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Those Wildly Inaccurate Wingnut Prophets

Former FTBer Libby Anne has a great post that looks at some predictions made by Focus on the Family before the 2008 election. Those predictions were made in a “Letter from 2012 in Obama’s America” and they are really quite amusing to read. It starts with disclaimers:

So here is a picture of the changes that are likely or at least very possible if Senator Obama is elected and the far-Left segments of the Democratic Party gain control of the White House, the Congress, and perhaps then the Supreme Court. The entire letter is written as a “What if?” exercise, but that does not make it empty speculation, because every future “event” described here is based on established legal and political trends that can be abundantly documented and that only need a “tipping point” such as the election of Senator Obama and a Democratic House and Senate to begin to put them into place. Every past event named in this letter (everything prior to October 22, 2008) is established fact.

This letter is not “predicting” that all of the imaginative future “events” named in this letter will happen. But it is saying that each one of these changes could happen and also that each change would be the natural outcome of (a) published legal opinions by liberal judges, (b) trends seen in states with liberal-dominated courts such as California and Massachusetts, (c) recent promises, practices and legislative initiatives of the current liberal leadership of the Democratic Party and (d) Senator Obama’s actions, voting record and public promises to the far-Left groups that won the nomination for him.

Let me translate that: We’re going to scare the hell out of you with ridiculous predictions of what will happen if the Evil One is elected, but we want some wiggle room so we can later claim that we really didn’t make those predictions. And once the letter begins, it’s written in standard wingnut language, heavy on emotion-laden phrases like this:

Dear friends,

I can hardly sing “The Star Spangled Banner” any more. When I hear the words, O say, does that star spangled banner yet wave

O’er the land of the free and the home of the brave?

I get tears in my eyes and a lump in my throat. Now in October of 2012, after seeing what has happened in the last four years, I don’t think I can still answer, “Yes,” to that question. We are not “the land of the free and the home of the brave.” Many of our freedoms have been taken away by a liberal Supreme Court and a Democratic majority in both the House and the Senate, and hardly any brave citizen dares to resist the new government policies any more.

He gets tears in his eyes and a lump in his throat, people. Don’t you see how serious he is, and how serious the situation is? He’s crying, just like the baby Jesus is crying. That’s way more powerful than, you know, facts and evidence and stuff. Then come the predictions:

The most far-reaching transformation of American society came from the Supreme Court’s stunning affirmation, in early 2010, that homosexual “marriage” was a “constitutional” right that had to be respected by all 50 states because laws barring same-sex “marriage” violated the Equal Protection clause of the U.S. Constitution. Suddenly, homosexual “marriage” was the law of the land in all 50 states, and no state legislature, no state Supreme Court, no state Constitutional amendment, not even Congress, had any power to change it. The Supreme Court had ruled, and the discussion was over.

Not even close. Not only has the Supreme Court not declared that same-sex marriage is the law of the land, they haven’t even heard a case on it yet. And there’s no sign that they will hear one any time soon (they might take the DOMA and Prop 8 cases this term or next, but neither reaches the question of whether same-sex marriage is required at the federal level).

(1) The Boy Scouts no longer exist as an organization. They chose to disband rather than be forced to obey the Supreme Court decision that they would have to hire homosexual scoutmasters and allow them to sleep in tents with young boys…

It had become increasingly difficult for the Boy Scouts to find meeting places anyway, because in 2009 Congress passed and President Obama signed an expansion of the Civil Rights Act of 1964, which extended federal civil rights protections to people engaging in homosexual behavior. So the Boy Scouts had already been kicked out of all public facilities.

Uh, nope. In fact, the Boy Scouts have reaffirmed their discriminatory position. And there are no legal challenges going on to that because the Supreme Court already ruled the other way on it. Nor was there any such update of the Civil Rights Act.

(2) Elementary schools now include compulsory training in varieties of gender identity in Grade 1, including the goodness of homosexuality as one possible personal choice. Many parents tried to “opt out” their children from such sessions, but the courts have ruled they cannot do this, noting that education experts in the government have decided that such training is essential to children’s psychological health.

Again, not even close to reality.

In addition, many private Christian schools decided to shut down after the Supreme Court ruled that anti-discrimination laws that include sexual orientation extended to private institutions such as schools, and that private schools also had to obey the law and teach that homosexuality and heterosexuality are both morally good choices.

Nope, private Christian schools are thriving. No one, much less Obama, has even tried to make this happen, nor would the Supreme Court, by any configuration, approve it.

