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Will Brad Marston Pay Up?

Some of you may remember the exchange I had with Brad Marston, who either works for Herman Cain’s campaign or is a very enthusiastic supporter, in the comment thread of a post where I opined that Cain’s campaign is essentially dead on arrival. Mr. Marston showed up and offered a rather sizable bet of $2500 on whether Cain wins the Republican nomination. If he does, I make a $2500 donation to Cain’s campaign; if he doesn’t, he makes a $2500 contribution to me.

He wanted me to send him the money so he could hold it in escrow, but I said no. I’m more than happy to send him proof that I have the money, but I’m not going to let it garner interest in his account. I also offered to sign a contract making the wager official. He then falsely accused me of not having the money, despite my offer to prove it and sign a contract on it, which one might view as an attempt to get out of the bet. But even after that he did say this:

But on the small chance I do lose, what address would you like me to send the check.

Which sounds like he still agreed to pay the bet if he loses. Will he actually do so? I doubt it. But I certainly intend to humiliate him publicly about it as much as I possibly can if he doesn’t.

Comments

  1. Fifth Dentist says

    I would have bet $2,500 on the Atlanta Falcons winning the Super Bowl — something they’ve never done for more than four mostly dreadful decades — before I’d have bet on Herman Cain winning the nomination. Unless it was the “Never a Fucking Chance in Hell of Winning, Fucking Lunatic Party.” I could see him heading up that organization.
    For another interesting wager, bets could be made on which will be higher up on the list of the Republican platform: hating Muslims or hating gays?

  2. says

    I’m sorry, but the nomination for the “Never a Fucking Chance in Hell of Winning, Fucking Lunatic Party” is Ron Paul’s for the taking…

  3. Fifth Dentist says

    @ Jeff Randall

    I guess we could just call it by its shorter name: the Libertarian Party.
    They did, after all, nominate Bob Barr in 2008.

  4. Preston says

    He just writes you a check?

    Here’s what I want, I want all of the “If [name of candidate] wins, I swear I’m moving to [some poor country that doesn’t need another schmuck]!!!!111!!!!” people to actually have to move. For example, pretty much every conservative pundit should have packed their crap and moved to either Canada or France in 2008.

    This year, I’m keeping a tally.

  5. says

    pretty much every conservative pundit should have packed their crap and moved to either Canada or France in 2008.

    We don’t want ‘em. We’ve got about enough home grown ones, thank you.

  6. Phillip IV says

    I make a $2500 donation to Cain’s campaign

    Which would likely make you Cain’s biggest donor who doesn’t pay in free pizza. If you play your cards cleverly, you could make the donation in context of a fund-raising dinner, where 2500 should be enough to get you the Super-VIP-package – so you’d get a seat at Cain’s table, and a personally autographed copy of his book. The laughs alone would be worth it – too bad he’s not going to be the nominee. Herman Cain/Jimmy McMillan would be my absolute dream ticket.

  7. Chris from Europe says

    The liberals would have moved to Canada or France. I wonder where the conservative pundits would move to … I know that Limbaugh named Costa Rica in case of passage of HCR, which is a strange place for him to move.

  8. Preston says

    @Eamon Knight

    How about this, we give you North Dakota and the conservative pundits in exchange for 10 lbs. of bacon and a future draft pick?

  9. Aquaria says

    Aw, man. It looks like the spam filter caught my reference for a post, so I’ll have to change it:

    I know that Limbaugh named Costa Rica in case of passage of HCR, which is a strange place for him to move.

    Given his history re: drug addiction and sex tourism (Google the slimebucket’s name + Dominican Republic), it’s not really a surprise. Costa Rica is infamous for its sex tourism, especially the underage kind. It’s probably also easy and cheap to get certain meds known to be favorites of a certain repulsive scumbag.

  10. says

    Eamon, don’t be so quick to refuse. The massive influx of Ugly Americans holding those views should quickly discredit your own native conservatives. Might be a win/win.

  11. abb3w says

    I suspect the question was merely a ploy to try and get your snail mail address for sending harassing material.

  12. ManOutOfTime says

    Somewhere Markuze-Mabus is reading this and saying “$2500 on Cain to win the nomination? And they call ME crazy???”

  13. says

    I’d be willing to make a similar bet for a $100. Heck, I’d be willing to wager with the money not going to me at a win but going to a choice of non-partisan charities (that is he gets to choose which one). NCSE, the JREF, Methuselah Foundation).

    Although if your friend is worried about anyone’s ability to pay he should probably considering buying shares on Intrade: http://www.intrade.com/v4/markets/contract/?contractId=745220

    Since the percentage estimate for Intrade of Cain winning is less than 1%, Marston can easily make a quick buck if he’s correct.

  14. Francisco Bacopa says

    Can you bring a suit in Small Claims for non payment of a personal wager like this?

    I’m betting you can’t.

  15. Herod the Freemason says

    The liberals would have moved to Canada or France. I wonder where the conservative pundits would move to…

    They seem to love less government, so I think Somalia would be near the top of the list.

  16. illdoittomorrow says

    They seem to love less government, so I think Somalia would be near the top of the list.

    There are some good betting opportunites in sending small-gummint, anti-statist pundits to Somalia. Namely, betting on exactly how long each one lasts, and who lives longest.

    There’s a reality TV show in there somewhere…

  17. dingojack says

    Francisco Bacopa – No you can’t. But I’m not paying you anyway! Take it to the small claims court, see if I care! * ;) – Dingo
    —-
    * Not Intended To Be A Factual Statement (NITBAFS)

  18. anandine says

    Jeff Randall wrote I’m sorry, but the nomination for the “Never a Fucking Chance in Hell of Winning, Fucking Lunatic Party” is Ron Paul’s for the taking…

    How soon we forget Dennis Kucinich. Not a lunatic, but definitely fringe and not a chance in hell etc.

  19. DPSisler says

    @Ed: ManOutofTime’s quote is golden…maybe setup a “Dialogues quote of the week” contest or something like that to recognize your readers?

  20. democommie says

    Phillip IV says:
    August 21, 2011 at 10:13 am
    I make a $2500 donation to Cain’s campaign
    Which would likely make you Cain’s biggest donor who doesn’t pay in free pizza. If you play your cards cleverly, you could make the donation in context of a fund-raising dinner, where 2500 should be enough to get you the Super-VIP-package – so you’d get a seat at Cain’s table, and a personally autographed copy of his book. The laughs alone would be worth it – too bad he’s not going to be the nominee. Herman Cain/Jimmy McMillan would be my absolute dream ticket.

    ——————–

    I was talking to a somewhat republican friend of mine last evening and he said something about donor checks to candidates being nothing but bribes. I agreed and told him that I would like to be in the position of being a superdonor so I could tell one of the agonizingly self-aggrandizing assholes that I didn’t need any favorable legislation or loosening of restrictive (but sane) regulations–but just a good blowjob, and ask whether or not they could deliver that level of constituent services.

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