen Welker tried to ask him about unhinged statements made by Republicans like potential Trump running mate Sen. JD Vance or Rep. Mike Collins of Georgia … … Graham suddenly didn’t want to address it.
GRAHAM: Yeah. Well, there is a lot of frustration, on our side, about the way President Trump has been treated. […] And I’ll try to do better here. I don’t – I don’t want to go down that road, right now.
On the Sunday edition of NBC’s “Today,” Speaker Mike Johnson also “All Lives Matter-ed” his blame for the state of political rhetoric.
SPEAKER JOHNSON: We’ve got to turn the temperature down. The rhetoric down. We’ve got to turn the temperature down in this country. We need leaders of all parties, on both sides, to call that out. And make sure that happens so we can go forward and maintain our free society we all are blessed to have.
But these calls for unity didn’t stop Johnson from trying to blame the people they normally would, if the shooter hadn’t been so inconveniently their target voter, for this.
SPEAKER JOHNSON: It’s almost inexplicable to us sometimes … there is no figure in American history at least in the modern era — maybe since Lincoln — who’s been so vilified and really persecuted by media and Hollywood elites, political figures, even the legal system.
Seriously?! President Biden has been called everything from a doddering old man to a criminal mastermind by conservatives. Former President Obama had his very citizenship questioned and his family subjected to smears. Former President Clinton and Hillary Clinton were literally called murderers since the ‘90s.
Hell, there’s a chance Crooks may have gotten such an unhinged plan from an unhinged source. [video at the link]
Johnson was not being genuine about this exaggerated claim, as his following statement gives away what he truly wants.
SPEAKER JOHNSON: When the message goes out constantly that the election of Donald Trump would be a threat to democracy itself and the republic would end, it heats up the environment. We cannot do that and it’s simply not true.
Conservatives just want everyone to stop calling Trump what he is or trying to hold him accountable for his actions. Conservatives have never cared about the temperature, climate or political, before.
They have mocked assassination attempts of others. [X post and image at the link]
They have called opponents traitors who should be executed. [X posts at the link, including one from Elon Musk]
Don’t care about stochastic terrorism when people like Chaya “Libs Of TikTok” Raichik and Matt Walsh’s rhetoric have led to direct threats of violence. [Screen grabs at the link]
Even now, same stochastic terrorists are trying to find ways to spin this to their toxic narratives of “DEI.” [Screen grabs at the link. Some bemoan the existence of female Secret Service agents.]
And the Trump campaign is fundraising about it. [Screen grab at the link]
Biden’s campaign, meanwhile, is pausing ads and events while some spineless Democrats are speaking anonymously about “resigning themselves to a second Trump term.”
This is a huge mistake. As Eisner award winning comic book writer Mark Russell so eloquently put it:
Political violence always benefits authoritarians because liberals will always condemn it and authoritarians, regardless of whether they are perpetrators or victims, will always use it to claim more power.
We should not be taking civility lectures from these assclowns. Trump is still a threat to democracy and an authoritarian bigot. Nothing about that or the danger he poses has changed.
There are no extra points for nobility in end stage democracy. Especially when facing ignoble bastards.
Trump remade the GOP in his image — and its platform in his words.
If the 2024 Republican Party platform sounds as though it was dictated by Donald Trump, that’s because a lot of it was.
The 16-page document, released ahead of this week’s Republican National Convention, contains numerous passages that paraphrase or lift directly from things Trump has said in speeches or in Truth Social posts since he launched his bid for a second term.
Some sections quote Trump verbatim, using key phrases from his rallies, while others heavily echo his signature grievances, conspiracy theories and bluster. Notably, a section of 20 promises that the platform makes to Americans is written in all-caps, in his distinctive voice.
[…] Overall, it reads like an homage to Trump, repeatedly name-checking him and mirroring his unmistakable writing style, with random uppercase letters and sentence fragments scattered throughout.
It also officially enshrines some of Trump’s most aggressive proposals, including carrying out mass deportations and shuttering the Department of Education. And it abandons long-standing calls for sweeping restrictions on abortion. A former Trump aide wrote much of the platform, which Trump later reviewed and edited, according to people familiar with the process.
Here’s a look at some of the sections where the platform most closely resembles rhetoric Trump has used in speeches and on social media. [See the link for details]
Images of the actual pages of the platform document are available at the link. The 2024 platform mentions Trump by name 19 times.
Comparisons are available at the link to Trump speeches and social media posts, juxtaposed with the actual platform pages.
birgerjohanssonsays
Forgotten Weapons:
“Icelandic Swords: Blades of the Viking Frontier”
.https://youtube.com/watch?v=aH2Zijvauu0
The good old days when you had to walk up to people if you wanted to kill them. Also, no aristocratic parasites on that island.
First, one of Biden’s best qualities is that he’s not reactive. I don’t mean he doesn’t respond to events or do so with the necessary speed or intensity, or that he doesn’t recognize the stakes; I mean he (in a way Erich Fromm characterized as psychologically healthy) keeps things in perspective and his goals and larger public mission in mind when deciding how to proceed. This is a key leadership quality in troubled political times, and essential when dealing with fascist movements and their propaganda. He and his campaign aren’t chasing after every media circus Trump tries to create – he keeps his gaze fixed on what’s important and what he wants to accomplish.
This is very unlike the media, who seem unable or unwilling to step out of the churn Trump and his bad-faith allies create, pause, regain their bearings, and think ahead about their mission or their actions, the political part they’re playing, and their potential consequences. It’s also very unlike Trump, who is a giant raw nerve, completely controlled by his insecurities and fears and compulsions to dominate and strike out at others. (That people want someone like this as president remains astonishing.)
Second, Trump’s immediate response to the shooting was to me like the physical embodiment of fascism. The pumping fist, the snarled lip – it didn’t convey strength or leadership but reactive viciousness and aggression. Even to the extent that his campaign can keep that temporarily in check, it’s who he is and should be nowhere near the presidency.
Third, as one of the rallygoers I saw interviewed said, it was effectively a mass shooting (whether the shooter intended that or not). Not only the living victims but the families of all of the victims and other survivors have been through the same trauma that mass shootings have caused in communities across the US. I don’t know what if any political effect that will have, but I hope they – and especially any children who were there – will get help to deal with the trauma. Trump won’t get help for himself (nor could he be helped) – he’ll glom onto narratives that make his survival a matter of destiny and power and his acolytes will work to convince the attendees that they don’t need compassion and care but scapegoats to helplessly rage at.
Fourth, this reminds me a bit of when Trump got COVID in 2020. Problems he’d done much to exacerbate and little (well, in that case one significant thing and in this case nothing) to solve. As in that case, it’s his supporters among those paying the price (then by the hundreds of thousands; here a small number) while he survived, cradled in layers of care and security. Once again, he’ll never face up to the actual problem or work to address it, appreciate his own role in creating it, or care about the dead or suffering except insofar as they can be made use of politically. Ruth Ben-Ghiat said she’ll be putting the shooting into historical context in her Substack, Lucid, which is a refreshing break from the media incompetence.
Finally, I’ve been reading Annalee Newitz’s new Stories Are Weapons: Psychological Warfare and the American Mind, and I’m reminded how useful chaos and confusion are to authoritarians and how they try to create or opportunistically exploit shock events to keep people off balance and scrambling to make sense of what’s happening around them. It’s hard to maintain a steady gaze in these circumstances, but – to bring it back to my first point – Biden is providing a decent example.
Meanwhile Trump’s change in tone (with him offering condolences to others who were injured) lasted just a few hours.
Axios posted this bullshit:
[…] his advisers tell us Trump plans to seize his moment by toning down his Trumpiness, and dialing up efforts to unite a tinder-box America, when the Republican convention opens Monday in Milwaukee.
After that, Trump posted this flaming bullshit, which was mentioned up-thread, but is here presented in full:
“As we move forward in Uniting our Nation after the horrific events on Saturday, this dismissal of the Lawless Indictment in Florida should be just the first step, followed quickly by the dismissal of ALL the Witch Hunts — The January 6th Hoax in Washington, D.C., the Manhattan D.A.’s Zombie Case, the New York A.G. Scam, Fake Claims about a woman I never met (a decades old photo in a line with her then husband does not count), and the Georgia “Perfect” Phone Call charges. The Democrat Justice Department coordinated ALL of these Political Attacks, which are an Election Interference conspiracy against Joe Biden’s Political Opponent, ME. Let us come together to END all Weaponization of our Justice System, and Make America Great Again!”
Same as it ever was.
Lying about the classified documents case being “illegal.” Lying about January 6, saying that prosecution for that insurrection was a “hoax.”
Commentary from Steve Benen:
[…] The former president pushed baseless conspiracy theories, targeted E. Jean Carroll in ways his defense counsel would probably advise against, peddled a familiar-but-nonsensical claim about his alleged election interference efforts in Georgia, and so on.
What’s the tonal difference between Trump’s message this morning and the GOP candidate’s standard rhetoric from recent months? There is no tonal difference.
Around this time yesterday, the former president published an item that read, simply, “UNITE AMERICA!” In light of this morning’s missive, it’s hardly unreasonable to wonder whether the Republican defines “unity” as everyone agreeing with his conspiratorial vision and desire to avoid accountability for wrongdoing.
Yep. That’s exactly what Trump means.
Trump cannot even come close to matching Biden’s even-handedness, nor Biden’s informed perspective.
Donald Trump announced on social media Monday that he has picked Ohio Sen. J.D. Vance as his vice presidential running mate for the 2024 campaign. Vance once called Trump “America’s Hitler” and wrote an op-ed titled “The Opioid of the Masses” in which he compared the Republican candidate to heroin addiction.
But that was before Vance made the cynical decision to become one of Trump’s most reliable surrogates and sycophants to further his own political career.
Trump’s selection of Vance likely indicates that he feels elevated enough by his brush with death over the weekend to abandon all pretense of reaching out, even within the GOP. Not only can Vance be relied on to parrot MAGA orthodoxy, but he often takes the most extreme positions—a slightly more literate Marjorie Taylor Greene. [That’s a good description.]
As an example of who Vance used to be, he “liked” this tweet in 2016. [X post and photo at the link. The post mocked Trump.]
Vance began his pro-Trump turnaround in 2018 as he eyed a potential spot in the Senate. Eventually, as Rolling Stone reported in 2022, Vance “kissed Trump’s ass just enough” to win his race. From there, he transformed into one of the media’s most beloved Trump surrogates. He’s a favorite at Republican functions, including making a recent appearance to praise Project 2025.
Trump promised the nation that his vice presidential selection process would be like “The Apprentice.” Unfortunately, that didn’t mean a series of episodes in which Trump bellowed, “You’re fired!” at the likes of Vivek Ramaswamy or Kristi Noem. That might, at least, have been entertaining.
Instead, it meant months of shortlists and even shorter lists of potential choices whose names were never all that official. Even when it came down to what seemed to be the final trio of North Dakota Gov. Doug Burgum, Florida Sen. Marco Rubio, and Vance, reports amounted to little more than speculation and supposed leaks—with the lingering possibility that Trump could go into far-right field and make a choice ranging from one of his children to Russia-loving talk show host Tucker Carlson.
Then there was the last-minute maneuvering by his United Nations ambassador and former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley. Haley dropped her opposing run, did a 180-degree turn to endorse Trump, instructed her delegates to vote for Trump, and then announced that she would be speaking at the convention after earlier claiming she would not attend. All of which seemed like a potential run-up to a surprise last-minute announcement: Trump would choose the candidate he called “a birdbrain” throughout her campaign, forming a unity ticket spanning all the way from MAGA fascism to extreme far-right conservatism. Kumbayas all around.
Had Trump selected Burgum, he would have been picking a running mate who brings little in the way of a personal support base and little enthusiasm from Trump supporters. Burgum’s biggest selling points were that he never threatened to upstage Trump, and that he’s rich enough to act as Trump’s go-between to the billionaire boys club staking his campaign.
Rubio was always problematic. Not only has he fumbled his every turn in the national spotlight and failed to catch fire with Trump’s base, he also has the Florida problem. Making a sitting senator pack up his bags and depart the state because Trump would rather write Mar-a-Lago on his luggage tags than his address in New York apparently wasn’t enough fun for Trump.
Of all the candidates who were considered, Vance is the most like Trump: a scam artist who abandoned all of his previous positions when it seemed advantageous to his own career. That’s not only made him a favorite among Trump supporters: It makes him the only VP pick who might claim to be not just Trump’s running mate, but his heir.
About the shooter, Tom (as he was called in high school) Crooks:
[…] He was a gun fetishist. He wore a Demolitia T-shirt, he was a member at a gun club. He was a registered Republican. The donation was 3 years ago, $15, and for some local group but perhaps that donation was by somebody else since it is associated with the wrong zip code and wrong city. The father is a registered Republican. This is a consistent picture. Dude is an R.
The idea the donation to Progressive Turnout Project might have been made by someone else is speculation, and appears to be speculation uninformed by actual facts. The diarist claims the donation was made by someone from a different zip code; the reporting I’ve seen says the opposite. My online search hasn’t turned up a single news source which says the donation came from a different zip code. I would think if that were the case a lot of sources would be reporting it, so the lack of news stories with that fact indicates to me the diarist didn’t do a very good job of checking facts.
Similarly, the assertion that “The father is a registered Republican” looks to be wrong. All the stories I’ve seen have reported that the mother is a registered Democrat and the father is a registered Libertarian.
Getting facts wrong on a story like this is not helpful […]
—————————–
Just the fact he was a registered Republican with an AR-15 alone is all a lot of people will need to hear to consider “Dude was a liberal on the grassy knoll!” talk to be crazy nonsense.
——————————-
One former fellow student said that the shooter was denied a position on the school rifle team, told he wasn’t a good enough shot.
I wouldn’t be surprised if this wasn’t his way of proving how great he really was. And it was a very good shot, especially immediately after the local cop confronted him on that roof.
—————————–
Even if he had mental issues, he would have to have some way of rationalizing hIs plan, no matter how strange it might seem to us. It would be interesting to know the thought process behind deciding to kill somebody purportedly on your own side.
Posted by Patriot Takes:
5 months ago, Alex Jones and InfoWars guest Ivan Raiklin discussed how assassinating Trump would be beneficial, according to them, because it would lead to retaliatory “in kind” assassinations of a “deep state” list which includes President Joe Biden.
Ivan Raiklin: “If they [assassinate Trump], option 2, behind Trump, is going to be so much better for us and so much worse them.”
Alex Jones: “I was about as to say, If they kill him, that’s best case scenario from a sick level. From a sick level medium, ‘Oh, please kill him.’ I mean, it’s so good after that.”
Raiklin: “Oh, it’s going to be the best cleansing and the fastest cleansing that we’ve ever seen in my lifetime. I guaran—, I access, with almost certainty, with the highest level of confidence, that if they assassinate Trump, it is so game over for them.”
Trump Picks Unlikeable Pile Of Human Butthair As Running Mate, Excellent Choice!
Reporting live from an undisclosed (bar in) Milwaukee, Donald Trump has just announced his running mate. It is this guy: [photo at the link]
Because Wonkette is on the vanguard of journalism, we happen to have written in the very recent past why this would be a really dumb move on Trump’s part. [Screen gab of X post mocking JD Vance]
An excerpt:
JD Vance is so fucking gross and everybody hates him and normal people find him extremely off-putting.
This is the man who Mitt Romney says he doesn’t think he could could respect anyone less than.
And hey, remember the 2022 midterms, when Vance […] won his Senate seat in Ohio? The same year, Ohio Republican Governor Mike DeWine was running for re-election. He won 62.8 percent to 37.2.
Vance only beat Tim Ryan 53.3 percent to 46.7 percent.
That means almost 10 points worth of Ohio Republican voters were like fuuuuuuck that guy.
So that is a reason we hope Trump picks him, because he is gross and everybody hates him and he would be a drag on the ticket.
Also, back before JD Vance opportunistically changed his mind and decided he was super-gay for Trump, he USED to think Trump was the dogshit on the bottom of Hitler’s shoe. That’d be fun for Democrats to make commercials out of clips of JD Vance saying things like that!
So that would be another reason it’d be cool if Axios was right and Trump picked [Vance] as his running mate.
In this Sight Unseen film review, we recap the ideological currents and industry backers of J.D. Vance’s white trash whisperer shtick and how it blames everyone for Appalachian poverty but corporations and Republicans.
…So we’re gonna go out on a limb here, we’re going to assume that the movie to some extent or another promotes the broad ideological aims of J.D. Vance and his American Enterprise Institute handlers and the broader Republican project in Appalachia and specifically Ohio, where J.D. Vance now runs a Peter Thiel backed venture capital fund for $93 million in Columbus, Ohio….
And a more recent If Books Could Kill episode about the book (YT link):
Before he was a Senator, J.D. Vance charmed moderates and liberals alike with his memoir about being the only hardworking person to ever come out of Appalachia.
In 2016, J.D. Vance informally launched his political career with “Hillbilly Elegy,” a memoir that blames the relative poverty of Appalachian and Rust Belt populations on their own culture. Despite its reactionary premise, mainstream and liberal press outlets were so enamored by the book that they accidentally made Vance a senator.
In a statement Monday evening, Peter Carr, spokesman for the special counsel’s office, said that the Justice Department has approved plans to appeal.
The only interesting thing is that the special council is moving this quickly. It was dismissed this morning and by evening the special council’s office had decided to appeal and gotten approval from the Justice Department. Most likely they had considered the possibility that Cannon would do this and had plans prepared.
birgerjohanssonsays
Russian soldier: ‘We’re going to surrender. 3 days of no food, no water….
.https://youtube.com/shorts/xq22YiieBYU
I feel sorry for the poor expendable bastards.
Hurricane Beryl landed on the Gulf Coast a week ago … knocking out power for almost 3 million people. … CenterPoint Energy, the Houston-area utility that maintains the infrastructure for more than 2.8 million customers across Texas, said it has been restoring power faster than in recent storms. But the company estimates that about 226,000 customers will still not have their power back eight days after Beryl struck.
Lynna, OM says
Thank you, PZ, for giving The Infinite Thread a new lease on life.
Even among whacko candidates running for office, Mark Robinson stands out. NC Gov Nominee Mark Robinson Not Personally Coming To Kill You. He’s Just Asking Others To Kill You.
birgerjohansson says
“Reformist Masoud Pezeshkian wins Iran presidential election” | Iran | The Guardian
https://www.theguardian.com/world/article/2024/jul/06/iran-reformist-masoud-pezeshkian-extends-lead-in-presidential-election-count
Alas, the “Guardian council ” of regressive imams hold the real power.
But it is a start. The repressive religious establishment has lost most of its legitimacy now, and you cannot rule with bayonets forever unless you go full North Korea.
Lynna, OM says
For the convenience of readers, here are a few links back to the previous chapter, which only accumulated 18 comments before it hit the automatic FreeThoughtBlogs time limit for a thread.
https://freethoughtblogs.com/pharyngula/2024/04/07/infinite-thread-xxxi/comment-page-7/#comment-2226986
I watched George Stephanopoulos of ABC News interview President Biden.
https://freethoughtblogs.com/pharyngula/2024/04/07/infinite-thread-xxxi/comment-page-7/#comment-2226961
Oxford University Mathematician REACTS to “Animation vs. Geometry”
https://freethoughtblogs.com/pharyngula/2024/04/07/infinite-thread-xxxi/comment-page-7/#comment-2226988
Hamas is losing the backing of ordinary people in Gaza who are paying the human price of its war
Lynna, OM says
Mississippi’s sodomy law cost taxpayers nearly half a million dollars, but remains on the books
Lynna, OM says
Bloomberg News:
Commentary:
Link
Lynna, OM says
We the People of the United States, in Order to Allow This One Rapist to Commit Crimes…
Lynna, OM says
Oh FFS.
Judge Aileen Cannon grants Trump’s request to pause some deadlines in classified documents case amid immunity questions
birgerjohansson says
Trump’s Justice Terrifies MAGA That She May Flip
.https://youtube.com/watch?v=TPyujI4m_qI
birgerjohansson says
Why the Ride of the Rohirrim was a Tactical Disaster! (And How to Fix It) documentary
.https://youtube.com/watch?v=GVDQ1LiyZHo
Rob Grigjanis says
birger @9: That’s referring to what’s depicted in the movie. Of course it was a disaster. It was directed by Peter Jackson. The ride as depicted in the book is classical cavalry tactics (from what I’ve read of cavalry tactics). The approach and charge as shown in the movie actually made me laugh.
Pierce R. Butler says
Textbook authors told climate change references must be cut to get Florida’s OK
Small Favors Dept: no mention made of censoring evolution – yet.
Great American Satan says
every mention of florida opposing action on climate change should be mandated by law to mention most of the state is going to cease to exist within the next several decades.
Pierce R. Butler says
Great American Satan @ # 12: … most of the state is going to cease to exist …
Aw c’mon – submerged debris and rubble doesn’t cease to exist just because it’s not buildings any more!
birgerjohansson says
Do you have any reliable summary of the polls for the ‘battleground’ states?
