The result of the New York primary is not good news for the Bernie Sanders campaign. While he was expected to lose, the almost 16-point margin of defeat (57.9%-42.1%) is large enough that it has to be seen as a major setback and a downer after his recent string of successes, even though he still picked up 106 delegates to Hillary Clinton’s 139. He will have to do much better in the five primaries next Tuesday (Maryland, Pennsylvania, Connecticut, Delaware, and Rhode Island).
On the Republican side, Donald Trump’s margin was y-u-u-g-e, 60.4% as opposed to John Kasich who finished a distant second with 25.1% and Ted Cruz who got merely 14.5%. Trump pretty much won all the delegates and now has 845 of the 1,237 needed to win on the first ballot of the convention. He needs 392 of the remaining 674 delegates or 58%. There will be 172 delegates awarded next Tuesday.
This result has to be bad news for Cruz. It is true that New York is Trump’s home state but coming in third behind Kasich is what will hurt him. Kasich, of course, treats second place finishes as big victories. Cruz now needs 678 delegates to win on the first ballot, an impossibility. So his only hope is for Trump not to win on the first ballot and for the delegates of the other candidates (Kasich and those who have dropped out) and even Trump delegates to switch to him. This is a long shot.
It is looking increasingly, and depressingly, like a Trump vs. Clinton election in November.