(5) Public broadcasting: “The land of the free”? The Bible can no longer be freely preached over radio or television stations when the subject matter includes such “offensive” doctrines as criticizing homosexual behavior. The Supreme Court agreed that these could be kept off the air as prohibited “hate speech” that is likely to incite violence and discrimination. These policies followed broadcasting and print restrictions that were in place prior to 2008 in Canada and Sweden.

For crying out loud. There isn’t a single justice on the court, liberal or conservative, that would agree to such restrictions. Not one.

(8) Homosexual weddings: “The land of the free”? Church buildings are now considered a “public accommodation” by the Supreme Court, and churches have no freedom to refuse to allow their buildings to be used for wedding ceremonies for homosexual couples. If they refuse, they lose their tax-exempt status, and they are increasingly becoming subject to fines and antidiscrimination lawsuits.

Wow. Do you know of any advocate for marriage equality that thinks churches should be forced to perform same-sex marriages? Somehow these nutballs think that the Supreme Court would agree to a legal position that no one actually takes. Apparently they’re going to have to invent a plaintiff and a case out of thin air so they can make a ruling that no sane person could possibly believe they would make. The most liberal justices in the entire history of the court would not take such a position.

(9) Homosexual church staff members: “The land of the free”? While churches are still free to turn down homosexual applicants for the job of senior pastor, churches and parachurch organizations are no longer free to reject homosexual applicants for staff positions such as parttime youth pastor or director of counseling. Those that have rejected homosexual applicants have had their tax-exempt status revoked, and now the Equal Employment Opportunity Commission has begun to impose heavy fines for each instance of such “discrimination,” which, they say, is “contrary to the U.S. Constitution as defined by the Supreme Court.”

Uh, yeah. The Supreme Court is magically going to eliminate the ministerial exception completely. Again, I don’t know of a single person anywhere, of any ideology, who believes that churches should not be allowed to choose their ministers on the basis of their religious views. But the wingnuts are sure that this crazy position that no one advocates is suddenly going to be the law of the land in just four years because Obama is elected.

(19) Guns: “The land of the free”? It is illegal for private citizens to own guns for self defense in eight states, and the number is growing with increasing Democratic control of state legislatures and governorships.

Not only has this not happened, no one has even attempted to make it happen. And what we’ve actually seen is increasing Republican control of state legislatures and governorships, passing pro-gun laws.

(20) Home schooling: “The land of the free”? Parents’ freedom to teach their children at home has been severely restricted. The Supreme Court, to the delight of the National Education Association, followed the legal reasoning of a February 28, 2008, ruling in Re: Rachel L by the 2nd District Court of Appeal in California (although that ruling was later reversed). In the later case, the Supreme Court declared that home schooling was a violation of state educational requirements except in cases where the parents (a) had an education certificate from an
accredited state program., (b) agreed to use state-approved textbooks in all courses, and (c) agreed not to teach their children that homosexual conduct is wrong, or that Jesus is the only way to God, since these ideas have been found to hinder students’ social adjustment and acceptance of other lifestyles and beliefs, and to run counter to the state’s interest in educating its children to be good citizens. Parents found in violation of this ruling have been subject to prosecutions for truancy violation, resulting in heavy fines and eventual removal of their children from the home. Thousands of home schooling parents, seeing no alternative in the United States, have begun to emigrate to other countries, particularly Australia and New Zealand, where home schooling is still quite prevalent.

Okay, I’ve run out of ways to say “nope, didn’t happen.”

(28) Taxes: Tax rates have gone up on personal income, dividends, capital gains, corporations, and inheritance transfers. The amount of income subject to Social Security tax has nearly doubled.

Tax rates have actually gone down, including Social Security taxes.

Some of the predictions are things that should have happened but clearly haven’t.

The Justice Department soon began to file criminal and civil charges against nearly every Bush administration official who had any involvement with the Iraq war. During his campaign, Senator Obama said, “What I would want to do is to have my Justice Department and my Attorney General immediately review the information that’s already there and to find out are there inquiries that need to be pursued.” In order to facilitate these proceedings, President Obama rescinded President Bush’s executive order that had prevented presidential papers from being released, and millions of pages of previously secret White House papers were posted on the Internet. ACLU attorneys have spent four years poring over these papers looking for possible violations of law. Dozens of Bush officials, from the Cabinet level on down, are in jail, and most of them are also bankrupt from legal costs.