John Morales says
Russia’s Looming Serious Tank Shortage – Tank Count Using Latest Bought Satellite Imagery
TL;DW: Russia had a shitload of leftover tanks from the Soviet state.
And artillery.
John Morales says
The week in Australian politics:
Talking Pictures: The week in political cartoons | Insiders | ABC News
Mike Bowers talks the week in pictures with cartoonist Fiona Katauskas.
John Morales says
For something rather different, puzzle box delectation:
KG says
Well, I’ve been pretty disappointed with the Guardian at times, particularly over trans rights, but I hadn’t realised what they were up to in Iran!
KG says
The one that keeps me up at night is Biden staying on, and his cognitive decline becoming much more evident before November. Considering the difference between the State of the Union and the debate, it doesn’t seem unlikely.
SC (Salty Current) says
Here’s a link to the France 24 liveblog of the second round of legislative elections:
SC (Salty Current) says
KG @ #19:
Two randomly selected data points don’t constitute a trend.
SC (Salty Current) says
The estimated turnout in the French elections now is 67%, vs. 46.23% in 2022.
SC (Salty Current) says
CBS – “Florida sees COVID-19 surge in emergency rooms, near last winter’s peaks”:
I’ve been listening to Dr. Jonathan Howard’s podcast We Want Them Infected, and read his book of the same name. In one of the book chapters he has a long section of quotes from the doctors[!] who opposed almost all measures to control COVID and started advocating for a return to normal and letting the virus tear through the population in 2020. The quotes are their endlessly repeated claims that the pandemic is over/the virus has been “defanged”/herd immunity has been reached over the years alongside the rising total number of deaths in the US at the time each statement was made. It was nauseating to read, and in a recent episode of the podcast (beginning about 50 minutes in, IIRC) he has a recording of an actor reading the quotes along with the rising death numbers (I’m not sure if it’s excerpted from the audiobook or done separately for the podcast). These doctors are still claiming they were right and attacking public health officials, and they haven’t been held accountable in any way for behavior that contributed to massive suffering and tens of thousands of deaths.
KG says
SC@21,
Admittedly, it’s possible he’s been intermittently as bad as he was in the debate for some time, but I don’t think that’s particularly reassuring.
Lynna, OM says
How Trump is training his supporters to laugh themselves into fascism
Lynna, OM says
The media’s Anti-Biden noise isn’t an accident.
Yep. That’s who the major mainstream media outlets are featuring in their coverage. It’s wall-to-wall coverage of people against Biden. And it is not wall-to-wall coverage of Trump telling 28 lies during the debate, telling “jokes” about having immigrants fight each other, or claiming immunity for taking classified documents to Mar-a-Lago.
We may need to discuss Biden’s health, but not like this.
Lynna, OM says
Senator Bernie Sanders:
Lynna, OM says
Representative Adam Schiff:
Schiff talking about Kamala Harris:
More details from Adam Schiff’s conversation with Kristen Welker about President Biden:
Sounds carefully worded to me. Also true.
Lynna, OM says
Israeli protesters block highways, call for cease-fire to bring back hostages as war marks 9 months
The demonstrations come as international mediators renew efforts to broker a deal, with Hamas appearing to drop demands that Israel commit to ending the war.
More at the link.
Lynna, OM says
https://www.wonkette.com/p/trump-campaign-tells-evangelicals
Trump Campaign Tells Evangelicals: Ixnay On The Bortionaay Ansbay
SC (Salty Current) says
KG @ #24:
It’s also possible he’s been somewhere in the middle all along and that both of these public events are outliers, that he’s been as good as he was at the SOTU all along and the debate was an uncharacteristically bad night, and any number of other plausible scenarios. As I said, it’s two data points.
As for Kamala Harris replacing him, I don’t even get it. She’s literally the Vice President. She’s first in the line of succession, required to be ready to replace him at a moment’s notice, and fully capable of carrying out the duties of the presidency should anything happen to him.
SC (Salty Current) says
Here’s a link to the Guardian’s French elections liveblog. First projections in about 10 minutes (2 PM ET in the US).
Paul K says
KG, at 24 and elsewhere. I have loads of respect for your knowledge and explanations of UK politics, as well as your thoughts on most other topics, but I’m just totally not on board with your take on Biden and his possible decline.
We have only two choices come November. Biden or Trump. There is simply no way for anyone else to take Trump on. No one with the funds, recognition, record, organization. I would vote for Harris in a general election, without hesitation. She’s the only possible replacement with any chance at all. But what Lynna, at comment 5, quoted, is spot on. Racism and misogyny are bad enough that, especially at this late date, they would be enough to keep Harris from winning. The other bits in that piece at #5 are true as well.
The media has been absolutely terrible on this whole manufactured mess. Biden is old, we kept being told. Now he’s in mental decline, we get inundated with. Anyone who replaces him will get the same unfair scrutiny. We also have been hearing that Trump has been ‘lying low’, when he hasn’t. He just keeps saying the same crazy, lying, nasty crap that we’ve heard so often that it just doesn’t crack the media’s craving for shiny things.
I wrote in the last iteration of the thread that I’d vote for Biden even if he was a turnip. I still say that. No one has written a compelling case for any other specific person and how they could realistically beat Trump. (Funding being the biggest obstacle). That is insane; a turnip should beat him soundly. But we are where we are, and Trump gets a pass as he just keeps telling us just who he is. I was concerned and angry when the media just kept harping on Biden’s age while ignoring Trump’s utter failure at being coherent at all. Now I’m actually scared that this current hype about Biden’s mental state will mean Trump gets back into power. I’ve been hopeful for the success of decency up until now.
If Biden does get re-elected and becomes unable to do the job, we have systems to replace him, and he’s surrounded himself with competent people who will deal with any issues so that we get past them. If Trump wins, we’re just fucked.
SC (Salty Current) says
From the Guardian liveblog:
SC (Salty Current) says
From the Guardian:
Fingers crossed!
SC (Salty Current) says
The Guardian also links to a tweet from the pollster IFOP, with even better numbers:
birgerjohansson says
Lightning In a Bottle? The Science Of Electro-Thermal Rocket Engines
.https://youtube.com/watch?v=4TDCrVwm1W0
birgerjohansson says
Man who spent 45 years on death row in Japan hopes for chance to clear name | Japan | The Guardian
https://www.theguardian.com/world/article/2024/jul/07/japan-death-row-iwao-hakamada-murder-retrial-verdict
The Japanese legal system did not get an upgrade since they were allies of the nazis and were busy doing war crimes.
birgerjohansson says
A classic vehicle. I wish the Swedish annual Car Big Meet had one of those
https://www.facebook.com/share/p/aMaeVCm3PdaQZ3aN/
birgerjohansson says
Nigel Farage says his party will take on Labour. If he genuinely believes he has the support to do that, his craziness will have beneficial effects.
Also, if the tories think they can rebuild by turning further right, it will leave a bigger opening for the lib dems.
.
Familiar faces but not all from politics: meet the surprise Labour ministers | The Guardian
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/article/2024/jul/07/familiar-faces-but-not-all-from-politics-meet-the-surprise-labour-ministers
birgerjohansson says
“Farage Thinks He Can Take Labour On”
.https://youtube.com/watch?v=eQQMO0PoRRM
HAHAHAHAHA! (falls off chair)
(Keeps on laughing despite broken ribs)(calls ambulance)
Lynna, OM says
Followup to SC @34, 35, and 36.
https://talkingpointsmemo.com/edblog/wow-now-france
birgerjohansson says
Times Radio:
Tories running out of time to fix their broken party
.https://youtube.com/watch?v=4uQYpSClXDU
Lynna, OM says
Meet the group behind Trump’s fascist 2025 agenda, by Mark Sumner.
Lynna, OM says
Tressie Cottom, writing for The New York Times:
birgerjohansson says
This guy is pro- Ukrine, but he is not blindly parroting the Kyiv government, I think he has maintained integrity all the time.
Combat Veteran Reacts:
“DoD LEAK: 1 in Every 250 Russian Men KILLED in Ukraine!”
.https://youtube.com/watch?v=khPWN8xVcDc
Lynna, OM says
Cartoon: Do as I say …
Lynna, OM says
Persistent heat wave in the U.S. expected to shatter new records as it bakes West and swelters in East
An excessive heat warning — the National Weather Service’s highest alert — was in effect for about 36 million people, or about 10% of the population.
CompulsoryAccount7746, Sky Captain says
@Lynna #44:
Paul Weyrich was on the conference call among evangelical leaders when they picked abortion to stoke the next big moral panic to maintain an angry voting bloc. Before that, Weyrich had built their political evangelical movement to rally behind defending tax-exempt status for segregationist Bible schools. Weyrich later coined and co-founded “Moral Majority” with Jerry Falwell.
Wikipedia – The Heritage Foundation
Lynna, OM says
The Supreme Court decided to give Donald Trump immunity before they crafted their opinion
Posted by readers of the article:
Lynna, OM says
CompulsoryAccount7746, Sky Captain @49, thanks for that additional information.
John Morales says
In the news: https://www.theguardian.com/world/article/2024/jul/07/israel-idf-hannibal-protocol-hamas-attack-haaretz
John Morales says
Since France is already in the news:
CompulsoryAccount7746, Sky Captain says
Restoring Indigenous aquaculture heals both ecosystems and communities in Hawai’i
Indigenous people in the Amazon are helping to build bridges & save primates
Nepal’s tiger revival
John Morales says
Now, for something different.
I can’t help feeling the concept is grander than its instantiation:
[actual stream content begins 45 minutes in, which is itself informative]
John Morales says
Oh, right. I’ve just watched Perun’s most recent video.
(So nice to see an actual analyst analysing!)
John Morales says
Oh, and another good channel. IMO, obs.
Food-related. Knows whereof she speaks.
Debunking Jolly Rancher cotton candy, deep-fried frozen eggs, heat treated flour … | Ann Reardon
John Morales says
Well, it seems I am in an eclectic jag.
Another good channel:
John Morales says
Oops. Forgot.
Content warning my previous, though only conceptually — it’s fully compliant with YouTube standards, which don’t include cognitive content. Yet.
John Morales says
I hasten to add, also not a https://scp-db.fandom.com/wiki/Cognitohazard as such.
(Lots of lore there)
CompulsoryAccount7746, Sky Captain says
An essay occasioned by pinker-esque historians citing an old book of speculation.
Beyond kingdoms and empires
John Morales says
CA7746, heh.
Gotta love rhetorical questions.
Existing.
cf. https://www.worldatlas.com/geography/10-most-long-lived-empires-in-history.html
Bad source, of course. Top of the list, but still illustrates the point.
cf. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dynasties_of_ancient_Egypt
John Morales says
Heh. Anyone else remember Pournelle’s Co-Dominium?
Even as little as a decade before the Soviet Union imploded, it was seen as a thing that would last into the indefinite future. Part of how the world was.
Or: the past informs the future (well, it should) but does not define it.
—
One more:
Ah, right.
Another thing: ancient empires were ‘successful’ at having names carved in stone.
(That’s two things, so far)
John Morales says
Nice thing about this empire under which we all suffer: the internet.
A free resource.
https://www.khanacademy.org/humanities/world-history/ancient-medieval/classical-states-and-empires/a/rise-and-fall-of-empires
John Morales says
Monty Pythonesque question, really.
(https://www.julianspriggs.co.uk/Pages/Travel)
Arguable, but still.
John Morales says
History, eh?
See, this is the way of empire.
One day, you set up this Constitution and system of governance, then a bit later you get a civil war but kinda sort it out, then before you know it a couple of hundred years have gone by and things have been learned.
Well, experienced at least.
And make no bones about it, it may not be de jure, but in terms of influence and power and hegemony, the USA is functionally an empire. IMO, of course.
KG says
I once wrote notes for an article/story “How the Cold War ended” in which I listed and briefly described a dozen or more possibilites, including nuclear war, alien invasion and others even more far-fetched. But I didn’t include one side simply giving up, without being conquered or even attacked.
birgerjohansson says
What the… is it this simple?
And what exactly is synchrony?
“Study links social and non-social synchrony to romantic attractiveness”
https://medicalxpress.com/news/2024-07-links-social-synchrony-romantic.html
KG says
See How to Hide an Empire: A Short History of the Greater United States by Daniel Immerwahr. He describes the USA’s empire as a “Pointillist Empire”, refering to its global archipelago of military bases, and explains the difference from previous empires by advances in communication and travel technologies.
birgerjohansson says
“Empires” are not interested in changing the status quo.
.
Both the hellenistic kingdoms and the Roman republic intervened to crush slave uprisings in adjacent countries.
And after the empire had established itself, it was static (except for some details about how autocratic the rulers were) right up until the end.
birgerjohansson says
John Morales
Not a manga but really messed-up animes:
-Tokyo Gore Police.
-Big Man Japan (not so much splatter, just weird).
And there are several bizarre animes created by a cult known as Happy Science, promoting crap that is as weird as the weirdest religions.
birgerjohansson says
Britain: Prophetic satire 30 years ago.
Alan B’Stard, the New Statesman on the NHS
.https://youtube.com/watch?v=l9CO65EmNGs
KG says
Vive La France!
Good news from France: the fascists failed miserably to take the National Assembly, coming in third after the Nouveau Front Populaire and Macron’s crew. The result will make it difficult for Macron to appoint a stable government: the largest componnet of the NFP is La France Insoumise (LFI), led by Jean-Luc Mélenchon, who is demanding that Macron appoint an NFP government, but most centrist parties and factions would not enter government with LFI, and NFP is far from a majority (it has 182 seats out of 577). Other NFP parties would probably be willing to join a broad coalition, but with what policies? Still, a thoroughly satisfying slap in the face for Le Pen – one may hope for internal ructions in the fascist party. Their spokespeople are whining about how unfair the second-round alliance between the left and the Macronists was, but that alliance, which involved a large number of candidates standing down instead of contesting the second round, would not have worked if a majority of the French people had not been willing to vote to thwart the fascists. On BBC Radio 4’s Today this morning, a fascist spokesperson was interviewed, and allowed to spew his lies with little comeback. Not unreasonable to interview him, but one would have thought that a representative of the winners would have been interviewed first. I suppose it ws annoying for the Beeb to have its “Rise of the Right*” narrative disrupted.
*Actually, I’ve noticed a switch in BBC terminology: both Le Pen’s fascists (the RN), and Reform Party UK Ltd. are now being labelled “Hard Right” rather than “Far Right”. Previously, “Hard right” has been reserved for right-wing factions in “centre-right” parties such as the Tories, with “Far Right” used for parties which hardly bother to disguise their racism but expel overtly fascist members, and “Extreme Right” for openly fascist ones.
birgerjohansson says
A 4,500-year-old collective tomb in France reveals final stage in formation of the ‘European genome’
https://phys.org/news/2024-07-year-tomb-france-reveals-stage.html
BTW there were two distinct pulses of genome mixing ca 500 years apart, a fact I did not know.
(Also, Colin Renfrew might have been right – we cannot rule out that the anatolian neolithic farmers also used indo-european languages. But genes say nothing about languages)
KG says
That really is the most ridiculous tosh. Even if you date “the end” as the fall of the Western Empire in the late 5th century (which you shouldn’t, the Roman Empire lasted almost another millennium in the East), there was the extension of citizenship to all free inhabitants by Caracalla in 212 CE, the institution of co-emperors ruling the eastern (from Constantinople) and western halves of the Empire, the shift of the effective administrative capital of the west from Rome to Milan, the adoption of Christianity as the state religion, the reorganization of the army into frontier guards and mobile formations, the recruitment of large numbers of “barbarian” troops and settlement of “barbarian” populations within the bounds of the Empire…
John Morales says
In the news: https://www.theguardian.com/artanddesign/article/2024/jul/08/artwork-featuring-christ-overlaid-with-looney-tunes-characters-removed-by-sydney-council-after-threats-of-violence-ntwnfb
Rob Grigjanis says
John @76: The Blake Art Prize? I suspect Blake would have disapproved of the removal.
anat says
birgerjohansson @68:
From the press release about said study:
Lynna, OM says
The ‘Bloodless Coup’ Has Started…with the Court
How the Supreme Court pulled a Jedi mind trick to elect and protect Trump
More at the link.
Lynna, OM says
Followup to comment 79.
Former Appeals Court Judge J. Michael Luttig:
https://x.com/Acyn/status/1810065310965436761
Video at the link.
Lynna, OM says
Vice President Harris:
https://x.com/Acyn/status/1809717914926477693
Video at the link. The video is 1:10 minutes long.
Lynna, OM says
Just counting the repetitions must be wearying.
According to Citizens for Ethic (CREW),
https://x.com/CREWcrew/status/1809573107117555843
Lynna, OM says
The Heritage Foundation is already planning to legally challenge ballot access for ANY replacement nominee.
https://www.foxnews.com/politics/heritage-working-election-legal-challenges-case-biden-pulled-from-dnc-nomination.amp
JM says
RNC Abortion Platform approved
No surprise that the platform was approved, this sort of thing is not brought to a vote until approval is pretty sure. The Trump campaign and the RNC are effectively one organization even more then usual for an election year. A couple of hard-line anti-abortion members were removed from the committee to insure it would vote strongly in approval.
The final wording follows Trump’s hand it back to the states formulation. It favors anti-abortion positions and has nothing that would oppose a national ban. It does slip in words about birth control that some hard liners won’t like but that is a minor matter.
This is essentially Trump washing his hands of the issue. Hand it back to the states and Trump can avoid saying anything about what he personally supports. He doesn’t want to be seen as pro or anti abortion because being pro-choice is much more popular nationally but will cost him right wing votes.
As a whole the new Republican Platform is expected to be much smaller then the previous one and apparently Trump will have a hand in writing the new one.
Lynna, OM says
Liberal democracy ain’t dead just yet, by Mark Sumner
Marine Le Pen:
Her party just lost in a major upset.
https://x.com/NoLieWithBTC/status/1810085577397608770
Video at the link.
birgerjohansson says
Scientists Reveal The Genetic Origins of Enigmatic Andamanese Tribes
.https://youtube.com/watch?v=lzJEFOZu1og
Lynna, OM says
Oh For Fucks Sake.
Latest GOP conspiracy theory: Biden’s doctor is part of the ‘crime family’
Posted by readers of the article:
birgerjohansson says
British Water Companies Facing Legal Consequences For Dumping Sewage
.https://youtube.com/watch?v=_mhn5kkZpU0
Lynna, OM says
Followup to comment 87.
https://www.wonkette.com/p/james-comer-has-cool-new-idea-it
Lynna, OM says
Washington Post link
2 dead as Beryl, now a tropical storm, batters Houston area
More at the link.
Beryl hit in areas seeing some of the world’s fastest rates of sea level rise.
Lynna, OM says
S&P 500, Nasdaq close at all-time highs ahead of inflation data and second-quarter earnings reports
The S&P 500 is coming off its fourth positive week in the last five amid optimism that easing inflation could lead to a Federal Reserve interest rate cut.
Lynna, OM says
Ukraine’s top high-jumper breaks world record in lead-up to Paris 2024
Yaroslava Mahuchikh, who left her hometown of Dnipro shortly after the war with Russia began, erased a mark that had stood for 37 years.
birgerjohansson says
Anti-Biden media
http://youtube.com/post/UgkxchhYbUkDUaA7yqtTbUisTFQaDI3LJ1Ab
Lynna, OM says
Heh. Unintended consequences: Trump’s denial generates a surge of reporting on diabolical Project 2025
CompulsoryAccount7746, Sky Captain says
What Trump doesn’t want you to know about Project 2025
John Morales says
In the news:
Lynna, OM says
Link
John Morales says
Just to be clear, Niger and Nigeria are neighbouring countries.
https://wellsbringhope.org/niger-nigeria-a-tale-of-two-similar-but-different-west-african-states/
birgerjohansson says
Niger is north of Nigeria.
Imagine a pyramid getting wider at the bottom. Likewise, the name of Nigeria (“underneath” Niger) is longer than Niger.
.
Lynna, OM @ 94
😄
birgerjohansson says
Anton Petrov:
“Geological Solution to the Fermi Paradox: Plate Tectonics and Alien Life”
.https://youtube.com/watch?v=6sTbkHDXEA0
Yeah. There may be plenty of primitive life, but getting beyond that probably requires plate tectonics.
I say it over and over again: “being the only known sapient life means we have a special duty to survive, and preserve the biosphere”
CompulsoryAccount7746, Sky Captain says
Reminder of Heritage Foundation’s thinking regarding contraception.
Heritage Foundation – LinkedIn / Twitter (2023-05-27)
Vox translates…
John Morales says
It’s Anton Petrov, of course it’s just clickbait. Goes without saying, really.
Why? I certainly don’t feel that duty.
Heck, I made sure to never have children, as I wanted neither the responsibility or the resource expenditure they would necessitate.
