Lazy linking

A few, often slightly older, articles on the internet that I have come across and find interesting enough to share.

The Collectible Coins That Celebrate the Dark Side of American Policing

The first military challenge coins, one story goes, were handed out in 1969 by a US Army colonel to build camaraderie in his Special Forces unit. He took the idea from a National Guardsman who had required his troops to always keep a sixpence coin on them in order to buy drinks for their buddies. (Soldiers caught empty-handed during a “coin check” typically must buy a round.) By the 1980s, the silver dollar–size medallions had taken off in the military and beyond. Corporations gave them out to employees. Numismatists collected them. And as cops began equipping themselves and acting more like soldiers, they started minting their own. These law enforcement challenge coins often embrace the unpolished side of the “warrior cop” ethos—the violence, racism, and impunity that have sparked our current reckoning with American police culture.

The AI Boardroom Gap (pdf)

There’s a widening gap between bold AI ambition and reality. Most organizations aren’t failing at AI because of the technology, but because their foundations can’t support it.

This report is quite uncritical of AI, but it shines the light on a very real problem – the differences in AI ambitions and the reality of a lot of companies. In my opinion, this is to a large part due to AI being oversold to the CEOs and boardmembers of companies, so they expect a lot more from it, than is realistic in most organizations. For example, AI has been promoted as a tool to make programmers up to a magnitude more productive, but we struggle to find any real evidence of this. If you base your strategy around 10x programmers, then it will not work.

Speaking of evidence for AI and system development:

Does AI Really Make Coders More Productive?

The big headline? On average, AI coding assistants give developers a 15-20% productivity boost across industries. That’s solid—imagine finishing your work 15-20% faster! But it’s not the same for everyone. Claims that developers see a ten fold (10x) boost in productivity are not very contextually helpful. Some teams saw huge jumps, while others actually got less productive. Why? It depends on a few key factors.

On top of that, I can add that this article from last year, showed that AI can decrease productivity in some cases:

Measuring the Impact of Early-2025 AI on Experienced Open-Source Developer Productivity

We conduct a randomized controlled trial (RCT) to understand how early-2025 AI tools affect the productivity of experienced open-source developers working on their own repositories. Surprisingly, we find that when developers use AI tools, they take 19% longer than without—AI makes them slower. We view this result as a snapshot of early-2025 AI capabilities in one relevant setting; as these systems continue to rapidly evolve, we plan on continuing to use this methodology to help estimate AI acceleration from AI R&D automation.

In fairness, I should add that they have found more AI-positive results in later studies, but they find their their own design lacking and states “We are Changing our Developer Productivity Experiment Design

Old Copenhagen

I came across this long YouTube video showing how Copenhagen looked like in 1934.

The major differences between then and now, is that we no longer have trams, and, of course, the sheer volume of cars

It is escalating

First the arrested and charged Democratic politicians like Rep .LaMonica McIver and Senator Alex Padilla and now they are killing them.

Horrifying news out of Minnesota

Melissa Hortman, the top Democratic lawmaker in the Minnesota House, was shot and killed in a suspected politically-motivated assassination along with her husband early Saturday.

The suspect in the attack at Hortman’s home in Brooklyn Park is impersonating a police officer and remains at large, according to authorities.

Minnesota Sen. John Hoffman and his wife were also shot multiple times at their home in Champlin, but are expected to survive, according to Gov. Tim Walz.

PZ has more

This is clearly not just about political differences, if anyone still believed that. Now one group is trying to suppress the rest of the country through threats, the use of force, and outright murder.

Sounds and chimpanzees

Surfing the internet, I noted two pieces of news related to Chimpanzees and sounds.

The first article is about the rhythms that different groups of chimpanzees drum with, indicating that chimpanzees share musicality with humans.

Chimpanzee groups drum with distinct rhythms

New research from a team of cognitive scientists and evolutionary biologists finds that chimpanzees drum rhythmically, using regular spacing between drum hits. Their results show that eastern and western chimpanzees — two distinct subspecies — drum with distinguishable rhythms. The researchers say these findings suggest that the building blocks of human musicality arose in a common ancestor of chimpanzees and humans.