What they think is a nightmare is actually my dream, but reality didn’t match either one. Obama did the exact opposite of this, refused to consider any legal consequences for Bush administration officials for any of their illegal actions. And he has fought tooth and nail to prevent any civil suits from getting their day in court too. I sure as hell wish this would have happened, but it didn’t.

There are 34 predictions; all of them are false. Two of them come almost kinda close to being a reality. The military’s Don’t Ask, Don’t Tell policy has been rescinded, as they predicted, but not by executive order as they claimed. And the deficit did go up, as predicted, but not because higher tax rates reduced actual tax revenue. The rest range from absurd to downright insane.

This is a perfect demonstration that the reality on Planet Wingnuttia just isn’t the same as the reality on earth. This fictional world in which the wingnuts live bears very little relationship to the real world. I think it would be very interesting for someone to go back through the decades and collect all of these crazy predictions from the far right in one place, going back to the predictions that Social Security and Medicare were going to transform America into a socialist hellhole, that the Chinese were massing millions of troops on the Mexican border, and so forth. The fact that their dystopic predictions are never right doesn’t slow them down one bit.

Comments

  1. matty1 says

    Down in the comments there is a reply to this from God himself.

    Top quote from the reply (emphasis added)

    The reality is I allowed Barack Obama to win in 2008 because I wanted him to win. Your prayers are not being answered because I am not listening to them. I have spat you out of my mouth. You are being punished for your sins and nobody else’s. I am not punishing America, I am punishing you. This is personal.

    You tell em big G

  2. Chiroptera says

    While churches are still free to turn down homosexual applicants for the job of senior pastor, churches and parachurch organizations are no longer free to reject homosexual applicants for staff positions such as parttime youth pastor or director of counseling.

    Nor should they be.

    It would be one thing if staff positions were filled from the congregation (who, presumably, would have no openly gay members seeking the job).

    But once they open a staff position to the general public, then they should be required to obey the same labor laws that everyone else has to obey.

    That’s my opinion, any way.

  3. Michael Heath says

    Ed asks:

    Do you know of any advocate for marriage equality that thinks churches should be forced to perform same-sex marriages?

    I don’t think churches should get tax breaks at all. Given they do, I support tax breaks only for those churches who don’t discriminate against protected classes of people, which I think should include females and GLBTs. I hope someday we’ll have morally progressed enough protected classes will include children as well.

    Tax-free entities have the privilege and benefit of the services of government without paying for them – adding a marginal burden to the rest of us. That privilege and benefit shouldn’t be extended to those who practice bigotry against our fellow Americans and non-Americans as well.

    So of course churches shouldn’t be forced to perform same-sex marriages, but they shouldn’t get a tax break if they do.

  4. Chiroptera says

    Oops. I misread the passage I quoted. Youth pastors should, in my opinion, be in the same category as ministers. Sunday school teachers, too.

    I was thinking “staff” meant janitors and receptionists.

  5. slc1 says

    Re Michael Heath @ #3

    So of course churches shouldn’t be forced to perform same-sex marriages, but they shouldn’t get a tax break if they do.

    I think that ole Heath means don’t, not do.

  6. says

    Geez. They’re really preoccupied with same-sex marriage and the recognition of homosexuals as humans deserving the same rights as other people, aren’t they?

    Oh noes! The very fabric of the space-time continuum is at stake!

    I really don’t like these folks. Not one bit.

  7. brianthomas says

    Blah, blah, blah, them “libruls” are trampling all over our freedoms with their legalizing same-sex marriage and stuff!!

    Wanna bet though that this same f*ckwit was all for Bush destroying habeas corpus during the “war on terror”?

    Funny how things like increasing surveillance and the prospect of indefinite detention of the citizenry NEVER registers as “trampling all over our freedoms” with this crowd?

  8. dingojack says

    CROWD: [Falsetto] Stone him! Stone him! We mean –
    [basso profondo] Stone him! Stone Him!

    :) Dingo

  9. Michael Heath says

    Wingnut writes:

    Those that have rejected homosexual applicants have had their tax-exempt status revoked, and now the Equal Employment Opportunity Commission has begun to impose heavy fines for each instance of such “discrimination,” which, they say, is “contrary to the U.S. Constitution as defined by the Supreme Court.”

    Re the scare-quotes around discrimination: This yahoo doesn’t seem to understand that denying an applicant a job precisely because that person is a homosexual is discrimination. I think a particularly repugnant and objectively immoral form of discrimination and bigotry, but a perfect illustration of legal discrimination.

  10. says

    Do you know of any advocate for marriage equality that thinks churches should be forced to perform same-sex marriages?