(Yes, I know, the concept is that life entails being biological, which is basically geocentrism, but that’s just a definition. But that’s begging the question)
John Morales says
This has been so obvious for so long.
—
The focus is in off-grid, but I have for a very long time been amused that so many devices we use are DC-powered though household power supplies are AC.
So all those devices need the AC power to be converted to DC with all the attendant losses and limitations involved.
(“Power adapters”)
JM says
I have seen several commentators online mocking the idea that Trump doesn’t know about Project 2025. Honestly, I wouldn’t be surprised if he doesn’t. Yes he has pulled a lot of people recommended by the Heritage Foundation, but he isn’t the sort to care what they do as long as they say “Yes Mr President” when Trump asks them to do something. He isn’t the sort to get into long term or large scale planning.
He never got anywhere on building a wall along the south because he couldn’t get organized enough or manage the government well enough. He is the sort of manager that calls in from the golf course most of the time and never shows up for strategic planning sessions. His contribution to company planning is “Make it so” and “Why isn’t it done yet?”.
When Project 2025 came up somebody told Trump it was long term planning and he wandered off to harass a secretary.
John Morales says
JM, in my estimation, it’s just a convenient thing to have around.
He doesn’t give a shit about any specific agenda, any specific policy, any particular tactic, any given strategy.
He just wants to be The Man.
(No more, but no less, either)
whheydt says
Re: JM @ #104…
I seriously doubt that he doesn’t know it exists. He probably knows some of what’s in it. He probably doesn’t know much of the details. His complete denial is very much in the same vein as “I never met her” and “she’s not my type”. In other words…a damned lie. If he weren’t ignorant of so much on so many topics, I would assert that he uses log-log paper…but he wouldn’t understand that.
John Morales says
Quick update on Russia’s quick and easy special operation:
birgerjohansson says
John Morales @ 102
A psychozooicum is the beginning of sapience, but there is no need to assume it cannot make the leap to silica and metal over geologic time scales (assuming HAL9000 would be around at 2001 was way too optimistic).
But for that to happen, the squiggly carbon thingies (that’s us) need to avoid self-extinction. Despite narcissistic buggers like Bojo and Trump (and the oligarchs that finance them).
birgerjohansson says
No surprises here. The Guardian:
“Conditions at UK immigration removal centre ‘worst inspectors have seen’ | Immigration and asylum |
https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/article/2024/jul/09/conditions-at-uk-immigration-removal-centre-worst-inspectors-have-seen
John Morales says
Birger @108, no worries.
We are mostly in accord.
<
blockquote>But for that to happen, the squiggly carbon thingies (that’s us) need to avoid self-extinction.</
blockquote>
Here’s the nub. The Omphalos.
What about after that has happened?
(And yes, I too think the Culture represents the best aspirational outcome in the long run)
—
Hey, have you read Blindsight?
(Thesis: sapience is not just over-rated, but an impediment to living)
KG says
birgerjohansson@93,
Of course the media CEOs are lying shitbags, but anyone not convinced of the extent of Biden’s decline should compare his performance in the interview with Stephanopoulos (which was supposed to show that the debate was just a “bad night”) with recordings from the 2020 contest. You can do so here. The contrast is stark and shocking.
John Morales says
KG, FWIW, I recently saw both Jon Stewart and Stephen colbert (in YouTube over the last few hours) and they are both rather scathing and, well, agree with your stance.
(Which is not insignificant, if not as great as the power that print media retains in the UK)
birgerjohansson says
Jon Stewart has a talent for cutting through the BS.
birgerjohansson says
John Morales @ 110
Yes, I have read Blindsight. Scary. The sequel is scarier.
The Culture is a much better future.
.
Neal Asher has written a series of books about The Polity, not quite as anarchistic as the Culture. Earth Central dominates their federation.
The Prador aliens (with biological constraints that pre-adapt them to being vicious) are the nastiest beleivable aliens I have read about.
birgerjohansson says
..‘I was handed to a complete stranger’: the survivors fighting to end child marriage in 37 US states — and the people who want to keep it legal
Child marriage | The Guardian
https://www.theguardian.com/society/article/2024/jul/09/child-marriage-laws
birgerjohansson says
Jon Stewart: “Does Joe Biden realize that there’s no participation trophy in end-game democracy?”
.https://youtube.com/shorts/WsF3dug8PKU
Lynna, OM says
The more Donald Trump demands credit for Joe Biden’s successful policy on insulin costs, the more bonkers the Republican’s rhetoric appears.
Lynna, OM says
The new Republican platform is special, but not in a good way
Lynna, OM says
Good news, as reported by The New York Times:
Lynna, OM says
Senator Mike Lee is spreading he lies, (as reported by the Salt Lake Tribune):
birgerjohansson says
Putin general “dies siuddenly”
https://www.the-sun.com/news/11870653/putin-general-dead-kremlin-scandal/
The Sun belongs to the British “gutter press” but in this case I see no reason to questioning the report.
Lynna, OM says
There’s ignorant, and then there’s Marjorie Taylor Greene:
Link
A note added to MTG’s post by moderators:
Additional commentary:
From the explainer:
birgerjohansson says
Lynna OM @ 118
Ever since the Tea Party I have known the Republicans are ‘special’.
FFS Candance Owens is flirting with flat-Earth belief.
Lynna, OM says
Josh Marshall:
https://talkingpointsmemo.com/edblog/aoc-cbc
Lynna, OM says
Americans can look past sexual assault. Just don’t hurt dogs
Lynna, OM says
birger @123, yep, quite special.
In other news: The White House faces questions about Biden’s health. Here are some answers, by Associated Press
Lynna, OM says
Cartoon: Pretty good
Lynna, OM says
Followup to comment 124
AOC:
CompulsoryAccount7746, Sky Captain says
A warning about Peter Watts’ book Blindsight—not its philosophizing but rather some grating tropes employed.
Lynna, OM says
Power outages in SE Texas leave 2 million without air conditioning; Houston submerged by Beryl.
Lynna, OM says
https://www.wonkette.com/p/is-joe-biden-too-old-to-stop-methane
Is Joe Biden Too Old To Stop Methane Leaks? Washington Post Demands Answers!
Why yes, this $850 million grant program to fight emissions is another part of the Inflation Reduction Act.
Lots of good data in that article.
Lynna, OM says
https://www.wonkette.com/p/new-york-times-says-orkin-man-visited
New York Times Says Orkin Man Visited White House, IS JOE BIDEN INFESTED WITH WASPS?
Obviously.
Lynna, OM says
https://www.wonkette.com/p/nations-beloved-health-insurance
Nation’s Beloved Health Insurance Companies Might Be Scamming Medicare? That Can’t Be Right!
And therefore scamming us.
Lynna, OM says
2024 election live updates: More Democrats voice public support for Biden
Despite some divisions within the party, House Democrats have remained largely supportive of the president after his debate performance last month.
Lynna, OM says
Link
Lynna, OM says
Link
birgerjohansson says
Launch of first Ariane 6 (live comments will resume in half an hour).
Premier vol d’Ariane 6 (Diffusion officielle)
.https://youtube.com/live/AfNPzSOalEU
My apologies for not provifing a link earlier.
John Morales says
CompulsoryAccount7746, whoever wrote that about ‘Blindsight’ entirely missed the point, and focuses on a silly aspect due to their own misapprehension.
All the characters are basically superheroes and cyborged, none are baseline.
The POV character (the ‘autist’) is a child who had radical brain surgery (a hemispherectomy ) as a child and is now a ‘synthesist’ who can ‘read’ people by their ‘surfaces’. The autism, in short, is story-telling autism, not a reflection of the real thing, but a functional effect resulting from having half his biological brain missing.
In short, if anyone reads that book and imagines it’s a realistic depiction of autism as it exists today, which is a rather wide spectrum, they’re doing it wrong. Very wrong.
Might as well complain that the vampirism in that book is not quite like real vampirism!
(Have you yourself read the book?)
John Morales says
[bah]
Erratum: “had radical brain surgery as a child”, not “is a child who had radical brain surgery”.
birgerjohansson says
There are no known habitable exoplanets
.https://youtube.com/watch?v=eMtBmF7izgs
John Morales says
In the news: https://www.theguardian.com/world/article/2024/jul/09/nato-biden-ukraine-air-defenses
CompulsoryAccount7746, Sky Captain says
@John Morales #138:
I’d gleaned as much from synopses. Even from those and fan chatter, I caught hints of said tropes. (Yes, I saw some fans sought autism diagnoses based on resonance with the character or self-identified. Wikipedia currently says “vampires operate with diminished sentience presented as comparable to high-functional autism with comparable dysfunction in affect and speech”)
As I said, the point of the warning was of tropes. You could claim it’s not a book meant to promote philosophy, just cyborgs and aliens. But it functions as a vehicle for such musing. Likewise, the author hewed close enough to harmful stereotypes to be problematic when he designed his superheroes and repeated them to his audience. The reviewer went into more detail.
From the article: “If the first thing that you think of, when trying to imagine how a p-zombie would live, is autism because of what these people say about autism… Then that’s a problem.” The reviewer was writing about that problem, not the storyline.
“some of Siri’s descriptions of how [rote processing] works seem to have been lifted straight from real-life autistic people’s descriptions”
I added it to my todo list and consider giving it a shot. Was already familiar with the philosophical themes it drives at. Not keen on ‘awful people reacting to eacher’ dramas either. Or evopsych.
gijoel says
It’s a day that ends in y, and another force-birther is caught raping children.
What a good, christian gentleman.
I’m not sure if I want to throw up or fly into a blind rage.
Two out of three ain’t bad.
John Morales says
Appreciate the response, CA7746.
Maybe. Seemed more to me that the author imagined it was supposed to be a depiction of actual autism and therefore fit the tropes into which autism fits, since it’s not depicted as regular autism normally presents. Or something like that.
The article began thus: “Today’s Book: “Blindsight” by Peter Watts”.
and ended thus: “The Verdict: Not Recommended”
(Emphases in the original)
Um, I read the article. It’s rather short, and — again! — it misses the point.
Whatever ‘tropes’ the author imagines are more from their prejudiced perception than in the work itself.
The crew of the ship is the very best of the best, the cream of the cream.
All superbly gifted.
Seriously. It is not a book about autism, it’s a book about how useful consciousness is.
Yeah, but here’s the thing:
That’s the article writer’s personal opinion, not what is actually in the book.
Here’s a different take: https://enkiv2.medium.com/peter-watts-and-p-zombies-bbe750aaca8c
(See what I mean?)
Really. Even though you haven’t yet read the book.
Fair enough.
That for sure is self-confidence, but.
John Morales says
PS re:”Even from those and fan chatter, I caught hints of said tropes.”
https://tvtropes.org/pmwiki/pmwiki.php/Literature/Blindsight
More specifically, https://tvtropes.org/pmwiki/pmwiki.php/Characters/Blindsight
(It’s not autism!)
John Morales says
Well, one more. Thread is endless, after all…
I just about snickered when I read this:
Truly clueless, even having read the book, is what I think.
The actual reference: (I so very much wish I could embed!)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wEOUaJW05bU
CompulsoryAccount7746, Sky Captain says
@John Morales #144:
From the article:
* Because it’s not real autism. It is not a book about autism. However, it was written close enough to ambient propaganda that audiences have been reading that prejudiced caricature into it and think it is autism. Which would be wrong. And people sick of such propaganda, such as those targeted, may find the similarity irritating. Hence the negative recommendation for the book.
John Morales says
Yes, yes, CA7746. Exactly!
It’s an opinion, and not a well-founded one at that, about the work itself.
That video, BTW, is super-excellent.
[spoilers]
It was a Flash promo for the book like, um, around a couple of years in advance.
It perfectly explains the backstory to the vampire featured in the story itself.
It’s a perfect representation of the dry, amoral style of a scientist working for Big Pharma (check out the logos on the lower right!) who documents their progress.
Yes, vampires are autistic people, but it turns out autism is the result (this is hard SF, BTW) of the restoration of functionality of what was thought to be ‘junk’ DNA, and in the process they unearth vampirism. Turns out that it’s only a tiny facet of the vampire genome manifesting in otherwise regular people.
(Akin to the Neanderthals)
The science is magnificent.
—
The conceit is he took the elements of the vampire myth and made it scientifically-explainable.
Biology, ecology, physiology, behaviour, sociology, psychology of vampires are all covered.
All the mythic attributes are covered, as well, not just the scientific ones.
Crosses, more than covered. But garlic deprecated.
Etc.
By the way, that video is in itself a short story, not just a backstory.
It’s positively Jonathan Swift-level quality when it comes to Big Pharma.
It excoriates the lack of scruples in that industry, and the way they insidiously do their regulatory capture.
It features Texas (a great place where there is a huge convict population, a number of them in death row, and also access to controls since Texas is so, um, generous in its jail hospitality and not so fussed about pesky human rights stuff).
Gotta see it to get the gist, of course. But I assure you, it’s excellent.
And one can tell he is a fully-trained and practiced neuroscientist.
Main spoiler: What we perceive as ‘autism syndrome’ is actually the manifestation of a dormant geneplex and in its full flowering makes us look worse than second-rate.
(this is of course only approximate, but might be something that the person to whose opinion you so defer might understand; whether you do, well, I cannot say)
—
Anyway, point being, anyone who writes this is indicating they just don’t get it:
“This is so baffling to me that I’m not sure what to say about it, except that the vampires really do not strike me that way, and apart from their lack of desire for social contact, I’m not even sure why anybody would read them that way.”
(PW is Canadian, BTW. Had an incident on the USA border, was not good. Googleable, if you care to know some more context)
—
To the undiscerning (such as the opinionator you quoted), sure.
And, again: it is autism, just not for the POV character.
(Humans are but prey, and predators are smarter than their prey)
John Morales says
Hey, ever see Dollhouse, by the now-deprecated Whedon?
Most excellent character therein: https://dollhouse.fandom.com/wiki/Topher_Brink
(That’s the sort of POV for the video)
John Morales says
One more.
Re: “audiences have been reading that prejudiced caricature into it and think it is autism”
Now, don’t call me cynical or anything (heh), but it seems to me someone considering reading the book and having read that particular opinion and without my sort of other input or context will either be primed to read it in that manner, or to not bother reading at all.
Bit of a disservice to a most excellent work, I reckon.
And, remember: Science Fiction, right.
(Anyway, good luck — surely you are not thus primed, CA7746)
John Morales says
Regarding people’s perception of particular media nuggets:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Born_in_the_U.S.A._(song)#Political_reactions
Most amusingly: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Y.M.C.A._(song)#Impact_and_legacy
“President Donald Trump began using the song (as well as another Village People song, “Macho Man”) to close out his rallies during his 2020 re-election campaign.”
Heh heh heh.
John Morales says
HP Lovecraft: We are insignificant motes in the cosmic vastness. Mankind is as nothing.
Peter Watts: It’s worse than that; we are also burdened by consciousness, and weak as fuck.
John Morales says
Heh.
In the news: https://www.theguardian.com/politics/article/2024/jul/10/reduce-lords-retirement-age-80-not-about-joe-biden-keir-starmer
John Morales says
In Russia: https://www.theguardian.com/world/article/2024/jul/09/russia-issues-arrest-warrant-for-widow-of-alexei-navalny
StevoR says
The graphs are shouting warmings on Global Overheating :
https://x.com/ZLabe/status/1809291967433486802
Plus : https://climatereanalyzer.org/
Also as discussed here :
Source : https://www.abc.net.au/news/2024-07-08/temperatures-1-5c-above-pre-industrial-era-average-for-12-months/104054910
birgerjohansson says
Russia and other dictatorships have “rubber” crimes that can be applied to absolutely everything.
Russia: “extremism”, “hooliganism”, China “separatism”. Muslim countries:”causing unrest in the realm”.
.
“Ghost Ship of the Baltic Sea: Inside Sweden’s Ultimate Stealth Corvette”
(The presentation is by a US channel, but is blissfully free of verbal narration, a component that is often so over the top that it ruins the experience)
.https://youtube.com/watch?v=RI_UfBZBgkY
I would rather serve on this than on one of those unsinkable Russian vessels.
KG says
I have two respopnses to that:
1) Polls show considerable proportions of voters, including Democrats, think Biden should withdraw.
2) Who the fuck is more of a “party elite” than Biden and those around him? That a remarkably Trumpy thing to say.
Lynna, OM says
At the recent presidential debate, Donald Trump lied uncontrollably about Jan. 6. At his latest campaign rally, Trump made matters worse.
Surely, at some point this misrepresentation of January 6, and Trump’s focus on it, will backfire.
Lynna, OM says
KG @157: “That a remarkably Trumpy thing to say.”
Yep. That’s what I thought when I heard it. That’s a big mistake to word it that way, a mistake to even try to frame it that way.
Lynna, OM says
After mandating Christian Bibles in public schools, Oklahoma’s Ryan Walters assembled a right-wing team to overhaul the state’s social studies standards.
Lynna, OM says
Sen. Josh Hawley not only falsely claimed that the U.S. is a “Christian nation,” he went on to endorse a right-wing concept called “Christian nationalism.”
Brony, Social Justice Cenobite says
Lynna’s post at 160 made me want to fish for this article. Like Jordan Peterson’s desire to use violence in social conflicts, this is what permanently set me against Dennis Prager.
https://dennisprager.com/column/happiness-is-a-moral-obligation
I tie this to emotional neglect and abuse at many levels of society. Including abuse of employees by customers. It is natural for humans to display their moods. This is an inhumane view on happiness.
The “damage” caused by the unhappy, not the damage that causes unhappiness.
People like this can’t lose power fast enough and it’s my hope that the suppressed unhappy of all kinds (which likely align with his politics) take their humanity back. It’s part of why I do rational abandonment of civility.
Lynna, OM says
Brony @162, good points. Thanks for that input. Dennis Prager is despicable, atrocious, heinous, odious, contemptible, horrible, execrable … and any other synonyms you can add.
In other news: Biden blames Texas officials for delayed federal response to Beryl
Texas officials are blaming Biden and the Biden administration is blaming Texas officials. Patrick cannot be trusted.
Posted by readers of the article:
Brony, Social Justice Cenobite says
I’ve taken a liking to malevolent.
Lynna, OM says
Link
Lynna, OM says
Cartoon: A second Revolution?
Lynna, OM says
Most of the doofuses that worked in and around the Trump campaign/administration last time are still around and still popping up in the news.
Sebastian Gorka Really Lets His Nazi Flag Fly At Kamala Harris
https://www.wonkette.com/p/sebastian-gorka-really-lets-his-nazi
From coverage in 2017: Sebastian Gorka Made Nazi-Linked Vitezi Rend ‘Proud’ by Wearing Its Medal
Lynna, OM says
Brony @164, :-)
In other news: https://www.wonkette.com/p/this-lawyer-blamed-a-12-year-old
This Lawyer Blamed A 12-Year-Old For Seducing Trump Pastor Robert Morris
His name is J. Shelby Sharpe and there is something deeply wrong with him.
Lynna, OM says
https://www.wonkette.com/p/so-what-are-the-trumpjeffrey-epsteinunderage
So What Are The Trump/Jeffrey Epstein/Underage Girls Rape Accusations? A Very Gross Explainer.
This is your BIG FAT TRIGGER WARNING.
Additional embedded links in the article lead to corroborating material.
It’s all too iffy … and way too much covered up, with insufficient investigation.
Lynna, OM says
Washington Post link
More at the link.
birgerjohansson says
You don’t get it. Biden used a big magnet or something to drag the hurricane ashore in Texas.
‘Magnets, how do they work?’
Lynna, OM says
As summarized by Steve Benen from a Washington Post article:
Summarized by Steve Benen from an NBC News article:
Lynna, OM says
Often In Dissent, Sometimes Alone, Jackson Lays Out Progressive Vision For The Court
Lynna, OM says
Feds Say They’ve Unraveled A Russian Bot Network
The FSB is coming up with increasingly creative ways to create low-follower X accounts.
birgerjohansson says
A Different Bias:
“Thoghts on Reform UK Support for Electoral Reform”
.https://youtube.com/watch?v=f1ALqVSgAIEThoghts on Reform UK Support for Electoral Reform
Lynna, OM says
AOC files impeachment articles targeting Justices Alito, Thomas
Lynna, OM says
Political ads online are full of misinformation and scams, study finds
Lynna, OM says
Cartoon: ‘1984’
Lynna, OM says
So Clarence Thomas visited Russia? Clarence Thomas got a helicopter ride to Yusupov Palace in St. Petersburg?
I expect to hear more regarding these details.
Lynna, OM says
Link
Lynna, OM says
https://www.wonkette.com/p/biden-delivers-barn-burner-nato-speech
Biden Delivers Barn-Burner NATO Speech, Doesn’t Even Threaten To Quit Alliance And Marry Putin
We guess it DOES matter who’s president.