The actual science article was printed in Current BiologyChimpanzee drumming shows rhythmicity and subspecies variation

The second article is about how wild chimpanzees alter the meaning of singles calls when embedding them in longer calls, indicating a linguistic complexity that hasn’t been documented before outside the human species.

The origins of language (horrible headline given by ScienceDaily)

Wild chimpanzees alter the meaning of single calls when embedding them into diverse call combinations, mirroring linguistic operations in human language. Human language, however, allows an infinite generation of meaning by combining phonemes into words and words into sentences. This contrasts with the very few meaningful combinations reported in animals, leaving the mystery of human language evolution unresolved.

Chimpanzees are capable of complex communication: The human capacity for language may not be as unique as previously thought. Chimpanzees have a complex communication system that allows them to combine calls to create new meanings, similar to human language. Combining calls creatively: Chimpanzees use four ways to change meaning when combining single calls into two-call combinations, including compositional and non-compositional combinations, and they use a large variety of call combinations in a wide range of contexts.

The science article is in ScienceAdvancesVersatile use of chimpanzee call combinations promotes meaning expansion

Abstract

Language is a combinatorial communication system able to generate an infinite number of meanings. Nonhuman animals use several combinatorial mechanisms to expand meanings, but maximum one mechanism is reported per species, suggesting an evolutionary leap to human language. We tested whether chimpanzees use several meaning-expanding mechanisms. We recorded 4323 utterances in 53 wild chimpanzees and compared the events in which chimpanzees emitted two-call vocal combinations (bigrams) with those eliciting the component calls. Examining 16 bigrams, we found four combinatorial mechanisms whereby bigram meanings were or were not derived from the meaning of their parts—compositional or noncompositional combinations, respectively. Chimpanzees used each mechanism in several bigrams across a wide range of daily events. This combinatorial system allows encoding many more meanings than there are call types. Such a system in nonhuman animals has never been documented and may be transitional between rudimentary systems and open-ended systems like human language.

I found it interesting that two articles came out at the same time, seemingly unrelated, that both indicates that we share more traits with our Chimpanzee relatives than previously thought

 

Time for a new pope

Pope Francis has died, Vatican says

Pope Francis, the first Latin American leader of the Roman Catholic Church, has died, the Vatican said on Monday, ending an often turbulent reign marked by division and tension as he sought to overhaul the hidebound institution.

Pope Francis is probably the best Catholic pope in my lifetime, but he still represented a bigoted organization, covering up for child molesters. The same will be true of the next pope.

Disable AI training on your YouTube videos

Recently I have come across a bunch of videos on YouTube with AI generated descriptions under the videos. I presume most people who have these don’t know how to switch this feature off.

Here is an example of what I am talking about – an added description field under the video.

If you want to switch it off for you account, you have to go through YouTube studio – this is done through the menu you find if you click on your head in the top right corner

After navigating to YouTube Studio, you have to click on “settings”

In settings, you have to choose “Channel” and the tab “Advanced settings”. After doing that, you can scroll down to “Third-party training”, which you should switch off.

Two deaths of note

Every week there are noteworthy people who pass away, but sometimes their deaths hit a little harder.

This week we lost Joe Nickell and Kevin Drum.

Joe Nickell was a skeptic of the old school, investigating paranormal mysteries and hoaxes. I never had anything directly to do with him, but I admired his work, and have heard a lot of good stuff about him from people I respect. Here is Skeptical Inquirer’s obituary: Remembering Joe Nickell, Iconic Skeptic and Investigator

Kevin Drum was an influential progressive blogger back when blogging was a huge thing. He blogged under the name Calpundit, until he moved his blog, under the name Political Animal, to Washington Monthly. He later moved to Mother Jones, and more or less took over their website. Kevin was not without some serious flaws, but he was also willing to change his mind – for example, he supported the Iraq War before it actually started, but changed his mind, and was against it by the time the war actually started. I haven’t read Kevin Drum for years, but in his heyday, he was one of my must-read blogs. His family’s notice of his death can be read here.

 

The UK has a misinformation problem

As many of you probably know, there is a currently an anti-immigration movement in the UK, which unsurprisingly is supported by Musk who uses his platform to amplify their messages – messages that are mostly build upon lies and misinformation.

