Quantcast

«

»

Nov 09 2012

Dick Morris Tweets

Dick Morris, the most wildly inaccurate campaign “expert” the world has ever seen, famously predicted a landslide for Mitt Romney. So it was fun to watch him Tweeting throughout the night on Tuesday, clinging to fleeting hope as the results got worse and worse for him. Here are his tweets, in order:

So…McCain lost by 7 to Obama in 2008. So… if Romney wins the early returns by 9 or more, he should be winning he natl

Obama only carried women in Virginia by 5 pts. not enough fo rhim

interesting data for Ohio. Among counties that voted for Obama and Kerry, absentee and early votes dropped 4.2% In

in counties in Ohio that split Dem in 208 Repub in 04, absentees were up by 2%. In Repub 08 and Repub 04, they rose by 14%.

worried that Obama is 3 up in Florida with 28% counted. Romney cannot win without Florida

disregard previous tweet. The data from 28% in is from early voting. Should be Dem. Don’t worry

romney pulls ahead in Fla 51-49 with half in. Important!

Fox news is saying that the exit polls show a high minority turnout. but that is based on weighting rather than real data

so far I see nothing to disabuse me of the notion that Romney will win by a lot. Nothing to confirm it either

Romney could win Fla by 5-8, enough for a natioal bg win

it is of concern that Romney is 3 behind in Florida with 56% of the vote in

with 1/3 in, Romney is 12 ahead. Could be a very big win. Expected to go Romneyby 5 if more, could be big win

60% of Florida in, down by 2. worried

catching up in Fla. Good lead in Virginia

Romney tied up Florida

Obama ahead by 1 in Fla with 72% in. Scary

Virginia looks solid but Fla and and NC are too close

bad news big time a call for Pennsylvania to go for Obama. But there is still Ohio and Wisconsin (and Minnesota)

I bet that they will eat their words on Pennsylvania on both senate and president

Virginia closing only 4 Romney ahead

Romney moving ahead in Florida. Fox calls House for Republicans may pick up seats

wixonsin to Obama could be the ball game. we can still win with Ohio. I really hate calling Pa and Wisc so early and easy

I think they are calling states way to soon. Stick around and watch the actual vote counts in Penn and Wisc

Virginia looks good up by 4 with 3/4 counted

Colorado is bad while closing we are 4 down with hallf counted.

can afford to lose Col and NH and still win if we win Fla, Va, NC, and Ohio

ur path to the nomination is not blocked as long as we do not lose Ohio, NC, Fla, and Va

if we win Fla, NC, Va, Ohio and Iowa and lose Nevada and Colorado, it is a tie 270-270 and we win it in the House

Florida seems frozen in the vote count at 86% of the vote

will someone please count the damn votes!!

If we lose NH, Col, Iowa, and Nevada, we lose even if we carry Ohio and Fla

we really could win Fla, Ohio, NC, Va, and Col and win the ellection

watch Colorado. If we win Fla and Ohio and Va it will come down to Colorado

Florida just closed to a 18,000 Obama lead It had been 50,000. Looks better

Ohio closed well from a big marfgin in early voting to a 2 pt obama lead with still 1/3 left to count. good sign

It may all come down to Col

dont give up!

That was at about 10:45. He went silent after that. How surprising.

28 comments

3 pings

Skip to comment form

  1. 1
    Michael Heath

    Advice solicited on how to develop conclusions if Bill Kristol and Dick Morris disagree on a particular matter where only two outcomes are feasible.

  2. 2
    Reginald Selkirk

    That was at about 10:45. He went silent after that. How surprising.

    A good move. Karl “The Math” Rove had his meltdown on national TV.

  3. 3
    Akira MacKenzie

    Christ! I was a struggling C-student who went to a puny state college, and I still don’t make anywhere near as many spelling and grammar mistakes as this supposed Columbia graduate.

    I realize it’s Twitter, but at least show some evidence that your command of the English language is at least equal to your level of education!

  4. 4
    Trebuchet

    I’m giggling at “Wixonsin”.

  5. 5
    regexp

    Its a repeat performance from 2008 where Dick Morris lived blogged the election on Townhall.com. He was stating McCain was going to win until 5 minutes before California was called (and thus the election). And then he went silent.