Lynna, OM says
Michael Cohen is asking the Supreme Court to revive his lawsuit against Trump
The former fixer turned star witness in the hush money trial wants to force Trump to pay for jailing him in response to his refusal to promise not to write a book.
whheydt says
Re: Lynna, OM @ #167….
Perhaps they noticed that Kamala Harris was (1) elected DA of San Francisco, (2) elected Attorney General of the State of California, and (3) elected to be a US Senator from California.
birgerjohansson says
Jon Stewart has an epic rant.
“Oh, so the French can hold an election better than America?!”
.https://youtube.com/shorts/ZGqSU-UD8ro
birgerjohansson says
Lightbulb moment:
Michelle Obama is a genuinely popular human being but does not like politics.
-Dubya had not exactly been awarded a Nobel Prize, but he stumbled through 8 years by delegating thinking to various Republican thugs.
Solution (that is better than the Dubya years): make Michelle Obama president, with the understanding big political decisions can be delegated to some reasonable competent and honest Veep.
*
I write this after the devastating criticism written by Clooney, because it implies the debate screwup was not an isolated event.
.
I know Biden is perfectly capable of policy, but right now the issue is defeating fascism in a political campaign.
Biden cannot do this purely from behind well-spoken proxies.
The way Merican election campaign functions, the Democratic nominee must be front and center blasting away like Demosthenes or Cicero. This is goddamn Trump they are facing.
birgerjohansson says
“Bandkanon 1 self-propelled gun | The Swedish beast with a fearsome fiery breath
.https://youtube.com/watch?v=82jXQ56mOe0
I wish we still had them in inventory, ready to ship to Ukraine. The rapid fire was perfect for counterbattery work.
birgerjohansson says
“The Pokemon Foxes get adopted!”
.https://youtube.com/watch?v=jCPOsD23BsU
The SaveAFox animal rescue Youtube channel got hacked by a Russian group for three days, but now the site is back.
JM says
@186 birgerjohansson: The US is actually working on new strategy for artillery. Based on analysis of what has happened in Ukraine they realized the old systems would not be good in an actual army vs army engagement shortly after the war started. The US Army depends on too much towed artillery, good for fighting in Afghanistan and Iraq against insurgents but too slow and fragile for duty against a hostile army with long ranged artillery also. The M109 is decent but terribly out dated.
Defense News – US Army readies new artillery strategy
The article is from 2023 and outdated at this point. The Army canceled the ERCA system early in 2024, it had too many problems. Some have pushed for improved artillery shells but the Army seems to have come to the conclusion that isn’t a good idea for a basic weapon either, in a war they couldn’t be produced fast enough and would be too expensive.
Shipping artillery to Ukraine seems to have reminded the army that in an actual war they would need a lot of shells and thus they need to be easy to make and cheap.
John Morales says
Wow.
https://barbend.com/weightlifter-wins-national-championships-dislocated-finger/
(Even Chopper (‘harden the fuck up’) Reid would have been impressed)
John Morales says
Birger @175, FWIW, that’s a great video by Phil.
(I don’t usually make such comments, but can’t be relentlessly critical, either)
GerrardOfTitanServer says
From a clip of a news article above
Note that this is grossly misleading in context. I have no idea why nearly all legal scholars continue with this fiction, especially for those on our side when the real history is very different and that would be very useful to supporting the rule of law. Again, at the time of the founding in America, many / most criminal prosecutors were the victims of the (supposed) crimes acting in their own private capacity. It was the common law right of every person to seek an indictment from a grand jury to become prosecutor (or presumably appoint someone else of their choosing to be prosecutor). Criminal prosecution was never an exclusive power of the executive. Rather, it was a common law right of the people which was then usurped by various acts of the legislature, and then granted to the executive by the legislature.
Is Prosecution a Core Executive Function? Morrison v. Olson and the Framers’ Intent
Stephanie AJ. Dangel
The Yale Law Journal
Vol. 99: 1069
https://openyls.law.yale.edu/bitstream/handle/20.500.13051/16671/48_99YaleLJ1069_March1990_.pdf
See also:
Are Cops Constitutional?
Roger Roots
Seton Hall Constitutional L.J. 2001, 685
https://constitution.org/2-LawRev/roots/cops.txt
Note that this argument also seriously undercuts some of the arguments used by the king-of-America decision because even under a unitary executive theory, the president still has no special powers over prosecution except those that congress took from the people and gave to the president.
whheydt says
Re: John Morales @ #189…
A different sort of weight lifting…. https://icelandmonitor.mbl.is/news/news/2024/07/10/first_woman_in_the_world_to_lift_the_fullsterkur_st/
GerrardOfTitanServer says
Sorry for copy-pasting it here too, but I think others should see it, if only for the conversations that it might start and the brainstorming that it might lead to.
Upon reflection, this is what I think Biden should do. Joe Biden should order the arrest of Trump and the 6 MAGA SCOTUS judges and ordered them held at GitMo, without access to lawyers, without habeas corpus. After that is accomplished, he should make the following public announcement.
Trump tried to overturn the election and stop the peaceful transition of power on 6 January 2021. By the definition in the Constitution, he is a traitor and was part of an insurrection against the United States. With the recent Trump v United States decision by the Supreme Court, 6 Supreme Court justices have become complicit in this attempt to overthrow the government. Through their actions, they have also violated their oaths of office. Consequently, I have taken the drastic action of ordering their arrest and detention pending trial.
Furthermore, I have taken it upon myself to enforce the provision of the 14th amendment that bans traitors who have previously taken an oath of office from running for public office again. Under that authority, I am ordering that Trump shall be removed from all ballots for the November election, and the 6 Supreme Court justices shall be immediately removed from their position on the supreme court.
Given the severity of these crimes, and how the initial crimes happened during an armed rebellion against the constitution, and giving the ongoing threat of armed rebellion by their many collaborators in the federal congress, and in the State legislatures, and elsewhere, I have revoked their right to habeas corpus as allowed by the federal constitution.
It is my goal that the State legislatures will work to immediately pass a new federal constitutional amendment that affirms that no officer or agent of the executive branch, including the president, shall have any immunity for unlawful actions because everyone should be equal before the law in court, even if they are the president. Our nation was founded on this central premise, that everyone should be equal before the law in court. That’s what it means to be equal before the law.
Next, I will work with both parties in the Senate to immediately appoint 6 new supreme court justices to fill the new vacancies. I will strive for moderate, non-partisan picks. In particular, I will endeavor to find judges who wish to respect precedent and preserve the prior status quo, including Chevron Deference, but also the people’s inalienable right to weapons as guaranteed by the second amendment. However, make no mistake: I will not hesitate to make my selections without the cooperation of one political party in the Senate if they decide to not cooperate and instead side with the people who would tear down our republic constitution and replace it with a monarchy.
Finally, to show that this is not about my own personal power, nor the power of my party, I plan on resigning as president as soon as these two things are accomplished, and I will not run for reelection.
May god bless America.
The point of this new plan is that it’s not actually unlawful. Arguably everything is part of the legal process, although the invocation of the 14th amendment in this way by the president would be highly controversial among those who support traitors, e.g. the Republican party. The 14th amendment does not specify an enforcement mechanism for the clause about traitors who violate their oath of office, so the president might as well claim enforcement power, to kick Trump off the ballot, and to remove the 6 MAGA traitor justices from SCOTUS.
John Morales says
Right. Biden should break the law, in other words.
You got one word in the wrong place, there. Entirely changes the meaning.
(It’s a thing in both law and coding)
Here’s the fix (I double-clicked, then dragged that word to its proper place):
‘The point of this new plan is that it’s Arguably not actually unlawful. everything is part of the legal process, although the invocation of the 14th amendment in this way by the president would be highly controversial among those who support traitors, e.g. the Republican party.’
John Morales says
PS “May god bless America.”
Nononono… this is supposedly a public announcement, according to the vision.
It should be “God bless America!”.
(Oratorical techniques are a thing)
John Morales says
Still, it is indeed better than “maybe god can bless America?”.
(So, could be worse)
GerrardOfTitanServer says
How does it break the law? It’s Biden’s power and duty under his oath of office to prevent coups, and the 14th amendment is quite clear that traitors cannot hold public office. Trump is clearly a traitor, and IMAO the 6 MAGA SCOTUS justices are clearly complicit in the attempt to overthrow the government by retroactively granting Trump immunity for trying to overthrow the government so he can try it again.
John Morales says
For example: “America could sure use God’s blessing!”.
(But then again… this is the USA of which we speak)
GerrardOfTitanServer says
John
That’s tradition for America, and I’m trying to use persuasion. I don’t actually believe in gods, but that’s the kind of thing that sells well to certain very large segments of America.
John Morales says
Due process.
Due process.
Due process.
I get that.
—
Again: in your case, you say ((X is true) and (it’s arguable that X is true because [blah]) whereas I hold that you should have said ((X is arguably true because [blah])
IOW, you can’t just assert something is true and follow that up with an arguable reason for its purported truth, if you want to be at all cogent.
John Morales says
Now that, I sure cannot dispute. :)
John Morales says
[To be clear, I’m not dissing your perception, only your argumentative technique, Gerrard]
GerrardOfTitanServer says
During a coup in progress, there is no due process concerns at all. That’s why our constitution explicitly allows suspending habeus corpus during an invasion or rebellion.
Due process does not necessarily apply to someone’s ability to hold public office. There is no obvious legal standard under the 14th amendment that someone should get due process before being removed for being a traitor. Historically, when it was passed, there was no due process for the traitors of the Confederacy for being barred from holding public office. They were simply barred. You sound like the Trump defenders in the Colorado ballot court battle where the Colorado court made the same determinations that I just did in this paragraph, but the Colorado court decided that it was their power to remove Trump from the ballot (again because the 14th amendment doesn’t specify an enforcement mechanism). You sound just like Trump’s defenders saying that “no no, it should work differently (while also not specifying how it should work)”.
Under my plan, Trump and the 6 MAGA traitor judges will get their date in court for treason, but no date in court for being removed from office.
Again, SCOTUS just created a king of America, and is doing it clearly for that traitor Trump to have another chance to overthrow the government. If that’s not treason, then I don’t know what is.
GerrardOfTitanServer says
Thank you. I see.
John Morales says
Um, were you not the very person who not so long ago held the Rule of Law to be an indispensable platform for proper government, Gerrard?
John Morales says
Re #204, thank you too. Civility is nice.
John Morales says
One more, but endless, right?
The current cynical narrative is that SCOTUS made the Prez immune to official actions of the office, the little caveat is that SCOTUS (ultimately, after all, due process) decides what is and what is not an ‘official act’.
Ain’t POTUS being made the king, it’s SCOTUS making itself the éminence grise.
They like whatever it was, they can decide it was official, and therefore immune to prosecution.
They don’t, well… you see where this leads.
GerrardOfTitanServer says
Yes. Which is why I’m so incensed, so angry, so worried, so upset. The president immunity decision is a direct attack on rule of law. An attack in the worst way possible. “Rules for thee and not for me”. “Rule of law” means that people are answerable to the law via a grand jury and petite jury in a court of law. That’s what “rule of law” means. That what “under the law” and “answerable to the law” means. They have practically destroyed the rule of law with this decision. At least mortally wounded it.
When the enemy is breaking the rules and trying to install a Christian theocratic fascist regime, we shouldn’t play by the old rules if that gives them a chance for victory.
Also, I think that my plan is still mostly playing by the old rules. The 14th amendment, aka the highest law because it’s in the constitution, based on the historical record, arguably can be enforced simply by presidential decree. I might not support that interpretation in more normal times, but these are not normal times.
GerrardOfTitanServer says
Yea. IIRC, I was the first to mention this in the old “July 4” thread.
John Morales says
Well, anyway.
Tell ya what, Gerrard: I’m an Aussie, and my skin in this game is second, maybe third hand.
I can but speak of generalities, but as I reckon it, anything along those lines is surely beyond mere brinkmanship; rather, at best, a provication, then worse, an ultimatum, with the obvious opening to spin it as trolling and total hypocrisy.
(Neither of us are politicians, of course)
GerrardOfTitanServer says
I think I’m prepared to face those potential consequences compared to letting them destroy the rule of law and make a king in America, although I’m open to a less extreme plan.
Lynna, OM says
Making the case that the Republican Party is increasingly hostile toward democracy is simple: One need only quote Republican officials.
Lynna, OM says
Link
Lynna, OM says
USA Today link.More at the link.
Various X posts are also showing Trump stopping talking for a full minute.
More from Rex Huppke:
Trump also babbled about Hannibal Lecter (a fictional serial killer) again, for the umpteenth time.
birgerjohansson says
NOOO!
Shelley Duvall, star of The Shining and Annie Hall, dies aged 75 | Film | The Guardian
https://www.theguardian.com/film/article/2024/jul/11/shelley-duvall-star-of-the-shining-and-annie-hall-dies-aged-75
She had her 75th birthday just a couple of days ago, it made me remember the film.
birgerjohansson says
All good news should be taken with a grain of salt.
“New Alzheimer’s Nasal Spray Clears Toxic Tangles in Human Neurons And Mice” : ScienceAlert
https://www.sciencealert.com/new-alzheimers-nasal-spray-clears-toxic-tangles-in-human-neurons-and-mice
Brony, Social Justice Cenobite says
Good bully policy.
https://www.huffpost.com/entry/danny-trejo-fourth-of-july-fight_n_668d8df5e4b0a62057b88bfd
Someone picking through project 2025 with a “divide and conquer” mindset. I like this. Relatedly there are many kinds of right-wing Christian and other with contradictory views and beliefs here. The authoritarian/fascist infighting can be encouraged.
https://prospect.org/politics/2024-07-10-project-2025-republican-presidencies-tradition/
birgerjohansson says
Stephen Colbert:
“Project 2025 Is Trump’s Blueprint For A Radical Conservative Takeover Of The US Government”
.https://youtube.com/watch?v=kXFwdmR6BYU
Brony, Social Justice Cenobite says
Lots of trigger warnings for sexual abuse and institutional neglect, enabled by supposedly “independent” investigators.
https://www.motherjones.com/politics/2024/02/mercy-corps-me-too-sexual-abuse-harassment-independent-investigation/
birgerjohansson says
Peter Cushing turns up in parliament to sort out a sleeping Jacob Rees-Mogg.
https://www.facebook.com/share/p/eQ4LTpYybhbS4pZh/
Brony, Social Justice Cenobite says
About the use of “Jezebel” to silence.
https://sarahbessey.substack.com/p/jezebel
birgerjohansson says
Stanzi Potenza
Planned parenthood protester vs critical yeast infection #shorts
.https://youtube.com/shorts/mRZ936MPiN4
birgerjohansson says
On a recent conference samples of tissue and enzymes taken from dead Greenland sharks were discussed – it looks like there is no decline in enzymatic activity in greenland sharks with age (they become sexually mature at 150 and may live as long as 500 years).
Previously it was known that bowhead whales can get more than 200 years old.
(Once aquatic species have grown to a size where they have no enemies evolutionary pressure for self-repair and longer life can manifest, as there is no predation)
birgerjohansson says
“How to be a Norwegian parent: let your kids roam free, stay home alone, have fun – and fail” | Norway | The Guardian
https://www.theguardian.com/lifeandstyle/article/2024/jul/11/how-to-be-a-norwegian-parent-let-your-kids-roam-free-stay-home-alone-have-fun-and-fail
Lynna, OM says
Good news to which Republicans are trying to put a swift stop: IRS nabs $1 billion from rich tax cheats while GOP fights to defund it
birgerjohansson says
“Las Vegas sets record for number of days over 115F amid its ‘most extreme heatwave in history’ | Las Vegas |
The Guardian
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/article/2024/jul/10/las-vegas-heatwave-record-temperature
Lynna, OM says
Trump sees that J.D. Vance can be manipulated, and that at his core Vance has no moral compass.
Link
birgerjohansson says
SaveAFox:
“We got HACKED! How to fix your stolen YouTube account.”
.https://youtube.com/watch?v=_TuVeTpXS94
(They were lucky to have a Google employee as a subscriber)
Lynna, OM says
The GOP’s latest anti-Garland gambit fails, despite Trump’s push
birgerjohansson says
The good thing with the Trump era is, we now know the truth about the Republican party – we had really known it all along, but it is nice they hsve dropped the masks.
And it is surprising to see that some really horrible conservatives somehow found the integrity to back out of the insane vlown posse.
Like in 1860 and 1933, it is only in extreme circumstances you see what people really are like.
Lynna, OM says
U.S., Germany foil alleged Russian plot to assassinate CEO of German arms firm sending weapons to Ukraine
The alleged plot targeted the CEO of Rheinmetall, which provides artillery rounds to Ukraine and plans to open plants in Ukraine to make ammo and armored vehicles.
Lynna, OM says
Link
Lynna, OM says
Heritage Foundation president Kevin Roberts: “The overlap is tremendous” between Trump’s campaign platform and Project 2025
Unearthed video: Project 2025 director said project has “great” relationship with Trump and he’s “very bought in with this”
Video at the link.
Lynna, OM says
Donald Trump is dangerous. The media is finally talking about it, by Mark Sumner
Lynna, OM says
Lawrence O’Donnell:
Link
Video at the link.
John Morales says
In China news:
John Morales says
In Gaza:
birgerjohansson says
Here is the link to Science about very early plate tectonics.
My comment; If plate tectonics can get started that early, maybe biological processing of matter is not always needed for plate tectonics to be viable, making plate tectonics on exoplanets more plausible.
.
“Ancient crystals point to a surprisingly early start for plate tectonics” | Science | AAAS
https://www.science.org/content/article/ancient-crystals-point-surprisingly-early-start-plate-tectonics
birgerjohansson says
Aaaargh. Biden calls Zelensky “Putin”.
birgerjohansson says
Local time is one in the morning, I am too tired to assess the credibility of this article.
.
“Why consciousness may have evolved to benefit society rather than individuals” – Raw Story
https://www.rawstory.com/why-consciousness-may-have-evolved-to-benefit-society-rather-than-individuals/
birgerjohansson says
Stanzi Potensa:
“You’re dying but you still got h*ntai tabs open” #shorts
.https://youtube.com/shorts/0NYSjwLJDHA
birgerjohansson says
I thought Tom Baker’s Doctor Who killed off Suhtek once and for all in Pyramids of Mars, but now they have a rematch.
.
Worse, someone is doing a remake of a Sergio Leone / Clint Eastwood classic.
JM says
Rawstory – Biden and Trump remain tied
This follows the pattern of several other polls after the debate. People think Trump won but that both Trump and Biden did badly in the debate in different ways, just Biden did worse. The end result is that very few votes shifted and the undecided are still undecided.
John Morales says
Birger @240,
“But we have argued that consciousness may have evolved to facilitate key social adaptive functions.”
It follows they must believe social adaptive functions existed prior to consciousness existing, which is on its face absurd.
John Morales says
Ah, the show Moffat fucked beyond repair, where the Doctor has become a mythic demigod.
Anyway, by the time I stopped watching (the Moffatification of the show had reached a terminal stage) it was all down to
.Translation: “it’s in the script”. Don’t have to justify anything at all.
Rob Grigjanis says
John @245: Moffat was also at least partially responsible for the execrable Sherlock.
birgerjohansson says
Noah Lugeons, Heath Enwright & Eli Bosnick:
“Scathing Atheist 595 Hindsight is 2025 Edition”
.https://youtube.com/watch?v=uhJK0Sttgbw
Lynna, OM says
birger @239, “Aaaargh. Biden calls Zelensky “Putin”.
Yep, that’s so common with Biden, he has been a gaffe machine throughout his entire career. People used to keep lists of his gaffes 30 years ago.
Biden also provided nuanced and fact-based assessments of:
NATO
China and its leadership
Unions and their effect on the economy
South Korea’s new investments in chip manufacturing in the USA
etc.
There is no such thing as a perfect, gaffe-free Biden. Never has been. Never will be. Often, he corrects himself in real time. That’s one gaffe he didn’t correct in real time.
There is no way, in the current political climate, that anyone will let Biden get away with even one gaffe, let alone several. I don’t see any way out of this.
Lynna, OM says
NBC News:
Good news.
Lynna, OM says
NBC News:
President Biden answered questions about this at the press conference. He did well with those answers. He explained the situation and then went on the outline a response that included Europe and other nations joining the USA in finding ways to show that China will a pay (does pay) price it doesn’t want to pay for siding with Russia. (Mostly economic/industry stuff related to lack of European and USA investment in doing business in China.)
Lynna, OM says
Colorado Politics:
Lynna, OM says
Biden delivers strong, insightful performance in closely watched press conference, by Mark Sumner
Lynna, OM says
Link
Lynna, OM says
Link
video at the link
Lynna, OM says
“Tonight President Biden was knowledgeable, engaging, and capable,” Sen. Chris Coons (D-Del.) said on X. “He displayed a level of depth on foreign policy that Donald Trump has never and could never. No one is more prepared to lead our nation forward than Joe Biden.”
I like the joke Biden told about Trump filling out his score card before he ever hits the golf ball.