Here is a great article in Prospect Magazine addressing these lies and misinformation.

Immigration myths are everywhere

The media is flooded with outright lies and misleading statistics. Countering the falsehoods is arduous work

The article starts out with a great example

“One in 12 in Londoners is illegal migrant”; this was a front-page splash in the Telegraph, picked up and repeated across not just the right-wing press but in “mainstream” publications and by supposedly respectable but gullible or lazy commentators, not to mention Nigel Farage and Lord Frost, and no doubt other eminent politicians.

In fact, this claim contained not just one mistake but several. It was based not on new research but on a rehash of existing and now outdated estimates for the UK’s undocumented population. It took the upper limit of a wide estimate as fact—a more accurate description of this estimate would have been “between 1 in 13 and 1 in 20”.

Worse still, it omitted to note that the higher estimates include a large number of people who have indefinite leave to remain, and so are not, and in most cases never have been, irregular migrants, as well as children born in the UK, who may indeed be irregular but are most certainly not migrants.

Following my complaints to Ipso, the press regulator, the Telegraph and others corrected the story, albeit inadequately, and in small print on the inside pages. Ipso has the power to require them to publish a front-page correction, and have done so in the past; but their ruling will not come for some months.

There is no doubt that this is part of a broader strategy; the author of the Telegraph story, Sam Ashworth-Hayes, is not a “journalist” in the old-fashioned sense of the word, but an anti-immigration zealot, whose screeds usually appear on the Opinion page and who is part of a broader network of young right-wing activists.

The playbook is simple, drawn partly from the US, but adapted to the more centralised UK media landscape, where there is less of a clear firewall between “old” media and more overtly propagandistic outlets such as GB News, with many commentators featuring in both. Flood the zone with a mixture of lies, half-truths, misleading claims and statistics taken out of context, often sourced from “thinktanks” with little or no actual expertise. By the time these are belatedly corrected, or put in context, move on.

People like Jonathan Portes, who wrote this article, is fighting the good fight, but it is hard to counter lies and especially misinformation. This doesn’t mean we shouldn’t do it – it just means that we need to be aware of the limits, and make sure to take a multi-pronged approach while fighting this.

A new podcast – the Know Rogan Experience

A great new podcast has come into existence: The Know Rogan Experience,

The podcast is hosted brilliantly by Michael “Marsh” Marshall and Cecil Cicirello. Marsh is the editor of the UK Skeptic Magazine, one of the hosts of Skeptics with a K, and one of the organizers behind the QED conference. Cecil is one of the hosts of Cognitive Dissonance. So the hosts certainly have their skeptical credential in order.

The podcast focuses on Joe Rogan, and each episode covers an episode of The Joe Rogan Experience, going through the bullshit, falsehoods, and the very few factually correct statements

Machine learning has a pseudoscience problem

I saw this interesting paper linked on Bluesky

The reanimation of pseudoscience in machine learning and its ethical repercussions

It is from Patterns Volume 5Issue 9, September 13 2024, and talks about the harms of ML throughs its promotion of pseudo-science, or as the paper states:

The bigger picture

Machine learning has a pseudoscience problem. An abundance of ethical issues arising from the use of machine learning (ML)-based technologies—by now, well documented—is inextricably entwined with the systematic epistemic misuse of these tools. We take a recent resurgence of deep learning-assisted physiognomic research as a case study in the relationship between ML-based pseudoscience and attendant social harms—the standard purview of “AI ethics.” In practice, the epistemic and ethical dimensions of ML misuse often arise from shared underlying reasons and are resolvable by the same pathways. Recent use of ML toward the ends of predicting protected attributes from photographs highlights the need for philosophical, historical, and domain-specific perspectives of particular sciences in the prevention and remediation of misused ML.