  6. 6
    leftwingfox

    Advice solicited on how to develop conclusions if Bill Kristol and Dick Morris disagree on a particular matter where only two outcomes are feasible.

    I was going to make a Schrödinger’s cat joke here, but the thought of putting them both in a box with a vial of poison is inappropriately appealing.

  7. 7
    Doug Little

    Michael @1

    The magic 8 ball would say:

    Reply hazy, try again

  8. 8
    Jordan Genso

    I sort of expected there’d be more Republicans now admitting they were knowingly and willfully delusional about the reality of the race, but what’s surprising is that their delusion now appears to have been unknown to themselves the whole time.

    It makes me scared about their positions on political issues then. There’s a part of me that’s assumed that conservatives do recognize that climate change is real, but they pretend to deny it in order to benefit certain industries. But if the conservatives were able to maintain an honest delusion about the Presidential race up until the very end, then I’m not so sure they’ll ever recognize the reality of climate change, since there won’t be anything analogous in climate change to the election night vote counting.

  9. 9
    dingojack

    The only really feasible response:-
    Bwhahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahaha!!!
    Dingo

  10. 10
    Physicalist

    My favorite:

    if we win Fla, NC, Va, Ohio and Iowa and lose Nevada and Colorado, it is a tie 270-270 and we win it in the House

    Umm, (1), giving Romney those states gives him 272 and the presidency.

    (2) A tie would be 269-269.

    The GOP has a serious math problem.

  11. 11
    iangould

    @6 – excellent joke. Thanks for the laugh.

  12. 12
    jamessweet

    There’s a part of me that’s assumed that conservatives do recognize that climate change is real, but they pretend to deny it in order to benefit certain industries. But if the conservatives were able to maintain an honest delusion about the Presidential race up until the very end, then I’m not so sure they’ll ever recognize the reality of climate change, since there won’t be anything analogous in climate change to the election night vote counting.

    Believe it.

    Only supervillains, and perhaps your odd sociopath, go to bed at night saying, “MUHAHAHAHA, I will destroy the planet and make a kajillion dollars in the process!” The vast majority of us go to bed at night thinking we are good people and we are doing our best.

    In other words: Most people believe their own lies. Otherwise they’d go crazy.

  13. 13
    Michael Heath

    Jordan Genso writes:

    . . . if the conservatives were able to maintain an honest delusion about the Presidential race up until the very end, then I’m not so sure they’ll ever recognize the reality of climate change, since there won’t be anything analogous in climate change to the election night vote counting.

    Especially as we enjoy the moral progress of people better securing their equal rights. That’ll make it increasingly easy for conservative Christians to blame climate change on gays or whoever the boogeymen du jour is.

    As time goes on, our ability to mitigate the effects of climate change will significantly decrease. We’ll be more feeble to respond where that weakness will contrast nicely with their view of an all-powerful god who hates gays and uppity: women, non-whites, and I think soon, children. And punishes us when we fight for those groups instead of against them.

    So we can expect two types of amplifying feedback effects. The first is based is the feedback loop of more carbon being emitted the more world warms which in turns amps up the rate the world warms. The second loop is the higher the earth’s energy budget, the less capable we are of slowing down or reversing the trend, which increases the attractiveness of the notion that only God has control and he’s punishing us.

  14. 14
    richardelguru

    The Beeb has a piece on nerds and pundits
    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/magazine-20246741

  15. 15
    Aratina Cage

    That was at about 10:45. He went silent after that.

    As reality beat him into silence. Election 2012: The epic battle between Republicans and reality.

  16. 16
    Jordan Genso

    @12 jamessweet

    Yeah, it is the “evil” vs “ignorant” debate (aka knowing their wrong vs. not knowing they’re wrong).

    When it came to the election though, that should be one time when it is not so “evil” to be intentionally irrationally optimistic. It’s the most likely situation when “evil” could be the cause, and it not being a big deal. But if that optimism was based on ignorance rather than being knowingly delusional, then I think it settles the “evil” vs “ignorant” debate in all other cases.

    “Ignorant” won.