People saw whatever they wanted to see. Commentators and politicians cherry-picked parts of the press conference that they thought proved their points.
Link
John Morales says
I note whoever Alex Cole may be, knowing know how to spell ‘Hannibal Lecter’ is not one of their abilities.
(Sorry, was a bit bowled over by all the gushing)
KG says
If Biden was actually fit to stand (let alone remain President until 2029), those calling on him to go would not be able to cherry-pick anything. As it is, it looks increasingly likely the USA will be run by President Putin and Vice-President Trump come January.
birgerjohansson says
I get a headache whenever “quantum” pops up in a headline. I leave it to you to dissect the article for flaws.
“Time might be a mirage created by quantum physics, study suggests” | Live Science
https://www.livescience.com/physics-mathematics/quantum-physics/time-might-be-a-mirage-created-by-quantum-physics-study-suggests
birgerjohansson says
The Guardian
“Lowest turnout in UK general election since universal suffrage, report shows: | General election 2024
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/article/2024/jul/12/lowest-turnout-in-uk-general-election-since-universal-suffrage-report-shows
Yep. When voters feel nobody listens, participation drops and dangerous populists get support.
*
The Guardian
“Disinformation networks ‘flooded’ X before EU elections, report says” | European Union |
https://www.theguardian.com/world/article/2024/jul/12/disinformation-networks-social-media-x-france-germany-italy-eu-elections
John Morales says
Just apply John’s Rule of Headlines:
“Time might be a mirage created by quantum physics, study suggests”
and
“Time might not be a mirage created by quantum physics, study suggests”
are the very same headline.
(not even gonna look at it, but that lack of quantification is suggestive)
—
Anyway, that’s definitely within Sabine’s expert purview.
birgerjohansson says
MILLIPEDES (short)
.https://youtube.com/shorts/4E4tw1DF7_U
lotharloo says
@235 Lynna, OM:
True, why doesn’t the media make a front page report that “90% of the time, Biden was mentally sharp and showed no sign of mental senility” because after all, the standard for being the president of USA is that your brain should only fall apart some of the times rather than most of the times.
KG says
I’ve watched the entire Biden press conference, and while “Vice-President Trump” was by far the most glaring gaffe, there were several occasions where his replies lacked coherence, wandering from his main point and failing to come back to it, andor a sentence tailed off into an “anyway…”. Sure, it wasn’t as bad as his debate performance, but considering how vital it was to reassure people about his capabilities, it was nowhere near good enough.
StevoR says
Just read this if you can bear it. Nothing justifies this. WARNING : War, violence, death, torture,horror, Gaza reality.
https://www.972mag.com/israeli-soldiers-gaza-firing-regulations/
StevoR says
Reminder – Biden has always been very prone to gaffes and of course he’s had his spech issues (stutter) :
Source : https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2019/apr/25/joe-biden-2020-public-gaffes-mistakes-history
Then OTOH, Trump has always been racist and , frankly evil. never mind “Covfefe” ( https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Covfefe ) there’s some real tough competition for Trump’s worst gaffes and spewings as in this youtube list of President Donald Trump’s Most Epic Gaffes of All Time.
Lynna, OM says
Cartoon: The running mate
birgerjohansson says
The Guardian (California)
Experience: We found a family of bears in our pool | Life and style |
https://www.theguardian.com/lifeandstyle/article/2024/jul/12/experience-we-found-a-bear-swimming-in-our-pool
birgerjohansson says
Some More News :
“Everything Bad Is Ronald Reagan’s Fault ”
BTW I recall how shocked we were in Sweden, november 1980.
birgerjohansson says
Aaaargh! Sorry!
Brony, Social Justice Cenobite says
It took him long enough. The mask paranoia has Penn dropping libertarian.
Very early on in the Deep Rifts I remember joining in on the criticism of Penn for shaming a women comedian. I wish I remembered the details better but my impression is that he wasn’t supposed to find it funny because it wasn’t in his life experience. In fact it revealed his unprofessionalism as a comedian to me at the time, and the fact that he reacted with anger at her humor was revealing. I hope he’s becoming more professional and mature.
https://www.cracked.com/article_40871_penn-jillette-wants-to-talk-it-all-out.html
birgerjohansson says
A Different Bias
“Brexit’s David Frost Says the Quiet Part Out Loud”
.https://youtube.com/watch?v=5VRlP-2nRLs
….no centrist roots…
Hegemony over the right-wing vote while poaching votes from the center.”
birgerjohansson says
This is awesome!
“How to make an old antibiotic 100 times more potent”
https://phys.org/news/2024-07-antibiotic-potent.html
KG says
StevoR@265,
Sure, Biden has always been gaffe-prone, but an exaggeration of longstanding weaknesses is surely what might be expected with age. And I already linked @111 to a video where you can compare the Biden of today with the Biden of the 2020 campaign. As for all the “But Trump…” stuff here and elsewhere, it’s precisely because Trump’s return to the White House would be a world-endangering catastrophe that he must be defeated in November – and along with many others, including people who see Biden close up, I don’t believe he can do that. It just won’t do to attribute all the publicity about his decline to evil billionaires – his calamitous performance at the debate can’t be wished away, and neither the Stephanopoulos interview nor the NATO press conference was a convincing refutation of the claims that he is unfit both for the campaign and to serve another term.
lumipuna says
Hello.
The Finnish parliament just (narrowly) passed a law that allows border guards to turn away potential asylum seekers. This is relevant for future developments on the Finnish-Russian border – but how exactly, remains unclear.
I haven’t even seen any mention on when the law will become effective. Supposedly, it would only be applied in “emergency circumstances” that might or might not arise in near future, ie. if Russia again facilitates a mass movement of asylum seekers to the Finnish border. But what counts as an emergency? Last year’s border closure (which is still ongoing) was rolled out before there was real mass movement, but it arguably probably prevented the situation from escalating into a real mass movement. I’m still not convinced that it was the best solution, particularly if it needs to be continued infinitely. There has been discussion on whether opening the border crossing points for passenger traffic in near future might be feasible, and whether the possibility of applying this new law will make it any more feasible. The circus we saw last year could always start again.
There’s a great deal of skepticism about what the border guards could actually do in a situation of actual mass movement, if many of the migrants refuse to turn away (particularly if some FSB guys on the Russian side are also ordering them to turn back to Finland, possibly at gunpoint). The reps of border guards’ union have told media that they are concerned about legal liabilities regarding individual border guards’ duties. They want clear instructions on how to define and identify “specially vulnerable individuals” such as children and sick people, who’d need to be given a pass regardless. Legal experts are concerned that the whole law will turn out unenforceable after being challenged by the European Union.
I’ll write more about this when something happens or I have more coherent thoughts on the public discussion.
Lynna, OM says
lumipuna @274: “Legal experts are concerned that the whole law will turn out unenforceable after being challenged by the European Union.”
Sounds like a mess. Elected officials in the Finnish parliament are not doing their jobs carefully enough. If people cannot understand what the law’s instructions are, then it is unenforceable, (and that’s apart from what the European Union may decide).
Lynna, OM says
AT&T says hackers stole records of nearly all cellular customers’ calls and texts
The data contains records of calls and texts between approximately May 1 and Oct. 31, 2022, and on Jan. 2, 2023.
Lynna, OM says
Biden’s gaffes aren’t new. The media’s obsession with them is.
tomh says
I’m still waiting for mainstream news to run constant articles on how unfit Trump is to be president. No cherry-picking needed.
birgerjohansson says
The Ring Of Fire:
“Trump Admits To Crowd That He Doesn’t Understand How The World Works”
.https://youtube.com/watch?v=yvPGwiyxHJw
Pierce R. Butler says
Lynna @ # 255: … Biden was knowledgeable, engaging, and capable …
KG @ # 263: … his replies lacked coherence, wandering from his main point and failing to come back to it…
One key difference here involves the skill-set needed to act as president versus the (slightly-overlapping) skill set needed to run for president. JRB (mostly) does pretty well in the former and (especially recently) poorly in the latter; DJT mostly the opposite.
We owe much of this conundrum to the newsertainment media complex and the electorate they have trained to their values – sfaict, one of the few situations in which the US today does not echo 20th-c Europe of the ’20s & ’30s. (Though Huey Long’s and Adolf Hitler’s showmanship did make all the difference in their respective careers, neither of them pandered to an already-primed audience demanding theatricality.)
birgerjohansson says
Wife Divorces MAGA Husband over Qanon / Trump Obsession
.https://youtube.com/watch?v=z3HGxPNZQSI
-no, neither JFK or JFK Jr are coming back from the dead.
birgerjohansson says
“The Empire That Is A Game” | Culture
.https://youtube.com/watch?v=PepVh25dPzU
birgerjohansson says
Cool Worlds:
“The Fermi Paradox Has An Incredibly Simple Solution”
.https://youtube.com/watch?v=sbUgb2OPpdM
Lynna, OM says
U.S. intel officials: Russia wants to boost Trump in 2024 race
In 2016, Russia took steps to interfere in our elections to help Donald Trump. In 2020, Russia did it again. In 2024, Russia is doing it once more.
Lynna, OM says
As summarized from NBC News by Steve Benen:
Lynna, OM says
Trump allies sow the seeds for election violence
See also: Trump allies at Heritage declare 2024 election illegitimate in advanceM/a>, at the Washington Post.
A “war game” presented at the right-wing foundation imagined far-fetched scenarios for election interference to justify preemptive measures.
Lynna, OM says
Link
Brony, Social Justice Cenobite says
Here’s the intact link for my post.
https://www.cracked.com/article_40871_penn-jillette-wants-to-talk-it-all-out.html
Lynna, OM says
https://www.wonkette.com/p/why-did-joe-biden-send-hurricane
Why Did Joe Biden Send Hurricane Beryl To Houston, And Why Hasn’t He Turned On Their Power?
Houston storm waters contaminated by toxic bullshit flow from Lt. Governor.
KG says
Having watched the entire press conference, I simply don’t agree with that assessment – mine is given@263, and from what I’ve seen online, I’m by no means an outlier.
We know a lot more about how Biden’s doing on the latter skill-set than the former – because he has a competent team around him, they could be doing much of the work, as Reagan’s team clearly did in his second term. But let’s assume that’s not so, or doesn’t matter because of his competent team; it’s the latter skill-set that’s key to defeating Trump, and that’s currently the most important-and-urgent task facing anyone anywhere in the world. And again I’m seeing complaints above about the media, which, however true, are simply beside the point – unless Biden, following the SCOTUS immunity decision, takes emergency powers to order the media to switch from covering his gaffes to covering Trump’s lies and evil intentions.
lotharloo says
@283 birgerjohansson:
Meh, okay video. The most interesting thing was the last part where he brought up the impossibility of intergalactic travel. But apart from that, there is no paradox because there are no intelligent life forms in the universe, once you accept that humans are not actually intelligent.
KG says
lotharloo@291,
Yes, I wasn’t convinced that intergalactic travel would be impossible to a galactic-scale culture – he simply asserted that rather than arguing it. For example, such a culture might manipulate stellar orbits so one or more stars was propelled out of its home galaxy toward another.
lotharloo says
@KG:
Well, even if you manage to move at 10 times the speed of Voyager (fastest stuff made by humans), you will be moving 1000 times slower than light and since Andromeda is more than 2 million light years away, it will take you more than 2 billion years to get to Andromeda, so, yeah, intergalactic travel is pretty impossible.
John Morales says
Brony @270, that’s a surprisingly good interview. I’m mildly surprised.
birgerjohansson says
Some good news, for a change
Ring of Fire:
“Trump’s Polling Lead Starts To Evaporate As Debate Shock Wears Off”
.https://youtube.com/watch?v=Yf42M_GiHVY
John Morales says
“The Fermi Paradox Has An Incredibly Simple Solution”
Yeah, I know. It’s not a Paradox.
John Morales says
lotharloo, it doesn’t matter what’s the speed.
This is all known stuff.
cf. https://www.astro.umd.edu/~miller/teaching/honr/suppl09.pdf
KG says
Why assume that’s the fastest speed possible to a galactic-scale culture? Voyager 1 is travelling at about 17 km/s relative to us, but some stars move relative to their parent galaxies at >1000 km/s, and I see no reason to assume a galactic-scale culture couldn’t propel things a lot faster than that.
John Morales says
Again, it’s not about speed.
From my link above:
birgerjohansson says
The Omega Centauri globular cluster has a black hole with at least 8200 times the mass of the sun.
John Morales says
Ah, a puny example.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/TON_618#Supermassive_black_hole
“From this, the mass of the central black hole of TON 618 has been estimated to be at 66 billion solar masses.[9]”
John Morales says
As the hippies might have said: “Far out and heavy, man!”.
John Morales says
What a surprise: https://www.theguardian.com/technology/article/2024/jul/12/meta-removes-restrictions-trump-instagram-facebook
John Morales says
Gotta say, this article very much endorses KG’s view:
https://www.vox.com/politics/360277/biden-nato-press-conference-democrats
Tethys says
Yeah, Ezra Klein (owner of Vox) has many terrible opinions based in sniffing his own farts. Why anyone thinks his narrow minded views represent rigor or cogency is a mystery. Fake liberal men really should just shut up forever with their opinions after the endless propaganda they spewed about Hillary DIRECTLY caused the 2016 debacle.
Hillary Clinton won three debates, yet somehow did not win? Huh, it’s almost as if those debates were not predictive! Quelle surprise!
Paul K says
To everyone trying their best — from all I can see — to hand the election to Trump by piling on Biden’s age and decline: Please tell us who should replace Biden, and just how that person will be a winner in the election. No one, to my knowledge, has given a clear, comprehensive answer to both of those questions, especially the second one (and I’m mostly talking about political pundits and elected officials here.) How can someone else win? Where will they get the needed money, and even more important, the needed ground game all across the country? To win the electoral college game that happens in less than four months? Sure, if there were a stand-out, obvious choice who would get fairly universal support across the spectrum of Democratic voters, there’d at least be a better argument. But there is no such person.
If Biden truly is collapsing, and won’t have what it takes to win the election, then we’re screwed, because no one else can do it in the time remaining. And if he is not collapsing, and I’m one who thinks he’s just lost a step because he’s fucking old, then we’d better stand behind him. We have no other even semi-realistic choice, and the elected Democrats who are calling for him to step down are fucking idiots who should know better. I know this is a horse I keep beating, but I have yet to hear a good argument against what I’m saying. If Biden quits, who else can beat Trump at this late date, and how can they do it?
I cannot even listen to the news right now because I’m so disheartened by the apparent surrender to not just a fascist takeover, but a takeover that is being run by obvious morons, with the able assistance of people who should be fighting hard to prevent it.
whheydt says
Re: Paul K @ #306…
I am reminded of times long past when a common remark was a preference to vote for Bonzo as an improvement over Reagan.
I will not vote for Trump. Nor will I write in any other Republican (as Sen. Collins has said she will do). So I’ll vote for whoever the Democrats run. This is not because I am overly fond of any possible Democratic candidate. Rather it is to keep Trump OUT of the White House.
StevoR says
@ ^ whheydt : Thankyou. I really desperately hope enough Amercians do likewise because the USof A falling to outright fascism and possibly Civil War seems a scarily plausibly scenario right now. The global consequences of a Trump regume on cliamet alone is horrenmdous to contemplate. Ausise here but willdo anything Ican can to help stop trump which needs to be the number 1 priority here.
StevoR says
Dóh! Meant this comment :
https://freethoughtblogs.com/pharyngula/2024/07/12/when-genetics-teaching-goes-very-very-bad/#comment-2227671
to go here.
birgerjohansson says
This is fun!
“Project 2025 Leader Crumbles As Furry Hacker Threat Unravels In Leaked Texts”
.https://youtube.com/watch?v=urnE4brSUC0
Heritage Foundation;
From Red Scare to Red Panda Scare!
-The leader of one of the politically most influential organisations makes a fool of himself in potty-mouthed rant.
StevoR says
Source : https://www.abc.net.au/news/science/2024-07-12/woolly-mammoth-chromosomes-resconstructed-from-skin/104059130
Bekenstein Bound says
@Paul K, others:
The “movement” for Biden to step down is treasonous astroturfing by stealth Trump supporters, pure and simple.
https://www.alternet.org/push-biden-out-reich/
It’s a bunch of rich assholes, plus the media they own and politicians in their hip pockets. They want Biden out not because Biden can’t win against Trump but because he can. Indeed, Biden is the only candidate with a proven ability to beat Trump, as he’s the only one to have actually done it before!
The article indeed notes that the “disastrous” debate performance didn’t move public opinion on the general election candidates noticeably, but the growing (billionaire-sponsored) media fuss over Biden’s capability is starting to do so. The problem isn’t Biden; it’s that fuss, and its corporate sponsors, who are all thoroughly in the tank for Trump.
There is a heuristic that has been used to predict every Presidential election outcome accurately for the past fifty-plus years (excepting 2000, because the Supreme Court butting in and flipping the outcome was completely outside the scope of the system — if a meteor had landed in just the wrong spot and killed Gore in his sleep late in October it would likewise not have invalidated the heuristic). That heuristic is called “The Keys to the White House”, and consist of thirteen indicators.
Two of those indicators are incumbency and party unity going into the general election. The Dems very likely need both of those indicators to win in November. If the billionaires succeed in pushing Biden out of the race, the Dems lose the first one. If they fail but sow enough division among Dems over Biden’s continued candidacy, the Dems lose the second one.
That is their plan to get more tax cuts like 2017s, and more deregulation and defanging of government impediments to their profiteering. Impediments to the chemical industry like not being allowed to poison schoolchildren. Impediments to the charter school industry like kids having a free public option for education. Impediments to the oil industry like not setting the damn planet on fire. And impediments to the defense industry like not starting World War III.
This attempt at a bought-and-paid-for internal putsch within the Democratic Party must be quashed very soon and the party reunified behind Biden as their nominee. The planet depends on it.
P.S. Something keeps logging me out here, including even while I’m typing a comment in. Please fix whatever it is that is broken.
CompulsoryAccount7746, Sky Captain says
@StevoR #308:
Given that every state is purple with urban vs rural patches, factions can’t separate into regions capable of functioning/fighting. There are Republican-controlled states, but they tend to be financially dependent on the rest, with long-discontented constituents, and their capitols are urban, too. If there were to be intra-state revolts to unseat local government, the Republicans wouldn’t be in a good position.
Right-wing extremists have been attempting general terrorism, ineptly, for decades. Trump himself could only muster the dregs of Jan 6; that was pulling from the whole country, AND he was negligently running the besieged government.
Republicans do the most harm by being voted in and wielding legitimate power.
KG says
What a load of fucking stupid crap. As your own link says:
And as it also makes clear, it’s Democratic Party donors who are withholding money. Now of course it’s true that these people have power they should not have, but If they want Trump to win, why the fuck would they have been funding Biden up to now? And how did they manage to get Biden to make such an embarrassing spectacle of himself at the debate? Bribe him? Poison him? What? Hey, maybe you are the one trying to get Trump elected, by keeping Biden as the Democratic candidate, as Trump and his henchpersons appear to want. Makes as much sense as your brainless accusations.
KG says
Harris. By being able to run a vigorous campaign, and thrash Trump in debate, as Biden is/was patently unable to do.
KG says
And BTW, Paul K., no-one could “pile on Biden’s age and decline” if it wasn’t glaringly evident to anyone with eyes and ears.
KG says
John Morales@299,
I don’t get your point, if it’s intended as an argument with me. I’m not arguing that a space-faring culture couldn’t colonise a galaxy – indeed, I’ve argued that it could in several earlier discussions on Pharyngula. I’m arguing that a culture which did so could then spread between galaxies (I’d add – at least within a gravitationally-bound cluster – past that, the expansion of space may outpace anything possible). And for that, lotharloo@299 claims it is a question of speed.
KG says
Returning to Biden, if debates aren’t important, why was Biden’s team keen to have one, and as early as June? It was their initiative, not Trump’s. They reportedly wanted it to reset the race in Biden’s favour. That was clearly a poor decision, but it was theirs. Hey, maybe they were got at by the ebil millionaires who were pretending to back Biden but really wanted Trump to win!!! More likely, Biden himself insisted on it, because he’s lost the ability to judge his own limitations – notoriously one of the first things to go in the early stages of cognitive decline.
John Morales says
Relax, KG.
Nah, no such intention; just weighing in.
Indeed.
But, you know… ‘The Ox is slow but the Earth is patient’
—
But hey, might as well repeat myself.
Biden ain’t the best, but he will suffice.
Trump is the worst. Simple as.
(I’ve already opined — some time ago now — about the electoral penalty to parties that show distrust in their own leaders, no point reiterating that)
So, to that degree, I very much get Paul K.
John Morales says
PS KnockGoats: you clearly saw I get you.
cf. my #304.
And, I do get the point.