Summary

The present perspective outlines how epistemically baseless and ethically pernicious paradigms are recycled back into the scientific literature via machine learning (ML) and explores connections between these two dimensions of failure. We hold up the renewed emergence of physiognomic methods, facilitated by ML, as a case study in the harmful repercussions of ML-laundered junk science. A summary and analysis of several such studies is delivered, with attention to the means by which unsound research lends itself to social harms. We explore some of the many factors contributing to poor practice in applied ML. In conclusion, we offer resources for research best practices to developers and practitioners.
The problem is simply put that the people responsible for the ML, cannot evaluate the data they feed into the ML. Or as the paper explains:
When embarking on a project in applied ML, it is not standard practice to read the historical legacy of domain-specific research. For any applied ML project, there exists a field or fields of research devoted to the study of that subject matter, be it on housing markets or human emotions. This ahistoricity contributes to a lack of understanding of the subject matter and of the evolution of methods with which it has been studied. The wealth of both subject-matter expertise and methodological training possessed by trained scientists is typically not known to ML developers and practitioners.
The gatekeeping methods present in scientific disciplines that typically prevent pseudoscientific research practices from getting through are not present for applied ML in either industry or academic research settings. The same lack of domain expertise and subject-matter-specific methodological training characteristic of those undertaking applied ML projects is typically also lacking in corporate oversight mechanisms as well as among reviewers at generalist ML conferences. ML has largely shrugged off the yoke of traditional peer-review mechanisms, opting instead to disseminate research via online archive platforms. ML scholars do not submit their work to refereed academic journals. Research in ML receives visibility and acclaim when it is accepted for presentation at a prestigious conference. However, it is typically shared and cited, and its methods built upon and extended, without first having gone through a peer-review process. This changes the function of refereeing scholarship. The peer-review process that does exist for ML conferences does not exist for the purpose of selecting which work is suitable for public consumption but, rather, as a kind of merit-awarding mechanism. The process awards (the appearance of) novelty and clear quantitative results. Even relative to the modified functional role of refereeing in ML, however, peer-reviewing procedures in the field are widely acknowledged to be ineffective and unprincipled. Reviewers are often overburdened and ill-equipped to the task. What is more, they are neither trained nor incentivized to review fairly or to prioritize meaningful measures of success and adequacy in the work they are reviewing.
This brings us to the matter of perverse incentives in ML engineering and scholarship. Both ML qua academic field and ML qua software engineering profession possess a culture that pushes to maximize output and quantitative gains at the cost of appropriate training and quality control. In most scientific domains, a student is not standardly expected to publish until the PhD, at which point they have typically had at least half a decade of training in the field. Within ML, it is now typical for students to have their names on several papers upon exiting their undergraduate. The incentives force scholars and scholars in training to churn out ever higher quantities of research. As limited biological agents, however, there is a bottleneck on time and critical thought that can be devoted to research. As quantity of output is pushed ever higher, the quality of scholarship necessarily degrades.
The field of ML has a culture of obsession with quantification—a kind of “measurement mania.” Determinations of success or failure at every stage and level are made quantitatively. Quantitative measures are intrinsically limited in how informative they can be—they are, as we have said, only informative to the extent that they are lent content by a theory or narrative. Quantitative measure cannot, for instance, capture the relative soundness of problem formulation. It has been widely acknowledged that benchmarking is given undue import in the field of ML and, in many cases, is actively harmful in that it penalizes careful theorizing while rewarding kludgy or hardware-based solutions.
A further contributing factor is the increased distribution of labor within scientific and science-adjacent activities. The Taylorization or industrialization of science and engineering pushes its practitioners into increasingly specialized roles whose operations are increasingly opaque to one another. This fact is not intrinsically negative—its repercussions for the legitimacy of science can be, when care is taken, a net positive. In combination with the other facets already mentioned, however, it can cause a host of problems. Increasingly, scholars and industry actors outsource the collection and labeling of their data to third parties. When—as we have argued—much of the theoretical commitments of a modeling exercise come in at the level of data collection and labeling, offloading these tasks can have damaging repercussions for the epistemic integrity of research.
All of the above realities work alongside a basic fact of modern ML: its ease of use. With data in hand and the computing power necessary to train a model, it is possible to achieve publishable or actionable results with a few hours of scripting and write-up. The rapidity with which such models are able to be trained and deployed works alongside a lack of gatekeeping and critical oversight to ill effect.
In my opinion, the paper makes the case for a new process, where people who actually knows the field are part of vetting the data given to the ML model.