  17. 17
    Area Man

    disregard previous tweet. The data from 28% in is from early voting. Should be Dem. Don’t worry

    Of all the dumb things they used to convince themselves that they weren’t going to lose, having the Dems dominate early voting as a bad sign for the Dems has got to be the stupidest. They actually seemed to believe that this would “use up” Democratic votes and thus actually favor them on election night, as if votes cast on election night counted more. And it never occurred to them that Dem domination of early voting did not bode well for a turn-out gap favoring Romney. They got the whole thing totally backwards.

  18. 18
    Raging Bee

    But if the conservatives were able to maintain an honest delusion about the Presidential race up until the very end, then I’m not so sure they’ll ever recognize the reality of climate change…

    Are you kidding?! These wankers can’t even understand female anatomy, so there’s no way they’ll understand anythying more complex, like Syria, or the environment.

  19. 19
    Raging Bee

    if we win Fla, NC, Va, Ohio and Iowa and lose Nevada and Colorado, it is a tie 270-270…

    All together now: ARITHMETIC!

  20. 20
    Modusoperandi

    Raging Bee “Are you kidding?! These wankers can’t even understand female anatomy, so there’s no way they’ll understand anythying more complex, like Syria, or the environment.”
    Oh, please! Only whores and Democrats know anything about female anatomy. If God wanted men to know what ladyparts were, He would’ve made men women!

  21. 21
    Worldtraveller

    “Dick Morris Tweets” Should have been “Dick Morris Twits”.

    If ever there was an appropriate time to use that phrase, this was it.

  22. 22
    Dennis N

    He was stating McCain was going to win until 5 minutes before California was called (and thus the election).

    As I read from one of my friends on election night, waiting to add California’s electoral votes is as satisfying as waiting to the end to change your research paper from single to double space. You know it’s gonna happen, but it feels so good when those 55 get tacked on.

  23. 23
    busterggi

    Morris had best stick with politics – with his delivery he’d never make it as a sportscaster.

  24. 24
    Nibi

    Michael Heath

    Advice solicited on how to develop conclusions if Bill Kristol and Dick Morris disagree on a particular matter where only two outcomes are feasible

    Indeed, what does happen when an irrational farce meets an infinitely dense object?

  25. 25
    jimnorth

    Fox news is saying that the exit polls show a high minority turnout. but that is based on weighting rather than real data

    Huh? How can an exit poll be weighted? Do fat white guys take the rear exit and thus avoid the pollsters? Does Morris actually understand math? Can he count to twenty-one?

  26. 26
    demonhauntedworld

    Morris appears to be doing an excellent rendition of Muhammad Saeed al-Sahhaf, Saddam’s old propaganda minister.

    “There are no American troops in Baghdad!”

  27. 27
    briancerveny

    @jimnorth Exit polls suffer from non-response bias. Democrats are simply more willing to answer exit polls, sweetening their result in exit polls compared to the final data. So the realtime exit polling data must be weighted to attempt to account for this bias.

  28. 28
    d.f.manno

    @ briancerveny (#27) says:

    Exit polls suffer from non-response bias. Democrats are simply more willing to answer exit polls, sweetening their result in exit polls compared to the final data. So the realtime exit polling data must be weighted to attempt to account for this bias.

    No. That was a rationale offered to explain 2004, when the exit polls showed Kerry as the winner. But we now know that 2004 was stolen in Ohio, and there was never any evidence offered to support that rationale.

    The only people still believing that oversampling theory were the people desperately trying to spin the polls in Romney’s favor.

  1. 29
    Midday open thread | Hotspyer – Breaking News from around the web

    [...] slow descent into madness that was the election night Twitter stream of Dick Morris. Here’s the bitter end: If we lose NH, Col, Iowa, and Nevada, we lose even if [...]

  2. 30
    Midday open thread - Online Political Blog

    [...] slow descent into madness that was the election night Twitter stream of Dick Morris. Here’s the bitter end: If we lose NH, Col, Iowa, and Nevada, we lose even if [...]

  3. 31
    “On The Wall, The Writing” | rorygraham

    [...] go to conservative political consultant Dick Morris who predicted a Romney landslide, and whose tweets as the results unfurled make for amusing, schadenfreude-inducing [...]

Leave a Reply

Switch to our mobile site