The conventional wisdom is that the Democrats are in for a shellacking in the 2014 elections, and likely to lose seats in the House of Representatives and even lose their majority in the Senate, leading to even greater gridlock in the next two years. But at the same time, the Republicans are advocating social and economic policies that are supposedly alienating women, minorities, the 99%, and the young.
These two views can both turn out to be true only if they manage to suppress voting among all those groupings and are able to run up large margins among older and wealthy white males. Is this in fact the case? I haven’t actually seen opinion polls that disaggregate in this way to support this view. Has anyone?