(I’m just being pragmatic)
John Morales says
Why they would want to move bits of condensed matter in bulk across interstellar distances when starwisps and seed coding for replicators are so very much easier (obs, mediated by mere light-speed comms and updates) is left to anthropocentristic conceits to discuss.
(I know KG gets me)
lotharloo says
@297:
Mister Morales, this is from your link (pdf file):
So, it generally helps one to read the links one posts fully.
@KG:
At 1000kg/s you will still need 600 million years to get to Andromeda. I mean sure it is not mathematically impossible and it is also difficult to rule it out physically but it is not something I would expect a supposed advanced alien species to be capable of.
KG says
Jon Stewart on Biden. Clearly, after decades as a lefty comedian, he’s been bought and paid for by the ebil millionaires and now wants Trump to win!!!!
KG says
lotharloo@322,
As John Morales suggests@322, it seems likely a highly advanced culture would choose to send multiple tiny objects which could be accelerated to a reasonable fraction of light speed rather than bulk matter, but I also think we can’t rule out the latter.
Short of transluminal speeds, which we have good reason to think will be forever impossible, I don’t know how we can rule out anything from the possible abilities of a galactic-scale culture. How much could, say, Archimedes have said about the possible abilities of our own technological culture?
John Morales says
<snicker>
Oh, sorry. Didn’t realise you were on about intergalactic colonination, rather than mere galactic colonisation.
(heh)
Um, what was that about reading stuff?
I quote from the prefatory part of the very link you thought I hadn’t read before adducing it:
(That’s three orders of magnitude slower than your own postulate!)
John Morales says
Mostg amusingly, and this is literally quoted from the article I adduced that someone wishfully imagined I had not read, with emphasis in the original:
John Morales says
Milky Way, Andromeda… meh. Both are galaxies, no, lotharloo?
John Morales says
Need I quote Douglas Adams?
I reckon so.
“Space is big. You just won’t believe how vastly, hugely, mind-bogglingly big it is. I mean, you may think it’s long way down the road to the chemist’s, but that’s just peanuts to space.”
lotharloo says
@John Morales:
KG was talking about stars that move at 1000k/s relative to their galaxy so I guess the point was maybe you can sling shot using them or something and reach 1000k/s which even in that case, it will take you 600 million years to reach Andromeda. And of course once you move above the hierarchy of galaxies things become more and more impossible. Our galaxi is part of a local group of galaxies which is a part of Virgo supercluster https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Virgo_Supercluster one of the 10 million superclusters.
And this whole discussion started because of the last part of the video where the guy was trying to explain that it is reasonable to assume that no alien technology will be able to reach intergalactic colonization. So assuming that, the best any technology can do is to colonize their own galaxy and thus even if 99% of the galaxies are fully colonized by aliens, the fact that we live here might just mean that our galaxy has not been colonized, solving the paradox.
birgerjohansson says
Did a British MP put a Flat Earther on his “expert” list?
.https://youtube.com/watch?v=k7CUHyNK63g
John Morales says
(sigh)
Again: speed does not matter.
Did it?
Heh.
I don’t need top watch the video, and what someone assumes is reasonable is perforce speculative.
(Again: it’s not a Paradox!)
John Morales says
No.
Birger, how many times are you gonna keep ignoring https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Betteridge%27s_law_of_headlines
Seriously. It’s just fucking stupid.
John Morales says
Look, again. In plain English.
If someone reckons A did B, they will write “A did B”.
They will not write “did A do B?”
Fucking clickbait.
Not a complicated concept!
John Morales says
‘Did Biden fuck a Pekinese dog?
vs
‘Biden fucked a Pekinese dog’.
(Bloody obvious the distinction there, no?)
John Morales says
Honestly.
I don’t know how I could make it any plainer, any more fucking obvious.
Again: clickbait is clickbait.
(It may or it may not have substance in the actual content, but clickbait it is)
John Morales says
(Did I stick a feather up your arse?)
birgerjohansson says
I only this week realised the glee conservatives show about Alec Baldwin being on trial was about him parodying Donal Trump on SNL.
lotharloo says
@John Morales:
If it takes you 20 billion years to get to your destination, it matters. Read your fucking link.
John Morales says
Heh.
So, how old is the universe, you reckon?
(You are most amusing)
John Morales says
<snicker>
You still pretend to imagine I have not?
(So weak!)
John Morales says
Oh, this is fun!
What if it takes you (20 billion years – 1 year)? Does that matter?
What about if it takes you (20 billion years – n years)? Does that matter?
(Surely there’s a threshold, else any n will work)
John Morales says
Come on, lotharloo!
Tell me more about some value for speed that makes it all not-nonsensical.
Just remember the age and size of the universe, and c matter.
John Morales says
Um.
What’s the glee conservatives show about Alec Baldwin being on trial?
I have no idea.
(I can hardly realise anything about it if I don’t even know to what “it” refers)
John Morales says
Is there even a conservatives show about a non-Alec Baldwin being on trial?
Dunno, any more than whether there is a conservatives show about Alec Baldwin being on trial.
(What’s that show, then? I might check it out)
birgerjohansson says
I followed some people on Facebook that have MAGAesque leanings (people are complex – not all bad all the way). I noticed they were happy to see Alec Baldwin get into trouble. I found it surprising.
If even I notice something (I am not very observant in social contexts) then it is probably a “thing”. Yes, anecdotes are not evidence etc.
birgerjohansson says
CNN: Plague linked to mysterious disappearance of Europe’s first farmers https://edition.cnn.com/2024/07/10/science/plague-ancient-dna-europe-first-farmers/index.html
.
This was likely one of several causes of the population collapse, including poor farming practices that exhausted the soil and led to malnutrition and poor health. (This would in turn have reduced the resistance to disease). And the influx of steppe people (with a somewhat better resistance to the disease due to proximity to the plague reservoir animals) would have brought more contamination to the surviving neolithic farmers.
birgerjohansson says
BTW does anyone know how the Lithuanian language relates to indo-european languages? I only know it is an outlier.
Also does anyone know if any studies have been done on the language of the Urartu iron age kingdom (east Turkey) eegarding the possibilly of it being a relic of the languages by the neolithic Anatolian farmers that first brought farming to Europe?
StevoR says
Excellent analysis here – Should Biden Run??? | Lichtman Live #55 – one hour and 15 minutes long by :
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Allan_Lichtman
Who I’ve just stumbled aross recently and think is well worth listening to given his record of accurate predictions.
Short ten minutes long analysis here – ‘Should Biden drop out? Professor who correctly predicted past elections weighs in’ via CNN.
Paul K says
KG, at 315: Harris could probably beat Trump, given different circumstances, but we don’t get those in this world we’re living in. She’s a woman, she’s not white. Sadly, those are real factors in this stupid country, and they’d need time to be put aside. Even supposedly unbiased reporting always goes way harder after women in our culture. Second, she’s Biden’s VP, and has loyalty to him. Even if he voluntarily chose to step down, I believe enough folks, at this point, would think it was because he was forced, and they would stay home in November. If Harris took over, at least some folks would consider it disloyal.
All of this could be dealt with in another time and place, but with the time left, the media not on fire from Trump’s madness and their wanting to keep this a both-sides, just another horse-race election, I just don’t see it. I hope I’m wrong, and the Democratic convention might bring something to see, but I’m not hopeful at all.
And Jon Stewart has been questionable on plenty of other issues. Even if he and you and all the others are right about Biden, (and I am in no way denying that he does have major issues, both with his health and his policies) that simply does not matter, given where we are. The Republicans, the media, billionaires, and Russian bots, all are doing their best to give Trump another shot. And now Democrats are helping them along.
Rob Grigjanis says
birger @347: You should know a bit more about the people who live just across the Baltic Sea from you! ;-)
Latvian and Lithuanian are the only surviving Baltic languages. Baltic languages are part of the Balto-Slavic branch of Indo-European. The only sense I know of Lithuanian being an ‘outlier’, is that it is one of the more conservative IE languages, having many readily recognizable features in common with, for example, Sanskrit.
lotharloo says
@John Morales:
You are fucking deranged and your posts make no sense. Why I would be interested in debating the limits of how many billion years is a reasonable limit on intergalactic colonization, like a fucking dumbass nerd?
StevoR says
CLIMATE COLLAPSE: EXTREME Temperature Records SHATTERED Again | The Kyle Kulinski Show – Secular Talk (Justover 10 mins long.)
Seriously disturbing for the near future – utterly terrifying for the slightly further away future.
StevoR says
@351. lotharloo : :”nerd” as an insult? Here? Seriously diarrheariously?
To answer your question – curiosity? Intellectual intrest? Exercise in testing one’s imagination?
lotharloo says
@353 StevoR:
Yeah in this case, “nerf” is an insult. Also, humans don’t need any help in testing their imaginations, we are already top tier in imagining physically impossible things. And finally, there is no intellectual substance in debating the feasibility of intergalactic colonization because it is a stupid debate about technologies we do not have, and the problems we cannot even imagine.
birgerjohansson says
Making the point
https://www.facebook.com/share/p/hL4NT2fgpVgsWvtM/
I always thought there was something fishy about Stephen Miller
Lynna, OM says
Paul K @349, good points. I agree.
Even though she is not presently at the top of the ticket, Republicans in general, and the Trump campaign specifically, have decided to call Kamala Harris a “DEI hire.” They assume she is not competent and that she got the job because she is a woman and “she is colored” (as Sebastian Gorka so tellingly put it.)
See, for example, Chris Hayes’ segment: “Gross and getting worse: Trump allies set up racist, sexist attacks on Kamala Harris.”
Excerpt:
The video is 5:12 minutes long.
Lynna, OM says
Difficult diplomacy, as described by The New York Times:
Lynna, OM says
Associated Press:
Good news, in a limited way.
New York Times:
Lynna, OM says
Conservative opponents of Biden’s protections for LGBTQ+ students assumed, correctly, that Judges Matthew Kacsmaryk and Reed O’Connor would rule their way.
Lynna, OM says
How a Texas program funnels millions to anti-abortion groups with little accountability.
[The original reporting comes from ProPublica, a Pulitzer Prize-winning investigative newsroom]
More at the link.
The article includes many embedded links that lead to additional resources.
Lynna, OM says
Cartoon: The Republican platform
Lynna, OM says
President Biden:
Commentary:
Link
But, … “at a critical juncture when Biden needs to consolidate support, key Democratic leaders in the state were notably absent Friday.”
Biden’s presentation of his plans for the future was good. First time, I think, that he has done a good job of laying out an agenda for the future.
Lynna, OM says
Aaron Rupar:
https://x.com/atrupar/status/1811911912851959898
Video at the link. The video is 2:42 minutes long.
Acyn:
https://x.com/Acyn/status/1811911834632634412
Video at the link. The video is 22 seconds.
Lynna, OM says
Cartoon: Trump’s project 2025
Commentary:
Link
Even People magazine is now covering Project 2025. What Is Project 2025? Inside the Far-Right Plan Threatening Everything from the Word ‘Gender’ to Public Education
Lynna, OM says
https://x.com/MikeSington/status/1811922203992293740
Video at the link. The video is 2:31 minutes long.
Biden quoted the judge in Trump’s sexual assault case.
Lynna, OM says
https://x.com/MeidasTouch/status/1811998195653967917
video at the link. The video is 24 seconds long.
JFC. I know she is trying to fill Chuck Todd’s shoes … that’s probably not a good plan. She tried to do a both sides thing and it was incoherent.
Commentary:
Link. Video of Kristen Welker’s gaffe is also available at that link.
Lynna, OM says
John @303, that sounds like such a bad idea.
Same news, from another source: Meta Just Removed the Guardrails From Donald Trump’s Facebook and Instagram Accounts
What could go wrong?
Lynna, OM says
https://www.wonkette.com/p/ugh-another-viktor-orban-playdate
UGH, ANOTHER Viktor Orbán Playdate At Mar-A-Lago
Trump and Hungarian dictator are making a present for Putin, surprise, it’s Ukraine!
whheydt says
Top hadline on the Iceland Monitor: Inflation continues to be steady.
Nothing to do with their economy. It’s about filling the magma chamber that has been feeding recent volcanic eruptions.
See: https://icelandmonitor.mbl.is/news/news/2024/07/13/inflation_continues_to_be_steady/
KG says
Paul K@349,
So your proposed solution to racism and sexism is to give in to them. Did you notice that Barack Obama is Black? And that Hillary Clinton (who beat Trump on actual votes, and would have won the presidency if not for illegitimate interference by James Comey), is a woman? And do you not think that those who would not vote for Harris because they are racist andor sexist might notice that she’s on the ticket, and very likely to succeed to the presidency if Biden is re-elected?
And you don’t think people might stay home out of disgust if they are offered the choice between a pathological liar and narcissist, and a man in the early stages of dementia – and also, incidentally, showing symptoms of narcissism, in his absurd claim that no-one else could successfully handle relations with foreign leaders?
Since Biden has major issues with his health, he has no business standing for re-election. I agree with you that Democrats – first among them, Biden – are helping Trump along. And he and his camp seem happy enough to face Biden – as why should they not be, given the fiasco of the debate?
John Morales says
Heh heh heh.
birgerjohansson says
Dr Ruth Westheimer has died at 96.
For the young ones: she is the one who informed your parents’ generation things about sex that had been taught in European schools for about a generation at that time.
birgerjohansson says
A glorious late evening watching
public, non-commercial TV:
‘Alien’, followed by ‘Train To Busan’.
And ‘Alien; Romulus’ comes to cinemas in Umeå a month from now.
(Speaking of the big screen, Cage is supposed to be pretty good as super-psychopath in ‘Longlegs’. Damn, I miss Dennis Hopper.)
birgerjohansson says
I very grudgingly agree with Bernie Sanders; Joe Biden is what is available, and you have to do what the British do at every war and just muddle through, regretting previous mistakes and hoping for victory.
KG says
birgerjohansson@347,
From Wikipedia: Lithuanian (endonym: lietuvių kalba, pronounced [lʲiəˈtʊvʲuː kɐɫˈbɐ]) is an East Baltic language belonging to the Baltic branch of the Indo-European language family.
Tethys says
Joe Biden is also currently doing a rather fabulous job of being POTUS, a fact that is notably absent in all the absurdity of the current media narrative. The media is obviously a bunch of twits who have completely forgotten how they were a megaphone for any asinine propaganda that was vomited forth by Trump/Putin.
But the debate = but her e-mails.
Re-electing Biden/Harris is the opposite of encouraging racist and sexist pushback. Duh. Americans above all prefer stability and safety, so why wouldn’t they support the Democrats? There is literally no downside to reelecting Biden even should he die in office. I prefer old, egalitarian, and competent to a grifting old, sexist, fascist, rapist, felon who should in fact be in a federal prison cell awaiting trial for his crimes.
Paul K says
KG, Clearly, we are not going to agree on this. I surely get your points, but to my mind, you and others trying to get Biden to quit are not only wrong, but dangerously so.
Lots of folks who would vote for Biden, even with Harris as his VP, would not vote for Harris on her own. Me stating that is not to ‘give in to them’, it’s just saying what I know to be true. And, yes, Clinton beat Trump in the popular vote, but you know as well as I do that that’s meaningless with our stupid Electoral College. And there were plenty of older Democrats at the time that said straight out that they couldn’t vote for a woman.
And, boy, I think you go too far when you say that he is ‘showing symptoms of narcissism, in his absurd claim that no-one else could successfully handle relations with foreign leaders?’ This seems so very both-sides to me. He has to lead. He has long-standing relationships with other leaders around the world in an extremely dangerous time. He’s doing the job right now. Could he have worded things better? Sure. But he has reasons for what he’s saying; it’s not like he’s lost his mind, as Trump has (if he ever had a sane mind).
I do not believe that Biden’s ‘major issues with his health’ are anything like bad enough for him to drop out of this race. You don’t agree. Neither of us is inside his head or his doctors’. There’s really no point in continuing the back and forth, and it just makes me want to tear my hair out.
Rob Grigjanis says
KG @370:
Sure. And Reagan had no business standing for re-election. The world doesn’t work the way you (or I, for that matter) think it should. Based on any reasonable levels of competency, Trump should never have got more than a few percent of the vote in any election, and Biden should be a shoo-in in this one, regardless of his shortcomings.
The question is: where lies the greater risk? Sticking with the incumbent and his obvious shortcomings, or ditching the incumbent a few months before the election, given the realities of American politics? Your confidence in what you perceive is the correct choice is somewhat perplexing to me. Is it based on how the world is, or how you think it should be?
redwood says
@368 I rather like the acronym we get for Dictator On Day One. It even goes well with a certain someone’s first name. Thanks Wonkette via Lynna! Now I know what to call him for the rest of the election period: DODO Don.
Reginald Selkirk says
Trump rushed off stage at rally as bangs heard
Reports are still very confused, but it appears from the video that Trump may have been hit in the right ear by a bullet.
CompulsoryAccount7746, Sky Captain says
Electorally threatening the Biden campaign on this other matter at least had potential for policy nudging.
2024-05-20 Reuters
“What’s happening in Gaza is not genocide. We reject that,” Biden said […] Biden stressed his belief that Israel was the victim dating back to the Oct. 7 attack […] He said U.S. support for the safety and security of Israelis is “ironclad.” […] Biden also rejected the International Criminal Court’s prosecutor for saying he had requested arrest warrants for Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and his defense chief over alleged war crimes.
2022-04-15 NBC
2024-04-29 Rep. Katie Porter says the State Dept. is sitting on memos of human rights violations by Israel (video 8:11)
2024-04-17 ProPublica on the special “Israel Leahy Vetting Forum” yielding no sanctions.
2024-05-30 TheGuardian
birgerjohansson says
Two fatalities at the shooting at the Trump rally.
CompulsoryAccount7746, Sky Captain says
Podcast/Transcript: Damn Interesting – The Clockmaker (24:12)
Lynna, OM says
According to all of the news reports, Trump is safe and is receiving medical attention at a local hospital in Pennsylvania.
It looks like his right ear was grazed by a bullet. We do not yet have confirmation of that.
It has been confirmed that the shooter is dead.
Some media outlets are reporting that one spectator is dead and that another is in critical condition.
SC (Salty Current) says
A source told Axios that Trump was hit by glass, not a bullet, but I don’t know if that’s correct. An audience member was shot in the head and killed.
I fear his followers are going to unleash their violence on innocent people, and that he will encourage it.
Lynna, OM says
Followup to comment 384.
More details concerning the shooting at the Trump rally:
Lynna, OM says
In video of the incident at the Trump rally, you can see an audience member gesturing at a press camera, with his middle finger raised. The man is clearly shouting “Fuck You” multiple times.
I’m worried that anger and shock will precipitate more violence.
Lynna, OM says
https://www.wonkette.com/p/trump-appears-shot
Lynna, OM says
Josh Marshall:
https://talkingpointsmemo.com/edblog/trump-rally-incident-ongoing-updates
Lynna, OM says
Link
Lynna, OM says
The New York Times:
Lynna, OM says
Update from The Washington Post:
Walter Solomon says
RIP Richard Simmons.
SC (Salty Current) says
From the comments at a DKos post:
From the article:
Not great! I saw the man Lynna mentioned @ #387 and also a woman doing the same.
StevoR says
ABC news coverage of the attempted assassination here – being updated constantly :
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2024-07-14/donald-trump-rally-shooting-pennsylvania/104095670
One dead in the crowd and two critically injured. Shooter killed. Trump fine.
Lynna, OM says
Josh Marshall:
As expected, but really awful and shocking nonetheless:
Link.
The words Biden used in a recent speech were “We’re going to shine a spotlight …” in reference to Trump’s plans for 2025. Instead of quoting Biden correctly, rightwing doofuses are saying that Biden said he was going to put “Trump in a bullseye.”
From the same article:
Former president Obama:
J.D. Vance:
JFC.
Lynna, OM says
Correction to comment 396.
Here’s where the Biden quote is coming from. Politico reported that Biden said it on his call to the National Finance Committee on Monday, July 8th:
“I have one job, and that’s to beat Donald Trump. I’m absolutely certain I’m the best person to be able to do that. So, we’re done talking about the debate, it’s time to put Trump in a bullseye,” Biden said.
The “spotlight” comment was from a different speech.
Politico link
Lynna, OM says
Newt Gingrich:
chigau (違う) says
If you watch the videos of the Reagan and Ford assassination attempts, you can see a difference in the Secret Service responses.
Lynna, OM says
Russian propaganda accounts, MAGA, and Proud Boy channels on Telegram spread some false claims about the shooting. That was quick, and some used verified accounts on X. Apparently, “verified accounts” on X can still be bogus as hell.
Link
Lynna, OM says
Well that’s no way to de-escalate the too-tense political situation:
Commentary:
Link
CompulsoryAccount7746, Sky Captain says
@Lynna #401:
Marjorie Taylor Greene indicated support for executing prominent Democrats in 2018 and 2019 before running for Congress (an old article)
Bekenstein Bound says
I don’t have much time tonight so I will have to be brief.
