Here’s the dealio: To succeed in academia, you’ve gotta be somewhat hard-working, extremely persistent, moderately talented, and LUCKY. If you are not willing to engage in a long-term career plan whose success hinges in large part on factors that are 100% out of your own control, then don’t do it.
If you are willing to roll the dice, then go for it. But don’t come crying all WATB if your luck doesn’t pan out, cause you’ve been told.
Academia is not a career for someone who wants to know that if they put in the hard work, they *will* get the reward.