    I do. Even when they aren’t in church. Even to random non-gay pairs just walking around, or to mixed-sex couples. It should be like Oprah (“You’re getting a gay marriage! And you’re getting a gay marriage! You’re getting a gay marriage! You’re all getting a gaaaay maaaaraaaaige!”).

  11. Captain Mike says

    These policies followed broadcasting and print restrictions that were in place prior to 2008 in Canada and Sweden.

    Not only can they not predict the future, they seem have to some trouble with figuring out the present. I can’t speak for Sweden, but Canada does not have those restrictions. We have plenty of people saying those things both on air and in print.

    More to the point, Section 319 (b) of the Criminal Code of Canada specifically gives religiously motivated hatred a free pass:

    ” … if, in good faith, the person expressed or attempted to establish by an argument an opinion on a religious subject or an opinion based on a belief in a religious text … “

  12. andrewjohnston says

    Surprised you passed up the one about Russia invading Eastern Europe. FotF is still saturated in Bircher Cold War fears, it seems. And yet there’s nothing at all about China.

  13. says

    If Mitt Romney is elected, a meteorite the size of Mt. Pinatubo could land on your town.
    Now, I’m not saying that is going to happen, but meteorites have been known to hit god’s beautiful and perfect* creation called earth during years when a Republican is in office.

    * Or would be perfect, if not for those atheist/Muslim/commie/nazi/’Murka hatin’ homosinsuals.

  14. Abby Normal says

    Very nice, October is the season for ghost stories. “And when she got home she found, hanging from the car’s door handle, Obama’s bloody healthcare bill!”

  15. says

    Everyone knows that once gays are allowed the right to marry then there will only be gay marriage.

    All hetero couples will have their marriages annulled and be assigned new gay partners

  16. abb3w says

    Ed also missed part-credit on their porn claims. “It’s almost impossible to keep children from seeing pornography” seems about as accurate about their remarks on the deficit going up — technically true in outcome, but with the reasons completely mistaken. (They seem to think magazine print media would still be big.) Of course, even in 2008 it was almost impossible to keep children from seeing pornography.

    They made 34 predictions. I wouldn’t give them full marks on any of them, but even if you take all three part-credit as successes, that requires “likely” to mean “at least 9-in-10 chance of nothing even vaguely resembling it” for an outcome of 31-of-34 FAIL to even be fifty-fifty probable.

  17. says

    Very nice, October is the season for ghost stories. “And when she got home she found, hanging from the car’s door handle, Obama’s bloody healthcare bill!”

    “And when they traced the call, they found out it was coming from inside the House of Representatives!

  18. says

    The gun confiscation thing is interesting. 2nd Amendment fans go on about how having guns around prevents tyranny. Yet in this “letter from the future” having guns around does nothing of the sort. Instead the Obama Adminstration does all this horrible stuff and the gun crowd does nothing.

  19. Childermass says

    Someone might want to put up a copy of this document someplace else. It is hosted by WorldNetDaily who might want to disappear the evidence of what was said someday.

  20. dan4 says

    The “for self defense” qualifier in (19) is sort-of interesting. Is the insinuation that FOTF believes that it’s okay for guns to be banned for people who only want them for hunting and/or collecting?

  21. cry4turtles says

    I don’t believe that a GLBT person would even want to enter a church let alone be married there. I’m straight and churches look creepy, feel creepy, even smell creepy to me. Be afraid, be very afraid! Oooooo (that’s the GLBT ghost affirming my opinion).

  22. drizzt says

    Those «predictions» remind me of old poetry from the 16th century in my country, which tells the story of the sailors that mapped most of the African coast, reached China and Japan, and discovered Brazil, where an old man told the sailors «don’t go out, the devil will get you at the edge of the sea»… Anti-science, anti-knowledge, anti-change… They keep on hammering the same scary stuff, people keep on falling for it, and rational people keep on having to, somehow indirectly, pay for it.

    P.S. : I’d love to see a book about the evolution of wingnuts, with predictions, which all failed of course, since… I don’t know… the Civil War perhaps ? From a nutcase saying «we’ll never have a black President» to «Jesus will come back tomorrow»… «Man will never fly» doesn’t count… it’s more technological and scientific than religious. Same with «640Kb ought to be enough for anyone» :)

  23. says

    You’re being rather unfair here. It’s made pretty clear that these predictions were for if Obama was president AND the Democrats controlled congress.

    I mean, granted, it STILL wouldn’t have happened, but they are free to say it didn’t happen because brave congressional Republicans saved us all.

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