The notion that donors to Dem candidates can’t prefer Trump is ridiculous. Big-dollar donors often donate to both campaigns, so as to have some influence no matter who wins, hedging their bets; and to keep up appearances, if they and their business holdings brand themselves as “progressive”. Big-dollar donors also know exactly which side their bread is buttered on, and that they do far better in their personal finances under Republicans than they do under Democrats. Also, they probably don’t like that Biden sicced Lina Khan on them. They would likely prefer any other Democrat to Biden now, and Trump to every Democrat.
On the intergalactic travel angle, the timescales are just longer, that’s all. Assuming no FTL, it’s maybe 30 million years to colonize one galaxy, and 600 million to reach other galaxies from there, so maybe a couple of billion to bag the Local Group or equivalent scale cluster. And it’s eminently doable, physics-wise: fling a star with habitable planet (or structures, or computronium) orbiting it at those 1000+km/s speeds at the target galaxy and then bide your time. As long as the star has over 600 million years of its own lifespan left that’s good enough (and some can last perhaps 100 trillion). The real hurdle to colonizing on any such vast scales is not going to be reaching all those places. It’s going to be holding them. The video and others seem to assume as a matter of course that anyone with interstellar travel will be able to establish dominion over arbitrary volumes of space, for arbitrarily long. I don’t think that’s particularly likely. No empire known has lasted even the lifespan of a bristlecone pine, let alone 30+ million years, and the logistical problems with maintaining an empire on the distance scales envisioned are literally astronomical. It is also questionable if it’s possible for any kind of individual, institution, or polity to sustain constancy of purpose on anything like such timescales. Worse, the factors working against long term dominion (purpose-drift, political instability) speed up if the underlying beings speed up (e.g., are AIs rather than humans). If anything one would have to slow down (possibly by exploiting time dilation) to sustain a stable direction on the relevant time scales … but any would-be dominion that does so will have rings run around it by rivals who don’t. In the end, what can colonize on those scales is not a polity, nor even a species (name one that is wholly unchanged after 30 million years — not a larger taxonomic group like “sharks”, but a single individual species), but an ecosystem. An ecosystem is also the smallest unit of life known to be wholly self-sustaining on just sunlight, water, and chemical nutrients, and so is the smallest known to be potentially capable of space colonization. That ecosystem might include, say, a smart tool- and language-using ape or something analogous, but its descendants will have become a trillion different species and ecologies, far from a unified empire of any sort, by the time it has pervaded a galaxy, let alone a cluster. The Fermi Paradox then becomes not “why aren’t we already in the Galactic Empire” or even “why don’t our radio-telescopes pick up the Emperor’s Volksempfanger rants on hydrogen times pi”, but “why did Earth merely have a few bacteria immediately after it had stable bodies of liquid water, rather than getting a swift series of Surtsey-style seral stages moving in, culminating in some talky tool-user who belonged to no empire at all and is probably a hippie-dippie type integrated into the rest of that ecosystem, making Earth quickly turn, by 3.8 GYa or so, into not Coruscant or Corellia but Pandora, complete with Na’vi living in giant trees?” There are three options: Great Filter (I see as unlikely, as language is so fundamentally useful for evolved-evolvability that it’s as unlikely to be dis-invented as DNA, even in a severe extinction pulse); We-Happen-To-Be-First-In-This-Galaxy (which probably requires something to inhibit galactic habitability until < 30 MYa, but the Phanerozoic’s been a going concern for roughly 17 times that long); and It’s-Really-Hard-To-Send-More-Than-Bacterial-Spores-Between-Stars (but we’ve thought up so many ways, up to and including Shkadoving our whole solar system to within Apollo-tech range of another one and sending in the terraformers, if nothing smaller can make the trip without being wrecked on a space-reef or dying of radiation save hardy D. radiodurans spores or similar).
GerrardOfTitanServer says
As long as one side is supporting a traitor to the constitution and republic, who tried to overthrow the election on Jan 6, there’s no hope of toning down the rhetoric. When Trump’s confederates in SCOTUS gave Trump immunity for trying to overthrow the election, that meant we couldn’t settle this in court in a criminal trial, which made violence possibly inevitable IMHO.
They’re going for broke, pulling out all of the stops, breaking every political norm, and you’re sitting here saying that we need to be more civil and try to find common ground with the traitors? No. I’ll be more civil and calm as soon as Biden wins the election or Trump is dead. Until then, we need to recognize the severity of what this is, and stop pretending that things are normal.
We need to energize our base even more to win the election.
lotharloo says
I don’t think Trump can lose now. This election is so fucking over.
KG says
Paul K @377
Undoubtedly there would be some. But how do you think you know that the number who would vote for Biden/Harris but not Harris/Whoever is greater than the number who would vote for Harris/Whoever but not for Biden/Harris? Particularly if (as I fear) Biden’s incapacity becomes even more evident between now and the vote, andor it becomes more obvious that those around Biden have been lying to the public about his condition – as I think it is already clear they have? There is no safe course – and that’s even more true after the assassination attempt on Trump – the question is, which way are the risks greater?
It’s not clear how far he is doing the job now, and how far his staff are carrying him.
Rob Grigjanis@378
It’s based on the fact that Biden’s “obvious shortcomings” have become a central issue in the campaign, will remain so as long as Biden is the presumed candidate, and as Tethys@376 says (inadvertently supporting my position):
The Democrats have to change the campaign’s narrative to focus on Trump’s mix of incapacity and vileness or Biden’s record as president, as all those who rather plaintively trot out “But Trump…” or “But look at Biden’s achievements” here and elsewhere are trying to do. It’s obvious that however true what is then said is (and it generally is true), the strategy has failed. Presumably you and others believe it can still succeed. I don’t, particularly because on any occasion when Biden has to think, and put his thoughts into words, on his feet, a repetition of the debate fiasco is possible. That should have been an event for which he was well-prepared and well-rested – and all the excuses such as “his staff over-prepared him”, “He had a cold”, “He had jet lag” (12 days after returning to the US) are utterly unconvincing.
John Morales says
Bekenstein Bound, gotta love your nerdishness.
(I approve!)
John Morales says
KG, re: “It’s not clear how far he is doing the job now, and how far his staff are carrying him.”
Part of the job is being able to let your staff (in particular, the experts!) carry one.
(The extension to the concept of delegation, no?)
—
Also, what SC wrote @394.
KG says
John Morales@408,
The president should be the one in charge, with a clear overview of who is doing what and how everything fits together. It’s far from obvious Biden is. (Yes, I know the same can be said of Trump. So. Fucking. What?)
John Morales says
Yah, but you know, part of leadership is to know when to delegate; that does not mean they are not in charge.
Setting policy is one thing, telling functionaries that they should do is a thing, but after that, it’s up to the staff.
And, you know, Biden at least brought in as many competent people as he could.
(Why have experts at hand if one does not sometimes defer to their expertise?)
birgerjohansson says
A Different Bias:
“So, Where Did the ‘Good’ Tories Go Then?”
.https://youtube.com/watch?v=wMTfSEH4VXI
birgerjohansson says
The Guardian:
“Alabama shootings leave seven people dead including child, police say” | Alabama
https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/article/2024/jul/14/alabama-shootings-deaths-birmingham
Rob Grigjanis says
Let the Private Hudson impressions begin! Oh, I see they already have begun. Carry on then!
Paul K says
KG, at 406: We’re both just repeating ourselves now, so I see no point in responding.
The shooting at the Trump rally will no doubt be the media focus for the immediate future, with spin from every direction. We don’t really even know what happened yet, but already people are saying the election is now decided. Trump will now win. Things do seem to be going his way in the world of events, but hope is all I’ve got.
birgerjohansson says
Funnier than the current reality
“David Mitchell’s The Unbelievable Truth – Series 11 ”
.https://youtube.com/watch?v=yKkLvz7HAx8
Henning: “Photography was invented by Jesus”
Lynna, OM says
CompulsoryAccount7746, Sky Captain @402, yes that’s true. I had forgotten that. Marjorie Taylor Greene is consistent in that way … always encouraging violence.
Update on the shooter:
The young man does not not seem to have a social media account. He was a registered Republican. There is no information that identifies a motive … not at this time anyway. Crooks had also made a political donation through ActBlue, so his political affiliation is a muddled picture.
From Reuters:
Meanwhile, more and more right-wingers and Republican officials are claiming that President Biden ordered the attack. Other conspiracy theories claim it was a “false flag” event and that Trump’s team was behind the attack. It’s all frothing nonsense.
The Proud Boys are openly talking about “war.” Telegram channels are full of “civil war” talk.
Almost no one on the right is talking about gun control or about cooling things down. A few Republicans, like Rep. Dan Meuser (R-PA), are acting responsibly: “We all need to take responsibility to cool things down,”
Lynna, OM says
New York Times link
Photo Appears to Capture Path of Bullet Used in Assassination Attempt
Michael Harrigan, a retired F.B.I. special agent, said the image captured by Doug Mills, a New York Times photographer, seems to show a bullet streaking past former President Donald J. Trump.
Lynna, OM says
Followup to comment 416.
Bomb-making materials found in vehicle and home of Trump rally shooting suspect
Lynna, OM says
https://x.com/ContraPoints/status/1812512006630756447
Image at the link shows Donald J. Trump’s re-post on Truth Social of a hog-tied, dead-looking Joe Biden lying in the back of a pickup truck.
I will also add that it was Trump who posted images of Hillary Clinton with a bullseye on her head and face, not a metaphorical bullseye meant to signal putting your attention on someone, but a real-looking gun sight image.
Lynna, OM says
Yes, the Russians are amplifying MAGA propaganda:
Link to article by David Corn.
Pierce R. Butler says
Lynna… @ # 416: The young man does not not seem to have a social media account.
Which makes him an extreme outlier among 20-y.o. USAnians – probably more so among those who wear any YouTube-vended t-shirts. I surmise Crooks either participated online under a pseudonym, or shared a higher (if justified) level of operational paranoia than most US gun nuts. (So far, I think the ActBlue donation doesn’t mean much – most of us go through a lot of sociopolitical changes between 17 and 20.)
Tangentially, Republican pollster Frank Luntz opines that this will have a pretty small effect on November’s voting: he expects it will change few people’s alignments, but may well reinforce turnout among those already likely to vote Trump before 7/13. (Or so he says… as a hardcore GOPster, he may just intend to avert premature complacency within his bloc.)
Happy Bastille Day!
Lynna, OM says
Pierce @421, I agree with Frank Luntz that the shooting at Trump’s rally will boost turnout of Trump voters.
In other news: Russia reaches out to Pentagon for call after NATO summit
Lynna, OM says
Followup to Pierce @421:
Washington Post link
Rob Grigjanis says
birger @415: Thanks for that! An enjoyable way to kill some time before the Euro final. England!
tomh says
If current affairs have you down, come to the California State Fair.
California State Fair rolls out on-site sales, consumption of cannabis
The addition of a sales and consumption area is a first for any state fair in the nation.
Alan Riquelmy / July 12, 2024
KG says
Spain!
birgerjohansson says
Consistency
http://youtube.com/post/Ugkx6PLiY_OsJETA2HFo5puIxLDtXDqLY1DC
birgerjohansson says
The Guardian
‘The classes just keep growing’: how K-pop dancing is taking off in the UK | K-pop
https://www.theguardian.com/music/article/2024/jul/14/the-classes-just-keep-growing-how-k-pop-dancing-is-taking-off-in-the-uk
birgerjohansson says
Classmate of Trump rally shooter speaks out
.https://youtube.com/shorts/3DwbCL2-TVw
“He was bullied a lot”
birgerjohansson says
Try this if you want to chill out from the cacaphony of bad news
‘Boards of Canada’ – In A Beautiful Place Out In The Country
.https://youtube.com/watch?v=zVWcptE6UAI
birgerjohansson says
“FBI Drops Bombshell About The Trump Shooter”
.https://youtube.com/watch?v=UITmb6LiN-0
Not really surprising. Same profile as any school shooter, seeking ‘death by cop’.
Lynna, OM says
Republicans praise ‘hand of God’ after bullet was inches from killing Trump
Lynna, OM says
Trump sends fundraising appeal: ‘I will NEVER SURRENDER’
Rob Grigjanis says
Re Euro final. Great match, and Spain deserved winners, but well-played England.
CompulsoryAccount7746, Sky Captain says
Follow the Crypto: A new project to track cryptocurrency industry spending
Support expenditures are alotted 2:1 to Republicans over Democrats.
Opposition money is almost exclusively to oust Democrats.
birgerjohansson says
The nature of the last universal common ancestor and its impact on the early Earth system | Nature Ecology & Evolution
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41559-024-02461-1
birgerjohansson says
You know, the ‘hand of god’ saved Hitler several times, as well as Ayatollah Khomeini. The dictator of South Korea was saved several times (except the last time).
It is almost as if gods have nothing to do with it.
birgerjohansson says
If the secret service cannot prevent people from getting killed, then nor can teachers
http://youtube.com/post/UgkxCxnqfePHFvlvEmIw8EvF2uLsyRNl-8ZX
birgerjohansson says
Teddy Roosevelt lost the 1912 election after being shot.
http://youtube.com/post/UgkxOk_cIwbpavWTcnj64j65c_g_cszrqvdO
Xanthë says
Yes, TR lost the 1912 election, after being shot on the campaign trail – the story goes, the bullet lost most of its impulse barrelling through several folds of the 50-page speech in his breast pocket – but TR was not standing as the Republican nominee. His candidacy as a third-party candidate split the vote for the sitting President Taft, allowing the Democrat Wilson to take office. (TR managed to collect almost all of Taft’s likely electoral college votes, so Taft finished a distant third.)
birgerjohansson says
What’s Hidden Under the Ice of Antarctica?”
.https://youtube.com/watch?v=KOnB47PyZJw
There is a potential giant impact crater, and also a grander grand canyon (but was it carved out by liwuid water, or ice? We know the bottom of fjords are kilometers below the sea surface)
xohjoh2n says
@441:
An Ancient science/military base containing a Zero Point Module, a control chair for a defensive missile system and a stasis chamber.
Rob Grigjanis says
xohjoh2n @442: Also an attractive Ancient who seems to be the only sentient being (apart from the Unas) who doesn’t speak English.
birgerjohansson says
“Trump’s Emails Disclosed After Shooting Incident”
.https://youtube.com/watch?v=KUyIOYoPz7s
Yeah, he is in no position to throw rocks.
birgerjohansson says
Regarding Biden’s speech, I think Mexicans and Indians may laugh about the part of violence not being the answer in America.
CompulsoryAccount7746, Sky Captain says
@birgerjohansson #444:
Speaking of…
RollingStone – The Trouble With MeidasTouch (2021)
birgerjohansson says
Let’s lean back and chill
Laibach – Vor Sonnen-Aufgang
.https://youtube.com/watch?v=b39CfCN2bNE
Also, English football enthusiasts, you have my sympathy.
Bekenstein Bound says
Not sure what screwed up the formatting on yesterday’s post.
One might as easily hypothesize that he was chosen by a lower power, especially after noticing that he has the same initials as “Damien Thorn” …
Bekenstein Bound says
This has Fermi implications. Specifically, one of the following statements must be true:
a) Abiogenesis happens very easily and geologically quickly — within perhaps 100Ma of having a suitable environment with sunlight and liquid water; or
b) The ancestors of Earth’s life predate Earth … and likely got here, as I suggested previously, as a whole ecosystem, if a simple one with maybe only a few bacteria-level organisms in it.
How would such an ecosystem travel unaided? If b) is true it would have to exist “in the wild” in some much smaller, more mobile environment and be able to “island-hop” there. The obvious supposition is comet-like bodies. The source of H2 there obviously couldn’t be serpentinization or volcanism, but photodissociation of H2O, NH4, CH4, and other H-containing small molecules during perihelion passages could certainly do the job. Outgassing would allow spores to escape; or whole fragments of bacterial mats might be ejected that had adapted to be able to vacuum-desiccate and then revive subsequently. The soft-landing of such spores or fragments could seed terrestrial planets, as well as easily spreading this stuff from comet to comet, and the constant jostling of stellar Oort clouds and capture of loosely-bound comets would mix this stuff throughout the galaxy on sufficient timescales (a few GY). There would have been a whole galaxy of comets serving as “warm little ponds” (if only intermittently so) wherein abiogenesis could take place, vastly outsizing one single planet’s hydrosphere, and further, it would be an environment available beginning somewhat earlier in cosmic history (less metallicity is needed to get comets than to get large rocky bodies with substantial nickel-iron cores, I’d warrant).
This scenario (which is not a “saucer men from Mars did it” directed-panspermia scenario!) seems significantly more plausible than “abiogenesis happens easily in a Pacific-sized volume of water in only a couple of hundred million years”, given the known rate of reactions that could “try” new combinations per unit volume and the length of the sequence of the shortest plausible autocatalyzing RNAs, (Especially noting that trying new combinations is going to be drawing with replacement — until heritable information is a thing there’s no way to “mark” a combination as “already tried”.)
In that case, the probable development of life started in comets, with something like such an RNA; gained sophistication to include proteins (making a proto-ribosome plus plus) and then cell membranes; at some point gained DNA (as a more radiation-tolerant way to compile a library of useful RNAs, and to more easily up and downregulate different ones); and at some point you have a bacterium that is capable of forming a radiation-resistant spore that can spread to more comets. Sometime after that, the galaxy gets to a state where any terrestrial planet able to support liquid water not only gets supplied with that, but with bacteria coming along for the ride.
Any Great Filter “hard steps” in this case have to be later developments — perhaps creating eukaryote-level complexity (or finding a way to have that and have sex as well, look how complex crossover, meiosis, and fusion are even compared to mitosis, as compared to mere plasmid-swapping) is a hard step, and language/cognition above the crow/baboon/elephant level is a hard step. That would lead to planets with bacteria being dirt-common (we’ll soon see, free oxygen everywhere in the galaxy means I’m right) but ones with jungles being rare and ones with talky tool-users maybe being handful-a-galaxy or less common. The other solid Fermi option here is “rare Earth”, where the rare features are probably the combination of a strong magnetic field and functioning plate tectonics, both needed for long-term viability against key life-enabling elements being lost to space (magnetic field) or locked up underground for good (plate tectonics). No magnetic field = Mars. No plate tectonics = Venus. Earth is, critically, busily forming an inner core, and may not have had a very strong magnetic field until shortly before the Phanerozoic Eon started. That might not be a coincidence. The atmosphere may have been dwindling (but counteracting a slowly brightening sun) until then, and the surface too drenched in radiation to get complex plant and animal life in shallow (= light’s available) habitats. Afterward, the atmosphere stabilized (and oxygen could skyrocket) while multicellular life began to proliferate.
Another possible rare-Earth feature is having a Goldilocks amount of water. A bit more, percentage-wise, and there’s no dry land: you might get octopodes, but no potential spaceship-makers or radio-astronomers to go off a-signaling and a-colonizing. A bit less and the land is nearly all at Gobi Desert levels of desiccation (and primary productivity), leaving precious little habitat for intelligent tool-users to develop on land or in the littoral. (Even as it stands, Earth goes through phases of that level of shore/land-habitat-poverty every time there’s a supercontinent. The last time, it suffered the catastrophic Permian extinction.)
We don’t know how common it is to get a rocky planet with a decent magnetic field (Venus’s is mediocre and Mars’s is piss-poor), or plate tectonics, or a decent percentage (teens to 20s) of land on an otherwise ocean world, let alone all three. It could be that all-three is rarer than hen’s teeth and there isn’t another Earth in the entire Local Group. If so, Earth’s habitability is very precious and must not be squandered … and that should inform your politics.
CompulsoryAccount7746, Sky Captain says
@birgerjohansson #429, 431:
Follow-up. The Philadelphia Inquirer gathered hometown testimonies about the assassin, which turned out to be either contradictory or POV-limited.
A loner bullied daily wearing camo. Not bullied and never in suspect attire. Kind, nerdy, reserved, not a creepy loner. Apolitically interested in government. Staunchly conservative.
CompulsoryAccount7746, Sky Captain says
Forbes deletes article asking whether Trump surviving assassination attempt will be his ‘next appeal to Black voters’ (archived original)
*Facepalm*
birgerjohansson says
100 years of history in one image
https://www.facebook.com/share/p/r4sXXFHjMYLveCai/
Bekenstein Bound says
For hard numbers on the “discover an autocatalyzing RNA problem”, note: there are about 4×10^40 carbon atoms in Earth’s atmosphere now; add the hydrosphere, and allow that these may have been thicker on the early earth, and call it 10^41 that were “bioavailable” very early on. Regarding self-catalyzing RNAs, Wikipedia sez:
Generously suppose you can have a (somewhat low quality, approximate, but sufficient for heredity to take over for hill-climbing to a more effective self-replicator from there) self-replicator at 100 bases. There are roughly 10 carbon atoms per base in RNA, so call it 1000 carbon atoms needed to make one attempt at a self-replicator. If all of the hydro/atmosphere carbon participated continually in such attempts that would allow the ancient Earth to make 10^38 simultaneous attempts.
The number of possible 100-base RNA sequences is 4^100, which with a bit of juggling of logarithms comes to about 1.6×10^60, so 1.6×10^22 iterations of making 10^38 parallel simultaneous attempts would be required to systematically try all combinations. Two factors pull this in opposite directions: one, there might be more than one 100-base RNA capable of autocatalyzing, but on the other hand two, combinations will be tried randomly (drawn with replacement) rather than systematically (drawn without replacement). The latter probably greatly outweighs the former, making 1.6×10^22 iterations a weak lower bound, because it turns a linear search into, ultimately, a near-exponential one.
Degradation of RNA involves an activation energy of about 17.9 kcal/mol, and this might be a decent estimate for the energy needed to do (or heat released from) changing one (set of) RNA molecules into a different set, with different sequences. The number of moles of RNA here is simply 1/10 the number of moles of carbon in that RNA since there are 10 carbon atoms per RNA molecule, so the above equals 179kcal/mol carbon. Dividing the 10^41 atoms of carbon by Avogadro’s number gives a total molar carbon content of this system of about 1.6×10^17, and a total energy needed (and heat dissipated) per iteration, across the entire planet, of 3×10^19kcal, or about 1.26×10^23 joules.
Earth’s energy budget now is around 240w/m^2, nearly all of that solar — conservatively, let’s ignore the faint early sun assuming that early higher heat flux from the interior compensates (it probably doesn’t fully). Multiply this figure by an area of 5×10^14 m^2 and one gets 1.2×10^17w, very close to one one-millionth of the energy per iteration calculated above. The implication is that one iteration (and 10^38 combinations) could be tried every million seconds, maximum. 1.6×10^22 iterations would then require 1.6×10^28 seconds,
That’s 5×10^20 years. As compared to Earth’s present age of 4.5×10^9 years.
It seems unlikely that Earth chances upon a replicator in only the first couple of hundred million years, doesn’t it?
Of course, the search isn’t just taking place on Earth. Every planet in the observable universe with similar surface conditions, in every epoch, would be participating. By the weak anthropic principle, if any of them eventually succeeded, we’d find ourselves there.
But in this case, abiogenesis is absolutely a “hard step” in Great Filter terms. It is very unlikely for any planet to succeed during its own lifetime. There is a long and involved mathematical argument that on a planet where success does occur, the achievement of “hard steps” would occur at points between the onset and end of planetary habitability that were distributed such that the intervals here — habitability start to first hard step, first hard step to second, etc., last hard step to end of habitability — would have lengths that were uniformly distributed random variables, from the “anthropic viewpoint” (observers on worlds where all hard steps were achieved). If the only “hard step” is abiogenesis (so, tool-using talkers easily ensue wherever abiogenesis occurs — unlikely given the long interval between “first bacteria” and “first talkers” here of around 4Ga), we would expect to observe it somewhere in the middle third or so of the planet’s habitability lifespan, estimated at from 4Ga ago to about 1Ga in the future, so not until around 1Ga into the Archaean. That is not what we observe. If there are three hard steps (abio, eukaryotes, language) we’d still expect longer than a geological eyeblink between “first liquid water” and “first bacteria”. Bacteria at 3.5Ga, eukaryotes around 1.5-2Ga, and talkers now with 1Ga habitability left afterward would be fairly plausible; bacteria at 4.2Ga, not so likely.
The conclusion here is that a) in the previous comment is nearly certainly false, and either b) is true or there are five or more “hard steps” (perhaps photosynthesis, between bacteria and eukaryotes, on the one hand, and multicellular animals, between eukaryotes and us, on the other).
So, the two new alternatives seem to be
a) Five hard steps, and life extremely rare in any one galaxy — one in 10^11 earthlike planets or so, or
b) Cometary undirected panspermia, which allows a f#$!ton more simultaneous tries galaxy-wide than a measly 10^38.
This reinforces what I said above: if exoatmosphere data starts coming in and the result is “free oxygen everywhere we look” then b) is pretty much guaranteed.
Further, the number “5×10^20 years” is actually extremely conservative since it assumes a newborn planet’s energy and volatile-carbon budgets being both very efficiently used on constant attempts to create a self-replicator, which is not remotely realistic. Making that number larger doesn’t actually change the number of hard steps in a), but does further reduce the frequency of planets with life, let alone ones with talky tool-twiddlers. Perhaps to where having one of the latter in even a whole Hubble volume in a mere 1.4×10^10 years starts to get unlikely.
Comets are about 7.5% carbon, and the Oort cloud contains about 1.9 Earth masses of total stuff, so about 0.05 Earth masses of carbon are in the Oort cloud, and likely not much more in all of the solar system’s “volatile carbon budget”. That’s around 3×10^26g, near to 2×10^50 carbon atoms, or 2×10^9 times as much as in Earth’s air and water. Multiply by 100 billion or so stars in the Milky Way to get 2×10^20. The galaxy as a whole can maybe discover a replicator in 2.5 years (not gigayears, or even megayears — years) given the calculations above … except that the average energy budget per carbon atom is going to be significantly lower than on Earth. Comets spend small amounts of time getting more w/m^2 than Earth and very long stretches of time (especially if unperturbed-as-yet) getting basically none. Even if it averages to a billionth as much, though, that suggests a galaxy the size of ours is likely to originate a replicator in 2-3 gigayears after it has enough metallicity to produce comets in anything close to their present abundance. This still presumes efficient search (which would make the timescale way longer again) and also that the mass of carbon around the sun is close to the per-star average (which could be wildly wrong, in either direction).
However, even if the inefficient search makes it take much longer for a galaxy to produce a replicator, we now have one “hard step” that only has to happen once per galaxy and maybe a few more on any one planet in that galaxy to get a sapient spacefarer emerging there. Star formation rates peak early (before much metallicity) and then decay exponentially with a roughly 3Gy half-life, so the single galaxy-wide “hard step” would be expected to occur most likely when between 1/3 and 2/3 or all of the eventual stars had formed there that would form after the metallicity threshold was reached for substantial icy bodies. Supposing this was reached at cosmic age 3Gy, then the replicator would appear in “lucky” galaxies perhaps in the range of 5-8Gy, corresponding to a time range in the past of 9-6 Gya. We would find ourselves in such a galaxy, with abundant (microbial) life in cometary bodies and on habitable terrestrial planets (and likely in roofed-ocean worlds too), but many of the galaxies seen in our scopes would be barren. Nearby ones would likely have life after some time, if ejected stars (or sideswipes of whole galaxies) occasionally carry a retinue of infected comets to a new galaxy. Clusters like the Local Group eventually get colonized without the need for sapient intervention, but not larger scale regions.
Intelligent life might be rare cosmically, and rare or abundant locally depending. (But one sign it’s likely to be rare locally is just how many Earth life forms are social, tool using, and primate-smart but don’t have language or a civilization — it looks like there is a “glass ceiling” that humans smashed around 200Ka that likely represents a “hard step”, and coming perhaps 4/5 of the way through Earth’s habitability this likely means there is one other earlier “hard step” that happened in the first third of the Earth’s past, likely eukaryogenesis. That in turn means there’s likely only one or a handful of planets with independently-evolved sapients in each galaxy that ever does develop sapients, and if we blow our chance we can’t count on the corvids or proboscids or some such group succeeding us, even if they survive the mess we make. Again, let this inform your politics.)
birgerjohansson says
Sky Captain @ 450
Yes. Another example of how bloody hard it is to find truth… now I will be content to let the feds handle the thankless task of untangling everything.
Bekendtein Bound @ 449
Goddammit you are channeling my thoughts!
BTW I recently communicated with John S Lewis professor emeritus from Arizona, he pretty much ruled out ever terraforming Venus.
As far as Mars is concerned, without plate tectonics it would be unlikely to find rich ore deposits of any useful elements- most mines on Earth depend on ore bodies formed during the continent-building phase of the neoproterozoic.
birgerjohansson says
I don’t recall if I added the link already.
Nature Ecology & Evolution
“The nature of the last universal common ancestor and its impact on the early Earth system”
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41559-024-02461-1
birgerjohansson says
An update.
The cop who interrupted the shooter was helped up by a colleague so he could peek over the edge of the roof.
In this situation the gunman pointed the rifle at him and he let go and fell down.
However as the gunman had been spotted he had to aim and fire under extreme stress.
As the bullet came very close to Trump it is likely the officer saved his life.
birgerjohansson says
Shooting consequences
http://youtube.com/post/UgkxijRoV4UpNOlOluPKvOz7ov8aa_pdLw-b
StevoR says
Owen Jones clip – Trump Assassination Attempt Marks US Descent Into Darkness – under 15 mins long.
I don’t agree with all Owen Jones says here but he does makes some good points.
As noted elsewhere, the election is still a way off, a lot could change quickly and if the Democratic party does unite and work , well , it ai’t over yet. Oh and quietly Biden and his administration is doing a reasonable, competent job.
KG says
You seem to be asuming that there are no steps between “definitely nothing having any lifelike properties” and a single RNA sequence capable of self-replication, with the latter then being “life”. I don’t think either of these implicit assumptions is likely to be true. I wonder if you’ve read Nick Lane’s The Vital Question? (He’s one of the authors of the paper linked to by birgerjohansson, and takes a “metabolism first” view of abiogenesis, in which long-sequence molecules which get accurately copied would be a relatively late stage.)
StevoR says
This Biden Admin Moves To Protect Workers From Extreme Heat – TYT clip 11mins matters and willmatter ever mor eintothe future. let’s hope people remember it and vote accordingly
JM says
CNN Judge dismissed Trump document case
Judge Cannon has dismissed the document case on the grounds that special councils are not legal.
StevoR says
@454. birgerjohansson : “BTW I recently communicated with John S Lewis professor emeritus from Arizona, he pretty much ruled out ever terraforming Venus..”
Remember Clarke’s First Law?
Source : https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Clarke%27s_three_laws among other laces. Firts rea din collectionof SF stories / essays as a HS or younger kid.
I won’t say it will definitely happen some day or is going to be a realistic near term project (much as the, okay, not so near future SF Venus novels trilogy of Pamela Sargeant appeals) but I wouldn’t rule it out completely..
PZ Myers says
I would also point out that 100 million years is a very long time, and that we’re looking at molecular evolution on a planet-wide scale. I doubt that human guesses at probability are particularly reliable.
StevoR says
The things British Things* you stumble on channel surfing when you can’t sleep late at night – a classic froma comical but also factual kids TV show.
.* Two minutes long.
Lynna, OM says
Republicans press Dems to stop calling Trump a threat to democracy
Lynna, OM says
Judge Cannon sides with Trump, dismisses classified docs case
Judge Aileen Cannon was already credibly accused of being biased in Donald Trump’s favor. Then she dismissed the classified documents case altogether.
The case could also be refiled by another prosecutor instead of Special Counsel Jack Smith. Still, this adds up to another significant delay in prosecuting Trump for obvious crimes.
Lynna, OM says
Link
StevoR says
@465. Lynna, OM : “Republicans press Dems to stop calling Trump a threat to democracy.”
So, surprise, non-surprise, the Repugs call here is a silencing tactic. Don’t tell the truth about us, whilst we keep telling lies about you.
Lynna, OM says
Cartoon: Our top story
Lynna, OM says
StevoR @468, that’s a good summary.
More commentary along the same lines. This is from David Frum, writing for The Atlantic:
JM says
@466 Lynna, OM: “The case could also be refiled by another prosecutor instead of Special Counsel Jack Smith. Still, this adds up to another significant delay in prosecuting Trump for obvious crimes.”
The Biden administration is also considering the possibility of some shuffling of how the special counsel is financed to get around the issue with a legal tap dance. You point out the real issue though, no matter what the case is frozen until after the election. Nothing else need happen until the appeals are resolved and it’s unlikely to be heard before the election let alone resolved. There is a good chance that was Cannon’s primary motivation for making a ruling she knew would likely be reversed.
StevoR says
In a year’s time from today (Aussie time -July 15th – except its now ttechnically the 16th here but anyhow..) it will be a decade since the New Horizons spaceprobe flew past Pluto giving us our first look at this ice dwarf type planet.
See New Horizons – Incredible Pluto Flyby (Raw Images) by
nickrulercreator -40 seconds length.
WARNING Warning: jerky, almost strobe-y effect with individual NH photos flashing by flickering-ly here. helps to press the pause button to slow it & get actual orignal fly-by pics.
Plus this now old space dot com article :
https://www.space.com/pluto-flyby-new-horizons-fifth-anniversary.html
As well as the official NASA New Horizons page here :
https://science.nasa.gov/mission/new-horizons
Lynna, OM says
What happened to Trump is a drop in a vast ocean of American violence, by Mark Sumner
Lynna, OM says
JM @471, I agree. And thanks for the additional information about the Biden administration looking for a way to work around Judge Cannon’s ruling.
Lynna, OM says
Holy fuck, and JFC:
https://x.com/acnewsitics/status/1812849142013542746
That image of the AR-15 giveaway is also available here.
SC (Salty Current) says
From Lynna’s #432:
Maradona cultists now?
Lynna, OM says
Followup to comments 466 and 471.
Text quoted is from The Washington Post.
More from Talking Points Memo:
Chuck Schumer:
Adam Klasfeld:
Chris Hayes:
Donald Trump:
I snipped the rest of Trump’s blather. Kind of funny how his loooong list of court cases undercuts his claims.
Lynna, OM says
Link
Lynna, OM says
https://www.wonkette.com/p/aileen-cannon-dismisses-trump-docs
Aileen Cannon Dismisses Trump Docs Case For Lack Of Wanting To Try Trump Docs Case
List of other stupid things Judge Aileen Cannon has done is available at the link
birgerjohansson says
The Guardian
“Body found in area where Jay Slater went missing in Tenerife” | Spain
https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/article/2024/jul/15/body-found-in-area-where-jay-slater-went-missing-in-tenerife
birgerjohansson says
“How PhD students in Sweden can profit from their own research”
I am told this benefit is unique to Sweden 🙂
https://www.thelocal.se/20240715/how-phd-students-in-sweden-can-profit-from-their-own-research/
Lynna, OM says
https://www.wonkette.com/p/civility-lessons-from-republicans
Lynna, OM says
Washington Post link
Trump remade the GOP in his image — and its platform in his words.
Images of the actual pages of the platform document are available at the link. The 2024 platform mentions Trump by name 19 times.
Comparisons are available at the link to Trump speeches and social media posts, juxtaposed with the actual platform pages.
birgerjohansson says
Forgotten Weapons:
“Icelandic Swords: Blades of the Viking Frontier”
.https://youtube.com/watch?v=aH2Zijvauu0
The good old days when you had to walk up to people if you wanted to kill them. Also, no aristocratic parasites on that island.
SC (Salty Current) says
Some assorted thoughts:
First, one of Biden’s best qualities is that he’s not reactive. I don’t mean he doesn’t respond to events or do so with the necessary speed or intensity, or that he doesn’t recognize the stakes; I mean he (in a way Erich Fromm characterized as psychologically healthy) keeps things in perspective and his goals and larger public mission in mind when deciding how to proceed. This is a key leadership quality in troubled political times, and essential when dealing with fascist movements and their propaganda. He and his campaign aren’t chasing after every media circus Trump tries to create – he keeps his gaze fixed on what’s important and what he wants to accomplish.
This is very unlike the media, who seem unable or unwilling to step out of the churn Trump and his bad-faith allies create, pause, regain their bearings, and think ahead about their mission or their actions, the political part they’re playing, and their potential consequences. It’s also very unlike Trump, who is a giant raw nerve, completely controlled by his insecurities and fears and compulsions to dominate and strike out at others. (That people want someone like this as president remains astonishing.)
Second, Trump’s immediate response to the shooting was to me like the physical embodiment of fascism. The pumping fist, the snarled lip – it didn’t convey strength or leadership but reactive viciousness and aggression. Even to the extent that his campaign can keep that temporarily in check, it’s who he is and should be nowhere near the presidency.
Third, as one of the rallygoers I saw interviewed said, it was effectively a mass shooting (whether the shooter intended that or not). Not only the living victims but the families of all of the victims and other survivors have been through the same trauma that mass shootings have caused in communities across the US. I don’t know what if any political effect that will have, but I hope they – and especially any children who were there – will get help to deal with the trauma. Trump won’t get help for himself (nor could he be helped) – he’ll glom onto narratives that make his survival a matter of destiny and power and his acolytes will work to convince the attendees that they don’t need compassion and care but scapegoats to helplessly rage at.
Fourth, this reminds me a bit of when Trump got COVID in 2020. Problems he’d done much to exacerbate and little (well, in that case one significant thing and in this case nothing) to solve. As in that case, it’s his supporters among those paying the price (then by the hundreds of thousands; here a small number) while he survived, cradled in layers of care and security. Once again, he’ll never face up to the actual problem or work to address it, appreciate his own role in creating it, or care about the dead or suffering except insofar as they can be made use of politically. Ruth Ben-Ghiat said she’ll be putting the shooting into historical context in her Substack, Lucid, which is a refreshing break from the media incompetence.
Finally, I’ve been reading Annalee Newitz’s new Stories Are Weapons: Psychological Warfare and the American Mind, and I’m reminded how useful chaos and confusion are to authoritarians and how they try to create or opportunistically exploit shock events to keep people off balance and scrambling to make sense of what’s happening around them. It’s hard to maintain a steady gaze in these circumstances, but – to bring it back to my first point – Biden is providing a decent example.
Lynna, OM says
SC @485, excellent points! And well said.
Meanwhile Trump’s change in tone (with him offering condolences to others who were injured) lasted just a few hours.
Axios posted this bullshit:
After that, Trump posted this flaming bullshit, which was mentioned up-thread, but is here presented in full:
Same as it ever was.
Lying about the classified documents case being “illegal.” Lying about January 6, saying that prosecution for that insurrection was a “hoax.”
Commentary from Steve Benen:
Yep. That’s exactly what Trump means.
Trump cannot even come close to matching Biden’s even-handedness, nor Biden’s informed perspective.
Lynna, OM says
Trump has picked J.D. Vance as his running mate. So … J.D. Vance as Vice President?
See comments 227 and 396.
Lynna, OM says
Trump picks JD Vance for VP—the guy who called him ‘America’s Hitler’, by Mark Sumner
“Heir ?” Perish the thought.
Lynna, OM says
About the shooter, Tom (as he was called in high school) Crooks:
Link
Posted by readers of the article:
Posted by Patriot Takes:
https://x.com/patriottakes/status/1812460546236518607
That’s a partial transcript. The video is available at the link. The video is 1:29 minutes long.
There are also a lot of calls for violence in that video.
Lynna, OM says
https://www.wonkette.com/p/trump-picks-unlikeable-pile-of-human
Trump Picks Unlikeable Pile Of Human Butthair As Running Mate, Excellent Choice!
SC (Salty Current) says
It’s been a while, but I remember thinking this episode of Citations Needed about Hillbilly Elegy was very good:
“News Brief – Review: Netflix’s Charles Murray-Themed Hallmark Film ‘Hillbilly Elegy'”:
Here’s the transcript:
“News Brief: A Review of ‘Hillbilly Elegy,’ Netflix’s Charles Murray-Themed Hallmark Film”:
And a more recent If Books Could Kill episode about the book (YT link):
“If Books Could Kill – Episode 10: Hillbilly Elegy”:
birgerjohansson says
Judge’s Dismissal Of Trump’s Criminal Case Backfires 🙂
.https://youtube.com/watch?v=BU1-u-fxolE
JM says
CNN Special council to appeal Judge Cannon’s dismissal
The only interesting thing is that the special council is moving this quickly. It was dismissed this morning and by evening the special council’s office had decided to appeal and gotten approval from the Justice Department. Most likely they had considered the possibility that Cannon would do this and had plans prepared.
birgerjohansson says
Russian soldier: ‘We’re going to surrender. 3 days of no food, no water….
.https://youtube.com/shorts/xq22YiieBYU
I feel sorry for the poor expendable bastards.
birgerjohansson says
Trump’s chosen VP JD Vance’s Chilling Prediction For Women
.https://youtube.com/watch?v=wbbpnJLbeV8
Reginald Selkirk says
Inside Ziklag, the Secret Organization of Wealthy Christians Trying to Sway the Election and Change the Country
birgerjohansson says
After shooting.
Contrast between candidates
.http://youtube.com/post/UgkxDHKt8OnvhyAUtCRei9On27MLCh8dzs3y
birgerjohansson says
“Football is coming home to England”
https://www.facebook.com/share/v/hMhj7sNNSBrKtsup/
birgerjohansson says
This is THE WORST PRINTER I’ve ever seen | Soviet SM6337.02
.https://youtube.com/watch?v=4hFoMkQCuqw
Lynna, OM says
SC @comment 491, thanks. That’s quite useful information.
In other news, this is from The Texas Tribune:
See comment 289.